StandardmodellInterquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Grigor Dimitrov v Alexei Popyrin

Spielbeginn: 2026-08-31 23:15 UTC

Endstand: Grigor Dimitrov 1–3 Alexei Popyrin

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

63 Wettanbieter (21 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Grigor Dimitrov (Heim)

Prognose 63.80%1.57faire Quote
EV -2.39%
Vorteil -1.56%
Kelly -4.50%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.53

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
62.03%63.85%63.86%66.67%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.401.481.491.5371.43%67.77%67.11%65.36%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Alexei Popyrin (Auswärts)

Prognose 36.20%2.76faire Quote
EV +3.89%
Vorteil +1.36%
Kelly +2.08%
Wachstum +0.081%

bei einer Höchstquote von 2.87

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
33.33%36.15%36.14%37.97%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
2.502.682.652.8740.00%37.25%37.74%34.84%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Bei den letzten Quoten vor Spielbeginn schätzte Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) für Direkter Vergleich: Grigor Dimitrov (Heim): 63.80%; Alexei Popyrin (Auswärts): 36.20%. Für Alexei Popyrin (Auswärts) entsprach diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 2.76. 17 Wettanbieter boten Schlussquoten über diesem Wert an; die beste betrug 2.87 und entsprach einem positiven Erwartungswert von +3.89%.

