Język:Polski
Fabian Marozsan v Michael Zheng
Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →
Zwycięzca spotkania
Fabian Marozsan (Gospodarze)
Prognoza 39.88%2.51kurs godziwy
EV +0.487%
Przewaga +0.193%
Kelly +0.321%
Wzrost +0.002%
przy maksymalnym kursie 2.52
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
37.93%40.21%39.85%44.30%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.102.392.402.5247.62%41.87%41.67%39.68%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Michael Zheng (Goście)
Prognoza 60.12%1.66kurs godziwy
EV +0.407%
Przewaga +0.244%
Kelly +0.608%
Wzrost +0.002%
przy maksymalnym kursie 1.67
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
55.70%59.79%60.15%62.07%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.531.581.571.6765.36%63.44%63.69%59.88%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Przy ostatnich kursach przed rozpoczęciem model Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana) szacował rynek Zwycięzca spotkania następująco: Fabian Marozsan (Gospodarze): 39.88%; Michael Zheng (Goście): 60.12%. Dla wyniku Fabian Marozsan (Gospodarze) oszacowanie to odpowiadało uczciwemu kursowi dziesiętnemu 2.51. 1 bukmacher oferował kurs zamknięcia powyżej tego poziomu; najlepszy wynosił 2.52, co odpowiadało dodatniej wartości oczekiwanej +0.487%.
Kursy bukmacherskie (64 bukmacherów)
Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.
| Bukmacher | Gospodarze | Goście ▼ | Marża | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -16.26%E -7.74%K -14.78%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV +0.407%E +0.244%K +0.608%G +0.002% | 7.5% | 2026-09-01 08:04 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 40.00%EV -3.10%E -1.28%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.00%EV -2.60%E -1.60%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-09-02 15:45 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -4.30%E -1.79%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -2.60%E -1.60%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-09-02 18:25 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -4.30%E -1.79%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -2.60%E -1.60%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-09-02 18:25 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -8.29%E -3.60%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -2.60%E -1.60%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-02 14:31 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -8.29%E -3.60%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -2.60%E -1.60%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-02 18:25 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -10.28%E -4.57%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -2.60%E -1.60%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-02 18:20 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -8.29%E -3.60%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -3.20%E -1.99%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-02 14:30 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -8.29%E -3.60%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -3.20%E -1.99%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-02 14:30 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -8.29%E -3.60%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -3.20%E -1.99%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-02 14:30 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.51%EV -2.30%E -0.940%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.49%EV -3.80%E -2.38%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-09-02 09:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.30%E -1.79%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.80%E -2.38%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-02 08:25 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.30%E -1.79%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.80%E -2.38%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-02 18:10 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.55%EV -3.10%E -1.28%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.45%EV -4.40%E -2.77%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-02 18:00 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.65%EV -3.50%E -1.45%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.35%EV -4.40%E -2.77%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-02 14:40 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.30%E -1.79%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.40%E -2.77%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-02 18:15 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.30%E -1.79%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.40%E -2.77%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-02 04:45 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.39I 41.84%NM 39.95%EV -4.70%E -1.97%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.05%EV -4.40%E -2.77%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-02 18:00 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -8.29%E -3.60%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -4.40%E -2.77%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-01 07:57 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.40%EV -3.10%E -1.28%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.60%EV -5.00%E -3.17%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-02 18:15 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.30%E -1.79%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -5.00%E -3.17%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-02 09:55 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.30%E -1.79%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -5.00%E -3.17%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-02 09:55 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.39I 41.84%NM 39.80%EV -4.70%E -1.97%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.20%EV -5.00%E -3.17%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-02 09:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.39I 41.84%NM 39.80%EV -4.70%E -1.97%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.20%EV -5.00%E -3.17%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-02 04:40 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -6.29%E -2.68%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -5.00%E -3.17%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-02 17:50 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.30%E -1.79%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.61%E -3.57%K -9.83%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-02 09:55 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.30%E -1.79%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.61%E -3.57%K -9.83%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-02 09:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.30%E -1.79%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.61%E -3.57%K -9.83%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-02 09:50 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.30%E -1.79%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.61%E -3.57%K -9.83%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-02 09:50 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.30%E -1.79%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.61%E -3.57%K -9.83%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-02 01:15 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.39I 41.84%NM 39.65%EV -4.70%E -1.97%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.35%EV -5.61%E -3.57%K -9.83%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-02 18:25 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.10%E -2.14%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.61%E -3.57%K -9.83%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-02 