Språk:Svenska
Dane Sweeny v Lorenzo Musetti
Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →
Matchresultat
Dane Sweeny (Hemma)
Prognos 7.91%12.64rättvist odds
EV +18.70%
Fördel +1.25%
Kelly +1.34%
Tillväxt +0.250%
med antagandet om högsta odds 15.00
Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
6.43%7.89%7.90%9.50%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
10.0012.0311.9915.0010.00%8.31%8.34%6.67%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Lorenzo Musetti (Borta)
Prognos 92.09%1.09rättvist odds
EV -3.31%
Fördel -3.15%
Kelly -66.18%
Tillväxt +0.000%
med antagandet om högsta odds 1.05
Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
90.50%92.11%92.10%93.57%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.011.031.041.0599.01%96.69%96.62%95.24%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Dane Sweeny (Hemma): 7.91%; Lorenzo Musetti (Borta): 92.09%. För Dane Sweeny (Hemma) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 12.64. 13 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 15.00, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +18.70%.
Spelbolagsodds (64 spelbolag)
Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.
| Spelbolag | Hemma ▼ | Borta | Marginal | Uppdaterat |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sky Bet🎯 | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.48%EV +18.70%E +1.25%K +1.34%G +0.250% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 93.52%EV -4.23%E -4.07%K -105.74%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-09-03 11:40 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.43%EV +18.70%E +1.25%K +1.34%G +0.250% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 93.57%EV -5.15%E -5.00%K -171.69%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-03 18:20 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.43%EV +18.70%E +1.25%K +1.34%G +0.250% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 93.57%EV -5.15%E -5.00%K -171.69%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-02 10:55 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 14.50I 6.90%NM 6.63%EV +14.74%E +1.02%K +1.09%G +0.161% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 93.37%EV -5.15%E -5.00%K -171.69%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-03 11:10 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.91%EV +10.79%E +0.770%K +0.830%G +0.089% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 93.09%EV -4.23%E -4.07%K -105.74%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-09-03 11:39 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.73%EV +10.79%E +0.770%K +0.830%G +0.089% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 93.27%EV -6.99%E -6.92%K -699.24%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-02 02:59 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 13.80I 7.25%NM 6.95%EV +9.20%E +0.667%K +0.719%G +0.066% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 93.05%EV -5.15%E -5.00%K -171.69%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-03 11:40 |
| ReBet🎯 | 13.25I 7.55%NM 7.21%EV +4.85%E +0.366%K +0.396%G +0.019% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.79%EV -5.15%E -5.00%K -171.69%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-03 14:14 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.47%EV +2.87%E +0.221%K +0.239%G +0.007% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 92.53%EV -3.31%E -3.15%K -66.18%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-09-03 18:10 |
| Coral🎯 | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.41%EV +2.87%E +0.221%K +0.239%G +0.007% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.59%EV -4.23%E -4.07%K -105.74%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-02 21:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.41%EV +2.87%E +0.221%K +0.239%G +0.007% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.59%EV -4.23%E -4.07%K -105.74%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-02 21:40 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV +2.87%E +0.221%K +0.239%G +0.007% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -5.15%E -5.00%K -171.69%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-03 09:06 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV +2.87%E +0.221%K +0.239%G +0.007% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -5.15%E -5.00%K -171.69%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-03 10:35 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.68%EV -1.08%E -0.087%K -0.094%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.32%EV -4.23%E -4.07%K -105.74%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-02 19:30 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.68%EV -1.08%E -0.087%K -0.094%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.32%EV -4.23%E -4.07%K -105.74%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-02 19:30 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.61%EV -1.08%E -0.087%K -0.094%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.39%EV -5.15%E -5.00%K -171.69%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-03 11:40 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.61%EV -1.08%E -0.087%K -0.094%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.39%EV -5.15%E -5.00%K -171.69%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-03 11:10 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.54%EV -1.08%E -0.087%K -0.094%G +0.000% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.46%EV -6.07%E -5.95%K -303.57%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-03 18:14 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.54%EV -1.08%E -0.087%K -0.094%G +0.000% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.46%EV -6.07%E -5.95%K -303.57%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-02 21:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.54%EV -1.08%E -0.087%K -0.094%G +0.000% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.46%EV -6.07%E -5.95%K -303.57%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-02 21:40 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 12.32I 8.12%NM 7.85%EV -2.51%E -0.204%K -0.222%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 92.15%EV -3.31%E -3.15%K -66.18%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-09-03 18:15 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV -5.04%E -0.420%K -0.458%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -4.23%E -4.07%K -105.74%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-03 07:45 |
| Bovada🎯 | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV -5.04%E -0.420%K -0.458%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -4.23%E -4.07%K -105.74%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-03 17:05 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV -5.04%E -0.420%K -0.458%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -4.23%E -4.07%K -105.74%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-03 17:25 |
| Betway🎯 | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -5.04%E -0.420%K -0.458%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -5.15%E -5.00%K -171.69%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-03 07:10 |
| 888sport🎯 | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -5.04%E -0.420%K -0.458%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -5.15%E -5.00%K -171.69%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-03 18:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -5.04%E -0.420%K -0.458%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -5.15%E -5.00%K -171.69%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-03 18:20 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -5.04%E -0.420%K -0.458%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -5.15%E -5.00%K -171.69%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-03 07:59 |
| Betsson🎯 | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -5.04%E -0.420%K -0.458%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -5.15%E -5.00%K -171.69%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-03 08:00 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -5.04%E -0.420%K -0.458%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -5.15%E -5.00%K -171.69%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-03 18:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -5.04%E -0.420%K -0.458%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -5.15%E -5.00%K -171.69%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-03 18:20 |
