Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Dino Prizmic v Tommy Paul

2026-09-02 15:00 UTC — ATP US Open

Head to Head

48 sportsbooks (14 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Dino Prizmic (Local)

Prediction 24.86%4.02fair odd
EV +4.66%
Edge +1.11%
Kelly +1.45%
Growth +0.068%

assuming max odds 4.21

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.43%24.89%24.90%26.12%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.483.783.754.2128.74%26.48%26.67%23.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Tommy Paul (Visit)

Prediction 75.14%1.33fair odd
EV -3.07%
Edge -2.38%
Kelly -10.59%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.29

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
73.88%75.11%75.10%77.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.201.261.261.2983.33%79.62%79.37%77.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Dino Prizmic (Local): 24.86%; Tommy Paul (Visit): 75.14%. For Dino Prizmic (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.02. 2 bookmakers offer odds above that level; the best available odds are 4.21, producing a positive expected value of +4.66%.

Sportsbook Odds (48 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯4.21I 23.75%NM 23.45%EV +4.66%E +1.11%K +1.45%G +0.068%1.29I 77.52%NM 76.55%EV -3.07%E -2.38%K -10.59%G +0.000%1.3%2026-08-30 22:05
SportsBet🎯4.15I 24.10%NM 22.43%EV +3.17%E +0.765%K +1.01%G +0.032%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.57%EV -9.83%E -8.19%K -49.17%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-30 21:45
Coolbet🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 24.24%EV -0.556%E -0.139%K -0.185%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 75.76%EV -3.82%E -2.99%K -13.65%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-30 23:10
Betway🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -0.556%E -0.139%K -0.185%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -6.08%E -4.86%K -24.30%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-30 23:55
888sport🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -0.556%E -0.139%K -0.185%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -6.08%E -4.86%K -24.30%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-30 23:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -0.556%E -0.139%K -0.185%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -6.08%E -4.86%K -24.30%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-31 00:00
888sport (SE)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -0.556%E -0.139%K -0.185%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -6.08%E -4.86%K -24.30%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-31 00:00
Bovada🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -3.04%E -0.780%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -4.57%E -3.60%K -16.94%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-31 00:19
BetMGM🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -3.04%E -0.780%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -6.08%E -4.86%K -24.30%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-31 01:26
Betr (AU)🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -4.29%E -1.11%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -6.08%E -4.86%K -24.30%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-31 00:25
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -4.29%E -1.11%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -6.08%E -4.86%K -24.30%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-31 00:20
Marathon Bet🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -5.53%E -1.45%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.10%EV -5.32%E -4.23%K -20.48%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-30 22:00
Fanatics🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -5.53%E -1.45%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.10%EV -5.32%E -4.23%K -20.48%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-30 21:50
Neds🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -5.53%E -1.45%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.10%EV -5.32%E -4.23%K -20.48%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-30 22:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -5.53%E -1.45%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.10%EV -5.32%E -4.23%K -20.48%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-30 22:00
Tipico (DE)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -5.53%E -1.45%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -6.08%E -4.86%K -24.30%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-30 21:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -5.53%E -1.45%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -6.08%E -4.86%K -24.30%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-30 22:00
Coral🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -5.53%E -1.45%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -6.08%E -4.86%K -24.30%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-30 22:00
Winamax (DE)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.45%EV -5.53%E -1.45%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 75.55%EV -7.58%E -6.16%K -32.95%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-30 21:15
Unibet🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -6.77%E -1.81%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -4.57%E -3.60%K -16.94%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-30 20:40
Virgin Bet🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -6.77%E -1.81%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -4.57%E -3.60%K -16.94%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-30 20:40
LiveScore Bet🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -6.77%E -1.81%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -4.57%E -3.60%K -16.94%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-30 20:40
