语言:简体中文
Daniil Medvedev v Hugo Gaston
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Daniil Medvedev (主队)
预测 85.09%1.18公平赔率
EV -2.99%
优势 -2.63%
Kelly -21.39%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.14
博彩公司预测分布
82.96%85.11%85.00%86.63%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.081.111.121.1492.59%89.86%89.69%87.72%最小值均值中位数最大值
Hugo Gaston (客队)
预测 14.91%6.71公平赔率
EV +4.35%
优势 +0.621%
Kelly +0.725%
增长率 +0.032%
假设最高赔率为 7.00
博彩公司预测分布
13.37%14.89%15.00%17.04%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
5.506.406.507.0018.18%15.62%15.38%14.29%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Daniil Medvedev (主队)：85.09%；Hugo Gaston (客队)：14.91%。 对于“Hugo Gaston (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为6.71。 当时有18家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为7.00，对应+4.35%的正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (62 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 ▼ | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caesars🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -8.10%E -7.50%K -101.24%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV +4.35%E +0.621%K +0.725%G +0.032% | 6.9% | 2026-08-29 11:03 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.97%EV -5.55%E -5.00%K -50.42%G +0.000% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.03%EV +1.37%E +0.201%K +0.236%G +0.003% | 4.8% | 2026-08-30 13:09 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -6.40%E -5.82%K -63.98%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV +0.622%E +0.092%K +0.108%G +0.001% | 5.7% | 2026-08-30 17:05 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -6.40%E -5.82%K -63.98%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV +0.622%E +0.092%K +0.108%G +0.001% | 5.7% | 2026-08-30 16:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -6.40%E -5.82%K -63.98%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV +0.622%E +0.092%K +0.108%G +0.001% | 5.7% | 2026-08-30 16:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -6.40%E -5.82%K -63.98%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV +0.622%E +0.092%K +0.108%G +0.001% | 5.7% | 2026-08-30 16:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -6.40%E -5.82%K -63.98%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV +0.622%E +0.092%K +0.108%G +0.001% | 5.7% | 2026-08-30 16:55 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -6.40%E -5.82%K -63.98%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV +0.622%E +0.092%K +0.108%G +0.001% | 5.7% | 2026-08-30 16:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -6.40%E -5.82%K -63.98%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV +0.622%E +0.092%K +0.108%G +0.001% | 5.7% | 2026-08-30 16:55 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -6.40%E -5.82%K -63.98%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV +0.622%E +0.092%K +0.108%G +0.001% | 5.7% | 2026-08-30 16:55 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -6.40%E -5.82%K -63.98%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV +0.622%E +0.092%K +0.108%G +0.001% | 5.7% | 2026-08-30 16:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -6.40%E -5.82%K -63.98%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV +0.622%E +0.092%K +0.108%G +0.001% | 5.7% | 2026-08-30 16:55 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -6.40%E -5.82%K -63.98%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV +0.622%E +0.092%K +0.108%G +0.001% | 5.7% | 2026-08-30 16:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -6.40%E -5.82%K -63.98%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV +0.622%E +0.092%K +0.108%G +0.001% | 5.7% | 2026-08-30 16:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -6.40%E -5.82%K -63.98%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV +0.622%E +0.092%K +0.108%G +0.001% | 5.7% | 2026-08-30 16:55 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -6.40%E -5.82%K -63.98%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV +0.622%E +0.092%K +0.108%G +0.001% | 5.7% | 2026-08-30 16:55 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -6.40%E -5.82%K -63.98%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV +0.622%E +0.092%K +0.108%G +0.001% | 5.7% | 2026-08-30 16:54 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 85.61%EV -3.84%E -3.40%K -29.58%G +0.000% | 6.72I 14.88%NM 14.39%EV +0.175%E +0.026%K +0.031%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-30 17:05 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.79%EV -5.55%E -5.00%K -50.42%G +0.000% | 6.70I 14.93%NM 14.21%EV -0.123%E -0.018%K -0.022%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-30 05:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 85.48%EV -3.84%E -3.40%K -29.58%G +0.000% | 6.65I 15.04%NM 14.52%EV -0.869%E -0.131%K -0.154%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-30 11:15 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 85.48%EV -3.84%E -3.40%K -29.58%G +0.000% | 6.65I 15.04%NM 14.52%EV -0.869%E -0.131%K -0.154%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-30 11:14 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.51%EV -5.55%E -5.00%K -50.42%G +0.000% | 6.55I 15.27%NM 14.49%EV -2.36%E -0.360%K -0.425%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-30 10:29 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 85.08%EV -2.99%E -2.63%K -21.39%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.92%EV -3.10%E -0.478%K -0.565%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-08-30 11:20 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 85.19%EV -3.84%E -3.40%K -29.58%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.81%EV -3.10%E -0.478%K -0.565%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-30 15:20 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 85.19%EV -3.84%E -3.40%K -29.58%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.81%EV -3.10%E -0.478%K -0.565%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-30 11:14 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.70%E -4.19%K -39.13%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -3.10%E -0.478%K -0.565%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-30 17:50 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.70%E -4.19%K -39.13%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -3.10%E -0.478%K -0.565%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-30 11:15 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.70%E -4.19%K -39.13%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -3.10%E -0.478%K -0.565%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-29 09:30 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.55%E -5.00%K -50.42%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -3.10%E -0.478%K -0.565%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-30 05:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.55%E -5.00%K -50.42%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -3.10%E -0.478%K -0.565%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-30 05:50 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.55%E -5.00%K -50.42%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -3.10%E -0.478%K -0.565%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-30 09:10 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.55%E -5.00%K -50.42%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -3.10%E -0.478%K -0.565%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-30 