Langue:Français
Grigor Dimitrov v Alexei Popyrin
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Grigor Dimitrov (Local)
Prévision 63.80%1.57cote équitable
EV -2.39%
Avantage -1.56%
Kelly -4.50%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.53
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
62.03%63.85%63.86%66.67%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.401.481.491.5371.43%67.77%67.11%65.36%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Alexei Popyrin (Visiteur)
Prévision 36.20%2.76cote équitable
EV +3.89%
Avantage +1.36%
Kelly +2.08%
Croissance +0.081%
avec la cote maximale 2.87
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
33.33%36.15%36.14%37.97%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.502.682.652.8740.00%37.25%37.74%34.84%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Grigor Dimitrov (Local) : 63.80% ; Alexei Popyrin (Visiteur) : 36.20%. Pour Alexei Popyrin (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 2.76. 17 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 2.87, soit une espérance positive de +3.89%.
Cotes des opérateurs (63 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 65.68%EV -4.30%E -2.87%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 34.32%EV +3.89%E +1.36%K +2.08%G +0.081% | 1.5% | 2026-08-31 23:05 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -8.77%E -6.13%K -20.39%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV +3.17%E +1.11%K +1.71%G +0.054% | 5.0% | 2026-08-31 23:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -8.77%E -6.13%K -20.39%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV +3.17%E +1.11%K +1.71%G +0.054% | 5.0% | 2026-08-31 23:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -8.77%E -6.13%K -20.39%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV +3.17%E +1.11%K +1.71%G +0.054% | 5.0% | 2026-08-31 23:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -8.77%E -6.13%K -20.39%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV +3.17%E +1.11%K +1.71%G +0.054% | 5.0% | 2026-08-31 23:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -8.77%E -6.13%K -20.39%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV +3.17%E +1.11%K +1.71%G +0.054% | 5.0% | 2026-08-31 23:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -8.77%E -6.13%K -20.39%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV +3.17%E +1.11%K +1.71%G +0.054% | 5.0% | 2026-08-31 23:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -8.77%E -6.13%K -20.39%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV +3.17%E +1.11%K +1.71%G +0.054% | 5.0% | 2026-08-31 23:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -8.77%E -6.13%K -20.39%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV +3.17%E +1.11%K +1.71%G +0.054% | 5.0% | 2026-08-31 23:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -8.77%E -6.13%K -20.39%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV +3.17%E +1.11%K +1.71%G +0.054% | 5.0% | 2026-08-31 23:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -8.77%E -6.13%K -20.39%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV +3.17%E +1.11%K +1.71%G +0.054% | 5.0% | 2026-08-31 23:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -8.77%E -6.13%K -20.39%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV +3.17%E +1.11%K +1.71%G +0.054% | 5.0% | 2026-08-31 23:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -8.77%E -6.13%K -20.39%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV +3.17%E +1.11%K +1.71%G +0.054% | 5.0% | 2026-08-31 23:00 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -8.77%E -6.13%K -20.39%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV +3.17%E +1.11%K +1.71%G +0.054% | 5.0% | 2026-08-31 23:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -8.77%E -6.13%K -20.39%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV +3.17%E +1.11%K +1.71%G +0.054% | 5.0% | 2026-08-31 23:00 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -8.77%E -6.13%K -20.39%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV +3.17%E +1.11%K +1.71%G +0.054% | 5.0% | 2026-08-31 23:05 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -10.68%E -7.63%K -26.70%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV +1.36%E +0.486%K +0.755%G +0.010% | 7.1% | 2026-08-31 23:00 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.71%EV -4.30%E -2.87%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.29%EV -0.450%E -0.164%K -0.257%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-31 23:05 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.62%EV -4.30%E -2.87%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 35.38%EV -0.812%E -0.296%K -0.467%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-31 23:00 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.31%EV -7.49%E -5.17%K -16.64%G +0.000% | 2.73I 36.63%NM 34.69%EV -1.17%E -0.430%K -0.679%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-31 23:05 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 64.30%EV -3.66%E -2.43%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 35.70%EV -1.54%E -0.565%K -0.893%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-31 21:40 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 64.30%EV -3.66%E -2.43%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 35.70%EV -1.54%E -0.565%K -0.893%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-31 21:40 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.98%EV -3.02%E -1.99%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.02%EV -2.26%E -0.837%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-08-31 21:45 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -4.30%E -2.87%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -2.26%E -0.837%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-30 19:10 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -4.30%E -2.87%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -2.26%E -0.837%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-31 21:39 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.11%EV -4.30%E -2.87%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 35.89%EV -2.98%E -1.11%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-31 19:20 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.27%EV -4.94%E -3.31%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 35.73%EV -2.98%E -1.11%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-31 16:59 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.03%EV -4.30%E -2.87%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 2.67I 37.45%NM 35.97%EV -3.35%E -1.25%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-31 22:45 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.25%EV -5.58%E -3.77%K -11.62%G +0.000% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 35.75%EV -3.71%E -1.39%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-31 16:59 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -3.66%E -2.43%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -4.07%E -1.54%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-31 21:50 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.30%E -2.87%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -4.07%E -1.54%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-31 13:40 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.30%E -2.87%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -4.07%E -1.54%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-30 