StandardmodellInterquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Francisco Cerundolo v Alexander Blockx

Spielbeginn: 2026-09-07 18:04 UTC

Endstand: Francisco Cerundolo 1–3 Alexander Blockx

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

65 Wettanbieter (21 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Francisco Cerundolo (Heim)

Prognose 40.83%2.45faire Quote
EV +0.035%
Vorteil +0.014%
Kelly +0.024%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 2.45

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
38.75%40.84%40.87%43.15%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
2.202.332.352.4545.45%42.88%42.55%40.82%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Alexander Blockx (Auswärts)

Prognose 59.17%1.69faire Quote
EV -1.19%
Vorteil -0.711%
Kelly -1.77%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.67

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
56.85%59.16%59.13%61.25%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.551.601.601.6764.52%62.46%62.50%59.88%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Bei den letzten Quoten vor Spielbeginn schätzte Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) für Direkter Vergleich: Francisco Cerundolo (Heim): 40.83%; Alexander Blockx (Auswärts): 59.17%. Für Francisco Cerundolo (Heim) entsprach diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 2.449. 1 Wettanbieter bot eine Schlussquote über diesem Wert an; die beste betrug 2.450 und entsprach einem positiven Erwartungswert von +0.035%.

Wettanbieterquoten (65 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeim ▼AuswärtsMargeAktualisiert
PlayUp🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV +0.035%E +0.014%K +0.024%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -8.29%E -5.35%K -15.07%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-07 17:45
BetRivers🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -0.781%E -0.322%K -0.546%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -7.70%E -4.93%K -13.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-07 18:02
BetOnline.ag🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 40.10%EV -1.19%E -0.492%K -0.838%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.90%EV -4.15%E -2.56%K -6.69%G +0.000%3.1%2026-09-07 17:50
LowVig.ag🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 40.10%EV -1.19%E -0.492%K -0.838%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.90%EV -4.15%E -2.56%K -6.69%G +0.000%3.1%2026-09-07 17:50
Pinnacle🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.74%EV -2.01%E -0.836%K -1.43%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 59.26%EV -2.37%E -1.44%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.3%2026-09-07 17:46
Coolbet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.45%EV -2.01%E -0.836%K -1.43%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 59.55%EV -3.55%E -2.18%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.0%2026-09-07 09:30
Betway🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -2.01%E -0.836%K -1.43%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -5.33%E -3.33%K -8.88%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-07 17:50
TAB🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -2.01%E -0.836%K -1.43%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -8.29%E -5.35%K -15.07%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-07 17:45
BetUS🎯2.39I 41.84%NM 39.95%EV -2.41%E -1.01%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.05%EV -5.92%E -3.72%K -10.04%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-07 17:50
BoyleSports🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 40.50%EV -2.82%E -1.19%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.50%EV -4.15%E -2.56%K -6.69%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-07 16:55
FanDuel🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -2.82%E -1.19%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -5.33%E -3.33%K -8.88%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-07 17:45
betfred_uk🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -2.82%E -1.19%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -7.10%E -4.52%K -12.46%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-07 17:55
Sky Bet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -2.82%E -1.19%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -7.10%E -4.52%K -12.46%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-07 17:45
SportsBet🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 40.15%EV -3.23%E -1.36%K -2.36%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.85%EV -5.92%E -3.72%K -10.04%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-07 17:44
Unibet (UK)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -4.05%E -1.72%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -3.55%E -2.18%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-07 17:50
Winamax (DE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -4.05%E -1.72%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.15%E -2.56%K -6.69%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-07 17:50
Winamax (FR)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -4.05%E -1.72%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.15%E -2.56%K -6.69%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-07 17:50
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.05%E -1.72%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.74%E -2.94%K -7.77%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-07 13:30
LiveScore Bet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.05%E -1.72%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.33%E -3.33%K -8.88%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-07 13:30
Virgin Bet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.05%E -1.72%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.33%E -3.33%K -8.88%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-07 13:30
Unibet (NL)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.05%E -1.72%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.33%E -3.33%K -8.88%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-07 17:50
Unibet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.05%E -1.72%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.33%E -3.33%K -8.88%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-07 13:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.05%E -1.72%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.33%E -3.33%K -8.88%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-07 13:30
Grosvenor🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.05%E -1.72%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.33%E -3.33%K -8.88%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-07 13:30
Casumo🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.05%E -1.72%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.33%E -3.33%K -8.88%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-07 17:50
Unibet (SE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.05%E -1.72%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.33%E -3.33%K -8.88%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-07 17:50
ATG (SE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.05%E -1.72%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.33%E -3.33%K -8.88%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-07 13:30
betPARX🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.05%E -1.72%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.33%E -3.33%K -8.88%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-07 17:50
Svenska Spel🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.05%E -1.72%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.33%E -3.33%K -8.88%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-07 17:50
Bally Bet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.05%E -1.72%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.33%E -3.33%K -8.88%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-07 17:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.05%E -1.72%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.33%E -3.33%K -8.88%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-07 17:40
