语言:简体中文
Daniil Medvedev v Frances Tiafoe
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Daniil Medvedev (主队)
预测 60.61%1.65公平赔率
EV -0.598%
优势 -0.365%
Kelly -0.934%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.64
博彩公司预测分布
58.27%60.75%60.61%62.56%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.501.581.571.6466.67%63.45%63.69%60.98%最小值均值中位数最大值
Frances Tiafoe (客队)
预测 39.39%2.54公平赔率
EV +0.442%
优势 +0.173%
Kelly +0.285%
增长率 +0.001%
假设最高赔率为 2.55
博彩公司预测分布
37.44%39.25%39.39%41.73%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.282.402.382.5543.86%41.71%42.02%39.22%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Daniil Medvedev (主队)：60.61%；Frances Tiafoe (客队)：39.39%。 对于“Frances Tiafoe (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.54。 当时有3家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为2.55，对应+0.442%的正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (64 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 ▼ | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -6.66%E -4.32%K -12.33%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV +0.442%E +0.173%K +0.285%G +0.001% | 4.2% | 2026-09-06 18:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -7.27%E -4.75%K -13.71%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV +0.442%E +0.173%K +0.285%G +0.001% | 4.6% | 2026-09-06 19:15 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.56%EV -7.87%E -5.18%K -15.14%G +0.000% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 37.44%EV +0.048%E +0.019%K +0.031%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-06 19:15 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 61.07%EV -3.02%E -1.89%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 2.51I 39.84%NM 38.93%EV -1.13%E -0.452%K -0.751%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-09-06 18:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.12%EV -3.63%E -2.28%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.88%EV -1.53%E -0.611%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-09-06 19:25 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.12%EV -3.63%E -2.28%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.88%EV -1.53%E -0.611%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-09-06 19:25 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 61.27%EV -4.23%E -2.68%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.73%EV -1.53%E -0.611%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-09-06 18:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -5.45%E -3.49%K -9.73%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -1.53%E -0.611%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-06 19:25 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -7.27%E -4.75%K -13.71%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -1.53%E -0.611%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-06 19:15 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -7.27%E -4.75%K -13.71%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -1.53%E -0.611%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-06 19:15 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -7.27%E -4.75%K -13.71%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -1.53%E -0.611%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-06 19:15 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -9.08%E -6.06%K -18.17%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -1.53%E -0.611%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-06 19:17 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -2.42%E -1.50%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -3.50%E -1.43%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-09-06 15:15 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.84%E -3.08%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.50%E -1.43%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-06 15:46 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -5.45%E -3.49%K -9.73%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -3.50%E -1.43%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-06 18:50 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.30%EV -3.02%E -1.89%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.70%EV -4.28%E -1.76%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-09-06 17:30 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.45%EV -3.63%E -2.28%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.55%EV -4.28%E -1.76%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-06 17:30 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.06%EV -6.05%E -3.91%K -11.01%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.94%EV -4.28%E -1.76%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-06 19:15 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.71%EV -5.45%E -3.49%K -9.73%G +0.000% | 2.41I 41.49%NM 39.29%EV -5.07%E -2.10%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-06 19:20 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.02%E -1.89%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -5.47%E -2.28%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-06 10:55 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.02%E -1.89%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -5.47%E -2.28%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-06 17:30 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -3.63%E -2.28%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -5.47%E -2.28%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-06 15:00 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.23%E -2.68%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -5.47%E -2.28%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-06 19:24 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.23%E -2.68%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -5.47%E -2.28%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-06 17:30 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.84%E -3.08%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.47%E -2.28%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-06 11:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.84%E -3.08%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.47%E -2.28%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-06 11:20 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.45%E -3.49%K -9.73%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -5.47%E -2.28%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-06 19:25 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.45%E -3.49%K -9.73%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -5.47%E -2.28%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-06 11:20 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.05%E -3.91%K -11.01%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -5.47%E -2.28%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-06 17:30 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.05%E -3.91%K -11.01%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -5.47%E -2.28%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-06 19:25 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.05%E -3.91%K -11.01%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -5.47%E -2.28%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-06 18:40 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.84%E -3.08%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.25%E -2.63%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-06 11:20 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.84%E -3.08%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.25%E -2.63%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-06 10:44 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.84%E -3.08%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.25%E -2.63%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-06 10:44 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.84%E -3.08%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.25%E -2.63%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-06 13:24 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.84%E -3.08%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.25%E -2.63%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-06 15:15 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.84%E -3.08%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.25%E -2.63%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-06 10:44 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.84%E -3.08%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.25%E -2.63%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-06 10:44 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.46%EV -6.05%E -3.91%K -11.01%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.54%EV -6.65%E -2.81%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-06 11:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.46%EV -6.05%E -3.91%K -11.01%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.54%EV -6.65%E -2.81%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-06 11:20 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.77%EV -7.27%E -4.75%K -13.71%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.23%EV -6.65%E -2.81%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-06 17:35 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.20%EV -5.45%E -3.49%K -9.73%G +0.000% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 39.80%EV -7.04%E -2.98%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-06 17:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.20%EV -5.45%E -3.49%K -9.73%G +0.000% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 39.80%EV -7.04%E -2.98%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-06 17:29 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -2.42%E -1.50%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -7.44%E -3.16%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-06 15:40 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -4.23%E -2.68%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -7.44%E -3.16%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-06 19:30 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -4.84%E -3.08%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -7.44%E -3.16%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-06 15:15 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -4.84%E -3.08%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -7.44%E -3.16%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-06 19:30 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -5.45%E -3.49%K -9.73%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -7.44%E -3.16%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-06 19:25 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -2.42%E -1.50%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -8.22%E -3.53%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-06 15:40 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -2.42%E -1.50%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -8.22%E -3.53%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-06 15:50 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -2.42%E -1.50%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -8.22%E -3.53%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-06 15:46 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -2.42%E -1.50%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -8.22%E -3.53%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-06 15:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -2.42%E -1.50%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -8.22%E -3.53%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-06 15:40 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -2.42%E -1.50%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -8.22%E -3.53%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-06 15:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -2.42%E -1.50%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -8.22%E -3.53%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-06 15:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -2.42%E -1.50%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -8.22%E -3.53%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-06 15:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -2.42%E -1.50%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -8.22%E -3.53%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-06 15:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -2.42%E -1.50%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -8.22%E -3.53%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-06 15:46 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -2.42%E -1.50%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -8.22%E -3.53%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-06 15:45 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -2.42%E -1.50%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -8.22%E -3.53%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-06 15:40 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -2.42%E -1.50%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -8.22%E -3.53%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-06 15:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -2.42%E -1.50%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -8.22%E -3.53%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-06 15:40 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.27%EV -0.598%E -0.365%K -0.934%G +0.000% | 2.29I 43.67%NM 41.73%EV -9.80%E -4.28%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.38%EV -5.45%E -3.49%K -9.73%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.63%EV -10.19%E -4.47%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-06 15:40 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (7)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX◎ | 1.62I 61.73%NM 61.79% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 38.21% | -0.1% | 2026-09-06 19:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.94% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 38.06% | 0.3% | 2026-09-06 19:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.60I 62.50%NM 62.09% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.91% | 0.7% | 2026-09-06 19:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.60I 62.50%NM 62.09% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.91% | 0.7% | 2026-09-06 19:30 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.60I 62.50%NM 62.09% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.91% | 0.7% | 2026-09-06 19:26 |
| Novig◎ | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61% | 1.2% | 2026-09-06 19:30 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.60I 62.50%NM 61.54% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.46% | 1.6% | 2026-09-06 19:30 |