Wettanbieterquoten (63 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeimAuswärts ▼MargeAktualisiert
1xBet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 65.68%EV -4.30%E -2.87%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 34.32%EV +3.89%E +1.36%K +2.08%G +0.081%1.5%2026-08-31 23:05
Grosvenor🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -8.77%E -6.13%K -20.39%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV +3.17%E +1.11%K +1.71%G +0.054%5.0%2026-08-31 23:00
TABtouch🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -8.77%E -6.13%K -20.39%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV +3.17%E +1.11%K +1.71%G +0.054%5.0%2026-08-31 23:00
Virgin Bet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -8.77%E -6.13%K -20.39%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV +3.17%E +1.11%K +1.71%G +0.054%5.0%2026-08-31 23:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -8.77%E -6.13%K -20.39%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV +3.17%E +1.11%K +1.71%G +0.054%5.0%2026-08-31 23:00
Unibet (SE)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -8.77%E -6.13%K -20.39%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV +3.17%E +1.11%K +1.71%G +0.054%5.0%2026-08-31 23:00
BetRivers🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -8.77%E -6.13%K -20.39%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV +3.17%E +1.11%K +1.71%G +0.054%5.0%2026-08-31 23:00
Unibet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -8.77%E -6.13%K -20.39%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV +3.17%E +1.11%K +1.71%G +0.054%5.0%2026-08-31 23:00
LiveScore Bet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -8.77%E -6.13%K -20.39%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV +3.17%E +1.11%K +1.71%G +0.054%5.0%2026-08-31 23:00
Unibet (NL)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -8.77%E -6.13%K -20.39%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV +3.17%E +1.11%K +1.71%G +0.054%5.0%2026-08-31 23:00
Casumo🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -8.77%E -6.13%K -20.39%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV +3.17%E +1.11%K +1.71%G +0.054%5.0%2026-08-31 23:00
ATG (SE)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -8.77%E -6.13%K -20.39%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV +3.17%E +1.11%K +1.71%G +0.054%5.0%2026-08-31 23:00
betPARX🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -8.77%E -6.13%K -20.39%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV +3.17%E +1.11%K +1.71%G +0.054%5.0%2026-08-31 23:00
Bally Bet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -8.77%E -6.13%K -20.39%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV +3.17%E +1.11%K +1.71%G +0.054%5.0%2026-08-31 23:00
Svenska Spel🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -8.77%E -6.13%K -20.39%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV +3.17%E +1.11%K +1.71%G +0.054%5.0%2026-08-31 23:00
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -8.77%E -6.13%K -20.39%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV +3.17%E +1.11%K +1.71%G +0.054%5.0%2026-08-31 23:05
PMU (FR)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -10.68%E -7.63%K -26.70%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV +1.36%E +0.486%K +0.755%G +0.010%7.1%2026-08-31 23:00
Coolbet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 64.71%EV -4.30%E -2.87%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.29%EV -0.450%E -0.164%K -0.257%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-31 23:05
GTbets🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 64.62%EV -4.30%E -2.87%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 35.38%EV -0.812%E -0.296%K -0.467%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-31 23:00
Marathon Bet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.31%EV -7.49%E -5.17%K -16.64%G +0.000%2.73I 36.63%NM 34.69%EV -1.17%E -0.430%K -0.679%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-31 23:05
LowVig.ag🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 64.30%EV -3.66%E -2.43%K -7.18%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 35.70%EV -1.54%E -0.565%K -0.893%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-31 21:40
BetOnline.ag🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 64.30%EV -3.66%E -2.43%K -7.18%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 35.70%EV -1.54%E -0.565%K -0.893%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-31 21:40
Pinnacle🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 63.98%EV -3.02%E -1.99%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.02%EV -2.26%E -0.837%K -1.33%G +0.000%2.8%2026-08-31 21:45
Winamax (DE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -4.30%E -2.87%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -2.26%E -0.837%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-30 19:10
betano_uk🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -4.30%E -2.87%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -2.26%E -0.837%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-31 21:39
ReBet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 64.11%EV -4.30%E -2.87%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 35.89%EV -2.98%E -1.11%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-31 19:20
FanDuel🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.27%EV -4.94%E -3.31%K -10.08%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 35.73%EV -2.98%E -1.11%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-31 16:59
Betclic (FR)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 64.03%EV -4.30%E -2.87%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 35.97%EV -3.35%E -1.25%K -2.00%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-31 22:45
SportsBet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.25%EV -5.58%E -3.77%K -11.62%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 35.75%EV -3.71%E -1.39%K -2.23%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-31 16:59
BetAnything🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -3.66%E -2.43%K -7.18%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -4.07%E -1.54%K -2.47%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-31 21:50
Unibet (UK)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.30%E -2.87%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -4.07%E -1.54%K -2.47%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-31 13:40
Winamax (FR)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.30%E -2.87%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -4.07%E -1.54%K -2.47%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-30 19:10
Bovada🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.30%E -2.87%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -4.07%E -1.54%K -2.47%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-31 21:45
Betr (AU)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -6.21%E -4.23%K -13.22%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -4.07%E -1.54%K -2.47%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-31 23:05
MyBookie.ag🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.92%EV -4.94%E -3.31%K -10.08%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 36.08%EV -4.43%E -1.68%K -2.70%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-30 19:20
Sky Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -4.30%E -2.87%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -4.79%E -1.82%K -2.94%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-31 16:59
betfred_uk🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -4.30%E -2.87%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -5.16%E -1.97%K -3.18%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-31 17:20
Paddy Power🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -8.13%E -5.64%K -18.47%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -5.16%E -1.97%K -3.18%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-31 17:01
Betsson🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.97%EV -6.21%E -4.23%K -13.22%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 36.03%EV -5.52%E -2.11%K -3.43%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-31 02:15
NordicBet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.97%EV -6.21%E -4.23%K -13.22%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 36.03%EV -5.52%E -2.11%K -3.43%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-31 02:15
Unibet (FR)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.30%E -2.87%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.88%E -2.26%K -3.68%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-31 20:05
theScore Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.30%E -2.87%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.88%E -2.26%K -3.68%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-31 08:45
888sport🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.30%E -2.87%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.88%E -2.26%K -3.68%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-31 17:20
William Hill🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.30%E -2.87%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.88%E -2.26%K -3.68%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-31 17:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.30%E -2.87%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.88%E -2.26%K -3.68%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-31 17:20
888sport (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.30%E -2.87%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.88%E -2.26%K -3.68%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-31 17:20
Betway🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.30%E -2.87%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.88%E -2.26%K -3.68%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-31 17:20
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.58%E -3.77%K -11.62%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -5.88%E -2.26%K -3.68%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-31 17:20
Coral🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.58%E -3.77%K -11.62%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -5.88%E -2.26%K -3.68%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-31 18:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.58%E -3.77%K -11.62%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -5.88%E -2.26%K -3.68%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-31 18:20
BetMGM🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.58%E -3.77%K -11.62%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -5.88%E -2.26%K -3.68%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-31 18:20
LeoVegas🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -6.21%E -4.23%K -13.22%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -5.88%E -2.26%K -3.68%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-31 17:20
Tipico (DE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -6.21%E -4.23%K -13.22%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -5.88%E -2.26%K -3.68%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-30 19:35
NetBet (FR)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -6.21%E -4.23%K -13.22%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -5.88%E -2.26%K -3.68%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-31 21:45
Fliff🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -7.49%E -5.17%K -16.64%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -5.88%E -2.26%K -3.68%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-31 23:05
DraftKings🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.48%EV -4.94%E -3.31%K -10.08%G +0.000%2.59I 38.61%NM 36.52%EV -6.24%E -2.41%K -3.93%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-31 23:04
PlayUp🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.30%E -2.87%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -7.69%E -3.02%K -4.96%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-31 21:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.30%E -2.87%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -7.69%E -3.02%K -4.96%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-31 18:20
Neds🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.30%E -2.87%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -7.69%E -3.02%K -4.96%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-31 18:20
TAB🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.30%E -2.87%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -7.69%E -3.02%K -4.96%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-31 21:20
BoyleSports🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -2.39%E -1.56%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -9.50%E -3.80%K -6.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-29 20:10
Fanatics🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.30%E -2.87%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -9.50%E -3.80%K -6.33%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-31 23:04
Caesars🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.30%E -2.87%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -9.50%E -3.80%K -6.33%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-29 11:08
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (8)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.55I 64.52%NM 64.37%2.80I 35.71%NM 35.63%0.2%2026-08-31 23:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.55I 64.52%NM 64.37%2.80I 35.71%NM 35.63%0.2%2026-08-31 23:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.55I 64.52%NM 64.37%2.80I 35.71%NM 35.63%0.2%2026-08-31 23:05
Matchbook◎1.54I 64.94%NM 64.52%2.80I 35.71%NM 35.48%0.6%2026-08-31 23:05
Novig◎1.53I 65.36%NM 64.50%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.50%1.3%2026-08-31 23:05
ProphetX◎1.54I 64.94%NM 64.02%2.74I 36.50%NM 35.98%1.4%2026-08-31 23:00
Kalshi◎1.52I 65.79%NM 64.65%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.35%1.8%2026-08-31 21:20
Smarkets◎1.52I 65.79%NM 64.49%2.76I 36.23%NM 35.51%2.0%2026-08-31 23:05