Idioma:Español
Brandon Nakashima v Sebastian Baez
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Brandon Nakashima (Local)
Predicción 84.59%1.18momio equitativo
EV -2.72%
Ventaja -2.36%
Kelly -18.11%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.15
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
82.84%84.67%84.58%86.42%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.071.121.121.1593.46%89.50%89.29%86.96%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Sebastian Baez (Visitante)
Predicción 15.41%6.49momio equitativo
EV +7.84%
Ventaja +1.12%
Kelly +1.31%
Crecimiento +0.102%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 7.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
13.58%15.33%15.42%17.16%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
5.556.326.207.0018.02%15.82%16.13%14.29%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Brandon Nakashima (Local): 84.59%; Sebastian Baez (Visitante): 15.41%. Para Sebastian Baez (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 6.49. 22 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 7.00, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +7.84%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (63 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -6.95%E -6.31%K -69.46%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +7.84%E +1.12%K +1.31%G +0.102% | 5.2% | 2026-08-31 12:35 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -6.95%E -6.31%K -69.46%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +7.84%E +1.12%K +1.31%G +0.102% | 5.2% | 2026-08-31 12:36 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -6.95%E -6.31%K -69.46%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +7.84%E +1.12%K +1.31%G +0.102% | 5.2% | 2026-08-31 12:30 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -6.95%E -6.31%K -69.46%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +7.84%E +1.12%K +1.31%G +0.102% | 5.2% | 2026-08-31 12:35 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -6.95%E -6.31%K -69.46%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +7.84%E +1.12%K +1.31%G +0.102% | 5.2% | 2026-08-31 12:35 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -6.95%E -6.31%K -69.46%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +7.84%E +1.12%K +1.31%G +0.102% | 5.2% | 2026-08-31 12:35 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -6.95%E -6.31%K -69.46%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +7.84%E +1.12%K +1.31%G +0.102% | 5.2% | 2026-08-31 12:30 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -6.95%E -6.31%K -69.46%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +7.84%E +1.12%K +1.31%G +0.102% | 5.2% | 2026-08-31 12:36 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -6.95%E -6.31%K -69.46%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +7.84%E +1.12%K +1.31%G +0.102% | 5.2% | 2026-08-31 12:35 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -6.95%E -6.31%K -69.46%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +7.84%E +1.12%K +1.31%G +0.102% | 5.2% | 2026-08-31 12:35 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -6.95%E -6.31%K -69.46%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +7.84%E +1.12%K +1.31%G +0.102% | 5.2% | 2026-08-31 12:36 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -6.95%E -6.31%K -69.46%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +7.84%E +1.12%K +1.31%G +0.102% | 5.2% | 2026-08-31 12:35 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -6.95%E -6.31%K -69.46%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +7.84%E +1.12%K +1.31%G +0.102% | 5.2% | 2026-08-31 12:35 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -6.95%E -6.31%K -69.46%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +7.84%E +1.12%K +1.31%G +0.102% | 5.2% | 2026-08-31 12:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -6.95%E -6.31%K -69.46%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +7.84%E +1.12%K +1.31%G +0.102% | 5.2% | 2026-08-31 12:35 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 86.32%EV -9.48%E -8.86%K -135.49%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.68%EV +3.99%E +0.591%K +0.694%G +0.028% | 8.3% | 2026-08-31 12:35 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 85.14%EV -3.56%E -3.12%K -25.45%G +0.000% | 6.53I 15.31%NM 14.86%EV +0.599%E +0.092%K +0.108%G +0.001% | 3.0% | 2026-08-31 18:30 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 85.08%EV -3.56%E -3.12%K -25.45%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.92%EV +0.136%E +0.021%K +0.025%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-08-31 19:10 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 85.19%EV -4.41%E -3.90%K -33.91%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.81%EV +0.136%E +0.021%K +0.025%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-31 15:35 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 85.19%EV -4.41%E -3.90%K -33.91%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.81%EV +0.136%E +0.021%K +0.025%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-31 15:04 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 85.19%EV -4.41%E -3.90%K -33.91%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.81%EV +0.136%E +0.021%K +0.025%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-31 19:04 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -6.95%E -6.31%K -69.46%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV +0.136%E +0.021%K +0.025%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-31 15:05 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 84.92%EV -3.56%E -3.12%K -25.45%G +0.000% | 6.42I 15.58%NM 15.08%EV -1.10%E -0.171%K -0.202%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-31 12:35 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.22%EV -6.10%E -5.50%K -55.46%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.78%EV -1.40%E -0.219%K -0.260%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-31 19:00 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.22%EV -6.10%E -5.50%K -55.46%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.78%EV -1.40%E -0.219%K -0.260%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-31 19:05 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.14%EV -6.95%E -6.31%K -69.46%G +0.000% | 6.30I 15.87%NM 14.86%EV -2.94%E -0.467%K -0.556%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-31 19:00 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.69%EV -4.41%E -3.90%K -33.91%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.31%EV -3.71%E -0.594%K -0.708%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-31 15:05 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -5.25%E -4.69%K -43.79%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -3.71%E -0.594%K -0.708%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-31 17:30 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -5.25%E -4.69%K -43.79%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -3.71%E -0.594%K -0.708%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-31 19:00 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.03%EV -6.95%E -6.31%K -69.46%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.97%EV -3.71%E -0.594%K -0.708%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-31 03:40 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 84.47%EV -3.56%E -3.12%K -25.45%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.53%EV -4.49%E -0.723%K -0.863%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-31 19:05 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 84.47%EV -3.56%E -3.12%K -25.45%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.53%EV -4.49%E -0.723%K -0.863%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-31 19:05 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.58%EV -4.41%E -3.90%K -33.91%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.42%EV -4.49%E -0.723%K -0.863%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-30 11:14 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.70%EV -5.25%E -4.69%K -43.79%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.30%EV -4.49%E -0.723%K -0.863%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-31 15:04 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.70%EV -5.25%E -4.69%K -43.79%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.30%EV -4.49%E -0.723%K -0.863%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-31 15:09 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.58%EV -6.10%E -5.50%K -55.46%G +0.000% | 6.09I 16.42%NM 15.42%EV -6.18%E -1.01%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-31 15:05 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.58%EV -6.10%E -5.50%K -55.46%G +0.000% | 6.09I 16.42%NM 15.42%EV -6.18%E -1.01%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-31 15:05 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.26%EV -4.41%E -3.90%K -33.91%G +0.000% | 6.05I 16.53%NM 15.74%EV -6.80%E -1.12%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-30 16:10 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -3.56%E -3.12%K -25.45%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV -7.57%E -1.26%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-29 18:56 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.41%E -3.90%K -33.91%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -7.57%E -1.26%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-29 21:25 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.41%E -3.90%K -33.91%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -7.57%E -1.26%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-31 19:05 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.25%E -4.69%K -43.79%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -7.57%E -1.26%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-31 19:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.25%E -4.69%K -43.79%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -7.57%E -1.26%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-31 19:10 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.25%E -4.69%K -43.79%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -7.57%E -1.26%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-31 19:11 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.25%E -4.69%K -43.79%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -7.57%E -1.26%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-31 13:10 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.25%E -4.69%K -43.79%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -7.57%E -1.26%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-31 04:35 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.25%E -4.69%K -43.79%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -7.57%E -1.26%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-31 15:05 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.25%E -4.69%K -43.79%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -7.57%E -1.26%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-31 13:10 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.25%E -4.69%K -43.79%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -7.57%E -1.26%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-31 13:10 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.25%E -4.69%K -43.79%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -7.57%E -1.26%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-29 21:25 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.25%E -4.69%K -43.79%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -7.57%E -1.26%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-31 13:10 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.25%E -4.69%K -43.79%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -7.57%E -1.26%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-31 15:05 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.25%E -4.69%K -43.79%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -7.57%E -1.26%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-31 08:35 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -6.10%E -5.50%K -55.46%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -7.57%E -1.26%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-31 15:06 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.28%EV -6.10%E -5.50%K -55.46%G +0.000% | 5.95I 16.81%NM 15.72%EV -8.34%E -1.40%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-31 19:10 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.93%EV -4.41%E -3.90%K -33.91%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.07%EV -9.11%E -1.54%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-31 12:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -4.41%E -3.90%K -33.91%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -11.42%E -1.99%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-31 18:25 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -4.41%E -3.90%K -33.91%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -11.42%E -1.99%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-31 14:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.70%EV -5.25%E -4.69%K -43.79%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -11.42%E -1.99%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-31 14:55 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.70%EV -5.25%E -4.69%K -43.79%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -11.42%E -1.99%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-31 14:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -3.56%E -3.12%K -25.45%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -13.73%E -2.45%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-31 14:55 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -3.56%E -3.12%K -25.45%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -13.73%E -2.45%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-31 14:55 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.84%EV -2.72%E -2.36%K -18.11%G +0.000% | 5.55I 18.02%NM 17.16%EV -14.50%E -2.61%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-31 19:05 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (8)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.14I 87.72%NM 87.25% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.75% | 0.5% | 2026-08-31 19:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.14I 87.72%NM 87.25% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.75% | 0.5% | 2026-08-31 19:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.14I 87.72%NM 87.25% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.75% | 0.5% | 2026-08-31 19:05 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.14I 87.72%NM 87.25% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.75% | 0.5% | 2026-08-31 19:05 |
| Novig◎ | 1.16I 86.21%NM 85.61% | 6.90I 14.49%NM 14.39% | 0.7% | 2026-08-31 18:30 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.15I 86.96%NM 86.13% | 7.14I 14.01%NM 13.87% | 1.0% | 2026-08-31 15:20 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.14I 87.72%NM 86.65% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 13.35% | 1.2% | 2026-08-31 19:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.13I 88.50%NM 87.06% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 12.94% | 1.7% | 2026-08-31 19:10 |