Model domyślnyŚrednia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana)

Daniil Medvedev v Frances Tiafoe

Początek: 2026-09-06 19:34 UTC

Wynik końcowy: Daniil Medvedev 0–3 Frances Tiafoe

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

64 bukmacherów (21 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana)

Daniil Medvedev (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 60.61%1.65kurs godziwy
EV -0.598%
Przewaga -0.365%
Kelly -0.934%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 1.64

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
58.27%60.75%60.61%62.56%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.501.581.571.6466.67%63.45%63.69%60.98%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Frances Tiafoe (Goście)

Prognoza 39.39%2.54kurs godziwy
EV +0.442%
Przewaga +0.173%
Kelly +0.285%
Wzrost +0.001%

przy maksymalnym kursie 2.55

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
37.44%39.25%39.39%41.73%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.282.402.382.5543.86%41.71%42.02%39.22%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Przy ostatnich kursach przed rozpoczęciem model Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana) szacował rynek Zwycięzca spotkania następująco: Daniil Medvedev (Gospodarze): 60.61%; Frances Tiafoe (Goście): 39.39%. Dla wyniku Frances Tiafoe (Goście) oszacowanie to odpowiadało uczciwemu kursowi dziesiętnemu 2.54. 3 bukmacherów oferowało kursy zamknięcia powyżej tego poziomu; najlepszy wynosił 2.55, co odpowiadało dodatniej wartości oczekiwanej +0.442%.

