StandardmodellInterquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Dino Prizmic v Tommy Paul

2026-09-02 15:00 UTC — ATP US Open

Direkter Vergleich

47 Wettanbieter (13 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Dino Prizmic (Heim)

Prognose 24.95%4.01faire Quote
EV +5.02%
Vorteil +1.19%
Kelly +1.56%
Wachstum +0.078%

bei einer Höchstquote von 4.21

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
22.43%24.93%24.90%26.12%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
3.483.773.754.2128.74%26.50%26.67%23.75%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Tommy Paul (Auswärts)

Prognose 75.05%1.33faire Quote
EV -3.18%
Vorteil -2.46%
Kelly -10.96%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.29

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
73.88%75.07%75.10%77.57%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.201.261.261.2983.33%79.61%79.37%77.52%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Für Direkter Vergleich schätzt Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) folgende Wahrscheinlichkeiten: Dino Prizmic (Heim): 24.95%; Tommy Paul (Auswärts): 75.05%. Für Dino Prizmic (Heim) entspricht diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 4.01. 2 Wettanbieter bieten Quoten über diesem Wert an; die beste verfügbare Quote beträgt 4.21 und ergibt einen positiven Erwartungswert von +5.02%.

Wettanbieterquoten (47 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeim ▼AuswärtsMargeAktualisiert
1xBet🎯4.21I 23.75%NM 23.45%EV +5.02%E +1.19%K +1.56%G +0.078%1.29I 77.52%NM 76.55%EV -3.18%E -2.46%K -10.96%G +0.000%1.3%2026-08-30 22:05
SportsBet🎯4.15I 24.10%NM 22.43%EV +3.52%E +0.849%K +1.12%G +0.039%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.57%EV -9.93%E -8.28%K -49.67%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-30 21:45
Coolbet🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 24.24%EV -0.219%E -0.055%K -0.073%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 75.76%EV -3.93%E -3.07%K -14.03%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-30 23:10
Betway🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -0.219%E -0.055%K -0.073%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -6.18%E -4.95%K -24.73%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-30 23:55
888sport🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -0.219%E -0.055%K -0.073%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -6.18%E -4.95%K -24.73%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-30 23:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -0.219%E -0.055%K -0.073%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -6.18%E -4.95%K -24.73%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-31 00:00
888sport (SE)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -0.219%E -0.055%K -0.073%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -6.18%E -4.95%K -24.73%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-31 00:00
Bovada🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -2.71%E -0.696%K -0.936%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -4.68%E -3.69%K -17.33%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-31 00:19
Betr (AU)🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -3.96%E -1.03%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -6.18%E -4.95%K -24.73%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-31 00:25
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -3.96%E -1.03%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -6.18%E -4.95%K -24.73%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-31 00:20
Marathon Bet🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -5.21%E -1.37%K -1.86%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.10%EV -5.43%E -4.31%K -20.89%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-30 22:00
Fanatics🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -5.21%E -1.37%K -1.86%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.10%EV -5.43%E -4.31%K -20.89%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-30 21:50
Neds🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -5.21%E -1.37%K -1.86%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.10%EV -5.43%E -4.31%K -20.89%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-30 22:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -5.21%E -1.37%K -1.86%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.10%EV -5.43%E -4.31%K -20.89%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-30 22:00
Tipico (DE)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -5.21%E -1.37%K -1.86%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -6.18%E -4.95%K -24.73%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-30 21:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -5.21%E -1.37%K -1.86%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -6.18%E -4.95%K -24.73%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-30 22:00
Coral🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -5.21%E -1.37%K -1.86%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -6.18%E -4.95%K -24.73%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-30 22:00
Winamax (DE)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.45%EV -5.21%E -1.37%K -1.86%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 75.55%EV -7.68%E -6.25%K -33.40%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-30 21:15
Unibet🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -6.46%E -1.72%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -4.68%E -3.69%K -17.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-30 20:40
Virgin Bet🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -6.46%E -1.72%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -4.68%E -3.69%K -17.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-30 20:40
LiveScore Bet🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -6.46%E -1.72%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -4.68%E -3.69%K -17.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-30 20:40
