默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Grigor Dimitrov v Alexei Popyrin

开赛时间: 2026-08-31 23:15 UTC

最终结果: Grigor Dimitrov 1–3 Alexei Popyrin

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

63 家博彩公司 (21 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Grigor Dimitrov (主队)

预测 63.80%1.57公平赔率
EV -2.39%
优势 -1.56%
Kelly -4.50%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.53

博彩公司预测分布
62.03%63.85%63.86%66.67%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.401.481.491.5371.43%67.77%67.11%65.36%最小值均值中位数最大值

Alexei Popyrin (客队)

预测 36.20%2.76公平赔率
EV +3.89%
优势 +1.36%
Kelly +2.08%
增长率 +0.081%

假设最高赔率为 2.87

博彩公司预测分布
33.33%36.15%36.14%37.97%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.502.682.652.8740.00%37.25%37.74%34.84%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Grigor Dimitrov (主队):63.80%;Alexei Popyrin (客队):36.20%。 对于“Alexei Popyrin (客队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.76。 当时有17家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率;最佳赔率为2.87,对应+3.89%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (63 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼利润率更新时间
1xBet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 65.68%EV -4.30%E -2.87%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 34.32%EV +3.89%E +1.36%K +2.08%G +0.081%1.5%2026-08-31 23:05
Grosvenor🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -8.77%E -6.13%K -20.39%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV +3.17%E +1.11%K +1.71%G +0.054%5.0%2026-08-31 23:00
TABtouch🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -8.77%E -6.13%K -20.39%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV +3.17%E +1.11%K +1.71%G +0.054%5.0%2026-08-31 23:00
Virgin Bet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -8.77%E -6.13%K -20.39%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV +3.17%E +1.11%K +1.71%G +0.054%5.0%2026-08-31 23:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -8.77%E -6.13%K -20.39%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV +3.17%E +1.11%K +1.71%G +0.054%5.0%2026-08-31 23:00
Unibet (SE)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -8.77%E -6.13%K -20.39%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV +3.17%E +1.11%K +1.71%G +0.054%5.0%2026-08-31 23:00
BetRivers🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -8.77%E -6.13%K -20.39%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV +3.17%E +1.11%K +1.71%G +0.054%5.0%2026-08-31 23:00
Unibet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -8.77%E -6.13%K -20.39%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV +3.17%E +1.11%K +1.71%G +0.054%5.0%2026-08-31 23:00
LiveScore Bet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -8.77%E -6.13%K -20.39%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV +3.17%E +1.11%K +1.71%G +0.054%5.0%2026-08-31 23:00
Unibet (NL)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -8.77%E -6.13%K -20.39%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV +3.17%E +1.11%K +1.71%G +0.054%5.0%2026-08-31 23:00
Casumo🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -8.77%E -6.13%K -20.39%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV +3.17%E +1.11%K +1.71%G +0.054%5.0%2026-08-31 23:00
ATG (SE)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -8.77%E -6.13%K -20.39%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV +3.17%E +1.11%K +1.71%G +0.054%5.0%2026-08-31 23:00
betPARX🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -8.77%E -6.13%K -20.39%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV +3.17%E +1.11%K +1.71%G +0.054%5.0%2026-08-31 23:00
Bally Bet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -8.77%E -6.13%K -20.39%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV +3.17%E +1.11%K +1.71%G +0.054%5.0%2026-08-31 23:00
Svenska Spel🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -8.77%E -6.13%K -20.39%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV +3.17%E +1.11%K +1.71%G +0.054%5.0%2026-08-31 23:00
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -8.77%E -6.13%K -20.39%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV +3.17%E +1.11%K +1.71%G +0.054%5.0%2026-08-31 23:05
PMU (FR)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -10.68%E -7.63%K -26.70%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV +1.36%E +0.486%K +0.755%G +0.010%7.1%2026-08-31 23:00
Coolbet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 64.71%EV -4.30%E -2.87%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.29%EV -0.450%E -0.164%K -0.257%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-31 23:05
GTbets🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 64.62%EV -4.30%E -2.87%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 35.38%EV -0.812%E -0.296%K -0.467%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-31 23:00
Marathon Bet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.31%EV -7.49%E -5.17%K -16.64%G +0.000%2.73I 36.63%NM 34.69%EV -1.17%E -0.430%K -0.679%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-31 23:05
LowVig.ag🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 64.30%EV -3.66%E -2.43%K -7.18%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 35.70%EV -1.54%E -0.565%K -0.893%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-31 21:40
BetOnline.ag🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 64.30%EV -3.66%E -2.43%K -7.18%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 35.70%EV -1.54%E -0.565%K -0.893%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-31 21:40
Pinnacle🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 63.98%EV -3.02%E -1.99%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.02%EV -2.26%E -0.837%K -1.33%G +0.000%2.8%2026-08-31 21:45
Winamax (DE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -4.30%E -2.87%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -2.26%E -0.837%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-30 19:10
betano_uk🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -4.30%E -2.87%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -2.26%E -0.837%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-31 21:39
ReBet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 64.11%EV -4.30%E -2.87%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 35.89%EV -2.98%E -1.11%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-31 19:20
FanDuel🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.27%EV -4.94%E -3.31%K -10.08%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 35.73%EV -2.98%E -1.11%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-31 16:59
Betclic (FR)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 64.03%EV -4.30%E -2.87%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 35.97%EV -3.35%E -1.25%K -2.00%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-31 22:45
SportsBet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.25%EV -5.58%E -3.77%K -11.62%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 35.75%EV -3.71%E -1.39%K -2.23%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-31 16:59
BetAnything🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -3.66%E -2.43%K -7.18%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -4.07%E -1.54%K -2.47%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-31 21:50
Unibet (UK)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.30%E -2.87%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -4.07%E -1.54%K -2.47%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-31 13:40
