Language:English
Francisco Cerundolo v Alexander Blockx
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Francisco Cerundolo (Local)
Prediction 40.83%2.45fair odd
EV +0.035%
Edge +0.014%
Kelly +0.024%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.45
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.75%40.84%40.87%43.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.202.332.352.4545.45%42.88%42.55%40.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Alexander Blockx (Visit)
Prediction 59.17%1.69fair odd
EV -1.19%
Edge -0.711%
Kelly -1.77%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.67
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
56.85%59.16%59.13%61.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.551.601.601.6764.52%62.46%62.50%59.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Francisco Cerundolo (Local): 40.83%; Alexander Blockx (Visit): 59.17%. For Francisco Cerundolo (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.449. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.450, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.035%.
Sportsbook Odds (65 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV +0.035%E +0.014%K +0.024%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -8.29%E -5.35%K -15.07%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-07 17:45 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -0.781%E -0.322%K -0.546%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -7.70%E -4.93%K -13.74%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-07 18:02 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.10%EV -1.19%E -0.492%K -0.838%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.90%EV -4.15%E -2.56%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-09-07 17:50 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.10%EV -1.19%E -0.492%K -0.838%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.90%EV -4.15%E -2.56%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-09-07 17:50 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.74%EV -2.01%E -0.836%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.26%EV -2.37%E -1.44%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-09-07 17:46 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.45%EV -2.01%E -0.836%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.55%EV -3.55%E -2.18%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-09-07 09:30 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -2.01%E -0.836%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -5.33%E -3.33%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-07 17:50 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -2.01%E -0.836%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -8.29%E -5.35%K -15.07%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-07 17:45 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.39I 41.84%NM 39.95%EV -2.41%E -1.01%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.05%EV -5.92%E -3.72%K -10.04%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-07 17:50 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.50%EV -2.82%E -1.19%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.50%EV -4.15%E -2.56%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-09-07 16:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -2.82%E -1.19%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -5.33%E -3.33%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-07 17:45 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -2.82%E -1.19%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -7.10%E -4.52%K -12.46%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-07 17:55 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -2.82%E -1.19%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -7.10%E -4.52%K -12.46%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-07 17:45 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.15%EV -3.23%E -1.36%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.85%EV -5.92%E -3.72%K -10.04%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-07 17:44 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -4.05%E -1.72%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -3.55%E -2.18%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-07 17:50 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -4.05%E -1.72%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.15%E -2.56%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-07 17:50 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -4.05%E -1.72%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.15%E -2.56%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-07 17:50 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.05%E -1.72%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.74%E -2.94%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-07 13:30 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.05%E -1.72%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.33%E -3.33%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-07 13:30 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.05%E -1.72%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.33%E -3.33%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-07 13:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.05%E -1.72%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.33%E -3.33%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-07 17:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.05%E -1.72%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.33%E -3.33%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-07 13:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.05%E -1.72%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.33%E -3.33%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-07 13:30 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.05%E -1.72%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.33%E -3.33%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-07 13:30 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.05%E -1.72%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.33%E -3.33%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-07 17:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.05%E -1.72%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.33%E -3.33%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-07 17:50 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.05%E -1.72%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.33%E -3.33%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-07 13:30 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.05%E -1.72%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.33%E -3.33%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-07 17:50 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.05%E -1.72%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.33%E -3.33%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-07 17:50 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.05%E -1.72%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.33%E -3.33%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-07 17:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.05%E -1.72%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.33%E -3.33%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-07 17:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.05%E -1.72%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.33%E -3.33%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-07 17:40 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.05%E -1.72%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.33%E -3.33%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-07 13:30 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -4.05%E -1.72%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -7.10%E -4.52%K -12.46%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-07 17:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.76%EV -4.46%E -1.90%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.24%EV -4.74%E -2.94%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-07 17:55 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.10%EV -4.86%E -2.09%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.90%EV -7.70%E -4.93%K -13.74%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-06 01:20 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.41%EV -5.27%E -2.27%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.59%EV -2.96%E -1.81%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-07 17:46 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -5.68%E -2.46%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -4.15%E -2.56%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-07 17:59 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -6.09%E -2.65%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -2.37%E -1.44%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-07 17:43 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -6.09%E -2.65%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -3.55%E -2.18%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-07 17:45 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.09%E -2.65%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.15%E -2.56%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-06 01:10 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.09%E -2.65%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.15%E -2.56%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-07 17:45 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.09%E -2.65%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.15%E -2.56%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-07 18:00 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -6.09%E -2.65%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.74%E -2.94%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-06 01:10 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -6.09%E -2.65%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.74%E -2.94%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-06 01:10 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -6.09%E -2.65%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.74%E -2.94%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-06 01:10 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.09%E -2.65%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.33%E -3.33%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-07 16:50 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.09%E -2.65%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.33%E -3.33%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-07 07:30 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.09%E -2.65%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.33%E -3.33%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-07 17:54 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.09%E -2.65%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.33%E -3.33%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-07 18:00 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -6.09%E -2.65%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -5.92%E -3.72%K -10.04%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-07 17:50 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -6.09%E -2.65%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -5.92%E -3.72%K -10.04%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-07 17:45 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -6.09%E -2.65%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -5.92%E -3.72%K -10.04%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-06 04:54 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -6.09%E -2.65%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -7.10%E -4.52%K -12.46%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-07 17:45 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -6.09%E -2.65%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.59%EV -7.70%E -4.93%K -13.74%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-07 17:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -6.09%E -2.65%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -8.29%E -5.35%K -15.07%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-07 17:40 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -6.09%E -2.65%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -8.29%E -5.35%K -15.07%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-07 17:44 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.29I 43.67%NM 40.98%EV -6.50%E -2.84%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.02%EV -5.92%E -3.72%K -10.04%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-07 17:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.29I 43.67%NM 40.98%EV -6.50%E -2.84%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.02%EV -5.92%E -3.72%K -10.04%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-07 17:50 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.34%EV -7.31%E -3.22%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.66%EV -5.33%E -3.33%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-07 17:59 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -8.13%E -3.61%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.15%E -2.56%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-07 17:50 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.41%EV -8.13%E -3.61%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.59%EV -5.92%E -3.72%K -10.04%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-07 17:55 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.64%EV -9.36%E -4.21%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.36%EV -2.37%E -1.44%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-07 17:46 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -10.17%E -4.62%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -1.19%E -0.711%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-07 17:15 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.80%EV -10.17%E -4.62%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.20%EV -6.51%E -4.12%K -11.23%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-07 17:54 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.54I 39.37%NM 39.23% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.77% | 0.3% | 2026-09-07 17:55 |
| Novig◎ | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.90% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 61.10% | 0.4% | 2026-09-07 17:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.42% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.58% | 0.7% | 2026-09-07 17:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.42% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.58% | 0.7% | 2026-09-07 17:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.42% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.58% | 0.7% | 2026-09-07 17:50 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.54I 39.37%NM 38.94% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 61.06% | 1.1% | 2026-09-07 17:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.13% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.87% | 1.4% | 2026-09-07 17:55 |