StandardmodellInterquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Damir Dzumhur v Hubert Hurkacz

Spielbeginn: 2026-08-31 18:21 UTC

Endstand: Damir Dzumhur 1–3 Hubert Hurkacz

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

64 Wettanbieter (21 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Damir Dzumhur (Heim)

Prognose 10.96%9.12faire Quote
EV +11.84%
Vorteil +1.16%
Kelly +1.29%
Wachstum +0.152%

bei einer Höchstquote von 10.20

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
9.42%11.01%10.82%13.37%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
7.008.218.0010.2014.29%12.18%12.50%9.80%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Hubert Hurkacz (Auswärts)

Prognose 89.04%1.12faire Quote
EV -2.95%
Vorteil -2.71%
Kelly -32.79%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.09

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
86.63%88.99%89.18%90.58%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.041.071.081.0996.15%93.08%93.02%91.74%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Bei den letzten Quoten vor Spielbeginn schätzte Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) für Direkter Vergleich: Damir Dzumhur (Heim): 10.96%; Hubert Hurkacz (Auswärts): 89.04%. Für Damir Dzumhur (Heim) entsprach diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 9.12. 7 Wettanbieter boten Schlussquoten über diesem Wert an; die beste betrug 10.20 und entsprach einem positiven Erwartungswert von +11.84%.

