Model domyślnyŚrednia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana)

Francisco Cerundolo v Alexander Blockx

Początek: 2026-09-07 18:04 UTC

Wynik końcowy: Francisco Cerundolo 1–3 Alexander Blockx

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

65 bukmacherów (21 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana)

Francisco Cerundolo (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 40.83%2.45kurs godziwy
EV +0.035%
Przewaga +0.014%
Kelly +0.024%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 2.45

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
38.75%40.84%40.87%43.15%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.202.332.352.4545.45%42.88%42.55%40.82%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Alexander Blockx (Goście)

Prognoza 59.17%1.69kurs godziwy
EV -1.19%
Przewaga -0.711%
Kelly -1.77%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 1.67

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
56.85%59.16%59.13%61.25%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.551.601.601.6764.52%62.46%62.50%59.88%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Przy ostatnich kursach przed rozpoczęciem model Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana) szacował rynek Zwycięzca spotkania następująco: Francisco Cerundolo (Gospodarze): 40.83%; Alexander Blockx (Goście): 59.17%. Dla wyniku Francisco Cerundolo (Gospodarze) oszacowanie to odpowiadało uczciwemu kursowi dziesiętnemu 2.449. 1 bukmacher oferował kurs zamknięcia powyżej tego poziomu; najlepszy wynosił 2.450, co odpowiadało dodatniej wartości oczekiwanej +0.035%.

