Lingua:Italiano
Dane Sweeny v Lorenzo Musetti
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
Testa a testa
Dane Sweeny (Casa)
Previsione 7.91%12.64quota equa
EV +18.70%
Vantaggio +1.25%
Kelly +1.34%
Crescita +0.250%
ipotizzando la quota massima 15.00
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
6.43%7.89%7.90%9.50%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
10.0012.0311.9915.0010.00%8.31%8.34%6.67%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Lorenzo Musetti (Trasferta)
Previsione 92.09%1.09quota equa
EV -3.31%
Vantaggio -3.15%
Kelly -66.18%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.05
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
90.50%92.11%92.10%93.57%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.011.031.041.0599.01%96.69%96.62%95.24%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Dane Sweeny (Casa): 7.91%; Lorenzo Musetti (Trasferta): 92.09%. Per Dane Sweeny (Casa), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 12.64. 13 bookmaker offrivano quote di chiusura superiori a tale livello; la migliore era 15.00, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +18.70%.
Quote dei bookmaker (64 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa ▼ | Trasferta | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sky Bet🎯 | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.48%EV +18.70%E +1.25%K +1.34%G +0.250% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 93.52%EV -4.23%E -4.07%K -105.74%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-09-03 11:40 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.43%EV +18.70%E +1.25%K +1.34%G +0.250% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 93.57%EV -5.15%E -5.00%K -171.69%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-03 18:20 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.43%EV +18.70%E +1.25%K +1.34%G +0.250% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 93.57%EV -5.15%E -5.00%K -171.69%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-02 10:55 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 14.50I 6.90%NM 6.63%EV +14.74%E +1.02%K +1.09%G +0.161% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 93.37%EV -5.15%E -5.00%K -171.69%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-03 11:10 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.91%EV +10.79%E +0.770%K +0.830%G +0.089% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 93.09%EV -4.23%E -4.07%K -105.74%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-09-03 11:39 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.73%EV +10.79%E +0.770%K +0.830%G +0.089% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 93.27%EV -6.99%E -6.92%K -699.24%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-02 02:59 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 13.80I 7.25%NM 6.95%EV +9.20%E +0.667%K +0.719%G +0.066% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 93.05%EV -5.15%E -5.00%K -171.69%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-03 11:40 |
| ReBet🎯 | 13.25I 7.55%NM 7.21%EV +4.85%E +0.366%K +0.396%G +0.019% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.79%EV -5.15%E -5.00%K -171.69%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-03 14:14 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.47%EV +2.87%E +0.221%K +0.239%G +0.007% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 92.53%EV -3.31%E -3.15%K -66.18%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-09-03 18:10 |
| Coral🎯 | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.41%EV +2.87%E +0.221%K +0.239%G +0.007% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.59%EV -4.23%E -4.07%K -105.74%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-02 21:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.41%EV +2.87%E +0.221%K +0.239%G +0.007% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.59%EV -4.23%E -4.07%K -105.74%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-02 21:40 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV +2.87%E +0.221%K +0.239%G +0.007% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -5.15%E -5.00%K -171.69%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-03 09:06 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV +2.87%E +0.221%K +0.239%G +0.007% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -5.15%E -5.00%K -171.69%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-03 10:35 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.68%EV -1.08%E -0.087%K -0.094%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.32%EV -4.23%E -4.07%K -105.74%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-02 19:30 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.68%EV -1.08%E -0.087%K -0.094%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.32%EV -4.23%E -4.07%K -105.74%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-02 19:30 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.61%EV -1.08%E -0.087%K -0.094%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.39%EV -5.15%E -5.00%K -171.69%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-03 11:40 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.61%EV -1.08%E -0.087%K -0.094%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.39%EV -5.15%E -5.00%K -171.69%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-03 11:10 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.54%EV -1.08%E -0.087%K -0.094%G +0.000% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.46%EV -6.07%E -5.95%K -303.57%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-03 18:14 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.54%EV -1.08%E -0.087%K -0.094%G +0.000% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.46%EV -6.07%E -5.95%K -303.57%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-02 21:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.54%EV -1.08%E -0.087%K -0.094%G +0.000% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.46%EV -6.07%E -5.95%K -303.57%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-02 21:40 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 12.32I 8.12%NM 7.85%EV -2.51%E -0.204%K -0.222%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 92.15%EV -3.31%E -3.15%K -66.18%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-09-03 18:15 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV -5.04%E -0.420%K -0.458%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -4.23%E -4.07%K -105.74%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-03 07:45 |
| Bovada🎯 | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV -5.04%E -0.420%K -0.458%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -4.23%E -4.07%K -105.74%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-03 17:05 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV -5.04%E -0.420%K -0.458%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -4.23%E -4.07%K -105.74%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-03 17:25 |
| Betway🎯 | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -5.04%E -0.420%K -0.458%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -5.15%E -5.00%K -171.69%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-03 07:10 |
| 888sport🎯 | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -5.04%E -0.420%K -0.458%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -5.15%E -5.00%K -171.69%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-03 18:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -5.04%E -0.420%K -0.458%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -5.15%E -5.00%K -171.69%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-03 18:20 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -5.04%E -0.420%K -0.458%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -5.15%E -5.00%K -171.69%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-03 07:59 |
| Betsson🎯 | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -5.04%E -0.420%K -0.458%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -5.15%E -5.00%K -171.69%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-03 08:00 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -5.04%E -0.420%K -0.458%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -5.15%E -5.00%K -171.69%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-03 18:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -5.04%E -0.420%K -0.458%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -5.15%E -5.00%K -171.69%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-03 18:20 |
