Language:English
Alexander Zverev v Quentin Halys
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Alexander Zverev (Local)
Prediction 82.98%1.21fair odd
EV -2.09%
Edge -1.77%
Kelly -11.58%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.18
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
81.04%83.13%82.83%84.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.121.151.141.1889.29%87.24%87.72%84.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Quentin Halys (Visit)
Prediction 17.02%5.88fair odd
EV +9.62%
Edge +1.49%
Kelly +1.77%
Growth +0.170%
assuming max odds 6.44
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
15.12%16.87%17.17%18.96%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.005.505.506.4420.00%18.18%18.18%15.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Alexander Zverev (Local): 82.98%; Quentin Halys (Visit): 17.02%. For Quentin Halys (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.88. 7 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 6.44, corresponding to a positive expected value of +9.62%.
Sportsbook Odds (64 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 84.85%EV -4.57%E -3.98%K -30.50%G +0.000% | 6.44I 15.53%NM 15.15%EV +9.62%E +1.49%K +1.77%G +0.170% | 2.5% | 2026-09-04 01:35 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 84.88%EV -5.40%E -4.74%K -38.60%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.12%EV +8.94%E +1.40%K +1.65%G +0.148% | 3.3% | 2026-09-04 01:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 84.88%EV -5.40%E -4.74%K -38.60%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.12%EV +8.94%E +1.40%K +1.65%G +0.148% | 3.3% | 2026-09-04 00:59 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -6.23%E -5.52%K -47.95%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV +2.13%E +0.355%K +0.425%G +0.009% | 5.2% | 2026-09-03 10:23 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -6.23%E -5.52%K -47.95%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV +2.13%E +0.355%K +0.425%G +0.009% | 5.2% | 2026-09-04 01:25 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -7.06%E -6.31%K -58.86%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV +2.13%E +0.355%K +0.425%G +0.009% | 6.0% | 2026-09-04 01:34 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 83.57%EV -3.74%E -3.23%K -23.40%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.43%EV +0.425%E +0.072%K +0.087%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-09-04 01:35 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 83.24%EV -2.09%E -1.77%K -11.58%G +0.000% | 5.86I 17.06%NM 16.76%EV -0.256%E -0.044%K -0.053%G +0.000% | 1.8% | 2026-09-04 01:35 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.76%EV -6.23%E -5.52%K -47.95%G +0.000% | 5.83I 17.15%NM 16.24%EV -0.766%E -0.131%K -0.159%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-03 20:45 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 83.45%EV -4.57%E -3.98%K -30.50%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.55%EV -1.28%E -0.220%K -0.266%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-03 20:50 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 83.45%EV -4.57%E -3.98%K -30.50%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.55%EV -1.28%E -0.220%K -0.266%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-03 22:10 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -5.40%E -4.74%K -38.60%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -1.28%E -0.220%K -0.266%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-03 10:24 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.69%EV -6.23%E -5.52%K -47.95%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.31%EV -1.28%E -0.220%K -0.266%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-04 00:50 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 83.21%EV -4.57%E -3.98%K -30.50%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.79%EV -2.98%E -0.523%K -0.634%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-04 01:35 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.46%EV -6.23%E -5.52%K -47.95%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.54%EV -2.98%E -0.523%K -0.634%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-03 17:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.57%E -3.98%K -30.50%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -6.38%E -1.16%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-03 03:35 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.57%E -3.98%K -30.50%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -6.38%E -1.16%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-04 01:25 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.57%E -3.98%K -30.50%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -6.38%E -1.16%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-04 01:35 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.57%E -3.98%K -30.50%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -6.38%E -1.16%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-04 01:36 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.40%E -4.74%K -38.60%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -6.38%E -1.16%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-03 21:50 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.40%E -4.74%K -38.60%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -6.38%E -1.16%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-03 06:40 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.40%E -4.74%K -38.60%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -6.38%E -1.16%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-03 19:05 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.40%E -4.74%K -38.60%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -6.38%E -1.16%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-03 19:05 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.40%E -4.74%K -38.60%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -6.38%E -1.16%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-03 17:45 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.40%E -4.74%K -38.60%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -6.38%E -1.16%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-03 20:45 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.40%E -4.74%K -38.60%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -6.38%E -1.16%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-03 21:30 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.40%E -4.74%K -38.60%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -6.38%E -1.16%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-03 17:50 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.40%E -4.74%K -38.60%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -6.38%E -1.16%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-04 01:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.40%E -4.74%K -38.60%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -6.38%E -1.16%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-03 21:50 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.40%E -4.74%K -38.60%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -6.38%E -1.16%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-03 21:50 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.40%E -4.74%K -38.60%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -6.38%E -1.16%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-03 08:05 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.40%E -4.74%K -38.60%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -6.38%E -1.16%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-03 08:00 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.40%E -4.74%K -38.60%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -6.38%E -1.16%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-03 21:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.40%E -4.74%K -38.60%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -6.38%E -1.16%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-03 21:55 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -6.23%E -5.52%K -47.95%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -6.38%E -1.16%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-03 17:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -6.23%E -5.52%K -47.95%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -6.38%E -1.16%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-03 17:49 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -6.23%E -5.52%K -47.95%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -6.38%E -1.16%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-04 01:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -4.57%E -3.98%K -30.50%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -8.09%E -1.50%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-03 17:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -4.57%E -3.98%K -30.50%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -8.09%E -1.50%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-03 17:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.57%EV -5.40%E -4.74%K -38.60%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.43%EV -8.09%E -1.50%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-04 01:35 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.57%EV -5.40%E -4.74%K -38.60%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.43%EV -8.09%E -1.50%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-04 01:35 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -3.74%E -3.23%K -23.40%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -9.79%E -1.85%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-03 20:35 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -3.74%E -3.23%K -23.40%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -9.79%E -1.85%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-03 20:35 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -3.74%E -3.23%K -23.40%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -9.79%E -1.85%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-03 20:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -3.74%E -3.23%K -23.40%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -9.79%E -1.85%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-03 20:35 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -3.74%E -3.23%K -23.40%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -9.79%E -1.85%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-03 20:35 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -3.74%E -3.23%K -23.40%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -9.79%E -1.85%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-03 20:35 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -3.74%E -3.23%K -23.40%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -9.79%E -1.85%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-03 20:35 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -3.74%E -3.23%K -23.40%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -9.79%E -1.85%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-03 20:35 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -3.74%E -3.23%K -23.40%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -9.79%E -1.85%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-03 20:35 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -3.74%E -3.23%K -23.40%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -9.79%E -1.85%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-03 20:35 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -3.74%E -3.23%K -23.40%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -9.79%E -1.85%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-03 20:35 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -3.74%E -3.23%K -23.40%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -9.79%E -1.85%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-03 20:35 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -3.74%E -3.23%K -23.40%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -9.79%E -1.85%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-03 20:35 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -3.74%E -3.23%K -23.40%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -9.79%E -1.85%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-03 20:35 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -4.57%E -3.98%K -30.50%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -10.64%E -2.03%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-04 01:35 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.60%EV -2.91%E -2.49%K -17.15%G +0.000% | 5.19I 19.27%NM 18.40%EV -11.66%E -2.25%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-04 01:35 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 82.14%EV -7.06%E -6.31%K -58.86%G +0.000% | 5.15I 19.42%NM 17.86%EV -12.34%E -2.40%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-04 01:35 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.73%EV -5.40%E -4.74%K -38.60%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.27%EV -13.19%E -2.59%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-04 01:35 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 81.86%EV -6.23%E -5.52%K -47.95%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.14%EV -13.19%E -2.59%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-03 20:35 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -2.91%E -2.49%K -17.15%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -14.89%E -2.98%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-03 16:35 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -4.57%E -3.98%K -30.50%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -14.89%E -2.98%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-04 01:23 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -4.57%E -3.98%K -30.50%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -14.89%E -2.98%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-04 01:35 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -5.40%E -4.74%K -38.60%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -14.89%E -2.98%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-03 23:14 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (8)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX◎ | 1.16I 86.21%NM 85.96% | 7.10I 14.08%NM 14.04% | 0.3% | 2026-09-04 01:35 |
| Novig◎ | 1.16I 86.21%NM 85.61% | 6.90I 14.49%NM 14.39% | 0.7% | 2026-09-04 01:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.15I 86.96%NM 86.23% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.77% | 0.8% | 2026-09-04 01:35 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.15I 86.96%NM 86.23% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.77% | 0.8% | 2026-09-04 01:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.14I 87.72%NM 86.96% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 13.04% | 0.9% | 2026-09-04 01:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.14I 87.72%NM 86.96% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 13.04% | 0.9% | 2026-09-04 01:20 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.15I 86.96%NM 86.13% | 7.14I 14.01%NM 13.87% | 1.0% | 2026-09-04 01:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.13I 88.50%NM 86.75% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 13.25% | 2.0% | 2026-09-04 01:35 |