Lingua:Italiano
Jaime Faria v Carlos Alcaraz
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
Testa a testa
Jaime Faria (Casa)
Previsione 9.84%10.17quota equa
EV +15.56%
Vantaggio +1.32%
Kelly +1.45%
Crescita +0.225%
ipotizzando la quota massima 11.75
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
8.27%9.92%9.67%12.28%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
7.509.249.1011.7513.33%10.83%10.99%8.51%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Carlos Alcaraz (Trasferta)
Previsione 90.16%1.11quota equa
EV +0.083%
Vantaggio +0.075%
Kelly +0.753%
Crescita +0.001%
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.11
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
87.72%90.08%90.33%91.73%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.031.061.061.1197.09%94.22%94.34%90.09%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Jaime Faria (Casa): 9.84%; Carlos Alcaraz (Trasferta): 90.16%. Per Jaime Faria (Casa), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 10.17. 11 bookmaker offrivano quote di chiusura superiori a tale livello; la migliore era 11.75, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +15.56%.
Quote dei bookmaker (65 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa ▼ | Trasferta | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 11.75I 8.51%NM 8.27%EV +15.56%E +1.32%K +1.45%G +0.225% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 91.73%EV -4.43%E -4.17%K -73.76%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-09-03 00:25 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 11.40I 8.77%NM 8.36%EV +12.12%E +1.06%K +1.17%G +0.141% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.64%EV -6.23%E -5.99%K -155.72%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-03 00:06 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.79%EV +8.19%E +0.744%K +0.819%G +0.067% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 91.21%EV -4.43%E -4.17%K -73.76%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-09-03 00:10 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.79%EV +8.19%E +0.744%K +0.819%G +0.067% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 91.21%EV -4.43%E -4.17%K -73.76%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-09-03 00:05 |
| Bovada🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV +8.19%E +0.744%K +0.819%G +0.067% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -5.33%E -5.07%K -106.54%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-03 00:05 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV +8.19%E +0.744%K +0.819%G +0.067% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -7.13%E -6.92%K -237.68%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-02 23:55 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.25%EV +3.27%E +0.312%K +0.344%G +0.011% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 90.75%EV -3.52%E -3.29%K -50.34%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-09-03 00:05 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.17%EV +3.27%E +0.312%K +0.344%G +0.011% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.83%EV -4.43%E -4.17%K -73.76%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-03 00:24 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.09%EV +3.27%E +0.312%K +0.344%G +0.011% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.91%EV -5.33%E -5.07%K -106.54%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-03 00:14 |
| ReBet🎯 | 10.30I 9.71%NM 9.33%EV +1.30%E +0.127%K +0.140%G +0.002% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.67%EV -4.43%E -4.17%K -73.76%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-03 00:10 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 10.25I 9.76%NM 9.29%EV +0.812%E +0.079%K +0.088%G +0.001% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.71%EV -5.33%E -5.07%K -106.54%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-02 20:20 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV -1.65%E -0.165%K -0.183%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -4.43%E -4.17%K -73.76%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-02 23:50 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV -1.65%E -0.165%K -0.183%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -4.43%E -4.17%K -73.76%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-02 20:15 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV -1.65%E -0.165%K -0.183%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -4.43%E -4.17%K -73.76%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-02 20:15 |
| Betway🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -1.65%E -0.165%K -0.183%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -5.33%E -5.07%K -106.54%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-03 00:25 |
| 888sport🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -1.65%E -0.165%K -0.183%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -5.33%E -5.07%K -106.54%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-03 00:00 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -1.65%E -0.165%K -0.183%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -5.33%E -5.07%K -106.54%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-03 00:00 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -1.65%E -0.165%K -0.183%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -5.33%E -5.07%K -106.54%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-03 00:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -1.65%E -0.165%K -0.183%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -5.33%E -5.07%K -106.54%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-03 00:20 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 9.90I 10.10%NM 9.67%EV -2.63%E -0.266%K -0.296%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.33%EV -4.43%E -4.17%K -73.76%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-02 20:20 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 9.90I 10.10%NM 9.67%EV -2.63%E -0.266%K -0.296%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.33%EV -4.43%E -4.17%K -73.76%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-03 00:25 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 9.90I 10.10%NM 9.67%EV -2.63%E -0.266%K -0.296%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.33%EV -4.43%E -4.17%K -73.76%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-03 00:25 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 9.75I 10.26%NM 9.64%EV -4.11%E -0.421%K -0.469%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.36%EV -6.23%E -5.99%K -155.72%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-03 00:25 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 9.70I 10.31%NM 9.85%EV -4.60%E -0.474%K -0.528%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.15%EV -4.43%E -4.17%K -73.76%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-03 00:15 |
| GTbets🎯 | 9.64I 10.37%NM 10.33%EV -5.19%E -0.538%K -0.600%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 89.67%EV +0.083%E +0.075%K +0.753%G +0.001% | 0.5% | 2026-09-03 00:06 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -6.56%E -0.691%K -0.772%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -4.43%E -4.17%K -73.76%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-03 00:00 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -6.56%E -0.691%K -0.772%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -5.33%E -5.07%K -106.54%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-03 00:10 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -6.56%E -0.691%K -0.772%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -5.33%E -5.07%K -106.54%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-03 00:25 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 9.25I 10.81%NM 10.19%EV -9.02%E -0.975%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.81%EV -5.33%E -5.07%K -106.54%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-03 00:10 |
| Fliff🎯 | 9.25I 10.81%NM 10.11%EV -9.02%E -0.975%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 89.89%EV -6.23%E -5.99%K -155.72%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-03 00:24 |