Casumo🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -6.77%E -1.81%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -4.57%E -3.60%K -16.94%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-30 20:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -6.77%E -1.81%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -4.57%E -3.60%K -16.94%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-30 20:40
Unibet (NL)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -6.77%E -1.81%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -4.57%E -3.60%K -16.94%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-30 20:40
BetRivers🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -6.77%E -1.81%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -4.57%E -3.60%K -16.94%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-30 20:40
Unibet (SE)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -6.77%E -1.81%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -4.57%E -3.60%K -16.94%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-30 20:40
Grosvenor🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -6.77%E -1.81%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -4.57%E -3.60%K -16.94%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-30 20:40
TABtouch🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -6.77%E -1.81%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -4.57%E -3.60%K -16.94%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-30 20:40
ATG (SE)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -6.77%E -1.81%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -4.57%E -3.60%K -16.94%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-30 20:40
betPARX🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -6.77%E -1.81%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -4.57%E -3.60%K -16.94%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-30 20:40
Svenska Spel🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -6.77%E -1.81%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -4.57%E -3.60%K -16.94%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-30 20:40
Bally Bet🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -6.77%E -1.81%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -4.57%E -3.60%K -16.94%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-30 20:45
Hard Rock Bet🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -6.77%E -1.81%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -4.57%E -3.60%K -16.94%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-30 21:30
PlayUp🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -6.77%E -1.81%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.08%E -4.86%K -24.30%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-30 23:55
betfred_uk🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -6.77%E -1.81%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.08%E -4.86%K -24.30%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-30 20:55
theScore Bet🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -6.77%E -1.81%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.08%E -4.86%K -24.30%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-30 21:45
GTbets🎯3.74I 26.74%NM 25.50%EV -7.02%E -1.88%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.50%EV -3.82%E -2.99%K -13.65%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-30 20:45
Unibet (UK)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -8.01%E -2.17%K -2.97%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -6.08%E -4.86%K -24.30%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-30 21:45
PMU (FR)🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.36%EV -9.26%E -2.54%K -3.49%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 74.64%EV -6.83%E -5.51%K -28.45%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-30 20:40
DraftKings🎯3.62I 27.62%NM 26.12%EV -10.00%E -2.76%K -3.82%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.88%EV -3.82%E -2.99%K -13.65%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-30 21:45
TAB🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -10.50%E -2.92%K -4.04%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -5.32%E -4.23%K -20.48%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-30 23:55
LeoVegas🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.62%EV -10.50%E -2.92%K -4.04%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 74.38%EV -6.83%E -5.51%K -28.45%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-30 22:40
MyBookie.ag🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.62%EV -10.50%E -2.92%K -4.04%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 74.38%EV -6.83%E -5.51%K -28.45%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-30 21:55
Betclic (FR)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.00%EV -12.99%E -3.71%K -5.19%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 74.00%EV -7.58%E -6.16%K -32.95%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-30 21:49
Unibet (FR)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.00%EV -12.99%E -3.71%K -5.19%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 74.00%EV -7.58%E -6.16%K -32.95%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-30 21:45
Winamax (FR)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -12.99%E -3.71%K -5.19%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 74.47%EV -9.83%E -8.19%K -49.17%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-30 21:50
ReBet🎯3.48I 28.74%NM 26.11%EV -13.48%E -3.87%K -5.44%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 73.89%EV -7.58%E -6.16%K -32.95%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-30 21:45
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi4.17I 23.98%NM 24.18%1.33I 75.19%NM 75.82%-0.8%2026-08-31 00:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%5.0%2026-08-31 00:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%5.0%2026-08-31 00:55
Matchbook4.10I 24.39%NM 22.35%1.18I 84.75%NM 77.65%9.1%2026-08-31 01:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.10I 24.39%NM 22.20%1.17I 85.47%NM 77.80%9.9%2026-08-30 23:35
Smarkets3.30I 30.30%NM 26.83%1.21I 82.64%NM 73.17%12.9%2026-08-30 21:50