Język:Polski
Dane Sweeny v Lorenzo Musetti
Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →
Zwycięzca spotkania
Dane Sweeny (Gospodarze)
Prognoza 7.91%12.64kurs godziwy
EV +18.70%
Przewaga +1.25%
Kelly +1.34%
Wzrost +0.250%
przy maksymalnym kursie 15.00
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
6.43%7.89%7.90%9.50%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
10.0012.0311.9915.0010.00%8.31%8.34%6.67%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Lorenzo Musetti (Goście)
Prognoza 92.09%1.09kurs godziwy
EV -3.31%
Przewaga -3.15%
Kelly -66.18%
Wzrost +0.000%
przy maksymalnym kursie 1.05
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
90.50%92.11%92.10%93.57%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.011.031.041.0599.01%96.69%96.62%95.24%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Przy ostatnich kursach przed rozpoczęciem model Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana) szacował rynek Zwycięzca spotkania następująco: Dane Sweeny (Gospodarze): 7.91%; Lorenzo Musetti (Goście): 92.09%. Dla wyniku Dane Sweeny (Gospodarze) oszacowanie to odpowiadało uczciwemu kursowi dziesiętnemu 12.64. 13 bukmacherów oferowało kursy zamknięcia powyżej tego poziomu; najlepszy wynosił 15.00, co odpowiadało dodatniej wartości oczekiwanej +18.70%.
Kursy bukmacherskie (64 bukmacherów)
Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.
| Bukmacher | Gospodarze ▼ | Goście | Marża | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sky Bet🎯 | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.48%EV +18.70%E +1.25%K +1.34%G +0.250% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 93.52%EV -4.23%E -4.07%K -105.74%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-09-03 11:40 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.43%EV +18.70%E +1.25%K +1.34%G +0.250% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 93.57%EV -5.15%E -5.00%K -171.69%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-03 18:20 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.43%EV +18.70%E +1.25%K +1.34%G +0.250% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 93.57%EV -5.15%E -5.00%K -171.69%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-02 10:55 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 14.50I 6.90%NM 6.63%EV +14.74%E +1.02%K +1.09%G +0.161% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 93.37%EV -5.15%E -5.00%K -171.69%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-03 11:10 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.91%EV +10.79%E +0.770%K +0.830%G +0.089% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 93.09%EV -4.23%E -4.07%K -105.74%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-09-03 11:39 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.73%EV +10.79%E +0.770%K +0.830%G +0.089% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 93.27%EV -6.99%E -6.92%K -699.24%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-02 02:59 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 13.80I 7.25%NM 6.95%EV +9.20%E +0.667%K +0.719%G +0.066% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 93.05%EV -5.15%E -5.00%K -171.69%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-03 11:40 |
| ReBet🎯 | 13.25I 7.55%NM 7.21%EV +4.85%E +0.366%K +0.396%G +0.019% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.79%EV -5.15%E -5.00%K -171.69%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-03 14:14 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.47%EV +2.87%E +0.221%K +0.239%G +0.007% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 92.53%EV -3.31%E -3.15%K -66.18%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-09-03 18:10 |
| Coral🎯 | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.41%EV +2.87%E +0.221%K +0.239%G +0.007% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.59%EV -4.23%E -4.07%K -105.74%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-02 21:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.41%EV +2.87%E +0.221%K +0.239%G +0.007% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.59%EV -4.23%E -4.07%K -105.74%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-02 21:40 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV +2.87%E +0.221%K +0.239%G +0.007% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -5.15%E -5.00%K -171.69%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-03 09:06 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV +2.87%E +0.221%K +0.239%G +0.007% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -5.15%E -5.00%K -171.69%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-03 10:35 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.68%EV -1.08%E -0.087%K -0.094%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.32%EV -4.23%E -4.07%K -105.74%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-02 19:30 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.68%EV -1.08%E -0.087%K -0.094%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.32%EV -4.23%E -4.07%K -105.74%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-02 19:30 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.61%EV -1.08%E -0.087%K -0.094%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.39%EV -5.15%E -5.00%K -171.69%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-03 11:40 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.61%EV -1.08%E -0.087%K -0.094%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.39%EV -5.15%E -5.00%K -171.69%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-03 11:10 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.54%EV -1.08%E -0.087%K -0.094%G +0.000% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.46%EV -6.07%E -5.95%K -303.57%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-03 18:14 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.54%EV -1.08%E -0.087%K -0.094%G +0.000% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.46%EV -6.07%E -5.95%K -303.57%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-02 21:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.54%EV -1.08%E -0.087%K -0.094%G +0.000% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.46%EV -6.07%E -5.95%K -303.57%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-02 21:40 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 12.32I 8.12%NM 7.85%EV -2.51%E -0.204%K -0.222%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 92.15%EV -3.31%E -3.15%K -66.18%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-09-03 18:15 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV -5.04%E -0.420%K -0.458%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -4.23%E -4.07%K -105.74%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-03 07:45 |
| Bovada🎯 | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV -5.04%E -0.420%K -0.458%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -4.23%E -4.07%K -105.74%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-03 17:05 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV -5.04%E -0.420%K -0.458%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -4.23%E -4.07%K -105.74%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-03 17:25 |
| Betway🎯 | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -5.04%E -0.420%K -0.458%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -5.15%E -5.00%K -171.69%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-03 07:10 |
| 888sport🎯 | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -5.04%E -0.420%K -0.458%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -5.15%E -5.00%K -171.69%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-03 18:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -5.04%E -0.420%K -0.458%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -5.15%E -5.00%K -171.69%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-03 18:20 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -5.04%E -0.420%K -0.458%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -5.15%E -5.00%K -171.69%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-03 07:59 |
| Betsson🎯 | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -5.04%E -0.420%K -0.458%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -5.15%E -5.00%K -171.69%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-03 08:00 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -5.04%E -0.420%K -0.458%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -5.15%E -5.00%K -171.69%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-03 18:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -5.04%E -0.420%K -0.458%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -5.15%E -5.00%K -171.69%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-03 18:20 |