19:10 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.30%E -2.87%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -4.07%E -1.54%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-31 21:45 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -6.21%E -4.23%K -13.22%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -4.07%E -1.54%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-31 23:05 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.92%EV -4.94%E -3.31%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 36.08%EV -4.43%E -1.68%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-30 19:20 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -4.30%E -2.87%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -4.79%E -1.82%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-31 16:59 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -4.30%E -2.87%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -5.16%E -1.97%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-31 17:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -8.13%E -5.64%K -18.47%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -5.16%E -1.97%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-31 17:01 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.97%EV -6.21%E -4.23%K -13.22%G +0.000% | 2.61I 38.31%NM 36.03%EV -5.52%E -2.11%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-31 02:15 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.97%EV -6.21%E -4.23%K -13.22%G +0.000% | 2.61I 38.31%NM 36.03%EV -5.52%E -2.11%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-31 02:15 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.30%E -2.87%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.88%E -2.26%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-31 20:05 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.30%E -2.87%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.88%E -2.26%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-31 08:45 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.30%E -2.87%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.88%E -2.26%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-31 17:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.30%E -2.87%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.88%E -2.26%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-31 17:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.30%E -2.87%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.88%E -2.26%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-31 17:20 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.30%E -2.87%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.88%E -2.26%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-31 17:20 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.30%E -2.87%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.88%E -2.26%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-31 17:20 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.58%E -3.77%K -11.62%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -5.88%E -2.26%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-31 17:20 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.58%E -3.77%K -11.62%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -5.88%E -2.26%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-31 18:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.58%E -3.77%K -11.62%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -5.88%E -2.26%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-31 18:20 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.58%E -3.77%K -11.62%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -5.88%E -2.26%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-31 18:20 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -6.21%E -4.23%K -13.22%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -5.88%E -2.26%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-31 17:20 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -6.21%E -4.23%K -13.22%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -5.88%E -2.26%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-30 19:35 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -6.21%E -4.23%K -13.22%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -5.88%E -2.26%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-31 21:45 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -7.49%E -5.17%K -16.64%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -5.88%E -2.26%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-31 23:05 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.48%EV -4.94%E -3.31%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 2.59I 38.61%NM 36.52%EV -6.24%E -2.41%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-31 23:04 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.30%E -2.87%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -7.69%E -3.02%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-31 21:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.30%E -2.87%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -7.69%E -3.02%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-31 18:20 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.30%E -2.87%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -7.69%E -3.02%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-31 18:20 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.30%E -2.87%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -7.69%E -3.02%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-31 21:20 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -2.39%E -1.56%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -9.50%E -3.80%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-29 20:10 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.30%E -2.87%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -9.50%E -3.80%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-31 23:04 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.30%E -2.87%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -9.50%E -3.80%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-29 11:08 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (8)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.55I 64.52%NM 64.37% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.63% | 0.2% | 2026-08-31 23:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.55I 64.52%NM 64.37% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.63% | 0.2% | 2026-08-31 23:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.55I 64.52%NM 64.37% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.63% | 0.2% | 2026-08-31 23:05 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.52% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.48% | 0.6% | 2026-08-31 23:05 |
| Novig◎ | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.50% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.50% | 1.3% | 2026-08-31 23:05 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.02% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 35.98% | 1.4% | 2026-08-31 23:00 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.52I 65.79%NM 64.65% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.35% | 1.8% | 2026-08-31 21:20 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.52I 65.79%NM 64.49% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 35.51% | 2.0% | 2026-08-31 23:05 |