18:15 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.10%E -2.14%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.61%E -3.57%K -9.83%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-02 01:15 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.10%E -2.14%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.61%E -3.57%K -9.83%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-02 09:50 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.10%E -2.14%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.61%E -3.57%K -9.83%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-02 09:50 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.29%E -2.68%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.61%E -3.57%K -9.83%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-02 14:35 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.29%E -2.68%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.61%E -3.57%K -9.83%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-02 09:55 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.29%E -2.68%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.61%E -3.57%K -9.83%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-01 07:15 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -0.310%E -0.124%K -0.207%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -6.21%E -3.98%K -11.08%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-02 13:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -3.10%E -1.28%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -6.21%E -3.98%K -11.08%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-02 09:50 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -3.10%E -1.28%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -6.21%E -3.98%K -11.08%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-02 09:50 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -3.10%E -1.28%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -6.21%E -3.98%K -11.08%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-02 09:50 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -3.10%E -1.28%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -6.21%E -3.98%K -11.08%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-02 09:50 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -3.10%E -1.28%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -6.21%E -3.98%K -11.08%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-02 09:50 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -3.10%E -1.28%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -6.21%E -3.98%K -11.08%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-02 09:50 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -3.10%E -1.28%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -6.21%E -3.98%K -11.08%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-02 09:50 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -3.10%E -1.28%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -6.21%E -3.98%K -11.08%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-02 09:50 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -3.10%E -1.28%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -6.21%E -3.98%K -11.08%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-02 09:49 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -3.10%E -1.28%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -6.21%E -3.98%K -11.08%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-02 09:50 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -3.10%E -1.28%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -6.21%E -3.98%K -11.08%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-02 09:50 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -3.10%E -1.28%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -6.21%E -3.98%K -11.08%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-02 09:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -3.10%E -1.28%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -6.21%E -3.98%K -11.08%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-02 09:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -3.10%E -1.28%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -6.21%E -3.98%K -11.08%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-02 09:50 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -4.30%E -1.79%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -6.21%E -3.98%K -11.08%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-02 09:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.36I 42.37%NM 39.80%EV -5.89%E -2.50%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.20%EV -6.21%E -3.98%K -11.08%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-02 09:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.36I 42.37%NM 39.80%EV -5.89%E -2.50%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.20%EV -6.21%E -3.98%K -11.08%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-02 09:50 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -2.30%E -0.940%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -6.81%E -4.39%K -12.38%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-02 16:10 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -4.30%E -1.79%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.81%E -4.39%K -12.38%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-02 14:34 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.54%EV -5.49%E -2.32%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.46%EV -6.81%E -4.39%K -12.38%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-02 09:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.54%EV -5.49%E -2.32%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.46%EV -6.81%E -4.39%K -12.38%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-02 09:50 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -6.29%E -2.68%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -6.81%E -4.39%K -12.38%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-02 15:45 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.93%EV +0.487%E +0.193%K +0.321%G +0.002% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.07%EV -7.41%E -4.81%K -13.72%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-02 18:25 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -4.30%E -1.79%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -7.41%E -4.81%K -13.72%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-02 18:25 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -5.10%E -2.14%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -8.01%E -5.24%K -15.11%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-02 09:50 |
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału
Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.
Giełdy zakładów (8)
| Bukmacher | Gospodarze | Goście | Marża ▲ | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.90% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 60.10% | 0.2% | 2026-09-02 18:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.90% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 60.10% | 0.2% | 2026-09-02 18:25 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.90% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 60.10% | 0.2% | 2026-09-02 18:25 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.57% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 60.43% | 0.3% | 2026-09-02 18:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.48I 40.32%NM 40.10% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.90% | 0.6% | 2026-09-02 18:15 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39% | 1.0% | 2026-09-02 18:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.47% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.53% | 1.3% | 2026-09-02 18:10 |
| Novig◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 39.75% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.25% | 3.1% | 2026-09-02 18:20 |