StandaardmodelInterkwartielgemiddelde (Gecureerde Lijst)

Dane Sweeny v Lorenzo Musetti

Aanvang: 2026-09-03 19:00 UTC

Eindstand: Dane Sweeny 3–1 Lorenzo Musetti

Slotodds — de berekende kansen en verwachtingswaarde uit de laatste vóór aanvang geregistreerde odds, volgens het geselecteerde model. De wedstrijd is begonnen; dit zijn dus geen actuele cijfers. Beoordeel de betrouwbaarheid van de waarschijnlijkheidsprognoses van ieder model aan de hand van alle uitslagen van afgehandelde wedstrijden →

Wedstrijduitslag

64 wedaanbieders (21 in de analyse )

Geschatte kans op iedere uitslag volgens het model: Interkwartielgemiddelde (Gecureerde Lijst)

Dane Sweeny (Thuis)

Prognose 7.91%12.64margevrije odds
EV +18.70%
Voordeel +1.25%
Kelly +1.34%
Groei +0.250%

bij maximale odds 15.00

Verdeling van de kansschattingen van wedaanbieders
6.43%7.89%7.90%9.50%MIN.GEMIDDELDEMEDIAANMAX.
Verdeling van de odds
10.0012.0311.9915.0010.00%8.31%8.34%6.67%MIN.GEMIDDELDEMEDIAANMAX.

Lorenzo Musetti (Uit)

Prognose 92.09%1.09margevrije odds
EV -3.31%
Voordeel -3.15%
Kelly -66.18%
Groei +0.000%

bij maximale odds 1.05

Verdeling van de kansschattingen van wedaanbieders
90.50%92.11%92.10%93.57%MIN.GEMIDDELDEMEDIAANMAX.
Verdeling van de odds
1.011.031.041.0599.01%96.69%96.62%95.24%MIN.GEMIDDELDEMEDIAANMAX.

Bij de laatste odds voor de aftrap schatte Interkwartielgemiddelde (Gecureerde Lijst) voor Wedstrijduitslag: Dane Sweeny (Thuis): 7.91%; Lorenzo Musetti (Uit): 92.09%. Voor Dane Sweeny (Thuis) kwam deze schatting overeen met eerlijke decimale odds van 12.64. 13 wedaanbieders boden slotodds boven dat niveau; de beste waren 15.00, overeenkomend met een positieve verwachtingswaarde van +18.70%.

Odds van wedaanbieders (64 wedaanbieders)

Wij zijn niet verbonden aan enige wedaanbieder en ontvangen geen vergoeding voor transacties die bij hen worden verricht.

