預設模型四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

Daniil Medvedev v Frances Tiafoe

開賽時間: 2026-09-06 19:34 UTC

最終賽果: Daniil Medvedev 0–3 Frances Tiafoe

收盤賠率 — 在所選模型下,根據開賽前最後記錄的價格計算所得的機率與期望值。賽事已經開始,因此這些並非即時數據。 以所有已結算賽事的實際結果評估各模型機率預測的可靠度 →

獨贏

64 家博彩公司 (21 家納入分析 )

模型估計的各結果發生機率:四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

Daniil Medvedev (主隊)

預測 60.61%1.65公平賠率
EV -0.598%
優勢 -0.365%
Kelly -0.934%
成長率 +0.000%

假設最高賠率為 1.64

博彩公司預測分布
58.27%60.75%60.61%62.56%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
1.501.581.571.6466.67%63.45%63.69%60.98%最小值平均值中位數最大值

Frances Tiafoe (客隊)

預測 39.39%2.54公平賠率
EV +0.442%
優勢 +0.173%
Kelly +0.285%
成長率 +0.001%

假設最高賠率為 2.55

博彩公司預測分布
37.44%39.25%39.39%41.73%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
2.282.402.382.5543.86%41.71%42.02%39.22%最小值平均值中位數最大值

依開賽前最後一組賠率,四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)對獨贏的機率估計為:Daniil Medvedev (主隊):60.61%;Frances Tiafoe (客隊):39.39%。 對於「Frances Tiafoe (客隊)」,該估計相當於2.54的公平十進位賠率。 當時有3家博彩公司提供高於該水準的收盤賠率;最佳賠率為2.55,對應+0.442%的正期望值。

博彩公司賠率 (64 家博彩公司)

