StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Jakub Mensik v Jurij Rodionov

2026-09-02 15:00 UTC — ATP US Open

Matchresultat

45 spelbolag (15 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Jakub Mensik (Hemma)

Prognos 84.86%1.18rättvist odds
EV -3.26%
Fördel -2.86%
Kelly -23.31%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.14

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
82.39%85.08%84.80%89.29%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.071.111.101.1493.46%90.47%90.91%87.72%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Jurij Rodionov (Borta)

Prognos 15.14%6.60rättvist odds
EV +36.29%
Fördel +4.03%
Kelly +4.54%
Tillväxt +1.65%

med antagandet om högsta odds 9.00

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
10.71%14.92%15.20%17.61%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
5.106.536.509.0019.61%15.32%15.38%11.11%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

För Matchresultat uppskattar Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) följande sannolikheter: Jakub Mensik (Hemma): 84.86%; Jurij Rodionov (Borta): 15.14%. För Jurij Rodionov (Borta) motsvarar uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 6.60. 20 spelbolag erbjuder odds över den nivån; bästa tillgängliga odds är 9.00, vilket ger ett positivt väntevärde på +36.29%.

Spelbolagsodds (45 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemmaBorta ▼MarginalUppdaterat
BoyleSports🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 89.29%EV -8.36%E -7.74%K -104.44%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.71%EV +36.29%E +4.03%K +4.54%G +1.65%3.7%2026-09-01 05:34
Coolbet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 86.10%EV -4.11%E -3.64%K -31.63%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.90%EV +6.01%E +0.858%K +1.00%G +0.060%2.8%2026-09-01 06:45
Grosvenor🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -6.66%E -6.05%K -66.58%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +6.01%E +0.858%K +1.00%G +0.060%5.2%2026-09-01 06:09
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -6.66%E -6.05%K -66.58%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +6.01%E +0.858%K +1.00%G +0.060%5.2%2026-09-01 06:10
BetRivers🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -6.66%E -6.05%K -66.58%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +6.01%E +0.858%K +1.00%G +0.060%5.2%2026-09-01 06:10
Virgin Bet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -6.66%E -6.05%K -66.58%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +6.01%E +0.858%K +1.00%G +0.060%5.2%2026-09-01 06:10
LiveScore Bet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -6.66%E -6.05%K -66.58%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +6.01%E +0.858%K +1.00%G +0.060%5.2%2026-09-01 06:09
TABtouch🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -6.66%E -6.05%K -66.58%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +6.01%E +0.858%K +1.00%G +0.060%5.2%2026-09-01 06:10
Casumo🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -6.66%E -6.05%K -66.58%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +6.01%E +0.858%K +1.00%G +0.060%5.2%2026-09-01 06:09
Unibet (NL)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -6.66%E -6.05%K -66.58%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +6.01%E +0.858%K +1.00%G +0.060%5.2%2026-09-01 06:09
Unibet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -6.66%E -6.05%K -66.58%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +6.01%E +0.858%K +1.00%G +0.060%5.2%2026-09-01 06:10
Unibet (SE)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -6.66%E -6.05%K -66.58%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +6.01%E +0.858%K +1.00%G +0.060%5.2%2026-09-01 06:09
betPARX🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -6.66%E -6.05%K -66.58%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +6.01%E +0.858%K +1.00%G +0.060%5.2%2026-09-01 06:09
ATG (SE)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -6.66%E -6.05%K -66.58%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +6.01%E +0.858%K +1.00%G +0.060%5.2%2026-09-01 06:10
Svenska Spel🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -6.66%E -6.05%K -66.58%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +6.01%E +0.858%K +1.00%G +0.060%5.2%2026-09-01 06:10
Bally Bet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -6.66%E -6.05%K -66.58%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +6.01%E +0.858%K +1.00%G +0.060%5.2%2026-09-01 06:09
Sky Bet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -6.66%E -6.05%K -66.58%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +6.01%E +0.858%K +1.00%G +0.060%5.2%2026-09-01 06:15
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -6.66%E -6.05%K -66.58%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +6.01%E +0.858%K +1.00%G +0.060%5.2%2026-09-01 06:50
FanDuel🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 86.14%EV -5.81%E -5.23%K -52.81%G +0.000%6.90I 14.49%NM 13.86%EV +4.49%E +0.651%K +0.761%G +0.034%4.6%2026-09-01 06:14
PMU (FR)🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 86.32%EV -9.20%E -8.60%K -131.48%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.68%EV +2.22%E +0.329%K +0.386%G +0.009%8.3%2026-09-01 06:10
1xBet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.49%EV -4.96%E -4.43%K -41.34%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.51%EV -0.051%E -0.008%K -0.009%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-01 06:15
GTbets🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 85.23%EV -4.11%E -3.64%K -31.63%G +0.000%6.52I 15.34%NM 14.77%EV -1.26%E -0.194%K -0.229%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-01 06:10
betano_uk🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.96%E -4.43%K -41.34%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -1.57%E -0.241%K -0.285%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-01 06:13
betfred_uk🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -6.66%E -6.05%K -66.58%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -1.57%E -0.241%K -0.285%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-01 05:10
