Language:English
Damir Dzumhur v Hubert Hurkacz
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Damir Dzumhur (Local)
Prediction 10.96%9.12fair odd
EV +11.84%
Edge +1.16%
Kelly +1.29%
Growth +0.152%
assuming max odds 10.20
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
9.42%11.01%10.82%13.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
7.008.218.0010.2014.29%12.18%12.50%9.80%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Hubert Hurkacz (Visit)
Prediction 89.04%1.12fair odd
EV -2.95%
Edge -2.71%
Kelly -32.79%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.09
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
86.63%88.99%89.18%90.58%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.041.071.081.0996.15%93.08%93.02%91.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Damir Dzumhur (Local): 10.96%; Hubert Hurkacz (Visit): 89.04%. For Damir Dzumhur (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 9.12. 7 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 10.20, corresponding to a positive expected value of +11.84%.
Sportsbook Odds (64 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings🎯 | 10.20I 9.80%NM 9.49%EV +11.84%E +1.16%K +1.29%G +0.152% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 90.51%EV -4.73%E -4.42%K -67.60%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-31 18:15 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.67%EV +9.64%E +0.964%K +1.07%G +0.103% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 90.33%EV -4.73%E -4.42%K -67.60%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-31 18:15 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV +9.64%E +0.964%K +1.07%G +0.103% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -7.40%E -7.12%K -185.08%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-31 14:35 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.21%EV +4.16%E +0.438%K +0.490%G +0.020% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 89.79%EV -3.84%E -3.56%K -48.02%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-08-31 14:25 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV +4.16%E +0.438%K +0.490%G +0.020% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -5.62%E -5.30%K -93.71%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-31 18:15 |
| ReBet🎯 | 9.40I 10.64%NM 10.22%EV +3.07%E +0.326%K +0.365%G +0.011% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.78%EV -4.73%E -4.42%K -67.60%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-31 16:20 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 9.20I 10.87%NM 10.24%EV +0.873%E +0.095%K +0.106%G +0.001% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.76%EV -6.51%E -6.20%K -130.25%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-31 18:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -1.32%E -0.147%K -0.165%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -4.73%E -4.42%K -67.60%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-31 14:25 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -1.32%E -0.147%K -0.165%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -5.62%E -5.30%K -93.71%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-31 18:05 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -1.32%E -0.147%K -0.165%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -5.62%E -5.30%K -93.71%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-31 15:05 |
| GTbets🎯 | 8.99I 11.12%NM 10.64%EV -1.43%E -0.159%K -0.179%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.36%EV -4.73%E -4.42%K -67.60%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-31 18:15 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 8.90I 11.24%NM 10.82%EV -2.42%E -0.271%K -0.306%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 89.18%EV -3.84%E -3.56%K -48.02%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-28 15:09 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 8.90I 11.24%NM 10.82%EV -2.42%E -0.271%K -0.306%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 89.18%EV -3.84%E -3.56%K -48.02%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-28 15:09 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 8.90I 11.24%NM 10.73%EV -2.42%E -0.271%K -0.306%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.27%EV -4.73%E -4.42%K -67.60%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-31 15:04 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 8.90I 11.24%NM 10.73%EV -2.42%E -0.271%K -0.306%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.27%EV -4.73%E -4.42%K -67.60%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-31 15:09 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 8.80I 11.36%NM 10.75%EV -3.51%E -0.399%K -0.450%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.25%EV -5.62%E -5.30%K -93.71%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-31 17:30 |
| Bovada🎯 | 8.75I 11.43%NM 10.90%EV -4.06%E -0.464%K -0.524%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.10%EV -4.73%E -4.42%K -67.60%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-31 14:15 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 8.75I 11.43%NM 10.71%EV -4.06%E -0.464%K -0.524%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.29%EV -6.51%E -6.20%K -130.25%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-31 17:35 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 8.55I 11.70%NM 11.12%EV -6.25%E -0.731%K -0.828%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.88%EV -4.73%E -4.42%K -67.60%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-31 18:10 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 8.51I 11.75%NM 11.35%EV -6.69%E -0.786%K -0.891%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 88.65%EV -2.95%E -2.71%K -32.79%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-31 17:40 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.27%EV -6.80%E -0.800%K -0.907%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.73%EV -3.84%E -3.56%K -48.02%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-29 19:00 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.27%EV -6.80%E -0.800%K -0.907%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.73%EV -3.84%E -3.56%K -48.02%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-31 13:10 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -6.80%E -0.800%K -0.907%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -4.73%E -4.42%K -67.60%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-31 03:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 8.47I 11.81%NM 11.12%EV -7.13%E -0.842%K -0.955%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.88%EV -5.62%E -5.30%K -93.71%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-31 14:30 |
| Betsson🎯 | 8.47I 11.81%NM 11.12%EV -7.13%E -0.842%K -0.955%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.88%EV -5.62%E -5.30%K -93.71%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-31 14:30 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 8.45I 11.83%NM 11.24%EV -7.35%E -0.870%K -0.987%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.76%EV -4.73%E -4.42%K -67.60%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-31 14:14 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 8.40I 11.90%NM 11.39%EV -7.90%E -0.940%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.61%EV -3.84%E -3.56%K -48.02%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-31 03:35 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 8.25I 12.12%NM 11.48%EV -9.54%E -1.16%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.52%EV -4.73%E -4.42%K -67.60%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-31 15:05 |
| Fliff🎯 | 8.20I 12.20%NM 11.45%EV -10.09%E -1.23%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.55%EV -5.62%E -5.30%K -93.71%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-31 18:15 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -12.28%E -1.54%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -3.84%E -3.56%K -48.02%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-31 03:30 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -12.28%E -1.54%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -3.84%E -3.56%K -48.02%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-31 03:30 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -12.28%E -1.54%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -4.73%E -4.42%K -67.60%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-31 16:55 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -12.28%E -1.54%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -4.73%E -4.42%K -67.60%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-31 16:55 |
