Langue:Français
Damir Dzumhur v Hubert Hurkacz
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Damir Dzumhur (Local)
Prévision 10.96%9.12cote équitable
EV +11.84%
Avantage +1.16%
Kelly +1.29%
Croissance +0.152%
avec la cote maximale 10.20
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
9.42%11.01%10.82%13.37%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
7.008.218.0010.2014.29%12.18%12.50%9.80%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Hubert Hurkacz (Visiteur)
Prévision 89.04%1.12cote équitable
EV -2.95%
Avantage -2.71%
Kelly -32.79%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.09
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
86.63%88.99%89.18%90.58%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.041.071.081.0996.15%93.08%93.02%91.74%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Damir Dzumhur (Local) : 10.96% ; Hubert Hurkacz (Visiteur) : 89.04%. Pour Damir Dzumhur (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 9.12. 7 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 10.20, soit une espérance positive de +11.84%.
Cotes des opérateurs (64 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings🎯 | 10.20I 9.80%NM 9.49%EV +11.84%E +1.16%K +1.29%G +0.152% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 90.51%EV -4.73%E -4.42%K -67.60%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-31 18:15 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.67%EV +9.64%E +0.964%K +1.07%G +0.103% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 90.33%EV -4.73%E -4.42%K -67.60%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-31 18:15 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV +9.64%E +0.964%K +1.07%G +0.103% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -7.40%E -7.12%K -185.08%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-31 14:35 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.21%EV +4.16%E +0.438%K +0.490%G +0.020% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 89.79%EV -3.84%E -3.56%K -48.02%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-08-31 14:25 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV +4.16%E +0.438%K +0.490%G +0.020% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -5.62%E -5.30%K -93.71%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-31 18:15 |
| ReBet🎯 | 9.40I 10.64%NM 10.22%EV +3.07%E +0.326%K +0.365%G +0.011% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.78%EV -4.73%E -4.42%K -67.60%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-31 16:20 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 9.20I 10.87%NM 10.24%EV +0.873%E +0.095%K +0.106%G +0.001% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.76%EV -6.51%E -6.20%K -130.25%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-31 18:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -1.32%E -0.147%K -0.165%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -4.73%E -4.42%K -67.60%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-31 14:25 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -1.32%E -0.147%K -0.165%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -5.62%E -5.30%K -93.71%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-31 18:05 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -1.32%E -0.147%K -0.165%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -5.62%E -5.30%K -93.71%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-31 15:05 |
| GTbets🎯 | 8.99I 11.12%NM 10.64%EV -1.43%E -0.159%K -0.179%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.36%EV -4.73%E -4.42%K -67.60%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-31 18:15 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 8.90I 11.24%NM 10.82%EV -2.42%E -0.271%K -0.306%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 89.18%EV -3.84%E -3.56%K -48.02%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-28 15:09 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 8.90I 11.24%NM 10.82%EV -2.42%E -0.271%K -0.306%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 89.18%EV -3.84%E -3.56%K -48.02%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-28 15:09 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 8.90I 11.24%NM 10.73%EV -2.42%E -0.271%K -0.306%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.27%EV -4.73%E -4.42%K -67.60%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-31 15:04 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 8.90I 11.24%NM 10.73%EV -2.42%E -0.271%K -0.306%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.27%EV -4.73%E -4.42%K -67.60%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-31 15:09 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 8.80I 11.36%NM 10.75%EV -3.51%E -0.399%K -0.450%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.25%EV -5.62%E -5.30%K -93.71%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-31 17:30 |
| Bovada🎯 | 8.75I 11.43%NM 10.90%EV -4.06%E -0.464%K -0.524%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.10%EV -4.73%E -4.42%K -67.60%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-31 14:15 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 8.75I 11.43%NM 10.71%EV -4.06%E -0.464%K -0.524%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.29%EV -6.51%E -6.20%K -130.25%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-31 17:35 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 8.55I 11.70%NM 11.12%EV -6.25%E -0.731%K -0.828%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.88%EV -4.73%E -4.42%K -67.60%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-31 18:10 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 8.51I 11.75%NM 11.35%EV -6.69%E -0.786%K -0.891%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 88.65%EV -2.95%E -2.71%K -32.79%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-31 17:40 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.27%EV -6.80%E -0.800%K -0.907%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.73%EV -3.84%E -3.56%K -48.02%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-29 19:00 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.27%EV -6.80%E -0.800%K -0.907%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.73%EV -3.84%E -3.56%K -48.02%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-31 13:10 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -6.80%E -0.800%K -0.907%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -4.73%E -4.42%K -67.60%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-31 03:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 8.47I 11.81%NM 11.12%EV -7.13%E -0.842%K -0.955%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.88%EV -5.62%E -5.30%K -93.71%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-31 14:30 |
| Betsson🎯 | 8.47I 11.81%NM 11.12%EV -7.13%E -0.842%K -0.955%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.88%EV -5.62%E -5.30%K -93.71%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-31 14:30 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 8.45I 11.83%NM 11.24%EV -7.35%E -0.870%K -0.987%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.76%EV -4.73%E -4.42%K -67.60%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-31 14:14 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 8.40I 11.90%NM 11.39%EV -7.90%E -0.940%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.61%EV -3.84%E -3.56%K -48.02%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-31 03:35 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 8.25I 12.12%NM 11.48%EV -9.54%E -1.16%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.52%EV -4.73%E -4.42%K -67.60%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-31 15:05 |
| Fliff🎯 | 8.20I 12.20%NM 11.45%EV -10.09%E -1.23%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.55%EV -5.62%E -5.30%K -93.71%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-31 18:15 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -12.28%E -1.54%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -3.84%E -3.56%K -48.02%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-31 03:30 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -12.28%E -1.54%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -3.84%E -3.56%K -48.02%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-31 03:30 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -12.28%E -1.54%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -4.73%E -4.42%K -67.60%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-31 16:55 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -12.28%E -1.54%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -4.73%E -4.42%K -67.60%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-31 16:55 |
