Sprache:Deutsch
Jaime Faria v Carlos Alcaraz
Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →
Direkter Vergleich
Jaime Faria (Heim)
Prognose 9.84%10.17faire Quote
EV +15.56%
Vorteil +1.32%
Kelly +1.45%
Wachstum +0.225%
bei einer Höchstquote von 11.75
Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
8.27%9.92%9.67%12.28%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
7.509.249.1011.7513.33%10.83%10.99%8.51%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Carlos Alcaraz (Auswärts)
Prognose 90.16%1.11faire Quote
EV +0.083%
Vorteil +0.075%
Kelly +0.753%
Wachstum +0.001%
bei einer Höchstquote von 1.11
Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
87.72%90.08%90.33%91.73%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.031.061.061.1197.09%94.22%94.34%90.09%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Bei den letzten Quoten vor Spielbeginn schätzte Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) für Direkter Vergleich: Jaime Faria (Heim): 9.84%; Carlos Alcaraz (Auswärts): 90.16%. Für Jaime Faria (Heim) entsprach diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 10.17. 11 Wettanbieter boten Schlussquoten über diesem Wert an; die beste betrug 11.75 und entsprach einem positiven Erwartungswert von +15.56%.
Wettanbieterquoten (65 Wettanbieter)
Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.
| Wettanbieter | Heim ▼ | Auswärts | Marge | Aktualisiert |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 11.75I 8.51%NM 8.27%EV +15.56%E +1.32%K +1.45%G +0.225% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 91.73%EV -4.43%E -4.17%K -73.76%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-09-03 00:25 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 11.40I 8.77%NM 8.36%EV +12.12%E +1.06%K +1.17%G +0.141% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.64%EV -6.23%E -5.99%K -155.72%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-03 00:06 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.79%EV +8.19%E +0.744%K +0.819%G +0.067% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 91.21%EV -4.43%E -4.17%K -73.76%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-09-03 00:10 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.79%EV +8.19%E +0.744%K +0.819%G +0.067% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 91.21%EV -4.43%E -4.17%K -73.76%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-09-03 00:05 |
| Bovada🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV +8.19%E +0.744%K +0.819%G +0.067% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -5.33%E -5.07%K -106.54%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-03 00:05 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV +8.19%E +0.744%K +0.819%G +0.067% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -7.13%E -6.92%K -237.68%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-02 23:55 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.25%EV +3.27%E +0.312%K +0.344%G +0.011% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 90.75%EV -3.52%E -3.29%K -50.34%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-09-03 00:05 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.17%EV +3.27%E +0.312%K +0.344%G +0.011% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.83%EV -4.43%E -4.17%K -73.76%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-03 00:24 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.09%EV +3.27%E +0.312%K +0.344%G +0.011% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.91%EV -5.33%E -5.07%K -106.54%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-03 00:14 |
| ReBet🎯 | 10.30I 9.71%NM 9.33%EV +1.30%E +0.127%K +0.140%G +0.002% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.67%EV -4.43%E -4.17%K -73.76%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-03 00:10 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 10.25I 9.76%NM 9.29%EV +0.812%E +0.079%K +0.088%G +0.001% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.71%EV -5.33%E -5.07%K -106.54%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-02 20:20 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV -1.65%E -0.165%K -0.183%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -4.43%E -4.17%K -73.76%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-02 23:50 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV -1.65%E -0.165%K -0.183%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -4.43%E -4.17%K -73.76%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-02 20:15 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV -1.65%E -0.165%K -0.183%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -4.43%E -4.17%K -73.76%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-02 20:15 |
| Betway🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -1.65%E -0.165%K -0.183%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -5.33%E -5.07%K -106.54%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-03 00:25 |
| 888sport🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -1.65%E -0.165%K -0.183%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -5.33%E -5.07%K -106.54%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-03 00:00 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -1.65%E -0.165%K -0.183%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -5.33%E -5.07%K -106.54%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-03 00:00 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -1.65%E -0.165%K -0.183%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -5.33%E -5.07%K -106.54%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-03 00:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -1.65%E -0.165%K -0.183%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -5.33%E -5.07%K -106.54%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-03 00:20 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 9.90I 10.10%NM 9.67%EV -2.63%E -0.266%K -0.296%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.33%EV -4.43%E -4.17%K -73.76%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-02 20:20 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 9.90I 10.10%NM 9.67%EV -2.63%E -0.266%K -0.296%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.33%EV -4.43%E -4.17%K -73.76%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-03 00:25 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 9.90I 10.10%NM 9.67%EV -2.63%E -0.266%K -0.296%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.33%EV -4.43%E -4.17%K -73.76%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-03 00:25 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 9.75I 10.26%NM 9.64%EV -4.11%E -0.421%K -0.469%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.36%EV -6.23%E -5.99%K -155.72%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-03 00:25 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 9.70I 10.31%NM 9.85%EV -4.60%E -0.474%K -0.528%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.15%EV -4.43%E -4.17%K -73.76%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-03 00:15 |
| GTbets🎯 | 9.64I 10.37%NM 10.33%EV -5.19%E -0.538%K -0.600%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 89.67%EV +0.083%E +0.075%K +0.753%G +0.001% | 0.5% | 2026-09-03 00:06 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -6.56%E -0.691%K -0.772%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -4.43%E -4.17%K -73.76%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-03 00:00 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -6.56%E -0.691%K -0.772%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -5.33%E -5.07%K -106.54%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-03 00:10 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -6.56%E -0.691%K -0.772%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -5.33%E -5.07%K -106.54%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-03 00:25 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 9.25I 10.81%NM 10.19%EV -9.02%E -0.975%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.81%EV -5.33%E -5.07%K -106.54%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-03 00:10 |
| Fliff🎯 | 9.25I 10.81%NM 10.11%EV -9.02%E -0.975%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 89.89%EV -6.23%E -5.99%K -155.72%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-03 00:24 |
