Model domyślnyŚrednia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana)

Alexander Zverev v Quentin Halys

Początek: 2026-09-04 01:36 UTC

Wynik końcowy: Alexander Zverev 3–2 Quentin Halys

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

64 bukmacherów (21 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana)

Alexander Zverev (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 82.98%1.21kurs godziwy
EV -2.09%
Przewaga -1.77%
Kelly -11.58%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 1.18

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
81.04%83.13%82.83%84.88%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.121.151.141.1889.29%87.24%87.72%84.75%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Quentin Halys (Goście)

Prognoza 17.02%5.88kurs godziwy
EV +9.62%
Przewaga +1.49%
Kelly +1.77%
Wzrost +0.170%

przy maksymalnym kursie 6.44

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
15.12%16.87%17.17%18.96%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
5.005.505.506.4420.00%18.18%18.18%15.53%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Przy ostatnich kursach przed rozpoczęciem model Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana) szacował rynek Zwycięzca spotkania następująco: Alexander Zverev (Gospodarze): 82.98%; Quentin Halys (Goście): 17.02%. Dla wyniku Quentin Halys (Goście) oszacowanie to odpowiadało uczciwemu kursowi dziesiętnemu 5.88. 7 bukmacherów oferowało kursy zamknięcia powyżej tego poziomu; najlepszy wynosił 6.44, co odpowiadało dodatniej wartości oczekiwanej +9.62%.

