Language:English
Fabian Marozsan v Michael Zheng
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Fabian Marozsan (Local)
Prediction 39.88%2.51fair odd
EV +0.487%
Edge +0.193%
Kelly +0.321%
Growth +0.002%
assuming max odds 2.52
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.93%40.21%39.85%44.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.102.392.402.5247.62%41.87%41.67%39.68%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Michael Zheng (Visit)
Prediction 60.12%1.66fair odd
EV +0.407%
Edge +0.244%
Kelly +0.608%
Growth +0.002%
assuming max odds 1.67
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
55.70%59.79%60.15%62.07%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.531.581.571.6765.36%63.44%63.69%59.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Fabian Marozsan (Local): 39.88%; Michael Zheng (Visit): 60.12%. For Fabian Marozsan (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.51. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.52, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.487%.
Sportsbook Odds (64 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -16.26%E -7.74%K -14.78%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV +0.407%E +0.244%K +0.608%G +0.002% | 7.5% | 2026-09-01 08:04 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 40.00%EV -3.10%E -1.28%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.00%EV -2.60%E -1.60%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-09-02 15:45 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -4.30%E -1.79%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -2.60%E -1.60%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-09-02 18:25 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -4.30%E -1.79%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -2.60%E -1.60%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-09-02 18:25 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -8.29%E -3.60%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -2.60%E -1.60%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-02 14:31 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -8.29%E -3.60%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -2.60%E -1.60%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-02 18:25 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -10.28%E -4.57%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -2.60%E -1.60%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-02 18:20 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -8.29%E -3.60%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -3.20%E -1.99%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-02 14:30 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -8.29%E -3.60%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -3.20%E -1.99%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-02 14:30 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -8.29%E -3.60%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -3.20%E -1.99%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-02 14:30 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.51%EV -2.30%E -0.940%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.49%EV -3.80%E -2.38%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-09-02 09:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.30%E -1.79%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.80%E -2.38%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-02 08:25 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.30%E -1.79%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.80%E -2.38%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-02 18:10 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.55%EV -3.10%E -1.28%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.45%EV -4.40%E -2.77%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-02 18:00 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.65%EV -3.50%E -1.45%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.35%EV -4.40%E -2.77%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-02 14:40 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.30%E -1.79%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.40%E -2.77%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-02 18:15 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.30%E -1.79%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.40%E -2.77%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-02 04:45 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.39I 41.84%NM 39.95%EV -4.70%E -1.97%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.05%EV -4.40%E -2.77%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-02 18:00 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -8.29%E -3.60%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -4.40%E -2.77%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-01 07:57 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.40%EV -3.10%E -1.28%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.60%EV -5.00%E -3.17%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-02 18:15 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.30%E -1.79%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -5.00%E -3.17%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-02 09:55 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.30%E -1.79%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -5.00%E -3.17%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-02 09:55 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.39I 41.84%NM 39.80%EV -4.70%E -1.97%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.20%EV -5.00%E -3.17%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-02 09:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.39I 41.84%NM 39.80%EV -4.70%E -1.97%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.20%EV -5.00%E -3.17%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-02 04:40 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -6.29%E -2.68%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -5.00%E -3.17%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-02 17:50 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.30%E -1.79%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.61%E -3.57%K -9.83%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-02 09:55 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.30%E -1.79%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.61%E -3.57%K -9.83%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-02 09:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.30%E -1.79%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.61%E -3.57%K -9.83%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-02 09:50 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.30%E -1.79%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.61%E -3.57%K -9.83%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-02 09:50 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.30%E -1.79%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.61%E -3.57%K -9.83%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-02 01:15 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.39I 41.84%NM 39.65%EV -4.70%E -1.97%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.35%EV -5.61%E -3.57%K -9.83%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-02 18:25 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.10%E -2.14%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.61%E -3.57%K -9.83%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-02 18:15 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.10%E -2.14%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.61%E -3.57%K -9.83%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-02 01:15 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.10%E -2.14%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.61%E -3.57%K -9.83%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-02 09:50 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.10%E -2.14%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.61%E -3.57%K -9.83%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-02 09:50 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.29%E -2.68%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.61%E -3.57%K -9.83%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-02 14:35 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.29%E -2.68%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.61%E -3.57%K -9.83%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-02 09:55 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.29%E -2.68%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.61%E -3.57%K -9.83%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-01 07:15 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -0.310%E -0.124%K -0.207%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -6.21%E -3.98%K -11.08%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-02 13:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -3.10%E -1.28%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -6.21%E -3.98%K -11.08%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-02 09:50 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -3.10%E -1.28%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -6.21%E -3.98%K -11.08%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-02 09:50 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -3.10%E -1.28%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -6.21%E -3.98%K -11.08%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-02 09:50 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -3.10%E -1.28%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -6.21%E -3.98%K -11.08%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-02 09:50 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -3.10%E -1.28%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -6.21%E -3.98%K -11.08%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-02 09:50 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -3.10%E -1.28%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -6.21%E -3.98%K -11.08%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-02 09:50 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -3.10%E -1.28%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -6.21%E -3.98%K -11.08%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-02 09:50 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -3.10%E -1.28%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -6.21%E -3.98%K -11.08%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-02 09:50 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -3.10%E -1.28%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -6.21%E -3.98%K -11.08%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-02 09:49 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -3.10%E -1.28%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -6.21%E -3.98%K -11.08%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-02 09:50 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -3.10%E -1.28%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -6.21%E -3.98%K -11.08%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-02 09:50 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -3.10%E -1.28%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -6.21%E -3.98%K -11.08%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-02 09:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -3.10%E -1.28%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -6.21%E -3.98%K -11.08%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-02 09:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -3.10%E -1.28%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -6.21%E -3.98%K -11.08%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-02 09:50 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -4.30%E -1.79%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -6.21%E -3.98%K -11.08%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-02 09:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.36I 42.37%NM 39.80%EV -5.89%E -2.50%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.20%EV -6.21%E -3.98%K -11.08%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-02 09:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.36I 42.37%NM 39.80%EV -5.89%E -2.50%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.20%EV -6.21%E -3.98%K -11.08%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-02 09:50 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -2.30%E -0.940%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -6.81%E -4.39%K -12.38%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-02 16:10 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -4.30%E -1.79%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.81%E -4.39%K -12.38%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-02 14:34 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.54%EV -5.49%E -2.32%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.46%EV -6.81%E -4.39%K -12.38%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-02 09:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.54%EV -5.49%E -2.32%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.46%EV -6.81%E -4.39%K -12.38%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-02 09:50 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -6.29%E -2.68%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -6.81%E -4.39%K -12.38%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-02 15:45 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.93%EV +0.487%E +0.193%K +0.321%G +0.002% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.07%EV -7.41%E -4.81%K -13.72%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-02 18:25 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -4.30%E -1.79%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -7.41%E -4.81%K -13.72%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-02 18:25 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -5.10%E -2.14%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -8.01%E -5.24%K -15.11%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-02 09:50 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (8)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.90% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 60.10% | 0.2% | 2026-09-02 18:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.90% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 60.10% | 0.2% | 2026-09-02 18:25 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.90% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 60.10% | 0.2% | 2026-09-02 18:25 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.57% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 60.43% | 0.3% | 2026-09-02 18:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.48I 40.32%NM 40.10% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.90% | 0.6% | 2026-09-02 18:15 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39% | 1.0% | 2026-09-02 18:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.47% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.53% | 1.3% | 2026-09-02 18:10 |
| Novig◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 39.75% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.25% | 3.1% | 2026-09-02 18:20 |