Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Dino Prizmic v Tommy Paul

2026-09-02 15:00 UTC — ATP US Open

Frente a frente

47 casas de apostas (13 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Dino Prizmic (Local)

Previsão 24.95%4.01odd justa
EV +5.02%
Vantagem +1.19%
Kelly +1.56%
Crescimento +0.078%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.21

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
22.43%24.93%24.90%26.12%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.483.773.754.2128.74%26.50%26.67%23.75%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Tommy Paul (Visitante)

Previsão 75.05%1.33odd justa
EV -3.18%
Vantagem -2.46%
Kelly -10.96%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.29

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
73.88%75.07%75.10%77.57%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.201.261.261.2983.33%79.61%79.37%77.52%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Frente a frente, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Dino Prizmic (Local): 24.95%; Tommy Paul (Visitante): 75.05%. Para Dino Prizmic (Local), essa estimativa equivale a odds decimais justas de 4.01. 2 casas de apostas oferecem odds acima desse nível; as melhores odds disponíveis são 4.21, produzindo um valor esperado positivo de +5.02%.

Odds das casas de apostas (47 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
1xBet🎯4.21I 23.75%NM 23.45%EV +5.02%E +1.19%K +1.56%G +0.078%1.29I 77.52%NM 76.55%EV -3.18%E -2.46%K -10.96%G +0.000%1.3%2026-08-30 22:05
SportsBet🎯4.15I 24.10%NM 22.43%EV +3.52%E +0.849%K +1.12%G +0.039%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.57%EV -9.93%E -8.28%K -49.67%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-30 21:45
Coolbet🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 24.24%EV -0.219%E -0.055%K -0.073%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 75.76%EV -3.93%E -3.07%K -14.03%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-30 23:10
Betway🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -0.219%E -0.055%K -0.073%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -6.18%E -4.95%K -24.73%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-30 23:55
888sport🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -0.219%E -0.055%K -0.073%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -6.18%E -4.95%K -24.73%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-30 23:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -0.219%E -0.055%K -0.073%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -6.18%E -4.95%K -24.73%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-31 00:00
888sport (SE)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -0.219%E -0.055%K -0.073%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -6.18%E -4.95%K -24.73%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-31 00:00
Bovada🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -2.71%E -0.696%K -0.936%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -4.68%E -3.69%K -17.33%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-31 00:19
Betr (AU)🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -3.96%E -1.03%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -6.18%E -4.95%K -24.73%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-31 00:25
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -3.96%E -1.03%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -6.18%E -4.95%K -24.73%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-31 00:20
Marathon Bet🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -5.21%E -1.37%K -1.86%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.10%EV -5.43%E -4.31%K -20.89%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-30 22:00
Fanatics🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -5.21%E -1.37%K -1.86%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.10%EV -5.43%E -4.31%K -20.89%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-30 21:50
Neds🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -5.21%E -1.37%K -1.86%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.10%EV -5.43%E -4.31%K -20.89%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-30 22:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -5.21%E -1.37%K -1.86%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.10%EV -5.43%E -4.31%K -20.89%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-30 22:00
Tipico (DE)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -5.21%E -1.37%K -1.86%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -6.18%E -4.95%K -24.73%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-30 21:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -5.21%E -1.37%K -1.86%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -6.18%E -4.95%K -24.73%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-30 22:00
Coral🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -5.21%E -1.37%K -1.86%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -6.18%E -4.95%K -24.73%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-30 22:00
Winamax (DE)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.45%EV -5.21%E -1.37%K -1.86%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 75.55%EV -7.68%E -6.25%K -33.40%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-30 21:15
Unibet🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -6.46%E -1.72%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -4.68%E -3.69%K -17.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-30 20:40
Virgin Bet🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -6.46%E -1.72%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -4.68%E -3.69%K -17.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-30 20:40
LiveScore Bet🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -6.46%E -1.72%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -4.68%E -3.69%K -17.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-30 20:40