Winamax (FR)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.30%E -2.87%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -4.07%E -1.54%K -2.47%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-30 19:10
Bovada🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.30%E -2.87%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -4.07%E -1.54%K -2.47%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-31 21:45
Betr (AU)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -6.21%E -4.23%K -13.22%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -4.07%E -1.54%K -2.47%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-31 23:05
MyBookie.ag🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.92%EV -4.94%E -3.31%K -10.08%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 36.08%EV -4.43%E -1.68%K -2.70%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-30 19:20
Sky Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -4.30%E -2.87%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -4.79%E -1.82%K -2.94%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-31 16:59
betfred_uk🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -4.30%E -2.87%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -5.16%E -1.97%K -3.18%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-31 17:20
Paddy Power🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -8.13%E -5.64%K -18.47%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -5.16%E -1.97%K -3.18%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-31 17:01
Betsson🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.97%EV -6.21%E -4.23%K -13.22%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 36.03%EV -5.52%E -2.11%K -3.43%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-31 02:15
NordicBet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.97%EV -6.21%E -4.23%K -13.22%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 36.03%EV -5.52%E -2.11%K -3.43%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-31 02:15
Unibet (FR)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.30%E -2.87%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.88%E -2.26%K -3.68%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-31 20:05
theScore Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.30%E -2.87%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.88%E -2.26%K -3.68%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-31 08:45
888sport🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.30%E -2.87%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.88%E -2.26%K -3.68%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-31 17:20
William Hill🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.30%E -2.87%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.88%E -2.26%K -3.68%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-31 17:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.30%E -2.87%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.88%E -2.26%K -3.68%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-31 17:20
888sport (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.30%E -2.87%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.88%E -2.26%K -3.68%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-31 17:20
Betway🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.30%E -2.87%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.88%E -2.26%K -3.68%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-31 17:20
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.58%E -3.77%K -11.62%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -5.88%E -2.26%K -3.68%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-31 17:20
Coral🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.58%E -3.77%K -11.62%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -5.88%E -2.26%K -3.68%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-31 18:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.58%E -3.77%K -11.62%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -5.88%E -2.26%K -3.68%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-31 18:20
BetMGM🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.58%E -3.77%K -11.62%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -5.88%E -2.26%K -3.68%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-31 18:20
LeoVegas🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -6.21%E -4.23%K -13.22%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -5.88%E -2.26%K -3.68%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-31 17:20
Tipico (DE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -6.21%E -4.23%K -13.22%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -5.88%E -2.26%K -3.68%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-30 19:35
NetBet (FR)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -6.21%E -4.23%K -13.22%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -5.88%E -2.26%K -3.68%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-31 21:45
Fliff🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -7.49%E -5.17%K -16.64%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -5.88%E -2.26%K -3.68%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-31 23:05
DraftKings🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.48%EV -4.94%E -3.31%K -10.08%G +0.000%2.59I 38.61%NM 36.52%EV -6.24%E -2.41%K -3.93%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-31 23:04
PlayUp🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.30%E -2.87%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -7.69%E -3.02%K -4.96%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-31 21:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.30%E -2.87%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -7.69%E -3.02%K -4.96%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-31 18:20
Neds🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.30%E -2.87%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -7.69%E -3.02%K -4.96%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-31 18:20
TAB🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.30%E -2.87%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -7.69%E -3.02%K -4.96%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-31 21:20
BoyleSports🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -2.39%E -1.56%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -9.50%E -3.80%K -6.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-29 20:10
Fanatics🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.30%E -2.87%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -9.50%E -3.80%K -6.33%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-31 23:04
Caesars🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.30%E -2.87%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -9.50%E -3.80%K -6.33%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-29 11:08
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (8)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.55I 64.52%NM 64.37%2.80I 35.71%NM 35.63%0.2%2026-08-31 23:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.55I 64.52%NM 64.37%2.80I 35.71%NM 35.63%0.2%2026-08-31 23:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.55I 64.52%NM 64.37%2.80I 35.71%NM 35.63%0.2%2026-08-31 23:05
Matchbook◎1.54I 64.94%NM 64.52%2.80I 35.71%NM 35.48%0.6%2026-08-31 23:05
Novig◎1.53I 65.36%NM 64.50%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.50%1.3%2026-08-31 23:05
ProphetX◎1.54I 64.94%NM 64.02%2.74I 36.50%NM 35.98%1.4%2026-08-31 23:00
Kalshi◎1.52I 65.79%NM 64.65%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.35%1.8%2026-08-31 21:20
Smarkets◎1.52I 65.79%NM 64.49%2.76I 36.23%NM 35.51%2.0%2026-08-31 23:05