Model domyślnyŚrednia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana)

Grigor Dimitrov v Alexei Popyrin

Początek: 2026-08-31 23:15 UTC

Wynik końcowy: Grigor Dimitrov 1–3 Alexei Popyrin

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

63 bukmacherów (21 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana)

Grigor Dimitrov (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 63.80%1.57kurs godziwy
EV -2.39%
Przewaga -1.56%
Kelly -4.50%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 1.53

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
62.03%63.85%63.86%66.67%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.401.481.491.5371.43%67.77%67.11%65.36%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Alexei Popyrin (Goście)

Prognoza 36.20%2.76kurs godziwy
EV +3.89%
Przewaga +1.36%
Kelly +2.08%
Wzrost +0.081%

przy maksymalnym kursie 2.87

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
33.33%36.15%36.14%37.97%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.502.682.652.8740.00%37.25%37.74%34.84%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Przy ostatnich kursach przed rozpoczęciem model Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana) szacował rynek Zwycięzca spotkania następująco: Grigor Dimitrov (Gospodarze): 63.80%; Alexei Popyrin (Goście): 36.20%. Dla wyniku Alexei Popyrin (Goście) oszacowanie to odpowiadało uczciwemu kursowi dziesiętnemu 2.76. 17 bukmacherów oferowało kursy zamknięcia powyżej tego poziomu; najlepszy wynosił 2.87, co odpowiadało dodatniej wartości oczekiwanej +3.89%.

