Idioma:Español
Alexander Zverev v Quentin Halys
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Alexander Zverev (Local)
Predicción 82.98%1.21momio equitativo
EV -2.09%
Ventaja -1.77%
Kelly -11.58%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.18
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
81.04%83.13%82.83%84.88%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.121.151.141.1889.29%87.24%87.72%84.75%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Quentin Halys (Visitante)
Predicción 17.02%5.88momio equitativo
EV +9.62%
Ventaja +1.49%
Kelly +1.77%
Crecimiento +0.170%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 6.44
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
15.12%16.87%17.17%18.96%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
5.005.505.506.4420.00%18.18%18.18%15.53%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Alexander Zverev (Local): 82.98%; Quentin Halys (Visitante): 17.02%. Para Quentin Halys (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 5.88. 7 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 6.44, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +9.62%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (64 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 84.85%EV -4.57%E -3.98%K -30.50%G +0.000% | 6.44I 15.53%NM 15.15%EV +9.62%E +1.49%K +1.77%G +0.170% | 2.5% | 2026-09-04 01:35 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 84.88%EV -5.40%E -4.74%K -38.60%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.12%EV +8.94%E +1.40%K +1.65%G +0.148% | 3.3% | 2026-09-04 01:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 84.88%EV -5.40%E -4.74%K -38.60%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.12%EV +8.94%E +1.40%K +1.65%G +0.148% | 3.3% | 2026-09-04 00:59 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -6.23%E -5.52%K -47.95%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV +2.13%E +0.355%K +0.425%G +0.009% | 5.2% | 2026-09-03 10:23 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -6.23%E -5.52%K -47.95%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV +2.13%E +0.355%K +0.425%G +0.009% | 5.2% | 2026-09-04 01:25 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -7.06%E -6.31%K -58.86%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV +2.13%E +0.355%K +0.425%G +0.009% | 6.0% | 2026-09-04 01:34 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 83.57%EV -3.74%E -3.23%K -23.40%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.43%EV +0.425%E +0.072%K +0.087%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-09-04 01:35 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 83.24%EV -2.09%E -1.77%K -11.58%G +0.000% | 5.86I 17.06%NM 16.76%EV -0.256%E -0.044%K -0.053%G +0.000% | 1.8% | 2026-09-04 01:35 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.76%EV -6.23%E -5.52%K -47.95%G +0.000% | 5.83I 17.15%NM 16.24%EV -0.766%E -0.131%K -0.159%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-03 20:45 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 83.45%EV -4.57%E -3.98%K -30.50%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.55%EV -1.28%E -0.220%K -0.266%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-03 20:50 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 83.45%EV -4.57%E -3.98%K -30.50%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.55%EV -1.28%E -0.220%K -0.266%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-03 22:10 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -5.40%E -4.74%K -38.60%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -1.28%E -0.220%K -0.266%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-03 10:24 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.69%EV -6.23%E -5.52%K -47.95%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.31%EV -1.28%E -0.220%K -0.266%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-04 00:50 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 83.21%EV -4.57%E -3.98%K -30.50%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.79%EV -2.98%E -0.523%K -0.634%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-04 01:35 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.46%EV -6.23%E -5.52%K -47.95%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.54%EV -2.98%E -0.523%K -0.634%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-03 17:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.57%E -3.98%K -30.50%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -6.38%E -1.16%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-03 03:35 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.57%E -3.98%K -30.50%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -6.38%E -1.16%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-04 01:25 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.57%E -3.98%K -30.50%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -6.38%E -1.16%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-04 01:35 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.57%E -3.98%K -30.50%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -6.38%E -1.16%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-04 01:36 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.40%E -4.74%K -38.60%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -6.38%E -1.16%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-03 21:50 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.40%E -4.74%K -38.60%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -6.38%E -1.16%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-03 06:40 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.40%E -4.74%K -38.60%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -6.38%E -1.16%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-03 19:05 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.40%E -4.74%K -38.60%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -6.38%E -1.16%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-03 19:05 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.40%E -4.74%K -38.60%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -6.38%E -1.16%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-03 17:45 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.40%E -4.74%K -38.60%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -6.38%E -1.16%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-03 20:45 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.40%E -4.74%K -38.60%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -6.38%E -1.16%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-03 21:30 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.40%E -4.74%K -38.60%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -6.38%E -1.16%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-03 17:50 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.40%E -4.74%K -38.60%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -6.38%E -1.16%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-04 01:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.40%E -4.74%K -38.60%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -6.38%E -1.16%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-03 21:50 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.40%E -4.74%K -38.60%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -6.38%E -1.16%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-03 21:50 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.40%E -4.74%K -38.60%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -6.38%E -1.16%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-03 08:05 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.40%E -4.74%K -38.60%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -6.38%E -1.16%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-03 