Language:English
Dino Prizmic v Tommy Paul
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Dino Prizmic (Local)
Prediction 19.91%5.02fair odd
EV +9.50%
Edge +1.73%
Kelly +2.11%
Growth +0.200%
assuming max odds 5.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
17.29%20.06%19.45%22.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.004.855.005.5025.00%20.60%20.00%18.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Tommy Paul (Visit)
Prediction 80.09%1.25fair odd
EV -2.29%
Edge -1.88%
Kelly -10.40%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.22
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
77.22%79.94%80.55%82.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.141.181.171.2287.72%84.97%85.47%81.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Dino Prizmic (Local): 19.91%; Tommy Paul (Visit): 80.09%. For Dino Prizmic (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.02. 22 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +9.50%.
Sportsbook Odds (62 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betway🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV +9.50%E +1.73%K +2.11%G +0.200% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -7.89%E -6.86%K -52.63%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-02 23:47 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.48%EV +4.52%E +0.861%K +1.06%G +0.048% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 81.52%EV -4.69%E -3.94%K -24.69%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-09-02 21:44 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 5.24I 19.08%NM 18.38%EV +4.32%E +0.824%K +1.02%G +0.044% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 81.62%EV -5.49%E -4.65%K -30.51%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-02 23:45 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 5.24I 19.08%NM 18.38%EV +4.32%E +0.824%K +1.02%G +0.044% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 81.62%EV -5.49%E -4.65%K -30.51%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-02 23:45 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV +3.52%E +0.678%K +0.839%G +0.030% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%EV -6.29%E -5.38%K -37.02%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-02 14:26 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 5.13I 19.49%NM 19.09%EV +2.13%E +0.415%K +0.516%G +0.011% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 80.91%EV -3.09%E -2.55%K -14.71%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-09-02 23:45 |
| Unibet🎯 | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV +1.53%E +0.301%K +0.374%G +0.006% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -6.29%E -5.38%K -37.02%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-02 10:45 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV +1.53%E +0.301%K +0.374%G +0.006% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -6.29%E -5.38%K -37.02%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-02 10:45 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV +1.53%E +0.301%K +0.374%G +0.006% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -6.29%E -5.38%K -37.02%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-02 10:45 |
| Casumo🎯 | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV +1.53%E +0.301%K +0.374%G +0.006% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -6.29%E -5.38%K -37.02%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-02 10:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV +1.53%E +0.301%K +0.374%G +0.006% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -6.29%E -5.38%K -37.02%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-02 10:45 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV +1.53%E +0.301%K +0.374%G +0.006% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -6.29%E -5.38%K -37.02%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-02 10:45 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV +1.53%E +0.301%K +0.374%G +0.006% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -6.29%E -5.38%K -37.02%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-02 10:45 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV +1.53%E +0.301%K +0.374%G +0.006% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -6.29%E -5.38%K -37.02%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-02 10:45 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV +1.53%E +0.301%K +0.374%G +0.006% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -6.29%E -5.38%K -37.02%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-02 10:45 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV +1.53%E +0.301%K +0.374%G +0.006% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -6.29%E -5.38%K -37.02%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-02 10:45 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV +1.53%E +0.301%K +0.374%G +0.006% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -6.29%E -5.38%K -37.02%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-02 10:45 |
| betPARX🎯 | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV +1.53%E +0.301%K +0.374%G +0.006% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -6.29%E -5.38%K -37.02%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-02 10:45 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV +1.53%E +0.301%K +0.374%G +0.006% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -6.29%E -5.38%K -37.02%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-02 10:45 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV +1.53%E +0.301%K +0.374%G +0.006% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -6.29%E -5.38%K -37.02%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-02 10:49 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV +1.53%E +0.301%K +0.374%G +0.006% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -6.29%E -5.38%K -37.02%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-02 14:25 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 5.05I 19.80%NM 18.94%EV +0.537%E +0.106%K +0.133%G +0.001% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 81.06%EV -5.49%E -4.65%K -30.51%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-02 23:35 |
| Bovada🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -0.458%E -0.092%K -0.114%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -5.49%E -4.65%K -30.51%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-02 21:45 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -0.458%E -0.092%K -0.114%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -6.29%E -5.38%K -37.02%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-02 23:46 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -0.458%E -0.092%K -0.114%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -6.29%E -5.38%K -37.02%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-02 10:50 |
| Neds🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -0.458%E -0.092%K -0.114%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -6.29%E -5.38%K -37.02%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-02 21:45 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -0.458%E -0.092%K -0.114%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -6.29%E -5.38%K -37.02%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-02 21:45 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -0.458%E -0.092%K -0.114%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -6.29%E -5.38%K -37.02%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-02 10:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -0.458%E -0.092%K -0.114%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -6.29%E -5.38%K -37.02%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-02 14:25 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -0.458%E -0.092%K -0.114%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -6.29%E -5.38%K -37.02%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-02 14:25 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -0.458%E -0.092%K -0.114%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -7.09%E -6.12%K -44.34%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-02 23:46 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -0.458%E -0.092%K -0.114%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -7.09%E -6.12%K -44.34%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-02 21:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -0.458%E -0.092%K -0.114%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -7.89%E -6.86%K -52.63%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-02 21:45 |