| William Hill🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -12.28%E -1.54%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -4.73%E -4.42%K -67.60%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-31 12:40 |
| 888sport🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -12.28%E -1.54%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -5.62%E -5.30%K -93.71%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-31 12:40 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -12.28%E -1.54%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -5.62%E -5.30%K -93.71%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-31 12:40 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -12.28%E -1.54%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -5.62%E -5.30%K -93.71%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-31 12:35 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -12.28%E -1.54%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -5.62%E -5.30%K -93.71%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-31 14:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 7.75I 12.90%NM 12.23%EV -15.03%E -1.94%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.77%EV -3.84%E -3.56%K -48.02%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-31 13:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 7.75I 12.90%NM 12.23%EV -15.03%E -1.94%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.77%EV -3.84%E -3.56%K -48.02%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-31 13:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 7.60I 13.16%NM 12.24%EV -16.67%E -2.19%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 87.76%EV -5.62%E -5.30%K -93.71%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-31 18:15 |
| Unibet🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -17.77%E -2.37%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -2.95%E -2.71%K -32.79%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-31 03:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -17.77%E -2.37%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -2.95%E -2.71%K -32.79%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-31 03:40 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -17.77%E -2.37%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -2.95%E -2.71%K -32.79%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-31 03:40 |
| Casumo🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -17.77%E -2.37%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -2.95%E -2.71%K -32.79%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-31 03:40 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -17.77%E -2.37%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -2.95%E -2.71%K -32.79%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-31 03:40 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -17.77%E -2.37%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -2.95%E -2.71%K -32.79%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-31 03:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -17.77%E -2.37%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -2.95%E -2.71%K -32.79%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-31 03:40 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -17.77%E -2.37%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -2.95%E -2.71%K -32.79%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-31 03:40 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -17.77%E -2.37%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -2.95%E -2.71%K -32.79%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-31 03:40 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -17.77%E -2.37%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -2.95%E -2.71%K -32.79%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-31 03:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -17.77%E -2.37%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -2.95%E -2.71%K -32.79%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-31 03:40 |
| betPARX🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -17.77%E -2.37%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -2.95%E -2.71%K -32.79%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-31 03:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -17.77%E -2.37%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -2.95%E -2.71%K -32.79%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-31 03:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -17.77%E -2.37%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -2.95%E -2.71%K -32.79%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-31 03:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -17.77%E -2.37%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -2.95%E -2.71%K -32.79%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-31 03:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -17.77%E -2.37%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -3.84%E -3.56%K -48.02%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-31 13:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -17.77%E -2.37%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -3.84%E -3.56%K -48.02%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-31 17:30 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -17.77%E -2.37%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -3.84%E -3.56%K -48.02%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-31 13:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -17.77%E -2.37%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -3.84%E -3.56%K -48.02%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-31 13:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -17.77%E -2.37%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -3.84%E -3.56%K -48.02%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-31 18:10 |
| Caesars🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -17.77%E -2.37%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -4.73%E -4.42%K -67.60%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-28 14:26 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -17.77%E -2.37%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 87.62%EV -5.62%E -5.30%K -93.71%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-31 15:05 |
| TAB🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -23.25%E -3.32%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -3.84%E -3.56%K -48.02%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-31 15:05 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (8)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.99% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 90.01% | 0.1% | 2026-08-31 18:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.99% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 90.01% | 0.1% | 2026-08-31 18:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.99% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 90.01% | 0.1% | 2026-08-31 18:15 |
| Matchbook◎ | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.99% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 90.01% | 0.1% | 2026-08-31 18:10 |
| ProphetX◎ | 9.20I 10.87%NM 10.77% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 89.23% | 1.0% | 2026-08-31 18:15 |
| Novig◎ | 9.52I 10.50%NM 10.36% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 89.64% | 1.4% | 2026-08-31 18:15 |
| Smarkets◎ | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.83% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 90.17% | 1.7% | 2026-08-31 18:10 |
| Kalshi◎ | 9.09I 11.00%NM 10.79% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 89.21% | 1.9% | 2026-08-31 18:05 |