WedaanbiederThuis ▼UitMargeBijgewerkt
Sky Bet🎯15.00I 6.67%NM 6.48%EV +18.70%E +1.25%K +1.34%G +0.250%1.04I 96.15%NM 93.52%EV -4.23%E -4.07%K -105.74%G +0.000%2.8%2026-09-03 11:40
PlayUp🎯15.00I 6.67%NM 6.43%EV +18.70%E +1.25%K +1.34%G +0.250%1.03I 97.09%NM 93.57%EV -5.15%E -5.00%K -171.69%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-03 18:20
BoyleSports🎯15.00I 6.67%NM 6.43%EV +18.70%E +1.25%K +1.34%G +0.250%1.03I 97.09%NM 93.57%EV -5.15%E -5.00%K -171.69%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-02 10:55
Winamax (DE)🎯14.50I 6.90%NM 6.63%EV +14.74%E +1.02%K +1.09%G +0.161%1.03I 97.09%NM 93.37%EV -5.15%E -5.00%K -171.69%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-03 11:10
Paddy Power🎯14.00I 7.14%NM 6.91%EV +10.79%E +0.770%K +0.830%G +0.089%1.04I 96.15%NM 93.09%EV -4.23%E -4.07%K -105.74%G +0.000%3.3%2026-09-03 11:39
Tipico (DE)🎯14.00I 7.14%NM 6.73%EV +10.79%E +0.770%K +0.830%G +0.089%1.01I 99.01%NM 93.27%EV -6.99%E -6.92%K -699.24%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-02 02:59
FanDuel🎯13.80I 7.25%NM 6.95%EV +9.20%E +0.667%K +0.719%G +0.066%1.03I 97.09%NM 93.05%EV -5.15%E -5.00%K -171.69%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-03 11:40
ReBet🎯13.25I 7.55%NM 7.21%EV +4.85%E +0.366%K +0.396%G +0.019%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.79%EV -5.15%E -5.00%K -171.69%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-03 14:14
Coolbet🎯13.00I 7.69%NM 7.47%EV +2.87%E +0.221%K +0.239%G +0.007%1.05I 95.24%NM 92.53%EV -3.31%E -3.15%K -66.18%G +0.000%2.9%2026-09-03 18:10
Coral🎯13.00I 7.69%NM 7.41%EV +2.87%E +0.221%K +0.239%G +0.007%1.04I 96.15%NM 92.59%EV -4.23%E -4.07%K -105.74%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-02 21:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯13.00I 7.69%NM 7.41%EV +2.87%E +0.221%K +0.239%G +0.007%1.04I 96.15%NM 92.59%EV -4.23%E -4.07%K -105.74%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-02 21:40
Unibet (FR)🎯13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV +2.87%E +0.221%K +0.239%G +0.007%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -5.15%E -5.00%K -171.69%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-03 09:06
Winamax (FR)🎯13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV +2.87%E +0.221%K +0.239%G +0.007%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -5.15%E -5.00%K -171.69%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-03 10:35
LowVig.ag🎯12.50I 8.00%NM 7.68%EV -1.08%E -0.087%K -0.094%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 92.32%EV -4.23%E -4.07%K -105.74%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-02 19:30
BetOnline.ag🎯12.50I 8.00%NM 7.68%EV -1.08%E -0.087%K -0.094%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 92.32%EV -4.23%E -4.07%K -105.74%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-02 19:30
SportsBet🎯12.50I 8.00%NM 7.61%EV -1.08%E -0.087%K -0.094%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.39%EV -5.15%E -5.00%K -171.69%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-03 11:40
Unibet (UK)🎯12.50I 8.00%NM 7.61%EV -1.08%E -0.087%K -0.094%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.39%EV -5.15%E -5.00%K -171.69%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-03 11:10
Marathon Bet🎯12.50I 8.00%NM 7.54%EV -1.08%E -0.087%K -0.094%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 92.46%EV -6.07%E -5.95%K -303.57%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-03 18:14
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯12.50I 8.00%NM 7.54%EV -1.08%E -0.087%K -0.094%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 92.46%EV -6.07%E -5.95%K -303.57%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-02 21:40
Neds🎯12.50I 8.00%NM 7.54%EV -1.08%E -0.087%K -0.094%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 92.46%EV -6.07%E -5.95%K -303.57%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-02 21:40
Pinnacle🎯12.32I 8.12%NM 7.85%EV -2.51%E -0.204%K -0.222%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 92.15%EV -3.31%E -3.15%K -66.18%G +0.000%3.4%2026-09-03 18:15
theScore Bet🎯12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV -5.04%E -0.420%K -0.458%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -4.23%E -4.07%K -105.74%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-03 07:45
Bovada🎯12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV -5.04%E -0.420%K -0.458%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -4.23%E -4.07%K -105.74%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-03 17:05
Hard Rock Bet🎯12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV -5.04%E -0.420%K -0.458%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -4.23%E -4.07%K -105.74%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-03 17:25
Betway🎯12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -5.04%E -0.420%K -0.458%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -5.15%E -5.00%K -171.69%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-03 07:10
888sport🎯12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -5.04%E -0.420%K -0.458%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -5.15%E -5.00%K -171.69%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-03 18:20
William Hill🎯12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -5.04%E -0.420%K -0.458%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -5.15%E -5.00%K -171.69%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-03 18:20
NordicBet🎯12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -5.04%E -0.420%K -0.458%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -5.15%E -5.00%K -171.69%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-03 07:59
Betsson🎯12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -5.04%E -0.420%K -0.458%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -5.15%E -5.00%K -171.69%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-03 08:00
888sport (SE)🎯12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -5.04%E -0.420%K -0.458%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -5.15%E -5.00%K -171.69%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-03 18:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -5.04%E -0.420%K -0.458%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -5.15%E -5.00%K -171.69%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-03 18:20
Caesars🎯12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -5.04%E -0.420%K -0.458%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%EV -6.07%E -5.95%K -303.57%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-02 05:31
GTbets🎯11.98I 8.35%NM 7.92%EV -5.20%E -0.434%K -0.474%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.08%EV -5.15%E -5.00%K -171.69%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-03 16:45
Fliff🎯11.80I 8.47%NM 7.96%EV -6.62%E -0.561%K -0.613%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 92.04%EV -6.07%E -5.95%K -303.57%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-03 18:20
BetRivers🎯11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV -9.00%E -0.782%K -0.857%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -4.23%E -4.07%K -105.74%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-03 17:20
LiveScore Bet🎯11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV -9.00%E -0.782%K -0.857%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -4.23%E -4.07%K -105.74%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-03 17:25
Unibet (SE)🎯11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV -9.00%E -0.782%K -0.857%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -4.23%E -4.07%K -105.74%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-03 17:20
Virgin Bet🎯11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV -9.00%E -0.782%K -0.857%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -4.23%E -4.07%K -105.74%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-03 17:20
TABtouch🎯11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV -9.00%E -0.782%K -0.857%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -4.23%E -4.07%K -105.74%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-03 17:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV -9.00%E -0.782%K -0.857%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -4.23%E -4.07%K -105.74%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-03 17:20
Unibet🎯11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV -9.00%E -0.782%K -0.857%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -4.23%E -4.07%K -105.74%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-03 17:25
Unibet (NL)🎯11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV -9.00%E -0.782%K -0.857%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -4.23%E -4.07%K -105.74%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-03 17:20
Casumo🎯11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV -9.00%E -0.782%K -0.857%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -4.23%E -4.07%K -105.74%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-03 17:20
Grosvenor🎯11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV -9.00%E -0.782%K -0.857%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -4.23%E -4.07%K -105.74%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-03 17:25
Bally Bet🎯11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV -9.00%E -0.782%K -0.857%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -4.23%E -4.07%K -105.74%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-03 17:20
ATG (SE)🎯11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV -9.00%E -0.782%K -0.857%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -4.23%E -4.07%K -105.74%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-03 17:20
Svenska Spel🎯11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV -9.00%E -0.782%K -0.857%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -4.23%E -4.07%K -105.74%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-03 17:20
betPARX🎯11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV -9.00%E -0.782%K -0.857%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -4.23%E -4.07%K -105.74%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-03 17:20
PMU (FR)🎯11.50I 8.70%NM 8.07%EV -9.00%E -0.782%K -0.857%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 91.93%EV -6.99%E -6.92%K -699.24%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-03 17:25
Betclic (FR)🎯11.25I 8.89%NM 8.54%EV -10.98%E -0.976%K -1.07%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 91.46%EV -3.31%E -3.15%K -66.18%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-03 17:53
Betr (AU)🎯11.25I 8.89%NM 8.39%EV -10.98%E -0.976%K -1.07%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 91.61%EV -5.15%E -5.00%K -171.69%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-03 07:45
BetAnything🎯11.20I 8.93%NM 8.50%EV -11.37%E -1.02%K -1.11%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 91.50%EV -4.23%E -4.07%K -105.74%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-03 11:10
DraftKings🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -12.95%E -1.18%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -4.23%E -4.07%K -105.74%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-03 17:30
PointsBet (AU)🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -12.95%E -1.18%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -5.15%E -5.00%K -171.69%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-03 15:05
betfred_uk🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -12.95%E -1.18%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -5.15%E -5.00%K -171.69%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-03 07:45
LeoVegas🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -12.95%E -1.18%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -5.15%E -5.00%K -171.69%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-03 14:40
BetMGM🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -12.95%E -1.18%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -5.15%E -5.00%K -171.69%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-02 21:40
NetBet (FR)🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -12.95%E -1.18%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -5.15%E -5.00%K -171.69%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-03 18:20
BetUS🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -12.95%E -1.18%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -5.15%E -5.00%K -171.69%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-03 13:40
TAB🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -12.95%E -1.18%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 91.51%EV -6.07%E -5.95%K -303.57%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-03 18:04
1xBet🎯10.40I 9.62%NM 9.17%EV -17.70%E -1.70%K -1.88%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 90.83%EV -3.31%E -3.15%K -66.18%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-03 18:20
Fanatics🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -20.87%E -2.09%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -3.31%E -3.15%K -66.18%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-03 18:10
betano_uk🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -20.87%E -2.09%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -4.23%E -4.07%K -105.74%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-03 17:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -20.87%E -2.09%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -4.23%E -4.07%K -105.74%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-03 11:40
Marge = Marge · I = Impliciete kans · NM = Margevrije kans · EV = Verwachtingswaarde · E = Voordeel · K = Kelly-criterium · G = Groei van het speelkapitaal

