Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Damir Dzumhur v Hubert Hurkacz

Início: 2026-08-31 18:21 UTC

Final: Damir Dzumhur 1–3 Hubert Hurkacz

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

64 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Damir Dzumhur (Local)

Previsão 10.96%9.12odd justa
EV +11.84%
Vantagem +1.16%
Kelly +1.29%
Crescimento +0.152%

pressupondo odds máximas de 10.20

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
9.42%11.01%10.82%13.37%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
7.008.218.0010.2014.29%12.18%12.50%9.80%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Hubert Hurkacz (Visitante)

Previsão 89.04%1.12odd justa
EV -2.95%
Vantagem -2.71%
Kelly -32.79%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.09

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
86.63%88.99%89.18%90.58%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.041.071.081.0996.15%93.08%93.02%91.74%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Damir Dzumhur (Local): 10.96%; Hubert Hurkacz (Visitante): 89.04%. Para Damir Dzumhur (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 9.12. 7 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 10.20, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +11.84%.

Odds das casas de apostas (64 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
DraftKings🎯10.20I 9.80%NM 9.49%EV +11.84%E +1.16%K +1.29%G +0.152%1.07I 93.46%NM 90.51%EV -4.73%E -4.42%K -67.60%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-31 18:15
Winamax (DE)🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.67%EV +9.64%E +0.964%K +1.07%G +0.103%1.07I 93.46%NM 90.33%EV -4.73%E -4.42%K -67.60%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-31 18:15
Tipico (DE)🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV +9.64%E +0.964%K +1.07%G +0.103%1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -7.40%E -7.12%K -185.08%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-31 14:35
Coolbet🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 10.21%EV +4.16%E +0.438%K +0.490%G +0.020%1.08I 92.59%NM 89.79%EV -3.84%E -3.56%K -48.02%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-31 14:25
Winamax (FR)🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV +4.16%E +0.438%K +0.490%G +0.020%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -5.62%E -5.30%K -93.71%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-31 18:15
ReBet🎯9.40I 10.64%NM 10.22%EV +3.07%E +0.326%K +0.365%G +0.011%1.07I 93.46%NM 89.78%EV -4.73%E -4.42%K -67.60%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-31 16:20
Betclic (FR)🎯9.20I 10.87%NM 10.24%EV +0.873%E +0.095%K +0.106%G +0.001%1.05I 95.24%NM 89.76%EV -6.51%E -6.20%K -130.25%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-31 18:00
Betway🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -1.32%E -0.147%K -0.165%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -4.73%E -4.42%K -67.60%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-31 14:25
Fanatics🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -1.32%E -0.147%K -0.165%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -5.62%E -5.30%K -93.71%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-31 18:05
Unibet (UK)🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -1.32%E -0.147%K -0.165%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -5.62%E -5.30%K -93.71%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-31 15:05
GTbets🎯8.99I 11.12%NM 10.64%EV -1.43%E -0.159%K -0.179%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 89.36%EV -4.73%E -4.42%K -67.60%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-31 18:15
BetOnline.ag🎯8.90I 11.24%NM 10.82%EV -2.42%E -0.271%K -0.306%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 89.18%EV -3.84%E -3.56%K -48.02%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-28 15:09
LowVig.ag🎯8.90I 11.24%NM 10.82%EV -2.42%E -0.271%K -0.306%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 89.18%EV -3.84%E -3.56%K -48.02%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-28 15:09
Unibet (FR)🎯8.90I 11.24%NM 10.73%EV -2.42%E -0.271%K -0.306%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 89.27%EV -4.73%E -4.42%K -67.60%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-31 15:04
MyBookie.ag🎯8.90I 11.24%NM 10.73%EV -2.42%E -0.271%K -0.306%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 89.27%EV -4.73%E -4.42%K -67.60%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-31 15:09
Marathon Bet🎯8.80I 11.36%NM 10.75%EV -3.51%E -0.399%K -0.450%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.25%EV -5.62%E -5.30%K -93.71%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-31 17:30
Bovada🎯8.75I 11.43%NM 10.90%EV -4.06%E -0.464%K -0.524%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 89.10%EV -4.73%E -4.42%K -67.60%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-31 14:15
NetBet (FR)🎯8.75I 11.43%NM 10.71%EV -4.06%E -0.464%K -0.524%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 89.29%EV -6.51%E -6.20%K -130.25%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-31 17:35
1xBet🎯8.55I 11.70%NM 11.12%EV -6.25%E -0.731%K -0.828%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.88%EV -4.73%E -4.42%K -67.60%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-31 18:10
Pinnacle🎯8.51I 11.75%NM 11.35%EV -6.69%E -0.786%K -0.891%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 88.65%EV -2.95%E -2.71%K -32.79%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-31 17:40
BoyleSports🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 11.27%EV -6.80%E -0.800%K -0.907%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.73%EV -3.84%E -3.56%K -48.02%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-29 19:00
betano_uk🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 11.27%EV -6.80%E -0.800%K -0.907%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.73%EV -3.84%E -3.56%K -48.02%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-31 13:10
SportsBet🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -6.80%E -0.800%K -0.907%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -4.73%E -4.42%K -67.60%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-31 03:30
NordicBet🎯8.47I 11.81%NM 11.12%EV -7.13%E -0.842%K -0.955%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 88.88%EV -5.62%E -5.30%K -93.71%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-31 14:30
Betsson🎯8.47I 11.81%NM 11.12%EV -7.13%E -0.842%K -0.955%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 88.88%EV -5.62%E -5.30%K -93.71%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-31 14:30
BetAnything🎯8.45I 11.83%NM 11.24%EV -7.35%E -0.870%K -0.987%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.76%EV -4.73%E -4.42%K -67.60%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-31 14:14
FanDuel🎯8.40I 11.90%NM 11.39%EV -7.90%E -0.940%K -1.07%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.61%EV -3.84%E -3.56%K -48.02%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-31 03:35
theScore Bet🎯8.25I 12.12%NM 11.48%EV -9.54%E -1.16%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.52%EV -4.73%E -4.42%K -67.60%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-31 15:05
Fliff🎯8.20I 12.20%NM 11.45%EV -10.09%E -1.23%K -1.40%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 88.55%EV -5.62%E -5.30%K -93.71%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-31 18:15
Paddy Power🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -12.28%E -1.54%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -3.84%E -3.56%K -48.02%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-31 03:30
Sky Bet🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -12.28%E -1.54%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -3.84%E -3.56%K -48.02%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-31 03:30