09:15 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -6.40%E -5.82%K -63.98%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -3.10%E -0.478%K -0.565%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-30 11:19 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 85.64%EV -7.25%E -6.65%K -80.54%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.36%EV -3.10%E -0.478%K -0.565%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-30 17:55 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 85.75%EV -8.10%E -7.50%K -101.24%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -3.10%E -0.478%K -0.565%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-30 16:55 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.22%EV -5.55%E -5.00%K -50.42%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.78%EV -4.60%E -0.718%K -0.851%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-30 17:50 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.91%EV -4.70%E -4.19%K -39.13%G +0.000% | 6.30I 15.87%NM 15.09%EV -6.09%E -0.966%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-30 11:20 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.70%E -4.19%K -39.13%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -6.83%E -1.09%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-30 11:14 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.70%E -4.19%K -39.13%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -6.83%E -1.09%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-30 05:50 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.70%E -4.19%K -39.13%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -6.83%E -1.09%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-30 05:50 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.92%EV -5.55%E -5.00%K -50.42%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.08%EV -6.83%E -1.09%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-30 11:14 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.92%EV -5.55%E -5.00%K -50.42%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.08%EV -6.83%E -1.09%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-30 05:49 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.78%EV -4.70%E -4.19%K -39.13%G +0.000% | 6.24I 16.03%NM 15.22%EV -6.98%E -1.12%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-30 17:20 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.70%EV -4.70%E -4.19%K -39.13%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.30%EV -7.58%E -1.22%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-30 11:19 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.70%EV -4.70%E -4.19%K -39.13%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.30%EV -7.58%E -1.22%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-30 11:25 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.70%EV -4.70%E -4.19%K -39.13%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.30%EV -7.58%E -1.22%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-30 17:55 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 84.93%EV -6.40%E -5.82%K -63.98%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.07%EV -7.58%E -1.22%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-30 17:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -3.84%E -3.40%K -29.58%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -10.56%E -1.76%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-30 17:55 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.70%E -4.19%K -39.13%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -10.56%E -1.76%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-30 11:19 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.70%E -4.19%K -39.13%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -10.56%E -1.76%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-30 11:15 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.70%E -4.19%K -39.13%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -10.56%E -1.76%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-30 05:45 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.70%E -4.19%K -39.13%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -10.56%E -1.76%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-30 05:45 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.70%E -4.19%K -39.13%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -10.56%E -1.76%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-30 05:45 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.70%E -4.19%K -39.13%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -10.56%E -1.76%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-30 05:50 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.70%E -4.19%K -39.13%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -10.56%E -1.76%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-30 11:14 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.70%E -4.19%K -39.13%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -10.56%E -1.76%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-30 07:20 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.70%E -4.19%K -39.13%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -10.56%E -1.76%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-30 11:14 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.70%E -4.19%K -39.13%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -10.56%E -1.76%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-30 07:10 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -5.55%E -5.00%K -50.42%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -10.56%E -1.76%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-30 15:50 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.48%EV -2.99%E -2.63%K -21.39%G +0.000% | 5.76I 17.36%NM 16.52%EV -14.14%E -2.45%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-30 17:50 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -3.84%E -3.40%K -29.58%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -14.29%E -2.48%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-30 16:55 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -3.84%E -3.40%K -29.58%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -18.01%E -3.27%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-30 16:54 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (8)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 1.14I 87.72%NM 87.09% | 7.69I 13.00%NM 12.91% | 0.7% | 2026-08-30 17:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.15I 86.96%NM 86.23% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.77% | 0.8% | 2026-08-30 17:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.15I 86.96%NM 86.23% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.77% | 0.8% | 2026-08-30 17:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.15I 86.96%NM 86.23% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.77% | 0.8% | 2026-08-30 17:40 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.15I 86.96%NM 86.23% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.77% | 0.8% | 2026-08-30 17:40 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.15I 86.96%NM 86.23% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.77% | 0.8% | 2026-08-30 17:51 |
| Novig◎ | 1.14I 87.72%NM 86.67% | 7.41I 13.50%NM 13.33% | 1.2% | 2026-08-30 17:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.13I 88.50%NM 86.43% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.57% | 2.4% | 2026-08-30 17:50 |