Wettanbieterquoten (64 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeim ▼AuswärtsMargeAktualisiert
DraftKings🎯10.20I 9.80%NM 9.49%EV +11.84%E +1.16%K +1.29%G +0.152%1.07I 93.46%NM 90.51%EV -4.73%E -4.42%K -67.60%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-31 18:15
Winamax (DE)🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.67%EV +9.64%E +0.964%K +1.07%G +0.103%1.07I 93.46%NM 90.33%EV -4.73%E -4.42%K -67.60%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-31 18:15
Tipico (DE)🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV +9.64%E +0.964%K +1.07%G +0.103%1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -7.40%E -7.12%K -185.08%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-31 14:35
Coolbet🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 10.21%EV +4.16%E +0.438%K +0.490%G +0.020%1.08I 92.59%NM 89.79%EV -3.84%E -3.56%K -48.02%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-31 14:25
Winamax (FR)🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV +4.16%E +0.438%K +0.490%G +0.020%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -5.62%E -5.30%K -93.71%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-31 18:15
ReBet🎯9.40I 10.64%NM 10.22%EV +3.07%E +0.326%K +0.365%G +0.011%1.07I 93.46%NM 89.78%EV -4.73%E -4.42%K -67.60%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-31 16:20
Betclic (FR)🎯9.20I 10.87%NM 10.24%EV +0.873%E +0.095%K +0.106%G +0.001%1.05I 95.24%NM 89.76%EV -6.51%E -6.20%K -130.25%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-31 18:00
Betway🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -1.32%E -0.147%K -0.165%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -4.73%E -4.42%K -67.60%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-31 14:25
Fanatics🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -1.32%E -0.147%K -0.165%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -5.62%E -5.30%K -93.71%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-31 18:05
Unibet (UK)🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -1.32%E -0.147%K -0.165%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -5.62%E -5.30%K -93.71%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-31 15:05
GTbets🎯8.99I 11.12%NM 10.64%EV -1.43%E -0.159%K -0.179%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 89.36%EV -4.73%E -4.42%K -67.60%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-31 18:15
BetOnline.ag🎯8.90I 11.24%NM 10.82%EV -2.42%E -0.271%K -0.306%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 89.18%EV -3.84%E -3.56%K -48.02%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-28 15:09
LowVig.ag🎯8.90I 11.24%NM 10.82%EV -2.42%E -0.271%K -0.306%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 89.18%EV -3.84%E -3.56%K -48.02%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-28 15:09
Unibet (FR)🎯8.90I 11.24%NM 10.73%EV -2.42%E -0.271%K -0.306%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 89.27%EV -4.73%E -4.42%K -67.60%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-31 15:04
MyBookie.ag🎯8.90I 11.24%NM 10.73%EV -2.42%E -0.271%K -0.306%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 89.27%EV -4.73%E -4.42%K -67.60%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-31 15:09
Marathon Bet🎯8.80I 11.36%NM 10.75%EV -3.51%E -0.399%K -0.450%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.25%EV -5.62%E -5.30%K -93.71%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-31 17:30
Bovada🎯8.75I 11.43%NM 10.90%EV -4.06%E -0.464%K -0.524%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 89.10%EV -4.73%E -4.42%K -67.60%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-31 14:15
NetBet (FR)🎯8.75I 11.43%NM 10.71%EV -4.06%E -0.464%K -0.524%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 89.29%EV -6.51%E -6.20%K -130.25%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-31 17:35
1xBet🎯8.55I 11.70%NM 11.12%EV -6.25%E -0.731%K -0.828%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.88%EV -4.73%E -4.42%K -67.60%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-31 18:10
Pinnacle🎯8.51I 11.75%NM 11.35%EV -6.69%E -0.786%K -0.891%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 88.65%EV -2.95%E -2.71%K -32.79%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-31 17:40
BoyleSports🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 11.27%EV -6.80%E -0.800%K -0.907%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.73%EV -3.84%E -3.56%K -48.02%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-29 19:00
betano_uk🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 11.27%EV -6.80%E -0.800%K -0.907%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.73%EV -3.84%E -3.56%K -48.02%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-31 13:10
SportsBet🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -6.80%E -0.800%K -0.907%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -4.73%E -4.42%K -67.60%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-31 03:30
NordicBet🎯8.47I 11.81%NM 11.12%EV -7.13%E -0.842%K -0.955%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 88.88%EV -5.62%E -5.30%K -93.71%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-31 14:30
Betsson🎯8.47I 11.81%NM 11.12%EV -7.13%E -0.842%K -0.955%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 88.88%EV -5.62%E -5.30%K -93.71%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-31 14:30
BetAnything🎯8.45I 11.83%NM 11.24%EV -7.35%E -0.870%K -0.987%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.76%EV -4.73%E -4.42%K -67.60%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-31 14:14
FanDuel🎯8.40I 11.90%NM 11.39%EV -7.90%E -0.940%K -1.07%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.61%EV -3.84%E -3.56%K -48.02%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-31 03:35
theScore Bet🎯8.25I 12.12%NM 11.48%EV -9.54%E -1.16%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.52%EV -4.73%E -4.42%K -67.60%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-31 15:05
Fliff🎯8.20I 12.20%NM 11.45%EV -10.09%E -1.23%K -1.40%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 88.55%EV -5.62%E -5.30%K -93.71%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-31 18:15
Paddy Power🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -12.28%E -1.54%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -3.84%E -3.56%K -48.02%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-31 03:30
Sky Bet🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -12.28%E -1.54%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -3.84%E -3.56%K -48.02%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-31 03:30
PointsBet (AU)🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -12.28%E -1.54%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -4.73%E -4.42%K -67.60%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-31 16:55
Betr (AU)🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -12.28%E -1.54%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -4.73%E -4.42%K -67.60%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-31 16:55
William Hill🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -12.28%E -1.54%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -4.73%E -4.42%K -67.60%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-31 12:40