| BetUS🎯 | 9.17I 10.91%NM 10.36%EV -9.81%E -1.07%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.64%EV -4.43%E -4.17%K -73.76%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-03 00:05 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 9.10I 10.99%NM 10.43%EV -10.50%E -1.15%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.57%EV -4.43%E -4.17%K -73.76%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-03 00:10 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 9.10I 10.99%NM 10.34%EV -10.50%E -1.15%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.66%EV -5.33%E -5.07%K -106.54%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-03 00:10 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -11.48%E -1.28%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -4.43%E -4.17%K -73.76%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-03 00:10 |
| Neds🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -11.48%E -1.28%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -4.43%E -4.17%K -73.76%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-03 00:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -11.48%E -1.28%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -4.43%E -4.17%K -73.76%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-03 00:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -11.48%E -1.28%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -4.43%E -4.17%K -73.76%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-03 00:10 |
| Coral🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -11.48%E -1.28%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -4.43%E -4.17%K -73.76%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-03 00:10 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -11.48%E -1.28%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -4.43%E -4.17%K -73.76%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-02 23:35 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -11.48%E -1.28%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -5.33%E -5.07%K -106.54%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-03 00:06 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -11.48%E -1.28%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -5.33%E -5.07%K -106.54%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-03 00:00 |
| TAB🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV -11.48%E -1.28%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 89.64%EV -6.23%E -5.99%K -155.72%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-03 00:00 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 8.95I 11.17%NM 10.59%EV -11.97%E -1.34%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.41%EV -4.43%E -4.17%K -73.76%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-03 00:25 |
| Betsson🎯 | 8.64I 11.57%NM 10.84%EV -15.02%E -1.74%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.16%EV -5.33%E -5.07%K -106.54%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-03 00:25 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 8.64I 11.57%NM 10.84%EV -15.02%E -1.74%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.16%EV -5.33%E -5.07%K -106.54%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-03 00:24 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -16.40%E -1.93%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -4.43%E -4.17%K -73.76%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-03 00:10 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -16.40%E -1.93%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -4.43%E -4.17%K -73.76%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-03 00:10 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 8.25I 12.12%NM 11.48%EV -18.86%E -2.29%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.52%EV -3.52%E -3.29%K -50.34%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-03 00:24 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -21.32%E -2.66%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -2.62%E -2.43%K -32.78%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-03 00:05 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -21.32%E -2.66%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -2.62%E -2.43%K -32.78%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-03 00:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -21.32%E -2.66%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -2.62%E -2.43%K -32.78%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-03 00:05 |
| Casumo🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -21.32%E -2.66%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -2.62%E -2.43%K -32.78%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-03 00:05 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -21.32%E -2.66%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -2.62%E -2.43%K -32.78%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-03 00:05 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -21.32%E -2.66%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -2.62%E -2.43%K -32.78%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-03 00:06 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -21.32%E -2.66%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -2.62%E -2.43%K -32.78%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-03 00:06 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -21.32%E -2.66%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -2.62%E -2.43%K -32.78%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-03 00:06 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -21.32%E -2.66%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -2.62%E -2.43%K -32.78%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-03 00:05 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -21.32%E -2.66%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -2.62%E -2.43%K -32.78%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-03 00:06 |
| betPARX🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -21.32%E -2.66%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -2.62%E -2.43%K -32.78%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-03 00:06 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -21.32%E -2.66%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -2.62%E -2.43%K -32.78%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-03 00:05 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -21.32%E -2.66%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -2.62%E -2.43%K -32.78%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-03 00:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -21.32%E -2.66%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -2.62%E -2.43%K -32.78%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-03 00:05 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -21.32%E -2.66%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -2.62%E -2.43%K -32.78%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-03 00:04 |
| Caesars🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -21.32%E -2.66%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -4.43%E -4.17%K -73.76%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-02 23:20 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.28%EV -26.24%E -3.50%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 87.72%EV -5.33%E -5.07%K -106.54%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-03 00:05 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (8)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.95% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 92.05% | 0.6% | 2026-09-03 00:20 |
| ProphetX◎ | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.95% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 92.05% | 0.6% | 2026-09-03 00:15 |
| Kalshi◎ | 11.11I 9.00%NM 8.93% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 91.07% | 0.7% | 2026-09-01 17:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 12.00I 8.33%NM 8.26% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 91.74% | 0.9% | 2026-09-02 23:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 12.00I 8.33%NM 8.26% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 91.74% | 0.9% | 2026-09-02 23:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 12.00I 8.33%NM 8.26% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 91.74% | 0.9% | 2026-09-02 23:26 |
| Matchbook◎ | 12.00I 8.33%NM 8.26% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 91.74% | 0.9% | 2026-09-02 23:20 |
| Smarkets◎ | 12.00I 8.33%NM 8.12% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 91.88% | 2.7% | 2026-09-03 00:15 |