StandardmodellInterquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Daniil Medvedev v Hugo Gaston

Spielbeginn: 2026-08-30 17:58 UTC

Endstand: Daniil Medvedev 3–0 Hugo Gaston

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

62 Wettanbieter (20 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Daniil Medvedev (Heim)

Prognose 85.09%1.18faire Quote
EV -2.99%
Vorteil -2.63%
Kelly -21.39%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.14

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
82.96%85.11%85.00%86.63%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.081.111.121.1492.59%89.86%89.69%87.72%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Hugo Gaston (Auswärts)

Prognose 14.91%6.71faire Quote
EV +4.35%
Vorteil +0.621%
Kelly +0.725%
Wachstum +0.032%

bei einer Höchstquote von 7.00

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
13.37%14.89%15.00%17.04%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
5.506.406.507.0018.18%15.62%15.38%14.29%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Bei den letzten Quoten vor Spielbeginn schätzte Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) für Direkter Vergleich: Daniil Medvedev (Heim): 85.09%; Hugo Gaston (Auswärts): 14.91%. Für Hugo Gaston (Auswärts) entsprach diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 6.71. 18 Wettanbieter boten Schlussquoten über diesem Wert an; die beste betrug 7.00 und entsprach einem positiven Erwartungswert von +4.35%.

