Idioma:Español
Francisco Cerundolo v Alexander Blockx
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Francisco Cerundolo (Local)
Predicción 40.83%2.45momio equitativo
EV +0.035%
Ventaja +0.014%
Kelly +0.024%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.45
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
38.75%40.84%40.87%43.15%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.202.332.352.4545.45%42.88%42.55%40.82%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Alexander Blockx (Visitante)
Predicción 59.17%1.69momio equitativo
EV -1.19%
Ventaja -0.711%
Kelly -1.77%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.67
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
56.85%59.16%59.13%61.25%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.551.601.601.6764.52%62.46%62.50%59.88%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Francisco Cerundolo (Local): 40.83%; Alexander Blockx (Visitante): 59.17%. Para Francisco Cerundolo (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 2.449. 1 corredor ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 2.450, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +0.035%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (65 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV +0.035%E +0.014%K +0.024%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -8.29%E -5.35%K -15.07%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-07 17:45 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -0.781%E -0.322%K -0.546%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -7.70%E -4.93%K -13.74%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-07 18:02 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.10%EV -1.19%E -0.492%K -0.838%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.90%EV -4.15%E -2.56%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-09-07 17:50 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.10%EV -1.19%E -0.492%K -0.838%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.90%EV -4.15%E -2.56%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-09-07 17:50 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.74%EV -2.01%E -0.836%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.26%EV -2.37%E -1.44%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-09-07 17:46 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.45%EV -2.01%E -0.836%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.55%EV -3.55%E -2.18%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-09-07 09:30 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -2.01%E -0.836%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -5.33%E -3.33%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-07 17:50 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -2.01%E -0.836%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -8.29%E -5.35%K -15.07%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-07 17:45 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.39I 41.84%NM 39.95%EV -2.41%E -1.01%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.05%EV -5.92%E -3.72%K -10.04%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-07 17:50 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.50%EV -2.82%E -1.19%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.50%EV -4.15%E -2.56%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-09-07 16:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -2.82%E -1.19%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -5.33%E -3.33%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-07 17:45 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -2.82%E -1.19%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -7.10%E -4.52%K -12.46%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-07 17:55 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -2.82%E -1.19%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -7.10%E -4.52%K -12.46%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-07 17:45 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.15%EV -3.23%E -1.36%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.85%EV -5.92%E -3.72%K -10.04%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-07 17:44 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -4.05%E -1.72%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -3.55%E -2.18%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-07 17:50 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -4.05%E -1.72%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.15%E -2.56%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-07 17:50 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -4.05%E -1.72%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.15%E -2.56%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-07 17:50 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.05%E -1.72%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.74%E -2.94%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-07 13:30 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.05%E -1.72%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.33%E -3.33%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-07 13:30 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.05%E -1.72%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.33%E -3.33%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-07 13:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.05%E -1.72%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.33%E -3.33%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-07 17:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.05%E -1.72%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.33%E -3.33%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-07 13:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.05%E -1.72%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.33%E -3.33%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-07 13:30 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.05%E -1.72%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.33%E -3.33%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-07 13:30 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.05%E -1.72%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.33%E -3.33%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-07 17:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.05%E -1.72%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.33%E -3.33%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-07 17:50 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.05%E -1.72%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.33%E -3.33%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-07 13:30 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.05%E -1.72%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.33%E -3.33%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-07 17:50 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.05%E -1.72%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.33%E -3.33%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-07 17:50 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.05%E -1.72%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.33%E -3.33%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-07 17:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.05%E -1.72%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.33%E -3.33%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-07 17:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.05%E -1.72%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.33%E -3.33%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-07 17:40 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.05%E -1.72%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.33%E -3.33%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-07 13:30 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -4.05%E -1.72%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -7.10%E -4.52%K -12.46%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-07 17:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.76%EV -4.46%E -1.90%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.24%EV -4.74%E -2.94%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-07 17:55 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.10%EV -4.86%E -2.09%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.90%EV -7.70%E -4.93%K -13.74%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-06 01:20 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.41%EV -5.27%E -2.27%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.59%EV -2.96%E -1.81%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-07 17:46 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -5.68%E -2.46%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -4.15%E -2.56%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-07 17:59 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -6.09%E -2.65%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -2.37%E -1.44%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-07 17:43 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -6.09%E -2.65%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -3.55%E -2.18%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-07 17:45 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.09%E -2.65%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.15%E -2.56%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-06 01:10 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.09%E -2.65%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.15%E -2.56%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-07 17:45 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.09%E -2.65%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.15%E -2.56%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-07 18:00 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -6.09%E -2.65%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.74%E -2.94%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-06 01:10 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -6.09%E -2.65%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.74%E -2.94%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-06 01:10 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -6.09%E -2.65%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.74%E -2.94%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-06 01:10 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.09%E -2.65%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.33%E -3.33%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-07 16:50 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.09%E -2.65%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.33%E -3.33%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-07 07:30 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.09%E -2.65%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.33%E -3.33%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-07 17:54 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.09%E -2.65%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.33%E -3.33%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-07 18:00 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -6.09%E -2.65%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -5.92%E -3.72%K -10.04%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-07 17:50 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -6.09%E -2.65%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -5.92%E -3.72%K -10.04%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-07 17:45 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -6.09%E -2.65%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -5.92%E -3.72%K -10.04%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-06 04:54 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -6.09%E -2.65%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -7.10%E -4.52%K -12.46%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-07 17:45 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -6.09%E -2.65%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.59%EV -7.70%E -4.93%K -13.74%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-07 17:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -6.09%E -2.65%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -8.29%E -5.35%K -15.07%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-07 17:40 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -6.09%E -2.65%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -8.29%E -5.35%K -15.07%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-07 17:44 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.29I 43.67%NM 40.98%EV -6.50%E -2.84%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.02%EV -5.92%E -3.72%K -10.04%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-07 17:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.29I 43.67%NM 40.98%EV -6.50%E -2.84%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.02%EV -5.92%E -3.72%K -10.04%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-07 17:50 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.34%EV -7.31%E -3.22%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.66%EV -5.33%E -3.33%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-07 17:59 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -8.13%E -3.61%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.15%E -2.56%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-07 17:50 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.41%EV -8.13%E -3.61%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.59%EV -5.92%E -3.72%K -10.04%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-07 17:55 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.64%EV -9.36%E -4.21%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.36%EV -2.37%E -1.44%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-07 17:46 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -10.17%E -4.62%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -1.19%E -0.711%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-07 17:15 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.80%EV -10.17%E -4.62%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.20%EV -6.51%E -4.12%K -11.23%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-07 17:54 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (7)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.54I 39.37%NM 39.23% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.77% | 0.3% | 2026-09-07 17:55 |
| Novig◎ | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.90% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 61.10% | 0.4% | 2026-09-07 17:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.42% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.58% | 0.7% | 2026-09-07 17:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.42% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.58% | 0.7% | 2026-09-07 17:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.42% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.58% | 0.7% | 2026-09-07 17:50 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.54I 39.37%NM 38.94% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 61.06% | 1.1% | 2026-09-07 17:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.13% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.87% | 1.4% | 2026-09-07 17:55 |