Neds🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.05%E -1.72%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.33%E -3.33%K -8.88%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-07 17:40
TABtouch🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.05%E -1.72%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.33%E -3.33%K -8.88%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-07 13:30
BetMGM🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -4.05%E -1.72%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -7.10%E -4.52%K -12.46%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-07 17:40
DraftKings🎯2.34I 42.74%NM 40.76%EV -4.46%E -1.90%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.24%EV -4.74%E -2.94%K -7.77%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-07 17:55
GTbets🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.10%EV -4.86%E -2.09%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.90%EV -7.70%E -4.93%K -13.74%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-06 01:20
ReBet🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 41.41%EV -5.27%E -2.27%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.59%EV -2.96%E -1.81%K -4.63%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-07 17:46
1xBet🎯2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -5.68%E -2.46%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -4.15%E -2.56%K -6.69%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-07 17:59
Bovada🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -6.09%E -2.65%K -4.68%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -2.37%E -1.44%K -3.65%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-07 17:43
Unibet (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -6.09%E -2.65%K -4.68%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -3.55%E -2.18%K -5.64%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-07 17:45
William Hill🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.09%E -2.65%K -4.68%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.15%E -2.56%K -6.69%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-06 01:10
theScore Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.09%E -2.65%K -4.68%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.15%E -2.56%K -6.69%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-07 17:45
BetAnything🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.09%E -2.65%K -4.68%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.15%E -2.56%K -6.69%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-07 18:00
888sport🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -6.09%E -2.65%K -4.68%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.74%E -2.94%K -7.77%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-06 01:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -6.09%E -2.65%K -4.68%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.74%E -2.94%K -7.77%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-06 01:10
888sport (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -6.09%E -2.65%K -4.68%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.74%E -2.94%K -7.77%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-06 01:10
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.09%E -2.65%K -4.68%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.33%E -3.33%K -8.88%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-07 16:50
LeoVegas🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.09%E -2.65%K -4.68%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.33%E -3.33%K -8.88%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-07 07:30
MyBookie.ag🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.09%E -2.65%K -4.68%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.33%E -3.33%K -8.88%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-07 17:54
betano_uk🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.09%E -2.65%K -4.68%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.33%E -3.33%K -8.88%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-07 18:00
Fanatics🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -6.09%E -2.65%K -4.68%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -5.92%E -3.72%K -10.04%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-07 17:50
Betr (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -6.09%E -2.65%K -4.68%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -5.92%E -3.72%K -10.04%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-07 17:45
Caesars🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -6.09%E -2.65%K -4.68%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -5.92%E -3.72%K -10.04%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-06 04:54
Paddy Power🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -6.09%E -2.65%K -4.68%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -7.10%E -4.52%K -12.46%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-07 17:45
PMU (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -6.09%E -2.65%K -4.68%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.59%EV -7.70%E -4.93%K -13.74%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-07 17:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -6.09%E -2.65%K -4.68%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -8.29%E -5.35%K -15.07%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-07 17:40
Coral🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -6.09%E -2.65%K -4.68%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -8.29%E -5.35%K -15.07%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-07 17:44
NordicBet🎯2.29I 43.67%NM 40.98%EV -6.50%E -2.84%K -5.04%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.02%EV -5.92%E -3.72%K -10.04%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-07 17:50
Betsson🎯2.29I 43.67%NM 40.98%EV -6.50%E -2.84%K -5.04%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.02%EV -5.92%E -3.72%K -10.04%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-07 17:50
NetBet (FR)🎯2.27I 44.05%NM 41.34%EV -7.31%E -3.22%K -5.76%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.66%EV -5.33%E -3.33%K -8.88%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-07 17:59
Tipico (DE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -8.13%E -3.61%K -6.50%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.15%E -2.56%K -6.69%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-07 17:50
Fliff🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.41%EV -8.13%E -3.61%K -6.50%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 58.59%EV -5.92%E -3.72%K -10.04%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-07 17:55
Marathon Bet🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 42.64%EV -9.36%E -4.21%K -7.67%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.36%EV -2.37%E -1.44%K -3.65%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-07 17:46
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -10.17%E -4.62%K -8.48%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -1.19%E -0.711%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-07 17:15
Betclic (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.80%EV -10.17%E -4.62%K -8.48%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 58.20%EV -6.51%E -4.12%K -11.23%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-07 17:54
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (7)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.54I 39.37%NM 39.23%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.77%0.3%2026-09-07 17:55
Novig◎2.56I 39.06%NM 38.90%1.63I 61.35%NM 61.10%0.4%2026-09-07 17:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.52I 39.68%NM 39.42%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.58%0.7%2026-09-07 17:55
Matchbook◎2.52I 39.68%NM 39.42%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.58%0.7%2026-09-07 17:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.52I 39.68%NM 39.42%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.58%0.7%2026-09-07 17:50
ProphetX◎2.54I 39.37%NM 38.94%1.62I 61.73%NM 61.06%1.1%2026-09-07 17:55
Smarkets◎2.52I 39.68%NM 39.13%1.62I 61.73%NM 60.87%1.4%2026-09-07 17:55