SportsBet🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 85.64%EV -7.51%E -6.89%K -83.41%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.36%EV -1.57%E -0.241%K -0.285%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-01 06:00
Marathon Bet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.12%EV -5.81%E -5.23%K -52.81%G +0.000%6.35I 15.75%NM 14.88%EV -3.84%E -0.604%K -0.717%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-01 06:00
Fanatics🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.96%E -4.43%K -41.34%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -5.35%E -0.856%K -1.02%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-01 06:00
Bovada🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.96%E -4.43%K -41.34%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -5.35%E -0.856%K -1.02%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-01 05:32
Winamax (DE)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.92%EV -5.81%E -5.23%K -52.81%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.08%EV -5.35%E -0.856%K -1.02%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-01 05:59
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.92%EV -5.81%E -5.23%K -52.81%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.08%EV -5.35%E -0.856%K -1.02%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-01 06:09
Betr (AU)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.92%EV -5.81%E -5.23%K -52.81%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.08%EV -5.35%E -0.856%K -1.02%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-01 06:10
Fliff🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.03%EV -6.66%E -6.05%K -66.58%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.97%EV -5.35%E -0.856%K -1.02%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-01 06:45
DraftKings🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.78%EV -4.96%E -4.43%K -41.34%G +0.000%6.24I 16.03%NM 15.22%EV -5.50%E -0.882%K -1.05%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-01 05:30
MyBookie.ag🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.82%EV -5.81%E -5.23%K -52.81%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.18%EV -6.11%E -0.985%K -1.17%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-01 06:04
Tipico (DE)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.82%EV -5.81%E -5.23%K -52.81%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.18%EV -6.11%E -0.985%K -1.17%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-01 06:50
Betway🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.96%E -4.43%K -41.34%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -9.14%E -1.52%K -1.83%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-01 06:45
888sport🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.96%E -4.43%K -41.34%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -9.14%E -1.52%K -1.83%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-01 05:30
theScore Bet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -5.81%E -5.23%K -52.81%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -9.14%E -1.52%K -1.83%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-01 05:30
Unibet (UK)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -6.66%E -6.05%K -66.58%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -9.14%E -1.52%K -1.83%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-01 04:54
LeoVegas🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 84.29%EV -6.66%E -6.05%K -66.58%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.71%EV -10.65%E -1.81%K -2.17%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-01 06:09
Betclic (FR)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 84.06%EV -6.66%E -6.05%K -66.58%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.94%EV -12.17%E -2.10%K -2.53%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-01 06:29
PlayUp🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -3.26%E -2.86%K -23.31%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -16.71%E -3.04%K -3.71%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-01 05:35
Unibet (FR)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 82.81%EV -6.66%E -6.05%K -66.58%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.19%EV -19.74%E -3.72%K -4.59%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-01 06:00
ReBet🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 82.94%EV -7.51%E -6.89%K -83.41%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.06%EV -19.74%E -3.72%K -4.59%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-01 06:00
Winamax (FR)🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 82.39%EV -7.51%E -6.89%K -83.41%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.61%EV -22.77%E -4.46%K -5.55%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-01 05:59
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (8)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Kalshi1.14I 87.72%NM 87.09%7.69I 13.00%NM 12.91%0.7%2026-09-01 04:30
ProphetX1.12I 89.29%NM 86.54%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.46%3.2%2026-09-01 06:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.11I 90.09%NM 85.22%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.78%5.7%2026-09-01 06:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.11I 90.09%NM 85.22%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.78%5.7%2026-09-01 06:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.11I 90.09%NM 85.22%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.78%5.7%2026-09-01 06:35
Matchbook1.11I 90.09%NM 85.22%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.78%5.7%2026-09-01 06:35
Novig1.09I 91.74%NM 85.15%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.85%7.7%2026-09-01 06:15
Smarkets1.09I 91.74%NM 84.63%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.37%8.4%2026-09-01 06:35
Arbitrage (3 kombinationer) +1.18%PlayUp 1.14 (88.8%) / BoyleSports 9.00 (11.2%)Visa alla 3 kombinationer
Jakub Mensik (Hemma)Jurij Rodionov (Borta)Marginal
PlayUp🎯 1.14 (88.8%)BoyleSports🎯 9.00 (11.2%)+1.18%
Coolbet🎯 1.13 (88.8%)BoyleSports🎯 9.00 (11.2%)+0.395%
GTbets🎯 1.13 (88.8%)BoyleSports🎯 9.00 (11.2%)+0.395%