Kursy bukmacherskie (65 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarze ▼GościeMarżaAktualizacja
PlayUp🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV +0.035%E +0.014%K +0.024%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -8.29%E -5.35%K -15.07%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-07 17:45
BetRivers🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -0.781%E -0.322%K -0.546%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -7.70%E -4.93%K -13.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-07 18:02
BetOnline.ag🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 40.10%EV -1.19%E -0.492%K -0.838%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.90%EV -4.15%E -2.56%K -6.69%G +0.000%3.1%2026-09-07 17:50
LowVig.ag🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 40.10%EV -1.19%E -0.492%K -0.838%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.90%EV -4.15%E -2.56%K -6.69%G +0.000%3.1%2026-09-07 17:50
Pinnacle🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.74%EV -2.01%E -0.836%K -1.43%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 59.26%EV -2.37%E -1.44%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.3%2026-09-07 17:46
Coolbet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.45%EV -2.01%E -0.836%K -1.43%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 59.55%EV -3.55%E -2.18%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.0%2026-09-07 09:30
Betway🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -2.01%E -0.836%K -1.43%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -5.33%E -3.33%K -8.88%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-07 17:50
TAB🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -2.01%E -0.836%K -1.43%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -8.29%E -5.35%K -15.07%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-07 17:45
BetUS🎯2.39I 41.84%NM 39.95%EV -2.41%E -1.01%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.05%EV -5.92%E -3.72%K -10.04%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-07 17:50
BoyleSports🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 40.50%EV -2.82%E -1.19%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.50%EV -4.15%E -2.56%K -6.69%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-07 16:55
FanDuel🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -2.82%E -1.19%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -5.33%E -3.33%K -8.88%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-07 17:45
betfred_uk🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -2.82%E -1.19%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -7.10%E -4.52%K -12.46%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-07 17:55
Sky Bet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -2.82%E -1.19%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -7.10%E -4.52%K -12.46%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-07 17:45
SportsBet🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 40.15%EV -3.23%E -1.36%K -2.36%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.85%EV -5.92%E -3.72%K -10.04%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-07 17:44
Unibet (UK)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -4.05%E -1.72%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -3.55%E -2.18%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-07 17:50
Winamax (DE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -4.05%E -1.72%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.15%E -2.56%K -6.69%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-07 17:50
Winamax (FR)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -4.05%E -1.72%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.15%E -2.56%K -6.69%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-07 17:50
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.05%E -1.72%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.74%E -2.94%K -7.77%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-07 13:30
LiveScore Bet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.05%E -1.72%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.33%E -3.33%K -8.88%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-07 13:30
Virgin Bet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.05%E -1.72%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.33%E -3.33%K -8.88%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-07 13:30
Unibet (NL)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.05%E -1.72%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.33%E -3.33%K -8.88%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-07 17:50
Unibet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.05%E -1.72%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.33%E -3.33%K -8.88%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-07 13:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.05%E -1.72%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.33%E -3.33%K -8.88%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-07 13:30
Grosvenor🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.05%E -1.72%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.33%E -3.33%K -8.88%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-07 13:30
Casumo🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.05%E -1.72%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.33%E -3.33%K -8.88%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-07 17:50
Unibet (SE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.05%E -1.72%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.33%E -3.33%K -8.88%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-07 17:50
ATG (SE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.05%E -1.72%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.33%E -3.33%K -8.88%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-07 13:30
betPARX🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.05%E -1.72%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.33%E -3.33%K -8.88%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-07 17:50
Svenska Spel🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.05%E -1.72%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.33%E -3.33%K -8.88%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-07 17:50
Bally Bet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.05%E -1.72%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.33%E -3.33%K -8.88%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-07 17:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.05%E -1.72%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.33%E -3.33%K -8.88%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-07 17:40
Neds🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.05%E -1.72%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.33%E -3.33%K -8.88%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-07 17:40
TABtouch🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.05%E -1.72%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.33%E -3.33%K -8.88%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-07 13:30
BetMGM🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -4.05%E -1.72%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -7.10%E -4.52%K -12.46%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-07 17:40
DraftKings🎯2.34I 42.74%NM 40.76%EV -4.46%E -1.90%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.24%EV -4.74%E -2.94%K -7.77%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-07 17:55
GTbets🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.10%EV -4.86%E -2.09%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.90%EV -7.70%E -4.93%K -13.74%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-06 01:20
ReBet🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 41.41%EV -5.27%E -2.27%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.59%EV -2.96%E -1.81%K -4.63%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-07 17:46
1xBet🎯2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -5.68%E -2.46%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -4.15%E -2.56%K -6.69%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-07 17:59
Bovada🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -6.09%E -2.65%K -4.68%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -2.37%E -1.44%K -3.65%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-07 17:43
Unibet (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -6.09%E -2.65%K -4.68%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -3.55%E -2.18%K -5.64%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-07 17:45
William Hill🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.09%E -2.65%K -4.68%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.15%E -2.56%K -6.69%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-06 01:10
theScore Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.09%E -2.65%K -4.68%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.15%E -2.56%K -6.69%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-07 17:45
BetAnything🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.09%E -2.65%K -4.68%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.15%E -2.56%K -6.69%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-07 18:00
888sport🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -6.09%E -2.65%K -4.68%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.74%E -2.94%K -7.77%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-06 01:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -6.09%E -2.65%K -4.68%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.74%E -2.94%K -7.77%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-06 01:10
888sport (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -6.09%E -2.65%K -4.68%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.74%E -2.94%K -7.77%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-06 01:10
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.09%E -2.65%K -4.68%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.33%E -3.33%K -8.88%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-07 16:50
LeoVegas🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.09%E -2.65%K -4.68%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.33%E -3.33%K -8.88%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-07 07:30
MyBookie.ag🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.09%E -2.65%K -4.68%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.33%E -3.33%K -8.88%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-07 17:54
betano_uk🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.09%E -2.65%K -4.68%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.33%E -3.33%K -8.88%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-07 18:00
Fanatics🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -6.09%E -2.65%K -4.68%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -5.92%E -3.72%K -10.04%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-07 17:50
Betr (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -6.09%E -2.65%K -4.68%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -5.92%E -3.72%K -10.04%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-07 17:45
Caesars🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -6.09%E -2.65%K -4.68%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -5.92%E -3.72%K -10.04%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-06 04:54
Paddy Power🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -6.09%E -2.65%K -4.68%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -7.10%E -4.52%K -12.46%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-07 17:45
PMU (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -6.09%E -2.65%K -4.68%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.59%EV -7.70%E -4.93%K -13.74%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-07 17:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -6.09%E -2.65%K -4.68%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -8.29%E -5.35%K -15.07%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-07 17:40
Coral🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -6.09%E -2.65%K -4.68%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -8.29%E -5.35%K -15.07%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-07 17:44
NordicBet🎯2.29I 43.67%NM 40.98%EV -6.50%E -2.84%K -5.04%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.02%EV -5.92%E -3.72%K -10.04%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-07 17:50
Betsson🎯2.29I 43.67%NM 40.98%EV -6.50%E -2.84%K -5.04%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.02%EV -5.92%E -3.72%K -10.04%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-07 17:50
NetBet (FR)🎯2.27I 44.05%NM 41.34%EV -7.31%E -3.22%K -5.76%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.66%EV -5.33%E -3.33%K -8.88%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-07 17:59
Tipico (DE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -8.13%E -3.61%K -6.50%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.15%E -2.56%K -6.69%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-07 17:50
Fliff🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.41%EV -8.13%E -3.61%K -6.50%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 58.59%EV -5.92%E -3.72%K -10.04%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-07 17:55
Marathon Bet🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 42.64%EV -9.36%E -4.21%K -7.67%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.36%EV -2.37%E -1.44%K -3.65%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-07 17:46
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -10.17%E -4.62%K -8.48%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -1.19%E -0.711%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-07 17:15
Betclic (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.80%EV -10.17%E -4.62%K -8.48%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 58.20%EV -6.51%E -4.12%K -11.23%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-07 17:54
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (7)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeMarża ▲Aktualizacja
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.54I 39.37%NM 39.23%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.77%0.3%2026-09-07 17:55
Novig◎2.56I 39.06%NM 38.90%1.63I 61.35%NM 61.10%0.4%2026-09-07 17:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.52I 39.68%NM 39.42%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.58%0.7%2026-09-07 17:55
Matchbook◎2.52I 39.68%NM 39.42%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.58%0.7%2026-09-07 17:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.52I 39.68%NM 39.42%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.58%0.7%2026-09-07 17:50
ProphetX◎2.54I 39.37%NM 38.94%1.62I 61.73%NM 61.06%1.1%2026-09-07 17:55
Smarkets◎2.52I 39.68%NM 39.13%1.62I 61.73%NM 60.87%1.4%2026-09-07 17:55