StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Fabian Marozsan v Michael Zheng

Matchstart: 2026-09-02 18:27 UTC

Slutresultat: Fabian Marozsan 0–3 Michael Zheng

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

64 spelbolag (21 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Fabian Marozsan (Hemma)

Prognos 39.88%2.51rättvist odds
EV +0.487%
Fördel +0.193%
Kelly +0.321%
Tillväxt +0.002%

med antagandet om högsta odds 2.52

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
37.93%40.21%39.85%44.30%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.102.392.402.5247.62%41.87%41.67%39.68%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Michael Zheng (Borta)

Prognos 60.12%1.66rättvist odds
EV +0.407%
Fördel +0.244%
Kelly +0.608%
Tillväxt +0.002%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.67

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
55.70%59.79%60.15%62.07%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.531.581.571.6765.36%63.44%63.69%59.88%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Fabian Marozsan (Hemma): 39.88%; Michael Zheng (Borta): 60.12%. För Fabian Marozsan (Hemma) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 2.51. 1 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 2.52, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +0.487%.

Spelbolagsodds (64 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemmaBorta ▼MarginalUppdaterat
BoyleSports🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -16.26%E -7.74%K -14.78%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV +0.407%E +0.244%K +0.608%G +0.002%7.5%2026-09-01 08:04
Pinnacle🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 40.00%EV -3.10%E -1.28%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 60.00%EV -2.60%E -1.60%K -4.19%G +0.000%2.9%2026-09-02 15:45
BetOnline.ag🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -4.30%E -1.79%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -2.60%E -1.60%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.4%2026-09-02 18:25
LowVig.ag🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -4.30%E -1.79%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -2.60%E -1.60%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.4%2026-09-02 18:25
William Hill🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -8.29%E -3.60%K -6.37%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -2.60%E -1.60%K -4.19%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-02 14:31
BetAnything🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -8.29%E -3.60%K -6.37%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -2.60%E -1.60%K -4.19%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-02 18:25
Fanatics🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -10.28%E -4.57%K -8.22%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -2.60%E -1.60%K -4.19%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-02 18:20
888sport🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -8.29%E -3.60%K -6.37%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -3.20%E -1.99%K -5.25%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-02 14:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -8.29%E -3.60%K -6.37%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -3.20%E -1.99%K -5.25%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-02 14:30
888sport (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -8.29%E -3.60%K -6.37%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -3.20%E -1.99%K -5.25%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-02 14:30
Winamax (DE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.51%EV -2.30%E -0.940%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.49%EV -3.80%E -2.38%K -6.34%G +0.000%3.3%2026-09-02 09:55
Betway🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.30%E -1.79%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.80%E -2.38%K -6.34%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-02 08:25
Coolbet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.30%E -1.79%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.80%E -2.38%K -6.34%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-02 18:10
Betclic (FR)🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 39.55%EV -3.10%E -1.28%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.45%EV -4.40%E -2.77%K -7.46%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-02 18:00
ReBet🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 39.65%EV -3.50%E -1.45%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.35%EV -4.40%E -2.77%K -7.46%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-02 14:40
Bovada🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.30%E -1.79%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.40%E -2.77%K -7.46%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-02 18:15
FanDuel🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.30%E -1.79%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.40%E -2.77%K -7.46%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-02 04:45
BetUS🎯2.39I 41.84%NM 39.95%EV -4.70%E -1.97%K -3.38%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.05%EV -4.40%E -2.77%K -7.46%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-02 18:00
Caesars🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -8.29%E -3.60%K -6.37%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -4.40%E -2.77%K -7.46%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-01 07:57
GTbets🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 39.40%EV -3.10%E -1.28%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.60%EV -5.00%E -3.17%K -8.63%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-02 18:15
Winamax (FR)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.30%E -1.79%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -5.00%E -3.17%K -8.63%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-02 09:55
Unibet (UK)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.30%E -1.79%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -5.00%E -3.17%K -8.63%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-02 09:55
MyBookie.ag🎯2.39I 41.84%NM 39.80%EV -4.70%E -1.97%K -3.38%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.20%EV -5.00%E -3.17%K -8.63%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-02 09:55
SportsBet🎯2.39I 41.84%NM 39.80%EV -4.70%E -1.97%K -3.38%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.20%EV -5.00%E -3.17%K -8.63%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-02 04:40
Betr (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -6.29%E -2.68%K -4.66%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -5.00%E -3.17%K -8.63%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-02 17:50
Unibet (FR)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.30%E -1.79%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.61%E -3.57%K -9.83%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-02 09:55
theScore Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.30%E -1.79%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.61%E -3.57%K -9.83%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-02 09:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.30%E -1.79%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.61%E -3.57%K -9.83%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-02 09:50
Neds🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.30%E -1.79%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.61%E -3.57%K -9.83%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-02 09:50
Paddy Power🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.30%E -1.79%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.61%E -3.57%K -9.83%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-02 01:15
Marathon Bet🎯2.39I 41.84%NM 39.65%EV -4.70%E -1.97%K -3.38%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.35%EV -5.61%E -3.57%K -9.83%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-02 18:25