| Caesars🎯 | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -5.04%E -0.420%K -0.458%G +0.000% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%EV -6.07%E -5.95%K -303.57%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-02 05:31 |
| GTbets🎯 | 11.98I 8.35%NM 7.92%EV -5.20%E -0.434%K -0.474%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.08%EV -5.15%E -5.00%K -171.69%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-03 16:45 |
| Fliff🎯 | 11.80I 8.47%NM 7.96%EV -6.62%E -0.561%K -0.613%G +0.000% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.04%EV -6.07%E -5.95%K -303.57%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-03 18:20 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV -9.00%E -0.782%K -0.857%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -4.23%E -4.07%K -105.74%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-03 17:20 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV -9.00%E -0.782%K -0.857%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -4.23%E -4.07%K -105.74%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-03 17:25 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV -9.00%E -0.782%K -0.857%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -4.23%E -4.07%K -105.74%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-03 17:20 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV -9.00%E -0.782%K -0.857%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -4.23%E -4.07%K -105.74%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-03 17:20 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV -9.00%E -0.782%K -0.857%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -4.23%E -4.07%K -105.74%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-03 17:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV -9.00%E -0.782%K -0.857%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -4.23%E -4.07%K -105.74%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-03 17:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV -9.00%E -0.782%K -0.857%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -4.23%E -4.07%K -105.74%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-03 17:25 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV -9.00%E -0.782%K -0.857%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -4.23%E -4.07%K -105.74%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-03 17:20 |
| Casumo🎯 | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV -9.00%E -0.782%K -0.857%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -4.23%E -4.07%K -105.74%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-03 17:20 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV -9.00%E -0.782%K -0.857%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -4.23%E -4.07%K -105.74%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-03 17:25 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV -9.00%E -0.782%K -0.857%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -4.23%E -4.07%K -105.74%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-03 17:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV -9.00%E -0.782%K -0.857%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -4.23%E -4.07%K -105.74%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-03 17:20 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV -9.00%E -0.782%K -0.857%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -4.23%E -4.07%K -105.74%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-03 17:20 |
| betPARX🎯 | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV -9.00%E -0.782%K -0.857%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -4.23%E -4.07%K -105.74%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-03 17:20 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.07%EV -9.00%E -0.782%K -0.857%G +0.000% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 91.93%EV -6.99%E -6.92%K -699.24%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-03 17:25 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 11.25I 8.89%NM 8.54%EV -10.98%E -0.976%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.46%EV -3.31%E -3.15%K -66.18%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-03 17:53 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 11.25I 8.89%NM 8.39%EV -10.98%E -0.976%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.61%EV -5.15%E -5.00%K -171.69%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-03 07:45 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 11.20I 8.93%NM 8.50%EV -11.37%E -1.02%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.50%EV -4.23%E -4.07%K -105.74%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-03 11:10 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -12.95%E -1.18%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -4.23%E -4.07%K -105.74%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-03 17:30 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -12.95%E -1.18%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -5.15%E -5.00%K -171.69%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-03 15:05 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -12.95%E -1.18%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -5.15%E -5.00%K -171.69%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-03 07:45 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -12.95%E -1.18%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -5.15%E -5.00%K -171.69%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-03 14:40 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -12.95%E -1.18%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -5.15%E -5.00%K -171.69%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-02 21:40 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -12.95%E -1.18%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -5.15%E -5.00%K -171.69%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-03 18:20 |
| BetUS🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -12.95%E -1.18%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -5.15%E -5.00%K -171.69%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-03 13:40 |
| TAB🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -12.95%E -1.18%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 91.51%EV -6.07%E -5.95%K -303.57%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-03 18:04 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 10.40I 9.62%NM 9.17%EV -17.70%E -1.70%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.83%EV -3.31%E -3.15%K -66.18%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-03 18:20 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -20.87%E -2.09%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -3.31%E -3.15%K -66.18%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-03 18:10 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -20.87%E -2.09%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -4.23%E -4.07%K -105.74%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-03 17:05 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -20.87%E -2.09%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -4.23%E -4.07%K -105.74%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-03 11:40 |
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt
Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.
Spelbörser (8)
| Spelbolag | Hemma | Borta | Marginal ▲ | Uppdaterat |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 20.00I 5.00%NM 4.99% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 95.01% | 0.2% | 2026-09-03 18:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 19.50I 5.13%NM 5.11% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 94.89% | 0.4% | 2026-09-03 18:20 |
| Matchbook◎ | 18.50I 5.41%NM 5.37% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 94.63% | 0.6% | 2026-09-03 18:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 15.50I 6.45%NM 6.40% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 93.60% | 0.8% | 2026-09-03 18:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.60% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 93.40% | 1.0% | 2026-09-03 18:20 |
| ProphetX◎ | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.82% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 94.18% | 1.1% | 2026-09-03 18:20 |
| Kalshi◎ | 20.00I 5.00%NM 4.94% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 95.06% | 1.2% | 2026-09-03 18:20 |
| Smarkets◎ | 17.99I 5.56%NM 5.42% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 94.58% | 2.6% | 2026-09-03 18:20 |