Kursy bukmacherskie (64 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarzeGoście ▼MarżaAktualizacja
Betclic (FR)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -6.66%E -4.32%K -12.33%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV +0.442%E +0.173%K +0.285%G +0.001%4.2%2026-09-06 18:55
FanDuel🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -7.27%E -4.75%K -13.71%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV +0.442%E +0.173%K +0.285%G +0.001%4.6%2026-09-06 19:15
SportsBet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.56%EV -7.87%E -5.18%K -15.14%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 37.44%EV +0.048%E +0.019%K +0.031%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-06 19:15
Pinnacle🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 61.07%EV -3.02%E -1.89%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 38.93%EV -1.13%E -0.452%K -0.751%G +0.000%2.3%2026-09-06 18:55
LowVig.ag🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 61.12%EV -3.63%E -2.28%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.88%EV -1.53%E -0.611%K -1.02%G +0.000%2.9%2026-09-06 19:25
BetOnline.ag🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 61.12%EV -3.63%E -2.28%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.88%EV -1.53%E -0.611%K -1.02%G +0.000%2.9%2026-09-06 19:25
Winamax (DE)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 61.27%EV -4.23%E -2.68%K -7.30%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.73%EV -1.53%E -0.611%K -1.02%G +0.000%3.3%2026-09-06 18:50
Bovada🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -5.45%E -3.49%K -9.73%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -1.53%E -0.611%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-06 19:25
Paddy Power🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -7.27%E -4.75%K -13.71%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -1.53%E -0.611%K -1.02%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-06 19:15
Sky Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -7.27%E -4.75%K -13.71%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -1.53%E -0.611%K -1.02%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-06 19:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -7.27%E -4.75%K -13.71%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -1.53%E -0.611%K -1.02%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-06 19:15
Caesars🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -9.08%E -6.06%K -18.17%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -1.53%E -0.611%K -1.02%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-06 19:17
Coolbet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -2.42%E -1.50%K -3.96%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -3.50%E -1.43%K -2.41%G +0.000%2.9%2026-09-06 15:15
BetUS🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.84%E -3.08%K -8.49%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.50%E -1.43%K -2.41%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-06 15:46
Winamax (FR)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -5.45%E -3.49%K -9.73%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -3.50%E -1.43%K -2.41%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-06 18:50
Unibet (UK)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.30%EV -3.02%E -1.89%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.70%EV -4.28%E -1.76%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-06 17:30
ReBet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.45%EV -3.63%E -2.28%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.55%EV -4.28%E -1.76%K -3.00%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-06 17:30
DraftKings🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.06%EV -6.05%E -3.91%K -11.01%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.94%EV -4.28%E -1.76%K -3.00%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-06 19:15
Marathon Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.71%EV -5.45%E -3.49%K -9.73%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 39.29%EV -5.07%E -2.10%K -3.60%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-06 19:20
Betway🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.02%E -1.89%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -5.47%E -2.28%K -3.90%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-06 10:55
Unibet (FR)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.02%E -1.89%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -5.47%E -2.28%K -3.90%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-06 17:30
theScore Bet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -3.63%E -2.28%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -5.47%E -2.28%K -3.90%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-06 15:00
1xBet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.23%E -2.68%K -7.30%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -5.47%E -2.28%K -3.90%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-06 19:24
MyBookie.ag🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.23%E -2.68%K -7.30%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -5.47%E -2.28%K -3.90%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-06 17:30
Neds🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.84%E -3.08%K -8.49%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.47%E -2.28%K -3.90%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-06 11:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.84%E -3.08%K -8.49%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.47%E -2.28%K -3.90%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-06 11:20
Fanatics🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.45%E -3.49%K -9.73%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -5.47%E -2.28%K -3.90%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-06 19:25
BetMGM🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.45%E -3.49%K -9.73%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -5.47%E -2.28%K -3.90%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-06 11:20
Tipico (DE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.05%E -3.91%K -11.01%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -5.47%E -2.28%K -3.90%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-06 17:30
PlayUp🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.05%E -3.91%K -11.01%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -5.47%E -2.28%K -3.90%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-06 19:25
TAB🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.05%E -3.91%K -11.01%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -5.47%E -2.28%K -3.90%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-06 18:40
betfred_uk🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.84%E -3.08%K -8.49%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.25%E -2.63%K -4.53%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-06 11:20
888sport🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.84%E -3.08%K -8.49%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.25%E -2.63%K -4.53%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-06 10:44
William Hill🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.84%E -3.08%K -8.49%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.25%E -2.63%K -4.53%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-06 10:44
BoyleSports🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.84%E -3.08%K -8.49%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.25%E -2.63%K -4.53%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-06 13:24
betano_uk🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.84%E -3.08%K -8.49%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.25%E -2.63%K -4.53%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-06 15:15
888sport (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.84%E -3.08%K -8.49%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.25%E -2.63%K -4.53%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-06 10:44
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.84%E -3.08%K -8.49%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.25%E -2.63%K -4.53%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-06 10:44
Coral🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.46%EV -6.05%E -3.91%K -11.01%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.54%EV -6.65%E -2.81%K -4.85%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-06 11:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.46%EV -6.05%E -3.91%K -11.01%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.54%EV -6.65%E -2.81%K -4.85%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-06 11:20
NetBet (FR)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.77%EV -7.27%E -4.75%K -13.71%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.23%EV -6.65%E -2.81%K -4.85%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-06 17:35
Betsson🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.20%EV -5.45%E -3.49%K -9.73%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 39.80%EV -7.04%E -2.98%K -5.18%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-06 17:30
NordicBet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.20%EV -5.45%E -3.49%K -9.73%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 39.80%EV -7.04%E -2.98%K -5.18%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-06 17:29
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -2.42%E -1.50%K -3.96%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -7.44%E -3.16%K -5.51%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-06 15:40
Betr (AU)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -4.23%E -2.68%K -7.30%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -7.44%E -3.16%K -5.51%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-06 19:30
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -4.84%E -3.08%K -8.49%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -7.44%E -3.16%K -5.51%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-06 15:15
LeoVegas🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -4.84%E -3.08%K -8.49%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -7.44%E -3.16%K -5.51%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-06 19:30
Fliff🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -5.45%E -3.49%K -9.73%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -7.44%E -3.16%K -5.51%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-06 19:25
LiveScore Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -2.42%E -1.50%K -3.96%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -8.22%E -3.53%K -6.18%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-06 15:40
TABtouch🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -2.42%E -1.50%K -3.96%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -8.22%E -3.53%K -6.18%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-06 15:50
Grosvenor🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -2.42%E -1.50%K -3.96%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -8.22%E -3.53%K -6.18%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-06 15:46
Unibet (NL)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -2.42%E -1.50%K -3.96%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -8.22%E -3.53%K -6.18%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-06 15:40
Virgin Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -2.42%E -1.50%K -3.96%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -8.22%E -3.53%K -6.18%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-06 15:40
Casumo🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -2.42%E -1.50%K -3.96%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -8.22%E -3.53%K -6.18%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-06 15:40
BetRivers🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -2.42%E -1.50%K -3.96%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -8.22%E -3.53%K -6.18%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-06 15:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -2.42%E -1.50%K -3.96%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -8.22%E -3.53%K -6.18%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-06 15:40
Unibet (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -2.42%E -1.50%K -3.96%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -8.22%E -3.53%K -6.18%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-06 15:40
Unibet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -2.42%E -1.50%K -3.96%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -8.22%E -3.53%K -6.18%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-06 15:46
betPARX🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -2.42%E -1.50%K -3.96%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -8.22%E -3.53%K -6.18%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-06 15:45
Svenska Spel🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -2.42%E -1.50%K -3.96%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -8.22%E -3.53%K -6.18%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-06 15:40
Bally Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -2.42%E -1.50%K -3.96%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -8.22%E -3.53%K -6.18%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-06 15:40
ATG (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -2.42%E -1.50%K -3.96%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -8.22%E -3.53%K -6.18%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-06 15:40
GTbets🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.27%EV -0.598%E -0.365%K -0.934%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 41.73%EV -9.80%E -4.28%K -7.60%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-05 23:05
PMU (FR)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.38%EV -5.45%E -3.49%K -9.73%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.63%EV -10.19%E -4.47%K -7.96%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-06 15:40
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (7)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeMarża ▲Aktualizacja
ProphetX◎1.62I 61.73%NM 61.79%2.62I 38.17%NM 38.21%-0.1%2026-09-06 19:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.61I 62.11%NM 61.94%2.62I 38.17%NM 38.06%0.3%2026-09-06 19:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.60I 62.50%NM 62.09%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.91%0.7%2026-09-06 19:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.60I 62.50%NM 62.09%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.91%0.7%2026-09-06 19:30
Matchbook◎1.60I 62.50%NM 62.09%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.91%0.7%2026-09-06 19:26
Novig◎1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61%1.2%2026-09-06 19:30
Smarkets◎1.60I 62.50%NM 61.54%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.46%1.6%2026-09-06 19:30