Wettanbieterquoten (62 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeimAuswärts ▼MargeAktualisiert
Caesars🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -8.10%E -7.50%K -101.24%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV +4.35%E +0.621%K +0.725%G +0.032%6.9%2026-08-29 11:03
FanDuel🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.97%EV -5.55%E -5.00%K -50.42%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.03%EV +1.37%E +0.201%K +0.236%G +0.003%4.8%2026-08-30 13:09
TABtouch🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -6.40%E -5.82%K -63.98%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV +0.622%E +0.092%K +0.108%G +0.001%5.7%2026-08-30 17:05
Grosvenor🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -6.40%E -5.82%K -63.98%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV +0.622%E +0.092%K +0.108%G +0.001%5.7%2026-08-30 16:55
Virgin Bet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -6.40%E -5.82%K -63.98%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV +0.622%E +0.092%K +0.108%G +0.001%5.7%2026-08-30 16:55
Unibet (SE)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -6.40%E -5.82%K -63.98%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV +0.622%E +0.092%K +0.108%G +0.001%5.7%2026-08-30 16:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -6.40%E -5.82%K -63.98%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV +0.622%E +0.092%K +0.108%G +0.001%5.7%2026-08-30 16:55
BetRivers🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -6.40%E -5.82%K -63.98%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV +0.622%E +0.092%K +0.108%G +0.001%5.7%2026-08-30 16:55
Unibet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -6.40%E -5.82%K -63.98%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV +0.622%E +0.092%K +0.108%G +0.001%5.7%2026-08-30 16:55
ATG (SE)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -6.40%E -5.82%K -63.98%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV +0.622%E +0.092%K +0.108%G +0.001%5.7%2026-08-30 16:55
betPARX🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -6.40%E -5.82%K -63.98%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV +0.622%E +0.092%K +0.108%G +0.001%5.7%2026-08-30 16:55
LiveScore Bet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -6.40%E -5.82%K -63.98%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV +0.622%E +0.092%K +0.108%G +0.001%5.7%2026-08-30 16:55
Casumo🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -6.40%E -5.82%K -63.98%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV +0.622%E +0.092%K +0.108%G +0.001%5.7%2026-08-30 16:55
Unibet (NL)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -6.40%E -5.82%K -63.98%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV +0.622%E +0.092%K +0.108%G +0.001%5.7%2026-08-30 16:55
Svenska Spel🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -6.40%E -5.82%K -63.98%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV +0.622%E +0.092%K +0.108%G +0.001%5.7%2026-08-30 16:55
Bally Bet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -6.40%E -5.82%K -63.98%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV +0.622%E +0.092%K +0.108%G +0.001%5.7%2026-08-30 16:55
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -6.40%E -5.82%K -63.98%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV +0.622%E +0.092%K +0.108%G +0.001%5.7%2026-08-30 16:54
Pinnacle🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 85.61%EV -3.84%E -3.40%K -29.58%G +0.000%6.72I 14.88%NM 14.39%EV +0.175%E +0.026%K +0.031%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-30 17:05
SportsBet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.79%EV -5.55%E -5.00%K -50.42%G +0.000%6.70I 14.93%NM 14.21%EV -0.123%E -0.018%K -0.022%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-30 05:55
BetOnline.ag🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 85.48%EV -3.84%E -3.40%K -29.58%G +0.000%6.65I 15.04%NM 14.52%EV -0.869%E -0.131%K -0.154%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-30 11:15
LowVig.ag🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 85.48%EV -3.84%E -3.40%K -29.58%G +0.000%6.65I 15.04%NM 14.52%EV -0.869%E -0.131%K -0.154%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-30 11:14
GTbets🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.51%EV -5.55%E -5.00%K -50.42%G +0.000%6.55I 15.27%NM 14.49%EV -2.36%E -0.360%K -0.425%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-30 10:29
Coolbet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 85.08%EV -2.99%E -2.63%K -21.39%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.92%EV -3.10%E -0.478%K -0.565%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-30 11:20
ReBet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 85.19%EV -3.84%E -3.40%K -29.58%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.81%EV -3.10%E -0.478%K -0.565%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-30 15:20
Winamax (DE)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 85.19%EV -3.84%E -3.40%K -29.58%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.81%EV -3.10%E -0.478%K -0.565%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-30 11:14
Bovada🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.70%E -4.19%K -39.13%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -3.10%E -0.478%K -0.565%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-30 17:50
betano_uk🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.70%E -4.19%K -39.13%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -3.10%E -0.478%K -0.565%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-30 11:15
BoyleSports🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.70%E -4.19%K -39.13%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -3.10%E -0.478%K -0.565%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-29 09:30
Coral🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.55%E -5.00%K -50.42%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -3.10%E -0.478%K -0.565%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-30 05:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.55%E -5.00%K -50.42%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -3.10%E -0.478%K -0.565%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-30 05:50
Paddy Power🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.55%E -5.00%K -50.42%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -3.10%E -0.478%K -0.565%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-30 09:10
Sky Bet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.55%E -5.00%K -50.42%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -3.10%E -0.478%K -0.565%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-30 09:15
Tipico (DE)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -6.40%E -5.82%K -63.98%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -3.10%E -0.478%K -0.565%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-30 11:19
NetBet (FR)🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 85.64%EV -7.25%E -6.65%K -80.54%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.36%EV -3.10%E -0.478%K -0.565%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-30 17:55
PMU (FR)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 85.75%EV -8.10%E -7.50%K -101.24%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -3.10%E -0.478%K -0.565%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-30 16:55
Betclic (FR)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.22%EV -5.55%E -5.00%K -50.42%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.78%EV -4.60%E -0.718%K -0.851%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-30 17:50
Fanatics🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.91%EV -4.70%E -4.19%K -39.13%G +0.000%6.30I 15.87%NM 15.09%EV -6.09%E -0.966%K -1.15%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-30 11:20
Winamax (FR)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.70%E -4.19%K -39.13%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -6.83%E -1.09%K -1.30%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-30 11:14
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.70%E -4.19%K -39.13%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -6.83%E -1.09%K -1.30%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-30 05:50
Neds🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.70%E -4.19%K -39.13%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -6.83%E -1.09%K -1.30%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-30 05:50
Marathon Bet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.92%EV -5.55%E -5.00%K -50.42%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.08%EV -6.83%E -1.09%K -1.30%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-30 11:14
BetMGM🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.92%EV -5.55%E -5.00%K -50.42%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.08%EV -6.83%E -1.09%K -1.30%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-30 05:49
DraftKings🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.78%EV -4.70%E -4.19%K -39.13%G +0.000%6.24I 16.03%NM 15.22%EV -6.98%E -1.12%K -1.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-30 17:20
Unibet (FR)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.70%EV -4.70%E -4.19%K -39.13%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.30%EV -7.58%E -1.22%K -1.46%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-30 11:19
MyBookie.ag🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.70%EV -4.70%E -4.19%K -39.13%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.30%EV -7.58%E -1.22%K -1.46%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-30 11:25
BetAnything🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.70%EV -4.70%E -4.19%K -39.13%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.30%EV -7.58%E -1.22%K -1.46%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-30 17:55
Fliff🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 84.93%EV -6.40%E -5.82%K -63.98%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.07%EV -7.58%E -1.22%K -1.46%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-30 17:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -3.84%E -3.40%K -29.58%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -10.56%E -1.76%K -2.11%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-30 17:55
LeoVegas🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.70%E -4.19%K -39.13%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -10.56%E -1.76%K -2.11%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-30 11:19
Unibet (UK)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.70%E -4.19%K -39.13%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -10.56%E -1.76%K -2.11%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-30 11:15
888sport🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.70%E -4.19%K -39.13%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -10.56%E -1.76%K -2.11%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-30 05:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.70%E -4.19%K -39.13%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -10.56%E -1.76%K -2.11%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-30 05:45
888sport (SE)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.70%E -4.19%K -39.13%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -10.56%E -1.76%K -2.11%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-30 05:45
William Hill🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.70%E -4.19%K -39.13%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -10.56%E -1.76%K -2.11%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-30 05:50
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.70%E -4.19%K -39.13%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -10.56%E -1.76%K -2.11%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-30 11:14
betfred_uk🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.70%E -4.19%K -39.13%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -10.56%E -1.76%K -2.11%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-30 07:20
Betr (AU)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.70%E -4.19%K -39.13%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -10.56%E -1.76%K -2.11%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-30 11:14
Betway🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.70%E -4.19%K -39.13%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -10.56%E -1.76%K -2.11%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-30 07:10
theScore Bet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -5.55%E -5.00%K -50.42%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -10.56%E -1.76%K -2.11%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-30 15:50
1xBet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.48%EV -2.99%E -2.63%K -21.39%G +0.000%5.76I 17.36%NM 16.52%EV -14.14%E -2.45%K -2.97%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-30 17:50
PlayUp🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -3.84%E -3.40%K -29.58%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -14.29%E -2.48%K -3.01%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-30 16:55
TAB🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -3.84%E -3.40%K -29.58%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -18.01%E -3.27%K -4.00%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-30 16:54
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (8)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Kalshi◎1.14I 87.72%NM 87.09%7.69I 13.00%NM 12.91%0.7%2026-08-30 17:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.15I 86.96%NM 86.23%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.77%0.8%2026-08-30 17:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.15I 86.96%NM 86.23%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.77%0.8%2026-08-30 17:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.15I 86.96%NM 86.23%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.77%0.8%2026-08-30 17:40
Matchbook◎1.15I 86.96%NM 86.23%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.77%0.8%2026-08-30 17:40
ProphetX◎1.15I 86.96%NM 86.23%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.77%0.8%2026-08-30 17:51
Novig◎1.14I 87.72%NM 86.67%7.41I 13.50%NM 13.33%1.2%2026-08-30 17:50
Smarkets◎1.13I 88.50%NM 86.43%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.57%2.4%2026-08-30 17:50