Lingua:Italiano
Fabian Marozsan v Michael Zheng
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
Testa a testa
Fabian Marozsan (Casa)
Previsione 39.88%2.51quota equa
EV +0.487%
Vantaggio +0.193%
Kelly +0.321%
Crescita +0.002%
ipotizzando la quota massima 2.52
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
37.93%40.21%39.85%44.30%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.102.392.402.5247.62%41.87%41.67%39.68%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Michael Zheng (Trasferta)
Previsione 60.12%1.66quota equa
EV +0.407%
Vantaggio +0.244%
Kelly +0.608%
Crescita +0.002%
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.67
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
55.70%59.79%60.15%62.07%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.531.581.571.6765.36%63.44%63.69%59.88%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Fabian Marozsan (Casa): 39.88%; Michael Zheng (Trasferta): 60.12%. Per Fabian Marozsan (Casa), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 2.51. 1 bookmaker offriva una quota di chiusura superiore a tale livello; la migliore era 2.52, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +0.487%.
Quote dei bookmaker (64 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta ▼ | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -16.26%E -7.74%K -14.78%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV +0.407%E +0.244%K +0.608%G +0.002% | 7.5% | 2026-09-01 08:04 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 40.00%EV -3.10%E -1.28%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.00%EV -2.60%E -1.60%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-09-02 15:45 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -4.30%E -1.79%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -2.60%E -1.60%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-09-02 18:25 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -4.30%E -1.79%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -2.60%E -1.60%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-09-02 18:25 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -8.29%E -3.60%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -2.60%E -1.60%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-02 14:31 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -8.29%E -3.60%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -2.60%E -1.60%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-02 18:25 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -10.28%E -4.57%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -2.60%E -1.60%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-02 18:20 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -8.29%E -3.60%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -3.20%E -1.99%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-02 14:30 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -8.29%E -3.60%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -3.20%E -1.99%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-02 14:30 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -8.29%E -3.60%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -3.20%E -1.99%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-02 14:30 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.51%EV -2.30%E -0.940%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.49%EV -3.80%E -2.38%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-09-02 09:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.30%E -1.79%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.80%E -2.38%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-02 08:25 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.30%E -1.79%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.80%E -2.38%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-02 18:10 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.55%EV -3.10%E -1.28%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.45%EV -4.40%E -2.77%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-02 18:00 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.65%EV -3.50%E -1.45%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.35%EV -4.40%E -2.77%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-02 14:40 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.30%E -1.79%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.40%E -2.77%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-02 18:15 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.30%E -1.79%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.40%E -2.77%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-02 04:45 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.39I 41.84%NM 39.95%EV -4.70%E -1.97%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.05%EV -4.40%E -2.77%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-02 18:00 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -8.29%E -3.60%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -4.40%E -2.77%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-01 07:57 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.40%EV -3.10%E -1.28%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.60%EV -5.00%E -3.17%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-02 18:15 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.30%E -1.79%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -5.00%E -3.17%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-02 09:55 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.30%E -1.79%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -5.00%E -3.17%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-02 09:55 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.39I 41.84%NM 39.80%EV -4.70%E -1.97%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.20%EV -5.00%E -3.17%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-02 09:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.39I 41.84%NM 39.80%EV -4.70%E -1.97%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.20%EV -5.00%E -3.17%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-02 04:40 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -6.29%E -2.68%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -5.00%E -3.17%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-02 17:50 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.30%E -1.79%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.61%E -3.57%K -9.83%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-02 09:55 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.30%E -1.79%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.61%E -3.57%K -9.83%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-02 09:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.30%E -1.79%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.61%E -3.57%K -9.83%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-02 09:50 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.30%E -1.79%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.61%E -3.57%K -9.83%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-02 09:50 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.30%E -1.79%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.61%E -3.57%K -9.83%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-02 01:15 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.39I 41.84%NM 39.65%EV -4.70%E -1.97%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.35%EV -5.61%E -3.57%K -9.83%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-02 18:25 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.10%E -2.14%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.61%E -3.57%K -9.83%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-02 18:15 