Język:Polski
Jaime Faria v Carlos Alcaraz
Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →
Zwycięzca spotkania
Jaime Faria (Gospodarze)
Prognoza 9.84%10.17kurs godziwy
EV +15.56%
Przewaga +1.32%
Kelly +1.45%
Wzrost +0.225%
przy maksymalnym kursie 11.75
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
8.27%9.92%9.67%12.28%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
7.509.249.1011.7513.33%10.83%10.99%8.51%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Carlos Alcaraz (Goście)
Prognoza 90.16%1.11kurs godziwy
EV +0.083%
Przewaga +0.075%
Kelly +0.753%
Wzrost +0.001%
przy maksymalnym kursie 1.11
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
87.72%90.08%90.33%91.73%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.031.061.061.1197.09%94.22%94.34%90.09%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Przy ostatnich kursach przed rozpoczęciem model Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana) szacował rynek Zwycięzca spotkania następująco: Jaime Faria (Gospodarze): 9.84%; Carlos Alcaraz (Goście): 90.16%. Dla wyniku Jaime Faria (Gospodarze) oszacowanie to odpowiadało uczciwemu kursowi dziesiętnemu 10.17. 11 bukmacherów oferowało kursy zamknięcia powyżej tego poziomu; najlepszy wynosił 11.75, co odpowiadało dodatniej wartości oczekiwanej +15.56%.
Kursy bukmacherskie (65 bukmacherów)
Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.
| Bukmacher | Gospodarze ▼ | Goście | Marża | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 11.75I 8.51%NM 8.27%EV +15.56%E +1.32%K +1.45%G +0.225% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 91.73%EV -4.43%E -4.17%K -73.76%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-09-03 00:25 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 11.40I 8.77%NM 8.36%EV +12.12%E +1.06%K +1.17%G +0.141% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.64%EV -6.23%E -5.99%K -155.72%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-03 00:06 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.79%EV +8.19%E +0.744%K +0.819%G +0.067% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 91.21%EV -4.43%E -4.17%K -73.76%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-09-03 00:10 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.79%EV +8.19%E +0.744%K +0.819%G +0.067% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 91.21%EV -4.43%E -4.17%K -73.76%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-09-03 00:05 |
| Bovada🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV +8.19%E +0.744%K +0.819%G +0.067% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -5.33%E -5.07%K -106.54%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-03 00:05 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV +8.19%E +0.744%K +0.819%G +0.067% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -7.13%E -6.92%K -237.68%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-02 23:55 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.25%EV +3.27%E +0.312%K +0.344%G +0.011% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 90.75%EV -3.52%E -3.29%K -50.34%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-09-03 00:05 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.17%EV +3.27%E +0.312%K +0.344%G +0.011% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.83%EV -4.43%E -4.17%K -73.76%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-03 00:24 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.09%EV +3.27%E +0.312%K +0.344%G +0.011% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.91%EV -5.33%E -5.07%K -106.54%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-03 00:14 |
| ReBet🎯 | 10.30I 9.71%NM 9.33%EV +1.30%E +0.127%K +0.140%G +0.002% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.67%EV -4.43%E -4.17%K -73.76%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-03 00:10 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 10.25I 9.76%NM 9.29%EV +0.812%E +0.079%K +0.088%G +0.001% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.71%EV -5.33%E -5.07%K -106.54%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-02 20:20 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV -1.65%E -0.165%K -0.183%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -4.43%E -4.17%K -73.76%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-02 23:50 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV -1.65%E -0.165%K -0.183%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -4.43%E -4.17%K -73.76%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-02 20:15 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV -1.65%E -0.165%K -0.183%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -4.43%E -4.17%K -73.76%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-02 20:15 |
| Betway🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -1.65%E -0.165%K -0.183%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -5.33%E -5.07%K -106.54%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-03 00:25 |
| 888sport🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -1.65%E -0.165%K -0.183%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -5.33%E -5.07%K -106.54%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-03 00:00 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -1.65%E -0.165%K -0.183%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -5.33%E -5.07%K -106.54%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-03 00:00 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -1.65%E -0.165%K -0.183%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -5.33%E -5.07%K -106.54%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-03 00:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -1.65%E -0.165%K -0.183%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -5.33%E -5.07%K -106.54%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-03 00:20 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 9.90I 10.10%NM 9.67%EV -2.63%E -0.266%K -0.296%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.33%EV -4.43%E -4.17%K -73.76%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-02 20:20 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 9.90I 10.10%NM 9.67%EV -2.63%E -0.266%K -0.296%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.33%EV -4.43%E -4.17%K -73.76%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-03 00:25 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 9.90I 10.10%NM 9.67%EV -2.63%E -0.266%K -0.296%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.33%EV -4.43%E -4.17%K -73.76%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-03 00:25 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 9.75I 10.26%NM 9.64%EV -4.11%E -0.421%K -0.469%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.36%EV -6.23%E -5.99%K -155.72%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-03 00:25 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 9.70I 10.31%NM 9.85%EV -4.60%E -0.474%K -0.528%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.15%EV -4.43%E -4.17%K -73.76%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-03 00:15 |
| GTbets🎯 | 9.64I 10.37%NM 10.33%EV -5.19%E -0.538%K -0.600%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 89.67%EV +0.083%E +0.075%K +0.753%G +0.001% | 0.5% | 2026-09-03 00:06 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -6.56%E -0.691%K -0.772%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -4.43%E -4.17%K -73.76%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-03 00:00 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -6.56%E -0.691%K -0.772%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -5.33%E -5.07%K -106.54%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-03 00:10 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -6.56%E -0.691%K -0.772%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -5.33%E -5.07%K -106.54%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-03 00:25 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 9.25I 10.81%NM 10.19%EV -9.02%E -0.975%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.81%EV -5.33%E -5.07%K -106.54%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-03 00:10 |
| Fliff🎯 | 9.25I 10.81%NM 10.11%EV -9.02%E -0.975%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 89.89%EV -6.23%E -5.99%K -155.72%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-03 00:24 |
