Langue:Français
Brandon Nakashima v Sebastian Baez
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Brandon Nakashima (Local)
Prévision 84.59%1.18cote équitable
EV -2.72%
Avantage -2.36%
Kelly -18.11%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.15
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
82.84%84.67%84.58%86.42%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.071.121.121.1593.46%89.50%89.29%86.96%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Sebastian Baez (Visiteur)
Prévision 15.41%6.49cote équitable
EV +7.84%
Avantage +1.12%
Kelly +1.31%
Croissance +0.102%
avec la cote maximale 7.00
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
13.58%15.33%15.42%17.16%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
5.556.326.207.0018.02%15.82%16.13%14.29%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Brandon Nakashima (Local) : 84.59% ; Sebastian Baez (Visiteur) : 15.41%. Pour Sebastian Baez (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 6.49. 22 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 7.00, soit une espérance positive de +7.84%.
Cotes des opérateurs (63 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -6.95%E -6.31%K -69.46%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +7.84%E +1.12%K +1.31%G +0.102% | 5.2% | 2026-08-31 12:35 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -6.95%E -6.31%K -69.46%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +7.84%E +1.12%K +1.31%G +0.102% | 5.2% | 2026-08-31 12:36 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -6.95%E -6.31%K -69.46%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +7.84%E +1.12%K +1.31%G +0.102% | 5.2% | 2026-08-31 12:30 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -6.95%E -6.31%K -69.46%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +7.84%E +1.12%K +1.31%G +0.102% | 5.2% | 2026-08-31 12:35 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -6.95%E -6.31%K -69.46%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +7.84%E +1.12%K +1.31%G +0.102% | 5.2% | 2026-08-31 12:35 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -6.95%E -6.31%K -69.46%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +7.84%E +1.12%K +1.31%G +0.102% | 5.2% | 2026-08-31 12:35 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -6.95%E -6.31%K -69.46%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +7.84%E +1.12%K +1.31%G +0.102% | 5.2% | 2026-08-31 12:30 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -6.95%E -6.31%K -69.46%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +7.84%E +1.12%K +1.31%G +0.102% | 5.2% | 2026-08-31 12:36 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -6.95%E -6.31%K -69.46%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +7.84%E +1.12%K +1.31%G +0.102% | 5.2% | 2026-08-31 12:35 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -6.95%E -6.31%K -69.46%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +7.84%E +1.12%K +1.31%G +0.102% | 5.2% | 2026-08-31 12:35 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -6.95%E -6.31%K -69.46%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +7.84%E +1.12%K +1.31%G +0.102% | 5.2% | 2026-08-31 12:36 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -6.95%E -6.31%K -69.46%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +7.84%E +1.12%K +1.31%G +0.102% | 5.2% | 2026-08-31 12:35 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -6.95%E -6.31%K -69.46%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +7.84%E +1.12%K +1.31%G +0.102% | 5.2% | 2026-08-31 12:35 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -6.95%E -6.31%K -69.46%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +7.84%E +1.12%K +1.31%G +0.102% | 5.2% | 2026-08-31 12:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -6.95%E -6.31%K -69.46%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +7.84%E +1.12%K +1.31%G +0.102% | 5.2% | 2026-08-31 12:35 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 86.32%EV -9.48%E -8.86%K -135.49%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.68%EV +3.99%E +0.591%K +0.694%G +0.028% | 8.3% | 2026-08-31 12:35 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 85.14%EV -3.56%E -3.12%K -25.45%G +0.000% | 6.53I 15.31%NM 14.86%EV +0.599%E +0.092%K +0.108%G +0.001% | 3.0% | 2026-08-31 18:30 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 85.08%EV -3.56%E -3.12%K -25.45%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.92%EV +0.136%E +0.021%K +0.025%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-08-31 19:10 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 85.19%EV -4.41%E -3.90%K -33.91%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.81%EV +0.136%E +0.021%K +0.025%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-31 15:35 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 85.19%EV -4.41%E -3.90%K -33.91%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.81%EV +0.136%E +0.021%K +0.025%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-31 15:04 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 85.19%EV -4.41%E -3.90%K -33.91%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.81%EV +0.136%E +0.021%K +0.025%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-31 19:04 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -6.95%E -6.31%K -69.46%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV +0.136%E +0.021%K +0.025%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-31 15:05 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 84.92%EV -3.56%E -3.12%K -25.45%G +0.000% | 6.42I 15.58%NM 15.08%EV -1.10%E -0.171%K -0.202%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-31 12:35 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.22%EV -6.10%E -5.50%K -55.46%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.78%EV -1.40%E -0.219%K -0.260%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-31 19:00 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.22%EV -6.10%E -5.50%K -55.46%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.78%EV -1.40%E -0.219%K -0.260%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-31 19:05 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.14%EV -6.95%E -6.31%K -69.46%G +0.000% | 6.30I 15.87%NM 14.86%EV -2.94%E -0.467%K -0.556%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-31 19:00 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.69%EV -4.41%E -3.90%K -33.91%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.31%EV -3.71%E -0.594%K -0.708%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-31 15:05 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -5.25%E -4.69%K -43.79%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -3.71%E -0.594%K -0.708%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-31 17:30 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -5.25%E -4.69%K -43.79%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -3.71%E -0.594%K -0.708%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-31 19:00 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.03%EV -6.95%E -6.31%K -69.46%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.97%EV -3.71%E -0.594%K -0.708%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-31 03:40 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 84.47%EV -3.56%E -3.12%K -25.45%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.53%EV -4.49%E -0.723%K -0.863%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-31 19:05 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 84.47%EV -3.56%E -3.12%K -25.45%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.53%EV -4.49%E -0.723%K -0.863%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-31 19:05 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.58%EV -4.41%E -3.90%K -33.91%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.42%EV -4.49%E -0.723%K -0.863%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-30 11:14 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.70%EV -5.25%E -4.69%K -43.79%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.30%EV -4.49%E -0.723%K -0.863%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-31 15:04 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.70%EV -5.25%E -4.69%K -43.79%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.30%EV -4.49%E -0.723%K -0.863%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-31 15:09 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.58%EV -6.10%E -5.50%K -55.46%G +0.000% | 6.09I 16.42%NM 15.42%EV -6.18%E -1.01%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-31 15:05 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.58%EV -6.10%E -5.50%K -55.46%G +0.000% | 6.09I 16.42%NM 15.42%EV -6.18%E -1.01%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-31 15:05 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.26%EV -4.41%E -3.90%K -33.91%G +0.000% | 6.05I 16.53%NM 15.74%EV -6.80%E -1.12%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-30 16:10 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -3.56%E -3.12%K -25.45%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV -7.57%E -1.26%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-29 18:56 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.41%E -3.90%K -33.91%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -7.57%E -1.26%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-29 21:25 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.41%E -3.90%K -33.91%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -7.57%E -1.26%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-31 19:05 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.25%E -4.69%K -43.79%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -7.57%E -1.26%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-31 19:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.25%E -4.69%K -43.79%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -7.57%E -1.26%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-31 19:10 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.25%E -4.69%K -43.79%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -7.57%E -1.26%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-31 19:11 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.25%E -4.69%K -43.79%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -7.57%E -1.26%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-31 13:10 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.25%E -4.69%K -43.79%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -7.57%E -1.26%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-31 04:35 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.25%E -4.69%K -43.79%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -7.57%E -1.26%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-31 15:05 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.25%E -4.69%K -43.79%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -7.57%E -1.26%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-31 13:10 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.25%E -4.69%K -43.79%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -7.57%E -1.26%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-31 13:10 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.25%E -4.69%K -43.79%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -7.57%E -1.26%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-29 21:25 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.25%E -4.69%K -43.79%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -7.57%E -1.26%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-31 13:10 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.25%E -4.69%K -43.79%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -7.57%E -1.26%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-31 15:05 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.25%E -4.69%K -43.79%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -7.57%E -1.26%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-31 08:35 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -6.10%E -5.50%K -55.46%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -7.57%E -1.26%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-31 15:06 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.28%EV -6.10%E -5.50%K -55.46%G +0.000% | 5.95I 16.81%NM 15.72%EV -8.34%E -1.40%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-31 19:10 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.93%EV -4.41%E -3.90%K -33.91%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.07%EV -9.11%E -1.54%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-31 12:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -4.41%E -3.90%K -33.91%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -11.42%E -1.99%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-31 18:25 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -4.41%E -3.90%K -33.91%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -11.42%E -1.99%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-31 14:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.70%EV -5.25%E -4.69%K -43.79%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -11.42%E -1.99%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-31 14:55 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.70%EV -5.25%E -4.69%K -43.79%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -11.42%E -1.99%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-31 14:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -3.56%E -3.12%K -25.45%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -13.73%E -2.45%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-31 14:55 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -3.56%E -3.12%K -25.45%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -13.73%E -2.45%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-31 14:55 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.84%EV -2.72%E -2.36%K -18.11%G +0.000% | 5.55I 18.02%NM 17.16%EV -14.50%E -2.61%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-31 19:05 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (8)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.14I 87.72%NM 87.25% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.75% | 0.5% | 2026-08-31 19:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.14I 87.72%NM 87.25% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.75% | 0.5% | 2026-08-31 19:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.14I 87.72%NM 87.25% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.75% | 0.5% | 2026-08-31 19:05 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.14I 87.72%NM 87.25% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.75% | 0.5% | 2026-08-31 19:05 |
| Novig◎ | 1.16I 86.21%NM 85.61% | 6.90I 14.49%NM 14.39% | 0.7% | 2026-08-31 18:30 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.15I 86.96%NM 86.13% | 7.14I 14.01%NM 13.87% | 1.0% | 2026-08-31 15:20 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.14I 87.72%NM 86.65% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 13.35% | 1.2% | 2026-08-31 19:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.13I 88.50%NM 87.06% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 12.94% | 1.7% | 2026-08-31 19:10 |