Kursy bukmacherskie (64 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarzeGoście ▼MarżaAktualizacja
Pinnacle🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 84.85%EV -4.57%E -3.98%K -30.50%G +0.000%6.44I 15.53%NM 15.15%EV +9.62%E +1.49%K +1.77%G +0.170%2.5%2026-09-04 01:35
BetOnline.ag🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 84.88%EV -5.40%E -4.74%K -38.60%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.12%EV +8.94%E +1.40%K +1.65%G +0.148%3.3%2026-09-04 01:00
LowVig.ag🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 84.88%EV -5.40%E -4.74%K -38.60%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.12%EV +8.94%E +1.40%K +1.65%G +0.148%3.3%2026-09-04 00:59
SportsBet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -6.23%E -5.52%K -47.95%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV +2.13%E +0.355%K +0.425%G +0.009%5.2%2026-09-03 10:23
Bovada🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -6.23%E -5.52%K -47.95%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV +2.13%E +0.355%K +0.425%G +0.009%5.2%2026-09-04 01:25
NetBet (FR)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -7.06%E -6.31%K -58.86%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV +2.13%E +0.355%K +0.425%G +0.009%6.0%2026-09-04 01:34
Winamax (DE)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 83.57%EV -3.74%E -3.23%K -23.40%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.43%EV +0.425%E +0.072%K +0.087%G +0.000%3.2%2026-09-04 01:35
GTbets🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 83.24%EV -2.09%E -1.77%K -11.58%G +0.000%5.86I 17.06%NM 16.76%EV -0.256%E -0.044%K -0.053%G +0.000%1.8%2026-09-04 01:35
DraftKings🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 83.76%EV -6.23%E -5.52%K -47.95%G +0.000%5.83I 17.15%NM 16.24%EV -0.766%E -0.131%K -0.159%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-03 20:45
Unibet (FR)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 83.45%EV -4.57%E -3.98%K -30.50%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.55%EV -1.28%E -0.220%K -0.266%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-03 20:50
ReBet🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 83.45%EV -4.57%E -3.98%K -30.50%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.55%EV -1.28%E -0.220%K -0.266%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-03 22:10
FanDuel🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -5.40%E -4.74%K -38.60%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -1.28%E -0.220%K -0.266%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-03 10:24
Betclic (FR)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 83.69%EV -6.23%E -5.52%K -47.95%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.31%EV -1.28%E -0.220%K -0.266%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-04 00:50
Winamax (FR)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 83.21%EV -4.57%E -3.98%K -30.50%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.79%EV -2.98%E -0.523%K -0.634%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-04 01:35
Tipico (DE)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 83.46%EV -6.23%E -5.52%K -47.95%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.54%EV -2.98%E -0.523%K -0.634%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-03 17:55
Betway🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.57%E -3.98%K -30.50%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -6.38%E -1.16%K -1.42%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-03 03:35
Coolbet🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.57%E -3.98%K -30.50%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -6.38%E -1.16%K -1.42%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-04 01:25
Unibet (UK)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.57%E -3.98%K -30.50%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -6.38%E -1.16%K -1.42%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-04 01:35
MyBookie.ag🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.57%E -3.98%K -30.50%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -6.38%E -1.16%K -1.42%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-04 01:36
888sport🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.40%E -4.74%K -38.60%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -6.38%E -1.16%K -1.42%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-03 21:50
betfred_uk🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.40%E -4.74%K -38.60%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -6.38%E -1.16%K -1.42%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-03 06:40
Betr (AU)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.40%E -4.74%K -38.60%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -6.38%E -1.16%K -1.42%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-03 19:05
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.40%E -4.74%K -38.60%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -6.38%E -1.16%K -1.42%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-03 19:05
theScore Bet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.40%E -4.74%K -38.60%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -6.38%E -1.16%K -1.42%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-03 17:45
Marathon Bet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.40%E -4.74%K -38.60%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -6.38%E -1.16%K -1.42%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-03 20:45
BoyleSports🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.40%E -4.74%K -38.60%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -6.38%E -1.16%K -1.42%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-03 21:30
BetMGM🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.40%E -4.74%K -38.60%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -6.38%E -1.16%K -1.42%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-03 17:50
Fanatics🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.40%E -4.74%K -38.60%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -6.38%E -1.16%K -1.42%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-04 01:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.40%E -4.74%K -38.60%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -6.38%E -1.16%K -1.42%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-03 21:50
888sport (SE)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.40%E -4.74%K -38.60%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -6.38%E -1.16%K -1.42%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-03 21:50
Paddy Power🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.40%E -4.74%K -38.60%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -6.38%E -1.16%K -1.42%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-03 08:05
Sky Bet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.40%E -4.74%K -38.60%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -6.38%E -1.16%K -1.42%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-03 08:00
William Hill🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.40%E -4.74%K -38.60%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -6.38%E -1.16%K -1.42%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-03 21:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.40%E -4.74%K -38.60%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -6.38%E -1.16%K -1.42%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-03 21:55
Coral🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -6.23%E -5.52%K -47.95%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -6.38%E -1.16%K -1.42%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-03 17:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -6.23%E -5.52%K -47.95%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -6.38%E -1.16%K -1.42%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-03 17:49
BetAnything🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -6.23%E -5.52%K -47.95%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -6.38%E -1.16%K -1.42%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-04 01:00
Neds🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -4.57%E -3.98%K -30.50%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -8.09%E -1.50%K -1.84%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-03 17:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -4.57%E -3.98%K -30.50%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -8.09%E -1.50%K -1.84%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-03 17:50
Betsson🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.57%EV -5.40%E -4.74%K -38.60%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.43%EV -8.09%E -1.50%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-04 01:35
NordicBet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.57%EV -5.40%E -4.74%K -38.60%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.43%EV -8.09%E -1.50%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-04 01:35
Virgin Bet🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -3.74%E -3.23%K -23.40%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -9.79%E -1.85%K -2.28%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-03 20:35
Unibet (NL)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -3.74%E -3.23%K -23.40%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -9.79%E -1.85%K -2.28%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-03 20:35
LiveScore Bet🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -3.74%E -3.23%K -23.40%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -9.79%E -1.85%K -2.28%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-03 20:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -3.74%E -3.23%K -23.40%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -9.79%E -1.85%K -2.28%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-03 20:35
TABtouch🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -3.74%E -3.23%K -23.40%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -9.79%E -1.85%K -2.28%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-03 20:35
Casumo🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -3.74%E -3.23%K -23.40%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -9.79%E -1.85%K -2.28%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-03 20:35
Grosvenor🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -3.74%E -3.23%K -23.40%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -9.79%E -1.85%K -2.28%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-03 20:35
BetRivers🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -3.74%E -3.23%K -23.40%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -9.79%E -1.85%K -2.28%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-03 20:35
Unibet (SE)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -3.74%E -3.23%K -23.40%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -9.79%E -1.85%K -2.28%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-03 20:35
Unibet🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -3.74%E -3.23%K -23.40%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -9.79%E -1.85%K -2.28%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-03 20:35
Bally Bet🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -3.74%E -3.23%K -23.40%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -9.79%E -1.85%K -2.28%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-03 20:35
Svenska Spel🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -3.74%E -3.23%K -23.40%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -9.79%E -1.85%K -2.28%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-03 20:35
ATG (SE)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -3.74%E -3.23%K -23.40%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -9.79%E -1.85%K -2.28%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-03 20:35
betPARX🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -3.74%E -3.23%K -23.40%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -9.79%E -1.85%K -2.28%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-03 20:35
PlayUp🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -4.57%E -3.98%K -30.50%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -10.64%E -2.03%K -2.50%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-04 01:35
1xBet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.60%EV -2.91%E -2.49%K -17.15%G +0.000%5.19I 19.27%NM 18.40%EV -11.66%E -2.25%K -2.78%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-04 01:35
Fliff🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 82.14%EV -7.06%E -6.31%K -58.86%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 17.86%EV -12.34%E -2.40%K -2.97%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-04 01:35
LeoVegas🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 81.73%EV -5.40%E -4.74%K -38.60%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.27%EV -13.19%E -2.59%K -3.22%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-04 01:35
PMU (FR)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 81.86%EV -6.23%E -5.52%K -47.95%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.14%EV -13.19%E -2.59%K -3.22%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-03 20:35
BetUS🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -2.91%E -2.49%K -17.15%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -14.89%E -2.98%K -3.72%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-03 16:35
betano_uk🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -4.57%E -3.98%K -30.50%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -14.89%E -2.98%K -3.72%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-04 01:23
TAB🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -4.57%E -3.98%K -30.50%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -14.89%E -2.98%K -3.72%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-04 01:35
Caesars🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -5.40%E -4.74%K -38.60%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -14.89%E -2.98%K -3.72%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-03 23:14
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (8)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeMarża ▲Aktualizacja
ProphetX◎1.16I 86.21%NM 85.96%7.10I 14.08%NM 14.04%0.3%2026-09-04 01:35
Novig◎1.16I 86.21%NM 85.61%6.90I 14.49%NM 14.39%0.7%2026-09-04 01:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.15I 86.96%NM 86.23%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.77%0.8%2026-09-04 01:35
Matchbook◎1.15I 86.96%NM 86.23%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.77%0.8%2026-09-04 01:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.14I 87.72%NM 86.96%7.60I 13.16%NM 13.04%0.9%2026-09-04 01:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.14I 87.72%NM 86.96%7.60I 13.16%NM 13.04%0.9%2026-09-04 01:20
Kalshi◎1.15I 86.96%NM 86.13%7.14I 14.01%NM 13.87%1.0%2026-09-04 01:10
Smarkets◎1.13I 88.50%NM 86.75%7.40I 13.51%NM 13.25%2.0%2026-09-04 01:35