888sport🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -12.28%E -1.54%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -5.62%E -5.30%K -93.71%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-31 12:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -12.28%E -1.54%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -5.62%E -5.30%K -93.71%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-31 12:40
888sport (SE)🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -12.28%E -1.54%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -5.62%E -5.30%K -93.71%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-31 12:35
betfred_uk🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -12.28%E -1.54%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -5.62%E -5.30%K -93.71%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-31 14:25
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯7.75I 12.90%NM 12.23%EV -15.03%E -1.94%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.77%EV -3.84%E -3.56%K -48.02%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-31 13:00
Neds🎯7.75I 12.90%NM 12.23%EV -15.03%E -1.94%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.77%EV -3.84%E -3.56%K -48.02%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-31 13:00
LeoVegas🎯7.60I 13.16%NM 12.24%EV -16.67%E -2.19%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 87.76%EV -5.62%E -5.30%K -93.71%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-31 18:15
Unibet🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -17.77%E -2.37%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -2.95%E -2.71%K -32.79%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-31 03:40
LiveScore Bet🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -17.77%E -2.37%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -2.95%E -2.71%K -32.79%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-31 03:40
TABtouch🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -17.77%E -2.37%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -2.95%E -2.71%K -32.79%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-31 03:40
Casumo🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -17.77%E -2.37%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -2.95%E -2.71%K -32.79%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-31 03:40
Grosvenor🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -17.77%E -2.37%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -2.95%E -2.71%K -32.79%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-31 03:40
Unibet (NL)🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -17.77%E -2.37%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -2.95%E -2.71%K -32.79%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-31 03:40
Virgin Bet🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -17.77%E -2.37%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -2.95%E -2.71%K -32.79%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-31 03:40
Svenska Spel🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -17.77%E -2.37%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -2.95%E -2.71%K -32.79%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-31 03:40
Bally Bet🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -17.77%E -2.37%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -2.95%E -2.71%K -32.79%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-31 03:40
Hard Rock Bet🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -17.77%E -2.37%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -2.95%E -2.71%K -32.79%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-31 03:40
ATG (SE)🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -17.77%E -2.37%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -2.95%E -2.71%K -32.79%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-31 03:40
betPARX🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -17.77%E -2.37%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -2.95%E -2.71%K -32.79%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-31 03:40
BetRivers🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -17.77%E -2.37%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -2.95%E -2.71%K -32.79%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-31 03:40
Unibet (SE)🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -17.77%E -2.37%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -2.95%E -2.71%K -32.79%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-31 03:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -17.77%E -2.37%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -2.95%E -2.71%K -32.79%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-31 03:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -17.77%E -2.37%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -3.84%E -3.56%K -48.02%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-31 13:00
PlayUp🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -17.77%E -2.37%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -3.84%E -3.56%K -48.02%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-31 17:30
BetMGM🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -17.77%E -2.37%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -3.84%E -3.56%K -48.02%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-31 13:00
Coral🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -17.77%E -2.37%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -3.84%E -3.56%K -48.02%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-31 13:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -17.77%E -2.37%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -3.84%E -3.56%K -48.02%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-31 18:10
Caesars🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -17.77%E -2.37%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -4.73%E -4.42%K -67.60%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-28 14:26
PMU (FR)🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -17.77%E -2.37%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 87.62%EV -5.62%E -5.30%K -93.71%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-31 15:05
TAB🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -23.25%E -3.32%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -3.84%E -3.56%K -48.02%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-31 15:05
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (8)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎10.00I 10.00%NM 9.99%1.11I 90.09%NM 90.01%0.1%2026-08-31 18:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎10.00I 10.00%NM 9.99%1.11I 90.09%NM 90.01%0.1%2026-08-31 18:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎10.00I 10.00%NM 9.99%1.11I 90.09%NM 90.01%0.1%2026-08-31 18:15
Matchbook◎10.00I 10.00%NM 9.99%1.11I 90.09%NM 90.01%0.1%2026-08-31 18:10
ProphetX◎9.20I 10.87%NM 10.77%1.11I 90.09%NM 89.23%1.0%2026-08-31 18:15
Novig◎9.52I 10.50%NM 10.36%1.10I 90.91%NM 89.64%1.4%2026-08-31 18:15
Smarkets◎10.00I 10.00%NM 9.83%1.09I 91.74%NM 90.17%1.7%2026-08-31 18:10
Kalshi◎9.09I 11.00%NM 10.79%1.10I 90.91%NM 89.21%1.9%2026-08-31 18:05