Langue:Français
Daniil Medvedev v Hugo Gaston
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Daniil Medvedev (Local)
Prévision 85.09%1.18cote équitable
EV -2.99%
Avantage -2.63%
Kelly -21.39%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.14
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
82.96%85.11%85.00%86.63%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.081.111.121.1492.59%89.86%89.69%87.72%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Hugo Gaston (Visiteur)
Prévision 14.91%6.71cote équitable
EV +4.35%
Avantage +0.621%
Kelly +0.725%
Croissance +0.032%
avec la cote maximale 7.00
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
13.37%14.89%15.00%17.04%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
5.506.406.507.0018.18%15.62%15.38%14.29%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Daniil Medvedev (Local) : 85.09% ; Hugo Gaston (Visiteur) : 14.91%. Pour Hugo Gaston (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 6.71. 18 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 7.00, soit une espérance positive de +4.35%.
Cotes des opérateurs (62 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caesars🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -8.10%E -7.50%K -101.24%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV +4.35%E +0.621%K +0.725%G +0.032% | 6.9% | 2026-08-29 11:03 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.97%EV -5.55%E -5.00%K -50.42%G +0.000% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.03%EV +1.37%E +0.201%K +0.236%G +0.003% | 4.8% | 2026-08-30 13:09 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -6.40%E -5.82%K -63.98%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV +0.622%E +0.092%K +0.108%G +0.001% | 5.7% | 2026-08-30 17:05 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -6.40%E -5.82%K -63.98%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV +0.622%E +0.092%K +0.108%G +0.001% | 5.7% | 2026-08-30 16:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -6.40%E -5.82%K -63.98%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV +0.622%E +0.092%K +0.108%G +0.001% | 5.7% | 2026-08-30 16:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -6.40%E -5.82%K -63.98%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV +0.622%E +0.092%K +0.108%G +0.001% | 5.7% | 2026-08-30 16:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -6.40%E -5.82%K -63.98%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV +0.622%E +0.092%K +0.108%G +0.001% | 5.7% | 2026-08-30 16:55 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -6.40%E -5.82%K -63.98%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV +0.622%E +0.092%K +0.108%G +0.001% | 5.7% | 2026-08-30 16:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -6.40%E -5.82%K -63.98%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV +0.622%E +0.092%K +0.108%G +0.001% | 5.7% | 2026-08-30 16:55 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -6.40%E -5.82%K -63.98%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV +0.622%E +0.092%K +0.108%G +0.001% | 5.7% | 2026-08-30 16:55 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -6.40%E -5.82%K -63.98%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV +0.622%E +0.092%K +0.108%G +0.001% | 5.7% | 2026-08-30 16:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -6.40%E -5.82%K -63.98%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV +0.622%E +0.092%K +0.108%G +0.001% | 5.7% | 2026-08-30 16:55 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -6.40%E -5.82%K -63.98%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV +0.622%E +0.092%K +0.108%G +0.001% | 5.7% | 2026-08-30 16:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -6.40%E -5.82%K -63.98%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV +0.622%E +0.092%K +0.108%G +0.001% | 5.7% | 2026-08-30 16:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -6.40%E -5.82%K -63.98%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV +0.622%E +0.092%K +0.108%G +0.001% | 5.7% | 2026-08-30 16:55 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -6.40%E -5.82%K -63.98%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV +0.622%E +0.092%K +0.108%G +0.001% | 5.7% | 2026-08-30 16:55 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -6.40%E -5.82%K -63.98%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV +0.622%E +0.092%K +0.108%G +0.001% | 5.7% | 2026-08-30 16:54 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 85.61%EV -3.84%E -3.40%K -29.58%G +0.000% | 6.72I 14.88%NM 14.39%EV +0.175%E +0.026%K +0.031%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-30 17:05 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.79%EV -5.55%E -5.00%K -50.42%G +0.000% | 6.70I 14.93%NM 14.21%EV -0.123%E -0.018%K -0.022%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-30 05:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 85.48%EV -3.84%E -3.40%K -29.58%G +0.000% | 6.65I 15.04%NM 14.52%EV -0.869%E -0.131%K -0.154%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-30 11:15 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 85.48%EV -3.84%E -3.40%K -29.58%G +0.000% | 6.65I 15.04%NM 14.52%EV -0.869%E -0.131%K -0.154%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-30 11:14 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.51%EV -5.55%E -5.00%K -50.42%G +0.000% | 6.55I 15.27%NM 14.49%EV -2.36%E -0.360%K -0.425%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-30 10:29 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 85.08%EV -2.99%E -2.63%K -21.39%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.92%EV -3.10%E -0.478%K -0.565%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-08-30 11:20 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 85.19%EV -3.84%E -3.40%K -29.58%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.81%EV -3.10%E -0.478%K -0.565%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-30 15:20 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 85.19%EV -3.84%E -3.40%K -29.58%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.81%EV -3.10%E -0.478%K -0.565%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-30 11:14 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.70%E -4.19%K -39.13%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -3.10%E -0.478%K -0.565%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-30 17:50 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.70%E -4.19%K -39.13%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -3.10%E -0.478%K -0.565%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-30 11:15 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.70%E -4.19%K -39.13%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -3.10%E -0.478%K -0.565%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-29 09:30 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.55%E -5.00%K -50.42%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -3.10%E -0.478%K -0.565%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-30 05:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.55%E -5.00%K -50.42%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -3.10%E -0.478%K -0.565%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-30 05:50 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.55%E -5.00%K -50.42%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -3.10%E -0.478%K -0.565%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-30 09:10 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.55%E -5.00%K -50.42%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -3.10%E -0.478%K -0.565%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-30 09:15 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -6.40%E -5.82%K -63.98%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -3.10%E -0.478%K -0.565%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-30 11:19 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 85.64%EV -7.25%E -6.65%K -80.54%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.36%EV -3.10%E -0.478%K -0.565%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-30 17:55 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 85.75%EV -8.10%E -7.50%K -101.24%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -3.10%E -0.478%K -0.565%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-30 16:55 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.22%EV -5.55%E -5.00%K -50.42%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.78%EV -4.60%E -0.718%K -0.851%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-30 17:50 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.91%EV -4.70%E -4.19%K -39.13%G +0.000% | 6.30I 15.87%NM 15.09%EV -6.09%E -0.966%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-30 11:20 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.70%E -4.19%K -39.13%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -6.83%E -1.09%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-30 11:14 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.70%E -4.19%K -39.13%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -6.83%E -1.09%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-30 05:50 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.70%E -4.19%K -39.13%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -6.83%E -1.09%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-30 05:50 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.92%EV -5.55%E -5.00%K -50.42%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.08%EV -6.83%E -1.09%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-30 11:14 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.92%EV -5.55%E -5.00%K -50.42%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.08%EV -6.83%E -1.09%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-30 05:49 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.78%EV -4.70%E -4.19%K -39.13%G +0.000% | 6.24I 16.03%NM 15.22%EV -6.98%E -1.12%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-30 17:20 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.70%EV -4.70%E -4.19%K -39.13%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.30%EV -7.58%E -1.22%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-30 11:19 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.70%EV -4.70%E -4.19%K -39.13%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.30%EV -7.58%E -1.22%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-30 11:25 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.70%EV -4.70%E -4.19%K -39.13%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.30%EV -7.58%E -1.22%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-30 17:55 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 84.93%EV -6.40%E -5.82%K -63.98%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.07%EV -7.58%E -1.22%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-30 17:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -3.84%E -3.40%K -29.58%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -10.56%E -1.76%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-30 17:55 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.70%E -4.19%K -39.13%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -10.56%E -1.76%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-30 11:19 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.70%E -4.19%K -39.13%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -10.56%E -1.76%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-30 11:15 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.70%E -4.19%K -39.13%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -10.56%E -1.76%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-30 05:45 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.70%E -4.19%K -39.13%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -10.56%E -1.76%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-30 05:45 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.70%E -4.19%K -39.13%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -10.56%E -1.76%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-30 05:45 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.70%E -4.19%K -39.13%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -10.56%E -1.76%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-30 05:50 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.70%E -4.19%K -39.13%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -10.56%E -1.76%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-30 11:14 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.70%E -4.19%K -39.13%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -10.56%E -1.76%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-30 07:20 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.70%E -4.19%K -39.13%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -10.56%E -1.76%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-30 11:14 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.70%E -4.19%K -39.13%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -10.56%E -1.76%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-30 07:10 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -5.55%E -5.00%K -50.42%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -10.56%E -1.76%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-30 15:50 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.48%EV -2.99%E -2.63%K -21.39%G +0.000% | 5.76I 17.36%NM 16.52%EV -14.14%E -2.45%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-30 17:50 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -3.84%E -3.40%K -29.58%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -14.29%E -2.48%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-30 16:55 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -3.84%E -3.40%K -29.58%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -18.01%E -3.27%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-30 16:54 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (8)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 1.14I 87.72%NM 87.09% | 7.69I 13.00%NM 12.91% | 0.7% | 2026-08-30 17:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.15I 86.96%NM 86.23% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.77% | 0.8% | 2026-08-30 17:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.15I 86.96%NM 86.23% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.77% | 0.8% | 2026-08-30 17:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.15I 86.96%NM 86.23% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.77% | 0.8% | 2026-08-30 17:40 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.15I 86.96%NM 86.23% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.77% | 0.8% | 2026-08-30 17:40 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.15I 86.96%NM 86.23% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.77% | 0.8% | 2026-08-30 17:51 |
| Novig◎ | 1.14I 87.72%NM 86.67% | 7.41I 13.50%NM 13.33% | 1.2% | 2026-08-30 17:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.13I 88.50%NM 86.43% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.57% | 2.4% | 2026-08-30 17:50 |