Casumo🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -6.46%E -1.72%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -4.68%E -3.69%K -17.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-30 20:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -6.46%E -1.72%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -4.68%E -3.69%K -17.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-30 20:40
Unibet (NL)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -6.46%E -1.72%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -4.68%E -3.69%K -17.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-30 20:40
BetRivers🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -6.46%E -1.72%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -4.68%E -3.69%K -17.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-30 20:40
Unibet (SE)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -6.46%E -1.72%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -4.68%E -3.69%K -17.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-30 20:40
Grosvenor🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -6.46%E -1.72%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -4.68%E -3.69%K -17.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-30 20:40
TABtouch🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -6.46%E -1.72%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -4.68%E -3.69%K -17.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-30 20:40
ATG (SE)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -6.46%E -1.72%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -4.68%E -3.69%K -17.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-30 20:40
betPARX🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -6.46%E -1.72%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -4.68%E -3.69%K -17.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-30 20:40
Svenska Spel🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -6.46%E -1.72%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -4.68%E -3.69%K -17.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-30 20:40
Bally Bet🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -6.46%E -1.72%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -4.68%E -3.69%K -17.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-30 20:45
Hard Rock Bet🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -6.46%E -1.72%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -4.68%E -3.69%K -17.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-30 21:30
PlayUp🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -6.46%E -1.72%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.18%E -4.95%K -24.73%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-30 23:55
betfred_uk🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -6.46%E -1.72%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.18%E -4.95%K -24.73%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-30 20:55
theScore Bet🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -6.46%E -1.72%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.18%E -4.95%K -24.73%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-30 21:45
GTbets🎯3.74I 26.74%NM 25.50%EV -6.71%E -1.79%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.50%EV -3.93%E -3.07%K -14.03%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-30 20:45
Unibet (UK)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -7.70%E -2.08%K -2.85%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -6.18%E -4.95%K -24.73%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-30 21:45
PMU (FR)🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.36%EV -8.95%E -2.45%K -3.38%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 74.64%EV -6.93%E -5.59%K -28.88%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-30 20:40
DraftKings🎯3.62I 27.62%NM 26.12%EV -9.70%E -2.68%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.88%EV -3.93%E -3.07%K -14.03%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-30 21:45
TAB🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -10.20%E -2.83%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -5.43%E -4.31%K -20.89%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-30 23:55
LeoVegas🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.62%EV -10.20%E -2.83%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 74.38%EV -6.93%E -5.59%K -28.88%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-30 22:40
MyBookie.ag🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.62%EV -10.20%E -2.83%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 74.38%EV -6.93%E -5.59%K -28.88%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-30 21:55
Betclic (FR)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.00%EV -12.69%E -3.63%K -5.08%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 74.00%EV -7.68%E -6.25%K -33.40%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-30 21:49
Unibet (FR)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.00%EV -12.69%E -3.63%K -5.08%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 74.00%EV -7.68%E -6.25%K -33.40%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-30 21:45
Winamax (FR)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -12.69%E -3.63%K -5.08%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 74.47%EV -9.93%E -8.28%K -49.67%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-30 21:50
ReBet🎯3.48I 28.74%NM 26.11%EV -13.19%E -3.79%K -5.32%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 73.89%EV -7.68%E -6.25%K -33.40%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-30 21:45
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (6)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Kalshi4.17I 23.98%NM 24.18%1.33I 75.19%NM 75.82%-0.8%2026-08-31 00:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%5.0%2026-08-31 00:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%5.0%2026-08-31 00:55
Matchbook4.10I 24.39%NM 22.35%1.18I 84.75%NM 77.65%9.1%2026-08-31 01:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.10I 24.39%NM 22.20%1.17I 85.47%NM 77.80%9.9%2026-08-30 23:35
Smarkets3.30I 30.30%NM 26.83%1.21I 82.64%NM 73.17%12.9%2026-08-30 21:50