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.10%E -2.14%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.61%E -3.57%K -9.83%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-02 01:15 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.10%E -2.14%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.61%E -3.57%K -9.83%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-02 09:50 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.10%E -2.14%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.61%E -3.57%K -9.83%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-02 09:50 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.29%E -2.68%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.61%E -3.57%K -9.83%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-02 14:35 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.29%E -2.68%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.61%E -3.57%K -9.83%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-02 09:55 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.29%E -2.68%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.61%E -3.57%K -9.83%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-01 07:15 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -0.310%E -0.124%K -0.207%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -6.21%E -3.98%K -11.08%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-02 13:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -3.10%E -1.28%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -6.21%E -3.98%K -11.08%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-02 09:50 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -3.10%E -1.28%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -6.21%E -3.98%K -11.08%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-02 09:50 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -3.10%E -1.28%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -6.21%E -3.98%K -11.08%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-02 09:50 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -3.10%E -1.28%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -6.21%E -3.98%K -11.08%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-02 09:50 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -3.10%E -1.28%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -6.21%E -3.98%K -11.08%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-02 09:50 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -3.10%E -1.28%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -6.21%E -3.98%K -11.08%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-02 09:50 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -3.10%E -1.28%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -6.21%E -3.98%K -11.08%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-02 09:50 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -3.10%E -1.28%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -6.21%E -3.98%K -11.08%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-02 09:50 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -3.10%E -1.28%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -6.21%E -3.98%K -11.08%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-02 09:49 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -3.10%E -1.28%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -6.21%E -3.98%K -11.08%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-02 09:50 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -3.10%E -1.28%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -6.21%E -3.98%K -11.08%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-02 09:50 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -3.10%E -1.28%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -6.21%E -3.98%K -11.08%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-02 09:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -3.10%E -1.28%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -6.21%E -3.98%K -11.08%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-02 09:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -3.10%E -1.28%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -6.21%E -3.98%K -11.08%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-02 09:50 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -4.30%E -1.79%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -6.21%E -3.98%K -11.08%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-02 09:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.36I 42.37%NM 39.80%EV -5.89%E -2.50%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.20%EV -6.21%E -3.98%K -11.08%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-02 09:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.36I 42.37%NM 39.80%EV -5.89%E -2.50%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.20%EV -6.21%E -3.98%K -11.08%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-02 09:50 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -2.30%E -0.940%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -6.81%E -4.39%K -12.38%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-02 16:10 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -4.30%E -1.79%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.81%E -4.39%K -12.38%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-02 14:34 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.54%EV -5.49%E -2.32%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.46%EV -6.81%E -4.39%K -12.38%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-02 09:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.54%EV -5.49%E -2.32%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.46%EV -6.81%E -4.39%K -12.38%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-02 09:50 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -6.29%E -2.68%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -6.81%E -4.39%K -12.38%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-02 15:45 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.93%EV +0.487%E +0.193%K +0.321%G +0.002% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.07%EV -7.41%E -4.81%K -13.72%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-02 18:25 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -4.30%E -1.79%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -7.41%E -4.81%K -13.72%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-02 18:25 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -5.10%E -2.14%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -8.01%E -5.24%K -15.11%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-02 09:50 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (8)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.90% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 60.10% | 0.2% | 2026-09-02 18:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.90% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 60.10% | 0.2% | 2026-09-02 18:25 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.90% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 60.10% | 0.2% | 2026-09-02 18:25 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.57% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 60.43% | 0.3% | 2026-09-02 18:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.48I 40.32%NM 40.10% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.90% | 0.6% | 2026-09-02 18:15 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39% | 1.0% | 2026-09-02 18:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.47% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.53% | 1.3% | 2026-09-02 18:10 |
| Novig◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 39.75% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.25% | 3.1% | 2026-09-02 18:20 |