Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Brandon Nakashima v Sebastian Baez

Início: 2026-08-31 19:15 UTC

Final: Brandon Nakashima 3–0 Sebastian Baez

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

63 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Brandon Nakashima (Local)

Previsão 84.59%1.18odd justa
EV -2.72%
Vantagem -2.36%
Kelly -18.11%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.15

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
82.84%84.67%84.58%86.42%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.071.121.121.1593.46%89.50%89.29%86.96%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Sebastian Baez (Visitante)

Previsão 15.41%6.49odd justa
EV +7.84%
Vantagem +1.12%
Kelly +1.31%
Crescimento +0.102%

pressupondo odds máximas de 7.00

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
13.58%15.33%15.42%17.16%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
5.556.326.207.0018.02%15.82%16.13%14.29%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Brandon Nakashima (Local): 84.59%; Sebastian Baez (Visitante): 15.41%. Para Sebastian Baez (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 6.49. 22 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 7.00, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +7.84%.

Odds das casas de apostas (63 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
Unibet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -6.95%E -6.31%K -69.46%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +7.84%E +1.12%K +1.31%G +0.102%5.2%2026-08-31 12:35
LiveScore Bet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -6.95%E -6.31%K -69.46%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +7.84%E +1.12%K +1.31%G +0.102%5.2%2026-08-31 12:36
TABtouch🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -6.95%E -6.31%K -69.46%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +7.84%E +1.12%K +1.31%G +0.102%5.2%2026-08-31 12:30
Casumo🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -6.95%E -6.31%K -69.46%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +7.84%E +1.12%K +1.31%G +0.102%5.2%2026-08-31 12:35
Grosvenor🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -6.95%E -6.31%K -69.46%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +7.84%E +1.12%K +1.31%G +0.102%5.2%2026-08-31 12:35
Unibet (NL)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -6.95%E -6.31%K -69.46%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +7.84%E +1.12%K +1.31%G +0.102%5.2%2026-08-31 12:35
Virgin Bet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -6.95%E -6.31%K -69.46%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +7.84%E +1.12%K +1.31%G +0.102%5.2%2026-08-31 12:30
Svenska Spel🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -6.95%E -6.31%K -69.46%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +7.84%E +1.12%K +1.31%G +0.102%5.2%2026-08-31 12:36
Bally Bet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -6.95%E -6.31%K -69.46%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +7.84%E +1.12%K +1.31%G +0.102%5.2%2026-08-31 12:35
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -6.95%E -6.31%K -69.46%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +7.84%E +1.12%K +1.31%G +0.102%5.2%2026-08-31 12:35
ATG (SE)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -6.95%E -6.31%K -69.46%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +7.84%E +1.12%K +1.31%G +0.102%5.2%2026-08-31 12:36
betPARX🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -6.95%E -6.31%K -69.46%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +7.84%E +1.12%K +1.31%G +0.102%5.2%2026-08-31 12:35
BetRivers🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -6.95%E -6.31%K -69.46%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +7.84%E +1.12%K +1.31%G +0.102%5.2%2026-08-31 12:35
Unibet (SE)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -6.95%E -6.31%K -69.46%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +7.84%E +1.12%K +1.31%G +0.102%5.2%2026-08-31 12:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -6.95%E -6.31%K -69.46%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +7.84%E +1.12%K +1.31%G +0.102%5.2%2026-08-31 12:35
PMU (FR)🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 86.32%EV -9.48%E -8.86%K -135.49%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.68%EV +3.99%E +0.591%K +0.694%G +0.028%8.3%2026-08-31 12:35
Pinnacle🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 85.14%EV -3.56%E -3.12%K -25.45%G +0.000%6.53I 15.31%NM 14.86%EV +0.599%E +0.092%K +0.108%G +0.001%3.0%2026-08-31 18:30
Coolbet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 85.08%EV -3.56%E -3.12%K -25.45%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.92%EV +0.136%E +0.021%K +0.025%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-31 19:10
ReBet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 85.19%EV -4.41%E -3.90%K -33.91%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.81%EV +0.136%E +0.021%K +0.025%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-31 15:35
Winamax (DE)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 85.19%EV -4.41%E -3.90%K -33.91%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.81%EV +0.136%E +0.021%K +0.025%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-31 15:04
betano_uk🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 85.19%EV -4.41%E -3.90%K -33.91%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.81%EV +0.136%E +0.021%K +0.025%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-31 19:04
Tipico (DE)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -6.95%E -6.31%K -69.46%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV +0.136%E +0.021%K +0.025%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-31 15:05
GTbets🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 84.92%EV -3.56%E -3.12%K -25.45%G +0.000%6.42I 15.58%NM 15.08%EV -1.10%E -0.171%K -0.202%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-31 12:35
Marathon Bet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.22%EV -6.10%E -5.50%K -55.46%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.78%EV -1.40%E -0.219%K -0.260%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-31 19:00
Betclic (FR)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.22%EV -6.10%E -5.50%K -55.46%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.78%EV -1.40%E -0.219%K -0.260%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-31 19:05
NetBet (FR)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.14%EV -6.95%E -6.31%K -69.46%G +0.000%6.30I 15.87%NM 14.86%EV -2.94%E -0.467%K -0.556%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-31 19:00
Winamax (FR)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.69%EV -4.41%E -3.90%K -33.91%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.31%EV -3.71%E -0.594%K -0.708%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-31 15:05
Bovada🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -5.25%E -4.69%K -43.79%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -3.71%E -0.594%K -0.708%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-31 17:30
Fanatics🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -5.25%E -4.69%K -43.79%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -3.71%E -0.594%K -0.708%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-31 19:00
TAB🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.03%EV -6.95%E -6.31%K -69.46%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.97%EV -3.71%E -0.594%K -0.708%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-31 03:40
BetOnline.ag🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 84.47%EV -3.56%E -3.12%K -25.45%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.53%EV -4.49%E -0.723%K -0.863%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-31 19:05