PointsBet (AU)🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -12.28%E -1.54%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -4.73%E -4.42%K -67.60%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-31 16:55
Betr (AU)🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -12.28%E -1.54%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -4.73%E -4.42%K -67.60%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-31 16:55
William Hill🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -12.28%E -1.54%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -4.73%E -4.42%K -67.60%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-31 12:40
888sport🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -12.28%E -1.54%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -5.62%E -5.30%K -93.71%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-31 12:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -12.28%E -1.54%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -5.62%E -5.30%K -93.71%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-31 12:40
888sport (SE)🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -12.28%E -1.54%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -5.62%E -5.30%K -93.71%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-31 12:35
betfred_uk🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -12.28%E -1.54%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -5.62%E -5.30%K -93.71%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-31 14:25
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯7.75I 12.90%NM 12.23%EV -15.03%E -1.94%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.77%EV -3.84%E -3.56%K -48.02%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-31 13:00
Neds🎯7.75I 12.90%NM 12.23%EV -15.03%E -1.94%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.77%EV -3.84%E -3.56%K -48.02%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-31 13:00
LeoVegas🎯7.60I 13.16%NM 12.24%EV -16.67%E -2.19%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 87.76%EV -5.62%E -5.30%K -93.71%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-31 18:15
Unibet🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -17.77%E -2.37%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -2.95%E -2.71%K -32.79%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-31 03:40
LiveScore Bet🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -17.77%E -2.37%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -2.95%E -2.71%K -32.79%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-31 03:40
TABtouch🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -17.77%E -2.37%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -2.95%E -2.71%K -32.79%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-31 03:40
Casumo🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -17.77%E -2.37%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -2.95%E -2.71%K -32.79%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-31 03:40
Grosvenor🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -17.77%E -2.37%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -2.95%E -2.71%K -32.79%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-31 03:40
Unibet (NL)🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -17.77%E -2.37%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -2.95%E -2.71%K -32.79%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-31 03:40
Virgin Bet🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -17.77%E -2.37%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -2.95%E -2.71%K -32.79%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-31 03:40
Svenska Spel🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -17.77%E -2.37%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -2.95%E -2.71%K -32.79%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-31 03:40
Bally Bet🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -17.77%E -2.37%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -2.95%E -2.71%K -32.79%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-31 03:40
Hard Rock Bet🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -17.77%E -2.37%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -2.95%E -2.71%K -32.79%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-31 03:40
ATG (SE)🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -17.77%E -2.37%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -2.95%E -2.71%K -32.79%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-31 03:40
betPARX🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -17.77%E -2.37%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -2.95%E -2.71%K -32.79%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-31 03:40
BetRivers🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -17.77%E -2.37%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -2.95%E -2.71%K -32.79%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-31 03:40
Unibet (SE)🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -17.77%E -2.37%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -2.95%E -2.71%K -32.79%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-31 03:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -17.77%E -2.37%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -2.95%E -2.71%K -32.79%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-31 03:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -17.77%E -2.37%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -3.84%E -3.56%K -48.02%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-31 13:00
PlayUp🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -17.77%E -2.37%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -3.84%E -3.56%K -48.02%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-31 17:30
BetMGM🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -17.77%E -2.37%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -3.84%E -3.56%K -48.02%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-31 13:00
Coral🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -17.77%E -2.37%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -3.84%E -3.56%K -48.02%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-31 13:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -17.77%E -2.37%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -3.84%E -3.56%K -48.02%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-31 18:10
Caesars🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -17.77%E -2.37%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -4.73%E -4.42%K -67.60%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-28 14:26
PMU (FR)🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -17.77%E -2.37%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 87.62%EV -5.62%E -5.30%K -93.71%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-31 15:05
TAB🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -23.25%E -3.32%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -3.84%E -3.56%K -48.02%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-31 15:05
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (8)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎10.00I 10.00%NM 9.99%1.11I 90.09%NM 90.01%0.1%2026-08-31 18:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎10.00I 10.00%NM 9.99%1.11I 90.09%NM 90.01%0.1%2026-08-31 18:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎10.00I 10.00%NM 9.99%1.11I 90.09%NM 90.01%0.1%2026-08-31 18:15
Matchbook◎10.00I 10.00%NM 9.99%1.11I 90.09%NM 90.01%0.1%2026-08-31 18:10
ProphetX◎9.20I 10.87%NM 10.77%1.11I 90.09%NM 89.23%1.0%2026-08-31 18:15
Novig◎9.52I 10.50%NM 10.36%1.10I 90.91%NM 89.64%1.4%2026-08-31 18:15
Smarkets◎10.00I 10.00%NM 9.83%1.09I 91.74%NM 90.17%1.7%2026-08-31 18:10
Kalshi◎9.09I 11.00%NM 10.79%1.10I 90.91%NM 89.21%1.9%2026-08-31 18:05