Kursy bukmacherskie (63 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarzeGoście ▼MarżaAktualizacja
1xBet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 65.68%EV -4.30%E -2.87%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 34.32%EV +3.89%E +1.36%K +2.08%G +0.081%1.5%2026-08-31 23:05
Grosvenor🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -8.77%E -6.13%K -20.39%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV +3.17%E +1.11%K +1.71%G +0.054%5.0%2026-08-31 23:00
TABtouch🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -8.77%E -6.13%K -20.39%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV +3.17%E +1.11%K +1.71%G +0.054%5.0%2026-08-31 23:00
Virgin Bet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -8.77%E -6.13%K -20.39%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV +3.17%E +1.11%K +1.71%G +0.054%5.0%2026-08-31 23:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -8.77%E -6.13%K -20.39%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV +3.17%E +1.11%K +1.71%G +0.054%5.0%2026-08-31 23:00
Unibet (SE)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -8.77%E -6.13%K -20.39%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV +3.17%E +1.11%K +1.71%G +0.054%5.0%2026-08-31 23:00
BetRivers🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -8.77%E -6.13%K -20.39%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV +3.17%E +1.11%K +1.71%G +0.054%5.0%2026-08-31 23:00
Unibet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -8.77%E -6.13%K -20.39%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV +3.17%E +1.11%K +1.71%G +0.054%5.0%2026-08-31 23:00
LiveScore Bet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -8.77%E -6.13%K -20.39%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV +3.17%E +1.11%K +1.71%G +0.054%5.0%2026-08-31 23:00
Unibet (NL)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -8.77%E -6.13%K -20.39%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV +3.17%E +1.11%K +1.71%G +0.054%5.0%2026-08-31 23:00
Casumo🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -8.77%E -6.13%K -20.39%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV +3.17%E +1.11%K +1.71%G +0.054%5.0%2026-08-31 23:00
ATG (SE)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -8.77%E -6.13%K -20.39%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV +3.17%E +1.11%K +1.71%G +0.054%5.0%2026-08-31 23:00
betPARX🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -8.77%E -6.13%K -20.39%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV +3.17%E +1.11%K +1.71%G +0.054%5.0%2026-08-31 23:00
Bally Bet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -8.77%E -6.13%K -20.39%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV +3.17%E +1.11%K +1.71%G +0.054%5.0%2026-08-31 23:00
Svenska Spel🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -8.77%E -6.13%K -20.39%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV +3.17%E +1.11%K +1.71%G +0.054%5.0%2026-08-31 23:00
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -8.77%E -6.13%K -20.39%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV +3.17%E +1.11%K +1.71%G +0.054%5.0%2026-08-31 23:05
PMU (FR)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -10.68%E -7.63%K -26.70%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV +1.36%E +0.486%K +0.755%G +0.010%7.1%2026-08-31 23:00
Coolbet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 64.71%EV -4.30%E -2.87%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.29%EV -0.450%E -0.164%K -0.257%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-31 23:05
GTbets🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 64.62%EV -4.30%E -2.87%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 35.38%EV -0.812%E -0.296%K -0.467%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-31 23:00
Marathon Bet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.31%EV -7.49%E -5.17%K -16.64%G +0.000%2.73I 36.63%NM 34.69%EV -1.17%E -0.430%K -0.679%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-31 23:05
LowVig.ag🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 64.30%EV -3.66%E -2.43%K -7.18%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 35.70%EV -1.54%E -0.565%K -0.893%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-31 21:40
BetOnline.ag🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 64.30%EV -3.66%E -2.43%K -7.18%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 35.70%EV -1.54%E -0.565%K -0.893%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-31 21:40
Pinnacle🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 63.98%EV -3.02%E -1.99%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.02%EV -2.26%E -0.837%K -1.33%G +0.000%2.8%2026-08-31 21:45
Winamax (DE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -4.30%E -2.87%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -2.26%E -0.837%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-30 19:10
betano_uk🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -4.30%E -2.87%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -2.26%E -0.837%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-31 21:39
ReBet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 64.11%EV -4.30%E -2.87%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 35.89%EV -2.98%E -1.11%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-31 19:20
FanDuel🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.27%EV -4.94%E -3.31%K -10.08%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 35.73%EV -2.98%E -1.11%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-31 16:59
Betclic (FR)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 64.03%EV -4.30%E -2.87%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 35.97%EV -3.35%E -1.25%K -2.00%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-31 22:45
SportsBet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.25%EV -5.58%E -3.77%K -11.62%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 35.75%EV -3.71%E -1.39%K -2.23%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-31 16:59
BetAnything🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -3.66%E -2.43%K -7.18%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -4.07%E -1.54%K -2.47%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-31 21:50
Unibet (UK)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.30%E -2.87%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -4.07%E -1.54%K -2.47%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-31 13:40
Winamax (FR)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.30%E -2.87%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -4.07%E -1.54%K -2.47%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-30 19:10
Bovada🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.30%E -2.87%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -4.07%E -1.54%K -2.47%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-31 21:45
Betr (AU)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -6.21%E -4.23%K -13.22%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -4.07%E -1.54%K -2.47%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-31 23:05
MyBookie.ag🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.92%EV -4.94%E -3.31%K -10.08%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 36.08%EV -4.43%E -1.68%K -2.70%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-30 19:20
Sky Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -4.30%E -2.87%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -4.79%E -1.82%K -2.94%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-31 16:59
betfred_uk🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -4.30%E -2.87%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -5.16%E -1.97%K -3.18%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-31 17:20
Paddy Power🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -8.13%E -5.64%K -18.47%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -5.16%E -1.97%K -3.18%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-31 17:01
Betsson🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.97%EV -6.21%E -4.23%K -13.22%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 36.03%EV -5.52%E -2.11%K -3.43%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-31 02:15
NordicBet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.97%EV -6.21%E -4.23%K -13.22%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 36.03%EV -5.52%E -2.11%K -3.43%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-31 02:15
Unibet (FR)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.30%E -2.87%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.88%E -2.26%K -3.68%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-31 20:05
theScore Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.30%E -2.87%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.88%E -2.26%K -3.68%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-31 08:45
888sport🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.30%E -2.87%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.88%E -2.26%K -3.68%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-31 17:20
William Hill🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.30%E -2.87%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.88%E -2.26%K -3.68%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-31 17:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.30%E -2.87%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.88%E -2.26%K -3.68%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-31 17:20
888sport (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.30%E -2.87%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.88%E -2.26%K -3.68%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-31 17:20
Betway🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.30%E -2.87%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.88%E -2.26%K -3.68%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-31 17:20
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.58%E -3.77%K -11.62%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -5.88%E -2.26%K -3.68%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-31 17:20
Coral🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.58%E -3.77%K -11.62%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -5.88%E -2.26%K -3.68%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-31 18:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.58%E -3.77%K -11.62%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -5.88%E -2.26%K -3.68%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-31 18:20
BetMGM🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.58%E -3.77%K -11.62%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -5.88%E -2.26%K -3.68%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-31 18:20
LeoVegas🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -6.21%E -4.23%K -13.22%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -5.88%E -2.26%K -3.68%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-31 17:20
Tipico (DE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -6.21%E -4.23%K -13.22%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -5.88%E -2.26%K -3.68%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-30 19:35
NetBet (FR)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -6.21%E -4.23%K -13.22%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -5.88%E -2.26%K -3.68%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-31 21:45
Fliff🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -7.49%E -5.17%K -16.64%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -5.88%E -2.26%K -3.68%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-31 23:05
DraftKings🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.48%EV -4.94%E -3.31%K -10.08%G +0.000%2.59I 38.61%NM 36.52%EV -6.24%E -2.41%K -3.93%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-31 23:04
PlayUp🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.30%E -2.87%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -7.69%E -3.02%K -4.96%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-31 21:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.30%E -2.87%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -7.69%E -3.02%K -4.96%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-31 18:20
Neds🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.30%E -2.87%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -7.69%E -3.02%K -4.96%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-31 18:20
TAB🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.30%E -2.87%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -7.69%E -3.02%K -4.96%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-31 21:20
BoyleSports🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -2.39%E -1.56%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -9.50%E -3.80%K -6.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-29 20:10
Fanatics🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.30%E -2.87%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -9.50%E -3.80%K -6.33%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-31 23:04
Caesars🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.30%E -2.87%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -9.50%E -3.80%K -6.33%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-29 11:08
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (8)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeMarża ▲Aktualizacja
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.55I 64.52%NM 64.37%2.80I 35.71%NM 35.63%0.2%2026-08-31 23:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.55I 64.52%NM 64.37%2.80I 35.71%NM 35.63%0.2%2026-08-31 23:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.55I 64.52%NM 64.37%2.80I 35.71%NM 35.63%0.2%2026-08-31 23:05
Matchbook◎1.54I 64.94%NM 64.52%2.80I 35.71%NM 35.48%0.6%2026-08-31 23:05
Novig◎1.53I 65.36%NM 64.50%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.50%1.3%2026-08-31 23:05
ProphetX◎1.54I 64.94%NM 64.02%2.74I 36.50%NM 35.98%1.4%2026-08-31 23:00
Kalshi◎1.52I 65.79%NM 64.65%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.35%1.8%2026-08-31 21:20
Smarkets◎1.52I 65.79%NM 64.49%2.76I 36.23%NM 35.51%2.0%2026-08-31 23:05