| BetUS🎯 | 9.17I 10.91%NM 10.36%EV -9.81%E -1.07%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.64%EV -4.43%E -4.17%K -73.76%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-03 00:05 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 9.10I 10.99%NM 10.43%EV -10.50%E -1.15%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.57%EV -4.43%E -4.17%K -73.76%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-03 00:10 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 9.10I 10.99%NM 10.34%EV -10.50%E -1.15%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.66%EV -5.33%E -5.07%K -106.54%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-03 00:10 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -11.48%E -1.28%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -4.43%E -4.17%K -73.76%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-03 00:10 |
| Neds🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -11.48%E -1.28%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -4.43%E -4.17%K -73.76%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-03 00:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -11.48%E -1.28%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -4.43%E -4.17%K -73.76%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-03 00:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -11.48%E -1.28%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -4.43%E -4.17%K -73.76%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-03 00:10 |
| Coral🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -11.48%E -1.28%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -4.43%E -4.17%K -73.76%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-03 00:10 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -11.48%E -1.28%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -4.43%E -4.17%K -73.76%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-02 23:35 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -11.48%E -1.28%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -5.33%E -5.07%K -106.54%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-03 00:06 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -11.48%E -1.28%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -5.33%E -5.07%K -106.54%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-03 00:00 |
| TAB🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV -11.48%E -1.28%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 89.64%EV -6.23%E -5.99%K -155.72%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-03 00:00 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 8.95I 11.17%NM 10.59%EV -11.97%E -1.34%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.41%EV -4.43%E -4.17%K -73.76%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-03 00:25 |
| Betsson🎯 | 8.64I 11.57%NM 10.84%EV -15.02%E -1.74%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.16%EV -5.33%E -5.07%K -106.54%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-03 00:25 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 8.64I 11.57%NM 10.84%EV -15.02%E -1.74%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.16%EV -5.33%E -5.07%K -106.54%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-03 00:24 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -16.40%E -1.93%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -4.43%E -4.17%K -73.76%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-03 00:10 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -16.40%E -1.93%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -4.43%E -4.17%K -73.76%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-03 00:10 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 8.25I 12.12%NM 11.48%EV -18.86%E -2.29%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.52%EV -3.52%E -3.29%K -50.34%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-03 00:24 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -21.32%E -2.66%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -2.62%E -2.43%K -32.78%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-03 00:05 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -21.32%E -2.66%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -2.62%E -2.43%K -32.78%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-03 00:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -21.32%E -2.66%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -2.62%E -2.43%K -32.78%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-03 00:05 |
| Casumo🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -21.32%E -2.66%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -2.62%E -2.43%K -32.78%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-03 00:05 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -21.32%E -2.66%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -2.62%E -2.43%K -32.78%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-03 00:05 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -21.32%E -2.66%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -2.62%E -2.43%K -32.78%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-03 00:06 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -21.32%E -2.66%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -2.62%E -2.43%K -32.78%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-03 00:06 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -21.32%E -2.66%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -2.62%E -2.43%K -32.78%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-03 00:06 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -21.32%E -2.66%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -2.62%E -2.43%K -32.78%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-03 00:05 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -21.32%E -2.66%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -2.62%E -2.43%K -32.78%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-03 00:06 |
| betPARX🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -21.32%E -2.66%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -2.62%E -2.43%K -32.78%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-03 00:06 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -21.32%E -2.66%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -2.62%E -2.43%K -32.78%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-03 00:05 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -21.32%E -2.66%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -2.62%E -2.43%K -32.78%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-03 00:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -21.32%E -2.66%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -2.62%E -2.43%K -32.78%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-03 00:05 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -21.32%E -2.66%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -2.62%E -2.43%K -32.78%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-03 00:04 |
| Caesars🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -21.32%E -2.66%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -4.43%E -4.17%K -73.76%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-02 23:20 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.28%EV -26.24%E -3.50%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 87.72%EV -5.33%E -5.07%K -106.54%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-03 00:05 |
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału
Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.
Giełdy zakładów (8)
| Bukmacher | Gospodarze | Goście | Marża ▲ | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.95% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 92.05% | 0.6% | 2026-09-03 00:20 |
| ProphetX◎ | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.95% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 92.05% | 0.6% | 2026-09-03 00:15 |
| Kalshi◎ | 11.11I 9.00%NM 8.93% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 91.07% | 0.7% | 2026-09-01 17:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 12.00I 8.33%NM 8.26% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 91.74% | 0.9% | 2026-09-02 23:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 12.00I 8.33%NM 8.26% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 91.74% | 0.9% | 2026-09-02 23:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 12.00I 8.33%NM 8.26% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 91.74% | 0.9% | 2026-09-02 23:26 |
| Matchbook◎ | 12.00I 8.33%NM 8.26% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 91.74% | 0.9% | 2026-09-02 23:20 |
| Smarkets◎ | 12.00I 8.33%NM 8.12% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 91.88% | 2.7% | 2026-09-03 00:15 |