Lingua:Italiano
Brandon Nakashima v Sebastian Baez
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
Testa a testa
Brandon Nakashima (Casa)
Previsione 84.59%1.18quota equa
EV -2.72%
Vantaggio -2.36%
Kelly -18.11%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.15
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
82.84%84.67%84.58%86.42%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.071.121.121.1593.46%89.50%89.29%86.96%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Sebastian Baez (Trasferta)
Previsione 15.41%6.49quota equa
EV +7.84%
Vantaggio +1.12%
Kelly +1.31%
Crescita +0.102%
ipotizzando la quota massima 7.00
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
13.58%15.33%15.42%17.16%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
5.556.326.207.0018.02%15.82%16.13%14.29%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Brandon Nakashima (Casa): 84.59%; Sebastian Baez (Trasferta): 15.41%. Per Sebastian Baez (Trasferta), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 6.49. 22 bookmaker offrivano quote di chiusura superiori a tale livello; la migliore era 7.00, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +7.84%.
Quote dei bookmaker (63 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta ▼ | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -6.95%E -6.31%K -69.46%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +7.84%E +1.12%K +1.31%G +0.102% | 5.2% | 2026-08-31 12:35 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -6.95%E -6.31%K -69.46%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +7.84%E +1.12%K +1.31%G +0.102% | 5.2% | 2026-08-31 12:36 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -6.95%E -6.31%K -69.46%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +7.84%E +1.12%K +1.31%G +0.102% | 5.2% | 2026-08-31 12:30 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -6.95%E -6.31%K -69.46%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +7.84%E +1.12%K +1.31%G +0.102% | 5.2% | 2026-08-31 12:35 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -6.95%E -6.31%K -69.46%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +7.84%E +1.12%K +1.31%G +0.102% | 5.2% | 2026-08-31 12:35 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -6.95%E -6.31%K -69.46%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +7.84%E +1.12%K +1.31%G +0.102% | 5.2% | 2026-08-31 12:35 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -6.95%E -6.31%K -69.46%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +7.84%E +1.12%K +1.31%G +0.102% | 5.2% | 2026-08-31 12:30 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -6.95%E -6.31%K -69.46%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +7.84%E +1.12%K +1.31%G +0.102% | 5.2% | 2026-08-31 12:36 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -6.95%E -6.31%K -69.46%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +7.84%E +1.12%K +1.31%G +0.102% | 5.2% | 2026-08-31 12:35 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -6.95%E -6.31%K -69.46%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +7.84%E +1.12%K +1.31%G +0.102% | 5.2% | 2026-08-31 12:35 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -6.95%E -6.31%K -69.46%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +7.84%E +1.12%K +1.31%G +0.102% | 5.2% | 2026-08-31 12:36 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -6.95%E -6.31%K -69.46%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +7.84%E +1.12%K +1.31%G +0.102% | 5.2% | 2026-08-31 12:35 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -6.95%E -6.31%K -69.46%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +7.84%E +1.12%K +1.31%G +0.102% | 5.2% | 2026-08-31 12:35 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -6.95%E -6.31%K -69.46%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +7.84%E +1.12%K +1.31%G +0.102% | 5.2% | 2026-08-31 12:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -6.95%E -6.31%K -69.46%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +7.84%E +1.12%K +1.31%G +0.102% | 5.2% | 2026-08-31 12:35 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 86.32%EV -9.48%E -8.86%K -135.49%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.68%EV +3.99%E +0.591%K +0.694%G +0.028% | 8.3% | 2026-08-31 12:35 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 85.14%EV -3.56%E -3.12%K -25.45%G +0.000% | 6.53I 15.31%NM 14.86%EV +0.599%E +0.092%K +0.108%G +0.001% | 3.0% | 2026-08-31 18:30 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 85.08%EV -3.56%E -3.12%K -25.45%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.92%EV +0.136%E +0.021%K +0.025%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-08-31 19:10 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 85.19%EV -4.41%E -3.90%K -33.91%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.81%EV +0.136%E +0.021%K +0.025%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-31 15:35 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 85.19%EV -4.41%E -3.90%K -33.91%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.81%EV +0.136%E +0.021%K +0.025%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-31 15:04 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 85.19%EV -4.41%E -3.90%K -33.91%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.81%EV +0.136%E +0.021%K +0.025%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-31 19:04 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -6.95%E -6.31%K -69.46%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV +0.136%E +0.021%K +0.025%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-31 15:05 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 84.92%EV -3.56%E -3.12%K -25.45%G +0.000% | 6.42I 15.58%NM 15.08%EV -1.10%E -0.171%K -0.202%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-31 12:35 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.22%EV -6.10%E -5.50%K -55.46%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.78%EV -1.40%E -0.219%K -0.260%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-31 19:00 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.22%EV -6.10%E -5.50%K -55.46%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.78%EV -1.40%E -0.219%K -0.260%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-31 19:05 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.14%EV -6.95%E -6.31%K -69.46%G +0.000% | 6.30I 15.87%NM 14.86%EV -2.94%E -0.467%K -0.556%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-31 19:00 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.69%EV -4.41%E -3.90%K -33.91%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.31%EV -3.71%E -0.594%K -0.708%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-31 15:05 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -5.25%E -4.69%K -43.79%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -3.71%E -0.594%K -0.708%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-31 17:30 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -5.25%E -4.69%K -43.79%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -3.71%E -0.594%K -0.708%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-31 19:00 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.03%EV -6.95%E -6.31%K -69.46%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.97%EV -3.71%E -0.594%K -0.708%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-31 03:40 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 84.47%EV -3.56%E -3.12%K -25.45%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.53%EV -4.49%E -0.723%K -0.863%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-31 19:05 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 84.47%EV -3.56%E -3.12%K -25.45%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.53%EV -4.49%E -0.723%K -0.863%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-31 19:05 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.58%EV -4.41%E -3.90%K -33.91%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.42%EV -4.49%E -0.723%K -0.863%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-30 11:14 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.70%EV -5.25%E -4.69%K -43.79%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.30%EV -4.49%E -0.723%K -0.863%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-31 15:04 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.70%EV -5.25%E -4.69%K -43.79%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.30%EV -4.49%E -0.723%K -0.863%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-31 15:09 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.58%EV -6.10%E -5.50%K -55.46%G +0.000% | 6.09I 16.42%NM 15.42%EV -6.18%E -1.01%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-31 15:05 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.58%EV -6.10%E -5.50%K -55.46%G +0.000% | 6.09I 16.42%NM 15.42%EV -6.18%E -1.01%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-31 15:05 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.26%EV -4.41%E -3.90%K -33.91%G +0.000% | 6.05I 16.53%NM 15.74%EV -6.80%E -1.12%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-30 16:10 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -3.56%E -3.12%K -25.45%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV -7.57%E -1.26%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-29 18:56 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.41%E -3.90%K -33.91%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -7.57%E -1.26%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-29 21:25 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.41%E -3.90%K -33.91%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -7.57%E -1.26%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-31 19:05 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.25%E -4.69%K -43.79%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -7.57%E -1.26%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-31 19:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.25%E -4.69%K -43.79%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -7.57%E -1.26%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-31 19:10 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.25%E -4.69%K -43.79%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -7.57%E -1.26%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-31 19:11 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.25%E -4.69%K -43.79%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -7.57%E -1.26%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-31 13:10 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.25%E -4.69%K -43.79%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -7.57%E -1.26%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-31 04:35 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.25%E -4.69%K -43.79%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -7.57%E -1.26%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-31 15:05 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.25%E -4.69%K -43.79%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -7.57%E -1.26%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-31 13:10 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.25%E -4.69%K -43.79%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -7.57%E -1.26%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-31 13:10 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.25%E -4.69%K -43.79%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -7.57%E -1.26%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-29 21:25 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.25%E -4.69%K -43.79%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -7.57%E -1.26%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-31 13:10 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.25%E -4.69%K -43.79%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -7.57%E -1.26%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-31 15:05 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.25%E -4.69%K -43.79%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -7.57%E -1.26%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-31 08:35 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -6.10%E -5.50%K -55.46%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -7.57%E -1.26%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-31 15:06 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.28%EV -6.10%E -5.50%K -55.46%G +0.000% | 5.95I 16.81%NM 15.72%EV -8.34%E -1.40%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-31 19:10 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.93%EV -4.41%E -3.90%K -33.91%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.07%EV -9.11%E -1.54%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-31 12:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -4.41%E -3.90%K -33.91%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -11.42%E -1.99%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-31 18:25 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -4.41%E -3.90%K -33.91%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -11.42%E -1.99%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-31 14:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.70%EV -5.25%E -4.69%K -43.79%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -11.42%E -1.99%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-31 14:55 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.70%EV -5.25%E -4.69%K -43.79%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -11.42%E -1.99%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-31 14:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -3.56%E -3.12%K -25.45%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -13.73%E -2.45%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-31 14:55 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -3.56%E -3.12%K -25.45%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -13.73%E -2.45%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-31 14:55 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.84%EV -2.72%E -2.36%K -18.11%G +0.000% | 5.55I 18.02%NM 17.16%EV -14.50%E -2.61%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-31 19:05 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (8)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.14I 87.72%NM 87.25% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.75% | 0.5% | 2026-08-31 19:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.14I 87.72%NM 87.25% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.75% | 0.5% | 2026-08-31 19:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.14I 87.72%NM 87.25% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.75% | 0.5% | 2026-08-31 19:05 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.14I 87.72%NM 87.25% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.75% | 0.5% | 2026-08-31 19:05 |
| Novig◎ | 1.16I 86.21%NM 85.61% | 6.90I 14.49%NM 14.39% | 0.7% | 2026-08-31 18:30 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.15I 86.96%NM 86.13% | 7.14I 14.01%NM 13.87% | 1.0% | 2026-08-31 15:20 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.14I 87.72%NM 86.65% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 13.35% | 1.2% | 2026-08-31 19:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.13I 88.50%NM 87.06% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 12.94% | 1.7% | 2026-08-31 19:10 |