DraftKings🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.10%E -2.14%K -3.69%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.61%E -3.57%K -9.83%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-02 18:15
Sky Bet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.10%E -2.14%K -3.69%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.61%E -3.57%K -9.83%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-02 01:15
betfred_uk🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.10%E -2.14%K -3.69%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.61%E -3.57%K -9.83%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-02 09:50
betano_uk🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.10%E -2.14%K -3.69%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.61%E -3.57%K -9.83%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-02 09:50
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.29%E -2.68%K -4.66%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.61%E -3.57%K -9.83%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-02 14:35
LeoVegas🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.29%E -2.68%K -4.66%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.61%E -3.57%K -9.83%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-02 09:55
Tipico (DE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.29%E -2.68%K -4.66%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.61%E -3.57%K -9.83%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-01 07:15
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -0.310%E -0.124%K -0.207%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -6.21%E -3.98%K -11.08%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-02 13:00
Unibet🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -3.10%E -1.28%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -6.21%E -3.98%K -11.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-02 09:50
LiveScore Bet🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -3.10%E -1.28%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -6.21%E -3.98%K -11.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-02 09:50
TABtouch🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -3.10%E -1.28%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -6.21%E -3.98%K -11.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-02 09:50
Casumo🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -3.10%E -1.28%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -6.21%E -3.98%K -11.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-02 09:50
Grosvenor🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -3.10%E -1.28%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -6.21%E -3.98%K -11.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-02 09:50
Unibet (NL)🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -3.10%E -1.28%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -6.21%E -3.98%K -11.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-02 09:50
Virgin Bet🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -3.10%E -1.28%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -6.21%E -3.98%K -11.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-02 09:50
Svenska Spel🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -3.10%E -1.28%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -6.21%E -3.98%K -11.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-02 09:50
Bally Bet🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -3.10%E -1.28%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -6.21%E -3.98%K -11.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-02 09:49
ATG (SE)🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -3.10%E -1.28%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -6.21%E -3.98%K -11.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-02 09:50
betPARX🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -3.10%E -1.28%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -6.21%E -3.98%K -11.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-02 09:50
BetRivers🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -3.10%E -1.28%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -6.21%E -3.98%K -11.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-02 09:50
Unibet (SE)🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -3.10%E -1.28%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -6.21%E -3.98%K -11.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-02 09:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -3.10%E -1.28%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -6.21%E -3.98%K -11.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-02 09:50
BetMGM🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -4.30%E -1.79%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -6.21%E -3.98%K -11.08%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-02 09:50
NordicBet🎯2.36I 42.37%NM 39.80%EV -5.89%E -2.50%K -4.33%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.20%EV -6.21%E -3.98%K -11.08%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-02 09:55
Betsson🎯2.36I 42.37%NM 39.80%EV -5.89%E -2.50%K -4.33%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.20%EV -6.21%E -3.98%K -11.08%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-02 09:50
PlayUp🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -2.30%E -0.940%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -6.81%E -4.39%K -12.38%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-02 16:10
TAB🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -4.30%E -1.79%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.81%E -4.39%K -12.38%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-02 14:34
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 39.54%EV -5.49%E -2.32%K -4.01%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.46%EV -6.81%E -4.39%K -12.38%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-02 09:50
Coral🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 39.54%EV -5.49%E -2.32%K -4.01%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.46%EV -6.81%E -4.39%K -12.38%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-02 09:50
NetBet (FR)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -6.29%E -2.68%K -4.66%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -6.81%E -4.39%K -12.38%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-02 15:45
1xBet🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 37.93%EV +0.487%E +0.193%K +0.321%G +0.002%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.07%EV -7.41%E -4.81%K -13.72%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-02 18:25
Fliff🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -4.30%E -1.79%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -7.41%E -4.81%K -13.72%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-02 18:25
PMU (FR)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -5.10%E -2.14%K -3.69%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -8.01%E -5.24%K -15.11%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-02 09:50
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (8)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.50I 40.00%NM 39.90%1.66I 60.24%NM 60.10%0.2%2026-09-02 18:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.50I 40.00%NM 39.90%1.66I 60.24%NM 60.10%0.2%2026-09-02 18:25
Matchbook◎2.50I 40.00%NM 39.90%1.66I 60.24%NM 60.10%0.2%2026-09-02 18:25
ProphetX◎2.52I 39.68%NM 39.57%1.65I 60.61%NM 60.43%0.3%2026-09-02 18:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.48I 40.32%NM 40.10%1.66I 60.24%NM 59.90%0.6%2026-09-02 18:15
Kalshi◎2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%1.0%2026-09-02 18:25
Smarkets◎2.50I 40.00%NM 39.47%1.63I 61.35%NM 60.53%1.3%2026-09-02 18:10
Novig◎2.44I 40.98%NM 39.75%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.25%3.1%2026-09-02 18:20