Casumo🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -6.46%E -1.72%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -4.68%E -3.69%K -17.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-30 20:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -6.46%E -1.72%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -4.68%E -3.69%K -17.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-30 20:40
Unibet (NL)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -6.46%E -1.72%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -4.68%E -3.69%K -17.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-30 20:40
BetRivers🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -6.46%E -1.72%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -4.68%E -3.69%K -17.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-30 20:40
Unibet (SE)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -6.46%E -1.72%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -4.68%E -3.69%K -17.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-30 20:40
Grosvenor🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -6.46%E -1.72%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -4.68%E -3.69%K -17.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-30 20:40
TABtouch🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -6.46%E -1.72%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -4.68%E -3.69%K -17.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-30 20:40
ATG (SE)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -6.46%E -1.72%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -4.68%E -3.69%K -17.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-30 20:40
betPARX🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -6.46%E -1.72%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -4.68%E -3.69%K -17.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-30 20:40
Svenska Spel🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -6.46%E -1.72%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -4.68%E -3.69%K -17.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-30 20:40
Bally Bet🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -6.46%E -1.72%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -4.68%E -3.69%K -17.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-30 20:45
Hard Rock Bet🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -6.46%E -1.72%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -4.68%E -3.69%K -17.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-30 21:30
PlayUp🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -6.46%E -1.72%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.18%E -4.95%K -24.73%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-30 23:55
betfred_uk🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -6.46%E -1.72%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.18%E -4.95%K -24.73%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-30 20:55
theScore Bet🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -6.46%E -1.72%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.18%E -4.95%K -24.73%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-30 21:45
GTbets🎯3.74I 26.74%NM 25.50%EV -6.71%E -1.79%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.50%EV -3.93%E -3.07%K -14.03%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-30 20:45
Unibet (UK)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -7.70%E -2.08%K -2.85%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -6.18%E -4.95%K -24.73%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-30 21:45
PMU (FR)🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.36%EV -8.95%E -2.45%K -3.38%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 74.64%EV -6.93%E -5.59%K -28.88%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-30 20:40
DraftKings🎯3.62I 27.62%NM 26.12%EV -9.70%E -2.68%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.88%EV -3.93%E -3.07%K -14.03%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-30 21:45
TAB🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -10.20%E -2.83%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -5.43%E -4.31%K -20.89%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-30 23:55
LeoVegas🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.62%EV -10.20%E -2.83%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 74.38%EV -6.93%E -5.59%K -28.88%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-30 22:40
MyBookie.ag🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.62%EV -10.20%E -2.83%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 74.38%EV -6.93%E -5.59%K -28.88%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-30 21:55
Betclic (FR)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.00%EV -12.69%E -3.63%K -5.08%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 74.00%EV -7.68%E -6.25%K -33.40%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-30 21:49
Unibet (FR)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.00%EV -12.69%E -3.63%K -5.08%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 74.00%EV -7.68%E -6.25%K -33.40%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-30 21:45
Winamax (FR)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -12.69%E -3.63%K -5.08%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 74.47%EV -9.93%E -8.28%K -49.67%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-30 21:50
ReBet🎯3.48I 28.74%NM 26.11%EV -13.19%E -3.79%K -5.32%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 73.89%EV -7.68%E -6.25%K -33.40%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-30 21:45
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Kalshi4.17I 23.98%NM 24.18%1.33I 75.19%NM 75.82%-0.8%2026-08-31 00:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%5.0%2026-08-31 00:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%5.0%2026-08-31 00:55
Matchbook4.10I 24.39%NM 22.35%1.18I 84.75%NM 77.65%9.1%2026-08-31 01:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.10I 24.39%NM 22.20%1.17I 85.47%NM 77.80%9.9%2026-08-30 23:35
Smarkets3.30I 30.30%NM 26.83%1.21I 82.64%NM 73.17%12.9%2026-08-30 21:50