LowVig.ag🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 84.47%EV -3.56%E -3.12%K -25.45%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.53%EV -4.49%E -0.723%K -0.863%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-31 19:05
FanDuel🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.58%EV -4.41%E -3.90%K -33.91%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.42%EV -4.49%E -0.723%K -0.863%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-30 11:14
Unibet (FR)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.70%EV -5.25%E -4.69%K -43.79%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.30%EV -4.49%E -0.723%K -0.863%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-31 15:04
MyBookie.ag🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.70%EV -5.25%E -4.69%K -43.79%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.30%EV -4.49%E -0.723%K -0.863%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-31 15:09
Betsson🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.58%EV -6.10%E -5.50%K -55.46%G +0.000%6.09I 16.42%NM 15.42%EV -6.18%E -1.01%K -1.21%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-31 15:05
NordicBet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.58%EV -6.10%E -5.50%K -55.46%G +0.000%6.09I 16.42%NM 15.42%EV -6.18%E -1.01%K -1.21%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-31 15:05
SportsBet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.26%EV -4.41%E -3.90%K -33.91%G +0.000%6.05I 16.53%NM 15.74%EV -6.80%E -1.12%K -1.35%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-30 16:10
BoyleSports🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -3.56%E -3.12%K -25.45%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV -7.57%E -1.26%K -1.51%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-29 18:56
Sky Bet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.41%E -3.90%K -33.91%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -7.57%E -1.26%K -1.51%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-29 21:25
BetAnything🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.41%E -3.90%K -33.91%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -7.57%E -1.26%K -1.51%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-31 19:05
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.25%E -4.69%K -43.79%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -7.57%E -1.26%K -1.51%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-31 19:00
LeoVegas🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.25%E -4.69%K -43.79%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -7.57%E -1.26%K -1.51%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-31 19:10
Betr (AU)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.25%E -4.69%K -43.79%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -7.57%E -1.26%K -1.51%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-31 19:11
888sport🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.25%E -4.69%K -43.79%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -7.57%E -1.26%K -1.51%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-31 13:10
Betway🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.25%E -4.69%K -43.79%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -7.57%E -1.26%K -1.51%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-31 04:35
theScore Bet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.25%E -4.69%K -43.79%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -7.57%E -1.26%K -1.51%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-31 15:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.25%E -4.69%K -43.79%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -7.57%E -1.26%K -1.51%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-31 13:10
888sport (SE)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.25%E -4.69%K -43.79%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -7.57%E -1.26%K -1.51%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-31 13:10
Paddy Power🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.25%E -4.69%K -43.79%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -7.57%E -1.26%K -1.51%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-29 21:25
William Hill🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.25%E -4.69%K -43.79%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -7.57%E -1.26%K -1.51%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-31 13:10
Unibet (UK)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.25%E -4.69%K -43.79%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -7.57%E -1.26%K -1.51%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-31 15:05
betfred_uk🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.25%E -4.69%K -43.79%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -7.57%E -1.26%K -1.51%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-31 08:35
Caesars🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -6.10%E -5.50%K -55.46%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -7.57%E -1.26%K -1.51%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-31 15:06
Fliff🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.28%EV -6.10%E -5.50%K -55.46%G +0.000%5.95I 16.81%NM 15.72%EV -8.34%E -1.40%K -1.68%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-31 19:10
DraftKings🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 83.93%EV -4.41%E -3.90%K -33.91%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.07%EV -9.11%E -1.54%K -1.86%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-31 12:55
PlayUp🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -4.41%E -3.90%K -33.91%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -11.42%E -1.99%K -2.40%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-31 18:25
BetMGM🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -4.41%E -3.90%K -33.91%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -11.42%E -1.99%K -2.40%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-31 14:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.70%EV -5.25%E -4.69%K -43.79%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -11.42%E -1.99%K -2.40%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-31 14:55
Coral🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.70%EV -5.25%E -4.69%K -43.79%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -11.42%E -1.99%K -2.40%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-31 14:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -3.56%E -3.12%K -25.45%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -13.73%E -2.45%K -2.98%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-31 14:55
Neds🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -3.56%E -3.12%K -25.45%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -13.73%E -2.45%K -2.98%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-31 14:55
1xBet🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.84%EV -2.72%E -2.36%K -18.11%G +0.000%5.55I 18.02%NM 17.16%EV -14.50%E -2.61%K -3.19%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-31 19:05
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (8)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.14I 87.72%NM 87.25%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.75%0.5%2026-08-31 19:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.14I 87.72%NM 87.25%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.75%0.5%2026-08-31 19:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.14I 87.72%NM 87.25%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.75%0.5%2026-08-31 19:05
Matchbook◎1.14I 87.72%NM 87.25%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.75%0.5%2026-08-31 19:05
Novig◎1.16I 86.21%NM 85.61%6.90I 14.49%NM 14.39%0.7%2026-08-31 18:30
Kalshi◎1.15I 86.96%NM 86.13%7.14I 14.01%NM 13.87%1.0%2026-08-31 15:20
ProphetX◎1.14I 87.72%NM 86.65%7.40I 13.51%NM 13.35%1.2%2026-08-31 19:10
Smarkets◎1.13I 88.50%NM 87.06%7.60I 13.16%NM 12.94%1.7%2026-08-31 19:10