本站與任何博彩公司均無關聯,也不會從使用者與其進行的任何操作中獲利。

博彩公司主隊客隊 ▼利潤率更新時間
Betclic (FR)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -6.66%E -4.32%K -12.33%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV +0.442%E +0.173%K +0.285%G +0.001%4.2%2026-09-06 18:55
FanDuel🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -7.27%E -4.75%K -13.71%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV +0.442%E +0.173%K +0.285%G +0.001%4.6%2026-09-06 19:15
SportsBet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.56%EV -7.87%E -5.18%K -15.14%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 37.44%EV +0.048%E +0.019%K +0.031%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-06 19:15
Pinnacle🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 61.07%EV -3.02%E -1.89%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 38.93%EV -1.13%E -0.452%K -0.751%G +0.000%2.3%2026-09-06 18:55
LowVig.ag🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 61.12%EV -3.63%E -2.28%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.88%EV -1.53%E -0.611%K -1.02%G +0.000%2.9%2026-09-06 19:25
BetOnline.ag🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 61.12%EV -3.63%E -2.28%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.88%EV -1.53%E -0.611%K -1.02%G +0.000%2.9%2026-09-06 19:25
Winamax (DE)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 61.27%EV -4.23%E -2.68%K -7.30%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.73%EV -1.53%E -0.611%K -1.02%G +0.000%3.3%2026-09-06 18:50
Bovada🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -5.45%E -3.49%K -9.73%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -1.53%E -0.611%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-06 19:25
Paddy Power🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -7.27%E -4.75%K -13.71%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -1.53%E -0.611%K -1.02%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-06 19:15
Sky Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -7.27%E -4.75%K -13.71%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -1.53%E -0.611%K -1.02%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-06 19:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -7.27%E -4.75%K -13.71%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -1.53%E -0.611%K -1.02%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-06 19:15
Caesars🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -9.08%E -6.06%K -18.17%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -1.53%E -0.611%K -1.02%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-06 19:17
Coolbet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -2.42%E -1.50%K -3.96%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -3.50%E -1.43%K -2.41%G +0.000%2.9%2026-09-06 15:15
BetUS🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.84%E -3.08%K -8.49%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.50%E -1.43%K -2.41%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-06 15:46
Winamax (FR)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -5.45%E -3.49%K -9.73%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -3.50%E -1.43%K -2.41%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-06 18:50
Unibet (UK)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.30%EV -3.02%E -1.89%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.70%EV -4.28%E -1.76%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-06 17:30
ReBet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.45%EV -3.63%E -2.28%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.55%EV -4.28%E -1.76%K -3.00%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-06 17:30
DraftKings🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.06%EV -6.05%E -3.91%K -11.01%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.94%EV -4.28%E -1.76%K -3.00%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-06 19:15
Marathon Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.71%EV -5.45%E -3.49%K -9.73%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 39.29%EV -5.07%E -2.10%K -3.60%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-06 19:20
Betway🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.02%E -1.89%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -5.47%E -2.28%K -3.90%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-06 10:55
Unibet (FR)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.02%E -1.89%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -5.47%E -2.28%K -3.90%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-06 17:30
theScore Bet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -3.63%E -2.28%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -5.47%E -2.28%K -3.90%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-06 15:00
1xBet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.23%E -2.68%K -7.30%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -5.47%E -2.28%K -3.90%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-06 19:24
MyBookie.ag🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.23%E -2.68%K -7.30%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -5.47%E -2.28%K -3.90%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-06 17:30
Neds🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.84%E -3.08%K -8.49%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.47%E -2.28%K -3.90%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-06 11:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.84%E -3.08%K -8.49%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.47%E -2.28%K -3.90%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-06 11:20
Fanatics🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.45%E -3.49%K -9.73%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -5.47%E -2.28%K -3.90%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-06 19:25
BetMGM🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.45%E -3.49%K -9.73%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -5.47%E -2.28%K -3.90%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-06 11:20
Tipico (DE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.05%E -3.91%K -11.01%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -5.47%E -2.28%K -3.90%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-06 17:30
PlayUp🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.05%E -3.91%K -11.01%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -5.47%E -2.28%K -3.90%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-06 19:25
TAB🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.05%E -3.91%K -11.01%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -5.47%E -2.28%K -3.90%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-06 18:40
betfred_uk🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.84%E -3.08%K -8.49%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.25%E -2.63%K -4.53%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-06 11:20
888sport🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.84%E -3.08%K -8.49%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.25%E -2.63%K -4.53%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-06 10:44
William Hill🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.84%E -3.08%K -8.49%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.25%E -2.63%K -4.53%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-06 10:44
BoyleSports🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.84%E -3.08%K -8.49%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.25%E -2.63%K -4.53%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-06 13:24
betano_uk🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.84%E -3.08%K -8.49%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.25%E -2.63%K -4.53%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-06 15:15
888sport (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.84%E -3.08%K -8.49%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.25%E -2.63%K -4.53%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-06 10:44
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.84%E -3.08%K -8.49%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.25%E -2.63%K -4.53%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-06 10:44
Coral🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.46%EV -6.05%E -3.91%K -11.01%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.54%EV -6.65%E -2.81%K -4.85%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-06 11:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.46%EV -6.05%E -3.91%K -11.01%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.54%EV -6.65%E -2.81%K -4.85%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-06 11:20
NetBet (FR)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.77%EV -7.27%E -4.75%K -13.71%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.23%EV -6.65%E -2.81%K -4.85%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-06 17:35
Betsson🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.20%EV -5.45%E -3.49%K -9.73%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 39.80%EV -7.04%E -2.98%K -5.18%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-06 17:30
NordicBet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.20%EV -5.45%E -3.49%K -9.73%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 39.80%EV -7.04%E -2.98%K -5.18%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-06 17:29
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -2.42%E -1.50%K -3.96%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -7.44%E -3.16%K -5.51%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-06 15:40
Betr (AU)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -4.23%E -2.68%K -7.30%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -7.44%E -3.16%K -5.51%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-06 19:30
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -4.84%E -3.08%K -8.49%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -7.44%E -3.16%K -5.51%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-06 15:15
LeoVegas🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -4.84%E -3.08%K -8.49%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -7.44%E -3.16%K -5.51%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-06 19:30
Fliff🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -5.45%E -3.49%K -9.73%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -7.44%E -3.16%K -5.51%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-06 19:25
LiveScore Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -2.42%E -1.50%K -3.96%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -8.22%E -3.53%K -6.18%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-06 15:40
TABtouch🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -2.42%E -1.50%K -3.96%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -8.22%E -3.53%K -6.18%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-06 15:50
Grosvenor🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -2.42%E -1.50%K -3.96%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -8.22%E -3.53%K -6.18%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-06 15:46
Unibet (NL)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -2.42%E -1.50%K -3.96%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -8.22%E -3.53%K -6.18%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-06 15:40
Virgin Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -2.42%E -1.50%K -3.96%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -8.22%E -3.53%K -6.18%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-06 15:40
Casumo🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -2.42%E -1.50%K -3.96%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -8.22%E -3.53%K -6.18%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-06 15:40
BetRivers🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -2.42%E -1.50%K -3.96%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -8.22%E -3.53%K -6.18%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-06 15:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -2.42%E -1.50%K -3.96%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -8.22%E -3.53%K -6.18%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-06 15:40
Unibet (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -2.42%E -1.50%K -3.96%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -8.22%E -3.53%K -6.18%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-06 15:40
Unibet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -2.42%E -1.50%K -3.96%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -8.22%E -3.53%K -6.18%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-06 15:46
betPARX🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -2.42%E -1.50%K -3.96%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -8.22%E -3.53%K -6.18%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-06 15:45
Svenska Spel🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -2.42%E -1.50%K -3.96%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -8.22%E -3.53%K -6.18%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-06 15:40
Bally Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -2.42%E -1.50%K -3.96%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -8.22%E -3.53%K -6.18%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-06 15:40
ATG (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -2.42%E -1.50%K -3.96%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -8.22%E -3.53%K -6.18%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-06 15:40
GTbets🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.27%EV -0.598%E -0.365%K -0.934%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 41.73%EV -9.80%E -4.28%K -7.60%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-05 23:05
PMU (FR)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.38%EV -5.45%E -3.49%K -9.73%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.63%EV -10.19%E -4.47%K -7.96%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-06 15:40
利潤率 = 利潤率(超額機率) · I = 隱含機率 · NM = 無利潤率機率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 優勢 · K = Kelly 準則 · G = 投注資金成長率

更新時間 表示各家公司最後一次調整賠率的時間,因此較早的時間只代表賠率未再變動,不表示價格已失效。通常會排除約 15 分鐘內未收到資料的博彩公司;只有當整個市場的資料來源均停止更新時,才改為顯示最新記錄的價格。

博彩交易所 (7)

博彩公司主隊客隊利潤率 ▲更新時間
ProphetX◎1.62I 61.73%NM 61.79%2.62I 38.17%NM 38.21%-0.1%2026-09-06 19:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.61I 62.11%NM 61.94%2.62I 38.17%NM 38.06%0.3%2026-09-06 19:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.60I 62.50%NM 62.09%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.91%0.7%2026-09-06 19:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.60I 62.50%NM 62.09%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.91%0.7%2026-09-06 19:30
Matchbook◎1.60I 62.50%NM 62.09%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.91%0.7%2026-09-06 19:26
Novig◎1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61%1.2%2026-09-06 19:30
Smarkets◎1.60I 62.50%NM 61.54%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.46%1.6%2026-09-06 19:30