Bijgewerkt geeft aan wanneer iedere wedaanbieder zijn odds voor het laatst wijzigde. Een ouder tijdstip betekent dus dat de odds niet zijn bewogen, niet dat ze verouderd zijn. Wedaanbieders die gedurende de laatste ongeveer 15 minuten niet zijn waargenomen, worden normaal uitgesloten; alleen wanneer de gegevensstroom van een volledige markt stilvalt, worden de laatst geregistreerde odds getoond.

Weddenschapsbeurzen (8)

WedaanbiederThuisUitMarge ▲Bijgewerkt
Novig◎20.00I 5.00%NM 4.99%1.05I 95.24%NM 95.01%0.2%2026-09-03 18:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎19.50I 5.13%NM 5.11%1.05I 95.24%NM 94.89%0.4%2026-09-03 18:20
Matchbook◎18.50I 5.41%NM 5.37%1.05I 95.24%NM 94.63%0.6%2026-09-03 18:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎15.50I 6.45%NM 6.40%1.06I 94.34%NM 93.60%0.8%2026-09-03 18:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎15.00I 6.67%NM 6.60%1.06I 94.34%NM 93.40%1.0%2026-09-03 18:20
ProphetX◎17.00I 5.88%NM 5.82%1.05I 95.24%NM 94.18%1.1%2026-09-03 18:20
Kalshi◎20.00I 5.00%NM 4.94%1.04I 96.15%NM 95.06%1.2%2026-09-03 18:20
Smarkets◎17.99I 5.56%NM 5.42%1.03I 97.09%NM 94.58%2.6%2026-09-03 18:20