| William Hill🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -12.28%E -1.54%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -4.73%E -4.42%K -67.60%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-31 12:40 |
| 888sport🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -12.28%E -1.54%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -5.62%E -5.30%K -93.71%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-31 12:40 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -12.28%E -1.54%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -5.62%E -5.30%K -93.71%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-31 12:40 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -12.28%E -1.54%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -5.62%E -5.30%K -93.71%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-31 12:35 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -12.28%E -1.54%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -5.62%E -5.30%K -93.71%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-31 14:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 7.75I 12.90%NM 12.23%EV -15.03%E -1.94%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.77%EV -3.84%E -3.56%K -48.02%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-31 13:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 7.75I 12.90%NM 12.23%EV -15.03%E -1.94%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.77%EV -3.84%E -3.56%K -48.02%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-31 13:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 7.60I 13.16%NM 12.24%EV -16.67%E -2.19%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 87.76%EV -5.62%E -5.30%K -93.71%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-31 18:15 |
| Unibet🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -17.77%E -2.37%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -2.95%E -2.71%K -32.79%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-31 03:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -17.77%E -2.37%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -2.95%E -2.71%K -32.79%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-31 03:40 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -17.77%E -2.37%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -2.95%E -2.71%K -32.79%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-31 03:40 |
| Casumo🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -17.77%E -2.37%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -2.95%E -2.71%K -32.79%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-31 03:40 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -17.77%E -2.37%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -2.95%E -2.71%K -32.79%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-31 03:40 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -17.77%E -2.37%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -2.95%E -2.71%K -32.79%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-31 03:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -17.77%E -2.37%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -2.95%E -2.71%K -32.79%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-31 03:40 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -17.77%E -2.37%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -2.95%E -2.71%K -32.79%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-31 03:40 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -17.77%E -2.37%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -2.95%E -2.71%K -32.79%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-31 03:40 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -17.77%E -2.37%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -2.95%E -2.71%K -32.79%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-31 03:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -17.77%E -2.37%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -2.95%E -2.71%K -32.79%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-31 03:40 |
| betPARX🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -17.77%E -2.37%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -2.95%E -2.71%K -32.79%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-31 03:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -17.77%E -2.37%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -2.95%E -2.71%K -32.79%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-31 03:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -17.77%E -2.37%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -2.95%E -2.71%K -32.79%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-31 03:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -17.77%E -2.37%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -2.95%E -2.71%K -32.79%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-31 03:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -17.77%E -2.37%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -3.84%E -3.56%K -48.02%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-31 13:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -17.77%E -2.37%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -3.84%E -3.56%K -48.02%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-31 17:30 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -17.77%E -2.37%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -3.84%E -3.56%K -48.02%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-31 13:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -17.77%E -2.37%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -3.84%E -3.56%K -48.02%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-31 13:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -17.77%E -2.37%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -3.84%E -3.56%K -48.02%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-31 18:10 |
| Caesars🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -17.77%E -2.37%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -4.73%E -4.42%K -67.60%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-28 14:26 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -17.77%E -2.37%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 87.62%EV -5.62%E -5.30%K -93.71%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-31 15:05 |
| TAB🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -23.25%E -3.32%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -3.84%E -3.56%K -48.02%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-31 15:05 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (8)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.99% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 90.01% | 0.1% | 2026-08-31 18:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.99% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 90.01% | 0.1% | 2026-08-31 18:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.99% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 90.01% | 0.1% | 2026-08-31 18:15 |
| Matchbook◎ | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.99% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 90.01% | 0.1% | 2026-08-31 18:10 |
| ProphetX◎ | 9.20I 10.87%NM 10.77% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 89.23% | 1.0% | 2026-08-31 18:15 |
| Novig◎ | 9.52I 10.50%NM 10.36% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 89.64% | 1.4% | 2026-08-31 18:15 |
| Smarkets◎ | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.83% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 90.17% | 1.7% | 2026-08-31 18:10 |
| Kalshi◎ | 9.09I 11.00%NM 10.79% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 89.21% | 1.9% | 2026-08-31 18:05 |