08:00 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.40%E -4.74%K -38.60%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -6.38%E -1.16%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-03 21:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.40%E -4.74%K -38.60%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -6.38%E -1.16%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-03 21:55 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -6.23%E -5.52%K -47.95%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -6.38%E -1.16%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-03 17:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -6.23%E -5.52%K -47.95%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -6.38%E -1.16%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-03 17:49 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -6.23%E -5.52%K -47.95%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -6.38%E -1.16%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-04 01:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -4.57%E -3.98%K -30.50%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -8.09%E -1.50%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-03 17:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -4.57%E -3.98%K -30.50%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -8.09%E -1.50%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-03 17:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.57%EV -5.40%E -4.74%K -38.60%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.43%EV -8.09%E -1.50%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-04 01:35 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.57%EV -5.40%E -4.74%K -38.60%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.43%EV -8.09%E -1.50%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-04 01:35 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -3.74%E -3.23%K -23.40%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -9.79%E -1.85%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-03 20:35 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -3.74%E -3.23%K -23.40%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -9.79%E -1.85%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-03 20:35 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -3.74%E -3.23%K -23.40%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -9.79%E -1.85%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-03 20:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -3.74%E -3.23%K -23.40%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -9.79%E -1.85%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-03 20:35 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -3.74%E -3.23%K -23.40%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -9.79%E -1.85%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-03 20:35 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -3.74%E -3.23%K -23.40%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -9.79%E -1.85%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-03 20:35 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -3.74%E -3.23%K -23.40%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -9.79%E -1.85%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-03 20:35 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -3.74%E -3.23%K -23.40%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -9.79%E -1.85%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-03 20:35 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -3.74%E -3.23%K -23.40%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -9.79%E -1.85%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-03 20:35 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -3.74%E -3.23%K -23.40%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -9.79%E -1.85%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-03 20:35 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -3.74%E -3.23%K -23.40%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -9.79%E -1.85%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-03 20:35 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -3.74%E -3.23%K -23.40%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -9.79%E -1.85%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-03 20:35 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -3.74%E -3.23%K -23.40%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -9.79%E -1.85%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-03 20:35 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -3.74%E -3.23%K -23.40%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -9.79%E -1.85%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-03 20:35 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -4.57%E -3.98%K -30.50%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -10.64%E -2.03%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-04 01:35 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.60%EV -2.91%E -2.49%K -17.15%G +0.000% | 5.19I 19.27%NM 18.40%EV -11.66%E -2.25%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-04 01:35 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 82.14%EV -7.06%E -6.31%K -58.86%G +0.000% | 5.15I 19.42%NM 17.86%EV -12.34%E -2.40%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-04 01:35 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.73%EV -5.40%E -4.74%K -38.60%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.27%EV -13.19%E -2.59%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-04 01:35 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 81.86%EV -6.23%E -5.52%K -47.95%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.14%EV -13.19%E -2.59%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-03 20:35 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -2.91%E -2.49%K -17.15%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -14.89%E -2.98%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-03 16:35 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -4.57%E -3.98%K -30.50%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -14.89%E -2.98%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-04 01:23 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -4.57%E -3.98%K -30.50%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -14.89%E -2.98%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-04 01:35 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -5.40%E -4.74%K -38.60%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -14.89%E -2.98%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-03 23:14 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (8)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX◎ | 1.16I 86.21%NM 85.96% | 7.10I 14.08%NM 14.04% | 0.3% | 2026-09-04 01:35 |
| Novig◎ | 1.16I 86.21%NM 85.61% | 6.90I 14.49%NM 14.39% | 0.7% | 2026-09-04 01:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.15I 86.96%NM 86.23% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.77% | 0.8% | 2026-09-04 01:35 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.15I 86.96%NM 86.23% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.77% | 0.8% | 2026-09-04 01:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.14I 87.72%NM 86.96% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 13.04% | 0.9% | 2026-09-04 01:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.14I 87.72%NM 86.96% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 13.04% | 0.9% | 2026-09-04 01:20 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.15I 86.96%NM 86.13% | 7.14I 14.01%NM 13.87% | 1.0% | 2026-09-04 01:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.13I 88.50%NM 86.75% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 13.25% | 2.0% | 2026-09-04 01:35 |