| Caesars🎯 | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -5.04%E -0.420%K -0.458%G +0.000% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%EV -6.07%E -5.95%K -303.57%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-02 05:31 |
| GTbets🎯 | 11.98I 8.35%NM 7.92%EV -5.20%E -0.434%K -0.474%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.08%EV -5.15%E -5.00%K -171.69%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-03 16:45 |
| Fliff🎯 | 11.80I 8.47%NM 7.96%EV -6.62%E -0.561%K -0.613%G +0.000% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.04%EV -6.07%E -5.95%K -303.57%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-03 18:20 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV -9.00%E -0.782%K -0.857%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -4.23%E -4.07%K -105.74%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-03 17:20 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV -9.00%E -0.782%K -0.857%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -4.23%E -4.07%K -105.74%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-03 17:25 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV -9.00%E -0.782%K -0.857%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -4.23%E -4.07%K -105.74%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-03 17:20 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV -9.00%E -0.782%K -0.857%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -4.23%E -4.07%K -105.74%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-03 17:20 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV -9.00%E -0.782%K -0.857%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -4.23%E -4.07%K -105.74%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-03 17:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV -9.00%E -0.782%K -0.857%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -4.23%E -4.07%K -105.74%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-03 17:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV -9.00%E -0.782%K -0.857%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -4.23%E -4.07%K -105.74%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-03 17:25 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV -9.00%E -0.782%K -0.857%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -4.23%E -4.07%K -105.74%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-03 17:20 |
| Casumo🎯 | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV -9.00%E -0.782%K -0.857%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -4.23%E -4.07%K -105.74%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-03 17:20 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV -9.00%E -0.782%K -0.857%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -4.23%E -4.07%K -105.74%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-03 17:25 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV -9.00%E -0.782%K -0.857%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -4.23%E -4.07%K -105.74%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-03 17:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV -9.00%E -0.782%K -0.857%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -4.23%E -4.07%K -105.74%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-03 17:20 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV -9.00%E -0.782%K -0.857%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -4.23%E -4.07%K -105.74%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-03 17:20 |
| betPARX🎯 | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV -9.00%E -0.782%K -0.857%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -4.23%E -4.07%K -105.74%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-03 17:20 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.07%EV -9.00%E -0.782%K -0.857%G +0.000% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 91.93%EV -6.99%E -6.92%K -699.24%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-03 17:25 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 11.25I 8.89%NM 8.54%EV -10.98%E -0.976%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.46%EV -3.31%E -3.15%K -66.18%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-03 17:53 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 11.25I 8.89%NM 8.39%EV -10.98%E -0.976%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.61%EV -5.15%E -5.00%K -171.69%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-03 07:45 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 11.20I 8.93%NM 8.50%EV -11.37%E -1.02%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.50%EV -4.23%E -4.07%K -105.74%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-03 11:10 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -12.95%E -1.18%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -4.23%E -4.07%K -105.74%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-03 17:30 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -12.95%E -1.18%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -5.15%E -5.00%K -171.69%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-03 15:05 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -12.95%E -1.18%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -5.15%E -5.00%K -171.69%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-03 07:45 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -12.95%E -1.18%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -5.15%E -5.00%K -171.69%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-03 14:40 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -12.95%E -1.18%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -5.15%E -5.00%K -171.69%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-02 21:40 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -12.95%E -1.18%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -5.15%E -5.00%K -171.69%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-03 18:20 |
| BetUS🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -12.95%E -1.18%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -5.15%E -5.00%K -171.69%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-03 13:40 |
| TAB🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -12.95%E -1.18%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 91.51%EV -6.07%E -5.95%K -303.57%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-03 18:04 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 10.40I 9.62%NM 9.17%EV -17.70%E -1.70%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.83%EV -3.31%E -3.15%K -66.18%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-03 18:20 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -20.87%E -2.09%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -3.31%E -3.15%K -66.18%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-03 18:10 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -20.87%E -2.09%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -4.23%E -4.07%K -105.74%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-03 17:05 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -20.87%E -2.09%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -4.23%E -4.07%K -105.74%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-03 11:40 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (8)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 20.00I 5.00%NM 4.99% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 95.01% | 0.2% | 2026-09-03 18:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 19.50I 5.13%NM 5.11% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 94.89% | 0.4% | 2026-09-03 18:20 |
| Matchbook◎ | 18.50I 5.41%NM 5.37% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 94.63% | 0.6% | 2026-09-03 18:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 15.50I 6.45%NM 6.40% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 93.60% | 0.8% | 2026-09-03 18:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.60% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 93.40% | 1.0% | 2026-09-03 18:20 |
| ProphetX◎ | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.82% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 94.18% | 1.1% | 2026-09-03 18:20 |
| Kalshi◎ | 20.00I 5.00%NM 4.94% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 95.06% | 1.2% | 2026-09-03 18:20 |
| Smarkets◎ | 17.99I 5.56%NM 5.42% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 94.58% | 2.6% | 2026-09-03 18:20 |