| Caesars🎯 | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -5.04%E -0.420%K -0.458%G +0.000% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%EV -6.07%E -5.95%K -303.57%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-02 05:31 |
| GTbets🎯 | 11.98I 8.35%NM 7.92%EV -5.20%E -0.434%K -0.474%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.08%EV -5.15%E -5.00%K -171.69%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-03 16:45 |
| Fliff🎯 | 11.80I 8.47%NM 7.96%EV -6.62%E -0.561%K -0.613%G +0.000% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.04%EV -6.07%E -5.95%K -303.57%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-03 18:20 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV -9.00%E -0.782%K -0.857%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -4.23%E -4.07%K -105.74%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-03 17:20 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV -9.00%E -0.782%K -0.857%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -4.23%E -4.07%K -105.74%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-03 17:25 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV -9.00%E -0.782%K -0.857%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -4.23%E -4.07%K -105.74%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-03 17:20 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV -9.00%E -0.782%K -0.857%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -4.23%E -4.07%K -105.74%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-03 17:20 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV -9.00%E -0.782%K -0.857%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -4.23%E -4.07%K -105.74%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-03 17:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV -9.00%E -0.782%K -0.857%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -4.23%E -4.07%K -105.74%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-03 17:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV -9.00%E -0.782%K -0.857%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -4.23%E -4.07%K -105.74%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-03 17:25 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV -9.00%E -0.782%K -0.857%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -4.23%E -4.07%K -105.74%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-03 17:20 |
| Casumo🎯 | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV -9.00%E -0.782%K -0.857%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -4.23%E -4.07%K -105.74%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-03 17:20 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV -9.00%E -0.782%K -0.857%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -4.23%E -4.07%K -105.74%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-03 17:25 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV -9.00%E -0.782%K -0.857%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -4.23%E -4.07%K -105.74%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-03 17:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV -9.00%E -0.782%K -0.857%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -4.23%E -4.07%K -105.74%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-03 17:20 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV -9.00%E -0.782%K -0.857%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -4.23%E -4.07%K -105.74%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-03 17:20 |
| betPARX🎯 | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV -9.00%E -0.782%K -0.857%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -4.23%E -4.07%K -105.74%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-03 17:20 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.07%EV -9.00%E -0.782%K -0.857%G +0.000% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 91.93%EV -6.99%E -6.92%K -699.24%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-03 17:25 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 11.25I 8.89%NM 8.54%EV -10.98%E -0.976%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.46%EV -3.31%E -3.15%K -66.18%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-03 17:53 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 11.25I 8.89%NM 8.39%EV -10.98%E -0.976%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.61%EV -5.15%E -5.00%K -171.69%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-03 07:45 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 11.20I 8.93%NM 8.50%EV -11.37%E -1.02%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.50%EV -4.23%E -4.07%K -105.74%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-03 11:10 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -12.95%E -1.18%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -4.23%E -4.07%K -105.74%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-03 17:30 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -12.95%E -1.18%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -5.15%E -5.00%K -171.69%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-03 15:05 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -12.95%E -1.18%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -5.15%E -5.00%K -171.69%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-03 07:45 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -12.95%E -1.18%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -5.15%E -5.00%K -171.69%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-03 14:40 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -12.95%E -1.18%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -5.15%E -5.00%K -171.69%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-02 21:40 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -12.95%E -1.18%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -5.15%E -5.00%K -171.69%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-03 18:20 |
| BetUS🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -12.95%E -1.18%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -5.15%E -5.00%K -171.69%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-03 13:40 |
| TAB🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -12.95%E -1.18%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 91.51%EV -6.07%E -5.95%K -303.57%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-03 18:04 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 10.40I 9.62%NM 9.17%EV -17.70%E -1.70%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.83%EV -3.31%E -3.15%K -66.18%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-03 18:20 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -20.87%E -2.09%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -3.31%E -3.15%K -66.18%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-03 18:10 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -20.87%E -2.09%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -4.23%E -4.07%K -105.74%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-03 17:05 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -20.87%E -2.09%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -4.23%E -4.07%K -105.74%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-03 11:40 |
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału
Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.
Giełdy zakładów (8)
| Bukmacher | Gospodarze | Goście | Marża ▲ | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 20.00I 5.00%NM 4.99% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 95.01% | 0.2% | 2026-09-03 18:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 19.50I 5.13%NM 5.11% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 94.89% | 0.4% | 2026-09-03 18:20 |
| Matchbook◎ | 18.50I 5.41%NM 5.37% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 94.63% | 0.6% | 2026-09-03 18:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 15.50I 6.45%NM 6.40% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 93.60% | 0.8% | 2026-09-03 18:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.60% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 93.40% | 1.0% | 2026-09-03 18:20 |
| ProphetX◎ | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.82% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 94.18% | 1.1% | 2026-09-03 18:20 |
| Kalshi◎ | 20.00I 5.00%NM 4.94% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 95.06% | 1.2% | 2026-09-03 18:20 |
| Smarkets◎ | 17.99I 5.56%NM 5.42% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 94.58% | 2.6% | 2026-09-03 18:20 |