| Coral🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -0.458%E -0.092%K -0.114%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -7.89%E -6.86%K -52.63%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-02 21:45 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -2.45%E -0.500%K -0.628%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -5.49%E -4.65%K -30.51%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-02 23:20 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.87%EV -2.45%E -0.500%K -0.628%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.13%EV -8.70%E -7.63%K -62.11%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-02 10:45 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.44%EV -3.44%E -0.710%K -0.895%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.56%EV -6.29%E -5.38%K -37.02%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-02 23:46 |
| BetUS🎯 | 4.81I 20.79%NM 19.70%EV -4.24%E -0.882%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.30%EV -5.49%E -4.65%K -30.51%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-02 23:20 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -4.44%E -0.925%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -5.49%E -4.65%K -30.51%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-02 21:45 |
| TAB🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV -4.44%E -0.925%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -6.29%E -5.38%K -37.02%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-02 23:46 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV -4.44%E -0.925%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -6.29%E -5.38%K -37.02%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-02 23:24 |
| Fliff🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.19%EV -4.44%E -0.925%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 80.81%EV -8.70%E -7.63%K -62.11%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-02 23:45 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -5.44%E -1.14%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -5.49%E -4.65%K -30.51%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-02 23:45 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -5.44%E -1.14%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -5.49%E -4.65%K -30.51%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-02 21:45 |
| 888sport🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -5.44%E -1.14%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.51%EV -7.89%E -6.86%K -52.63%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-02 23:45 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -5.44%E -1.14%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.51%EV -7.89%E -6.86%K -52.63%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-02 23:45 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -5.44%E -1.14%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.51%EV -7.89%E -6.86%K -52.63%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-02 23:45 |
| William Hill🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -5.44%E -1.14%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.51%EV -7.89%E -6.86%K -52.63%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-02 23:45 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.96%EV -8.42%E -1.83%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 79.04%EV -2.29%E -1.88%K -10.40%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-09-02 23:35 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -10.41%E -2.31%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.89%E -3.24%K -19.45%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-02 23:00 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.52%EV -11.41%E -2.56%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.48%EV -2.29%E -1.88%K -10.40%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-02 23:35 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -12.40%E -2.82%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -3.09%E -2.55%K -14.71%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-02 23:45 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -12.40%E -2.82%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -3.09%E -2.55%K -14.71%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-02 23:35 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.76%EV -13.40%E -3.08%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.24%EV -3.09%E -2.55%K -14.71%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-02 23:35 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.62%EV -13.40%E -3.08%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.38%EV -3.89%E -3.24%K -19.45%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-02 23:49 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.98%EV -13.80%E -3.19%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.02%EV -2.29%E -1.88%K -10.40%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-02 23:45 |
| Betsson🎯 | 4.32I 23.15%NM 21.74%EV -14.00%E -3.24%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.26%EV -3.89%E -3.24%K -19.45%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-02 23:35 |
| ReBet🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -14.39%E -3.35%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -3.89%E -3.24%K -19.45%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-02 23:35 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.16%EV -15.39%E -3.62%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.84%EV -3.09%E -2.55%K -14.71%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-02 23:35 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -16.38%E -3.90%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -3.89%E -3.24%K -19.45%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-02 23:35 |
| Caesars🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -16.38%E -3.90%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -3.89%E -3.24%K -19.45%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-01 13:14 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.78%EV -20.37%E -5.09%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 77.22%EV -5.49%E -4.65%K -30.51%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-09-02 23:45 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (8)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.43% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 81.57% | 0.5% | 2026-09-02 23:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.71% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 81.29% | 0.8% | 2026-09-02 23:46 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.71% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 81.29% | 0.8% | 2026-09-02 23:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.71% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 81.29% | 0.8% | 2026-09-02 23:45 |
| Novig◎ | 5.13I 19.49%NM 19.21% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 80.79% | 1.5% | 2026-09-02 23:45 |
| ProphetX◎ | 5.05I 19.80%NM 19.46% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 80.54% | 1.8% | 2026-09-02 23:45 |
| Kalshi◎ | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.61% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 80.39% | 2.0% | 2026-09-02 23:15 |
| Smarkets◎ | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.05% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 80.95% | 2.9% | 2026-09-02 23:35 |