Langue:Français
Daniil Medvedev v Frances Tiafoe
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Daniil Medvedev (Local)
Prévision 60.61%1.65cote équitable
EV -0.598%
Avantage -0.365%
Kelly -0.934%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.64
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
58.27%60.75%60.61%62.56%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.501.581.571.6466.67%63.45%63.69%60.98%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Frances Tiafoe (Visiteur)
Prévision 39.39%2.54cote équitable
EV +0.442%
Avantage +0.173%
Kelly +0.285%
Croissance +0.001%
avec la cote maximale 2.55
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
37.44%39.25%39.39%41.73%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.282.402.382.5543.86%41.71%42.02%39.22%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Daniil Medvedev (Local) : 60.61% ; Frances Tiafoe (Visiteur) : 39.39%. Pour Frances Tiafoe (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 2.54. 3 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 2.55, soit une espérance positive de +0.442%.
Cotes des opérateurs (64 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -6.66%E -4.32%K -12.33%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV +0.442%E +0.173%K +0.285%G +0.001% | 4.2% | 2026-09-06 18:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -7.27%E -4.75%K -13.71%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV +0.442%E +0.173%K +0.285%G +0.001% | 4.6% | 2026-09-06 19:15 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.56%EV -7.87%E -5.18%K -15.14%G +0.000% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 37.44%EV +0.048%E +0.019%K +0.031%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-06 19:15 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 61.07%EV -3.02%E -1.89%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 2.51I 39.84%NM 38.93%EV -1.13%E -0.452%K -0.751%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-09-06 18:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.12%EV -3.63%E -2.28%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.88%EV -1.53%E -0.611%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-09-06 19:25 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.12%EV -3.63%E -2.28%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.88%EV -1.53%E -0.611%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-09-06 19:25 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 61.27%EV -4.23%E -2.68%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.73%EV -1.53%E -0.611%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-09-06 18:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -5.45%E -3.49%K -9.73%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -1.53%E -0.611%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-06 19:25 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -7.27%E -4.75%K -13.71%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -1.53%E -0.611%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-06 19:15 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -7.27%E -4.75%K -13.71%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -1.53%E -0.611%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-06 19:15 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -7.27%E -4.75%K -13.71%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -1.53%E -0.611%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-06 19:15 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -9.08%E -6.06%K -18.17%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -1.53%E -0.611%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-06 19:17 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -2.42%E -1.50%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -3.50%E -1.43%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-09-06 15:15 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.84%E -3.08%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.50%E -1.43%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-06 15:46 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -5.45%E -3.49%K -9.73%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -3.50%E -1.43%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-06 18:50 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.30%EV -3.02%E -1.89%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.70%EV -4.28%E -1.76%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-09-06 17:30 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.45%EV -3.63%E -2.28%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.55%EV -4.28%E -1.76%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-06 17:30 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.06%EV -6.05%E -3.91%K -11.01%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.94%EV -4.28%E -1.76%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-06 19:15 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.71%EV -5.45%E -3.49%K -9.73%G +0.000% | 2.41I 41.49%NM 39.29%EV -5.07%E -2.10%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-06 19:20 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.02%E -1.89%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -5.47%E -2.28%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-06 10:55 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.02%E -1.89%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -5.47%E -2.28%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-06 17:30 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -3.63%E -2.28%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -5.47%E -2.28%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-06 15:00 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.23%E -2.68%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -5.47%E -2.28%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-06 19:24 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.23%E -2.68%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -5.47%E -2.28%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-06 17:30 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.84%E -3.08%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.47%E -2.28%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-06 11:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.84%E -3.08%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.47%E -2.28%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-06 11:20 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.45%E -3.49%K -9.73%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -5.47%E -2.28%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-06 19:25 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.45%E -3.49%K -9.73%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -5.47%E -2.28%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-06 11:20 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.05%E -3.91%K -11.01%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -5.47%E -2.28%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-06 17:30 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.05%E -3.91%K -11.01%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -5.47%E -2.28%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-06 19:25 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.05%E -3.91%K -11.01%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -5.47%E -2.28%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-06 18:40 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.84%E -3.08%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.25%E -2.63%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-06 11:20 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.84%E -3.08%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.25%E -2.63%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-06 10:44 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.84%E -3.08%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.25%E -2.63%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-06 10:44 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.84%E -3.08%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.25%E -2.63%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-06 13:24 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.84%E -3.08%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.25%E -2.63%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-06 15:15 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.84%E -3.08%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.25%E -2.63%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-06 10:44 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.84%E -3.08%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.25%E -2.63%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-06 10:44 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.46%EV -6.05%E -3.91%K -11.01%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.54%EV -6.65%E -2.81%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-06 11:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.46%EV -6.05%E -3.91%K -11.01%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.54%EV -6.65%E -2.81%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-06 11:20 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.77%EV -7.27%E -4.75%K -13.71%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.23%EV -6.65%E -2.81%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-06 17:35 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.20%EV -5.45%E -3.49%K -9.73%G +0.000% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 39.80%EV -7.04%E -2.98%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-06 17:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.20%EV -5.45%E -3.49%K -9.73%G +0.000% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 39.80%EV -7.04%E -2.98%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-06 17:29 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -2.42%E -1.50%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -7.44%E -3.16%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-06 15:40 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -4.23%E -2.68%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -7.44%E -3.16%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-06 19:30 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -4.84%E -3.08%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -7.44%E -3.16%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-06 15:15 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -4.84%E -3.08%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -7.44%E -3.16%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-06 19:30 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -5.45%E -3.49%K -9.73%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -7.44%E -3.16%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-06 19:25 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -2.42%E -1.50%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -8.22%E -3.53%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-06 15:40 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -2.42%E -1.50%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -8.22%E -3.53%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-06 15:50 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -2.42%E -1.50%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -8.22%E -3.53%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-06 15:46 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -2.42%E -1.50%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -8.22%E -3.53%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-06 15:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -2.42%E -1.50%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -8.22%E -3.53%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-06 15:40 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -2.42%E -1.50%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -8.22%E -3.53%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-06 15:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -2.42%E -1.50%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -8.22%E -3.53%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-06 15:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -2.42%E -1.50%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -8.22%E -3.53%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-06 15:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -2.42%E -1.50%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -8.22%E -3.53%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-06 15:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -2.42%E -1.50%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -8.22%E -3.53%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-06 15:46 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -2.42%E -1.50%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -8.22%E -3.53%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-06 15:45 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -2.42%E -1.50%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -8.22%E -3.53%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-06 15:40 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -2.42%E -1.50%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -8.22%E -3.53%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-06 15:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -2.42%E -1.50%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -8.22%E -3.53%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-06 15:40 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.27%EV -0.598%E -0.365%K -0.934%G +0.000% | 2.29I 43.67%NM 41.73%EV -9.80%E -4.28%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.38%EV -5.45%E -3.49%K -9.73%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.63%EV -10.19%E -4.47%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-06 15:40 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (7)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX◎ | 1.62I 61.73%NM 61.79% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 38.21% | -0.1% | 2026-09-06 19:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.94% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 38.06% | 0.3% | 2026-09-06 19:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.60I 62.50%NM 62.09% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.91% | 0.7% | 2026-09-06 19:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.60I 62.50%NM 62.09% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.91% | 0.7% | 2026-09-06 19:30 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.60I 62.50%NM 62.09% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.91% | 0.7% | 2026-09-06 19:26 |
| Novig◎ | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61% | 1.2% | 2026-09-06 19:30 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.60I 62.50%NM 61.54% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.46% | 1.6% | 2026-09-06 19:30 |