| BetUS🎯 | 9.17I 10.91%NM 10.36%EV -9.81%E -1.07%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.64%EV -4.43%E -4.17%K -73.76%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-03 00:05 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 9.10I 10.99%NM 10.43%EV -10.50%E -1.15%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.57%EV -4.43%E -4.17%K -73.76%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-03 00:10 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 9.10I 10.99%NM 10.34%EV -10.50%E -1.15%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.66%EV -5.33%E -5.07%K -106.54%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-03 00:10 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -11.48%E -1.28%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -4.43%E -4.17%K -73.76%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-03 00:10 |
| Neds🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -11.48%E -1.28%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -4.43%E -4.17%K -73.76%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-03 00:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -11.48%E -1.28%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -4.43%E -4.17%K -73.76%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-03 00:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -11.48%E -1.28%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -4.43%E -4.17%K -73.76%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-03 00:10 |
| Coral🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -11.48%E -1.28%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -4.43%E -4.17%K -73.76%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-03 00:10 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -11.48%E -1.28%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -4.43%E -4.17%K -73.76%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-02 23:35 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -11.48%E -1.28%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -5.33%E -5.07%K -106.54%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-03 00:06 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -11.48%E -1.28%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -5.33%E -5.07%K -106.54%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-03 00:00 |
| TAB🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV -11.48%E -1.28%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 89.64%EV -6.23%E -5.99%K -155.72%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-03 00:00 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 8.95I 11.17%NM 10.59%EV -11.97%E -1.34%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.41%EV -4.43%E -4.17%K -73.76%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-03 00:25 |
| Betsson🎯 | 8.64I 11.57%NM 10.84%EV -15.02%E -1.74%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.16%EV -5.33%E -5.07%K -106.54%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-03 00:25 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 8.64I 11.57%NM 10.84%EV -15.02%E -1.74%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.16%EV -5.33%E -5.07%K -106.54%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-03 00:24 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -16.40%E -1.93%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -4.43%E -4.17%K -73.76%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-03 00:10 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -16.40%E -1.93%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -4.43%E -4.17%K -73.76%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-03 00:10 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 8.25I 12.12%NM 11.48%EV -18.86%E -2.29%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.52%EV -3.52%E -3.29%K -50.34%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-03 00:24 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -21.32%E -2.66%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -2.62%E -2.43%K -32.78%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-03 00:05 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -21.32%E -2.66%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -2.62%E -2.43%K -32.78%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-03 00:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -21.32%E -2.66%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -2.62%E -2.43%K -32.78%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-03 00:05 |
| Casumo🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -21.32%E -2.66%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -2.62%E -2.43%K -32.78%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-03 00:05 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -21.32%E -2.66%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -2.62%E -2.43%K -32.78%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-03 00:05 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -21.32%E -2.66%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -2.62%E -2.43%K -32.78%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-03 00:06 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -21.32%E -2.66%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -2.62%E -2.43%K -32.78%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-03 00:06 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -21.32%E -2.66%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -2.62%E -2.43%K -32.78%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-03 00:06 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -21.32%E -2.66%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -2.62%E -2.43%K -32.78%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-03 00:05 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -21.32%E -2.66%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -2.62%E -2.43%K -32.78%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-03 00:06 |
| betPARX🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -21.32%E -2.66%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -2.62%E -2.43%K -32.78%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-03 00:06 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -21.32%E -2.66%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -2.62%E -2.43%K -32.78%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-03 00:05 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -21.32%E -2.66%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -2.62%E -2.43%K -32.78%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-03 00:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -21.32%E -2.66%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -2.62%E -2.43%K -32.78%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-03 00:05 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -21.32%E -2.66%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -2.62%E -2.43%K -32.78%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-03 00:04 |
| Caesars🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -21.32%E -2.66%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -4.43%E -4.17%K -73.76%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-02 23:20 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.28%EV -26.24%E -3.50%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 87.72%EV -5.33%E -5.07%K -106.54%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-03 00:05 |
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals
Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.
Wettbörsen (8)
| Wettanbieter | Heim | Auswärts | Marge ▲ | Aktualisiert |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.95% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 92.05% | 0.6% | 2026-09-03 00:20 |
| ProphetX◎ | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.95% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 92.05% | 0.6% | 2026-09-03 00:15 |
| Kalshi◎ | 11.11I 9.00%NM 8.93% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 91.07% | 0.7% | 2026-09-01 17:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 12.00I 8.33%NM 8.26% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 91.74% | 0.9% | 2026-09-02 23:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 12.00I 8.33%NM 8.26% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 91.74% | 0.9% | 2026-09-02 23:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 12.00I 8.33%NM 8.26% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 91.74% | 0.9% | 2026-09-02 23:26 |
| Matchbook◎ | 12.00I 8.33%NM 8.26% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 91.74% | 0.9% | 2026-09-02 23:20 |
| Smarkets◎ | 12.00I 8.33%NM 8.12% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 91.88% | 2.7% | 2026-09-03 00:15 |