Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Alexander Zverev v Quentin Halys

Inizio: 2026-09-04 01:36 UTC

Finale: Alexander Zverev 3–2 Quentin Halys

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

64 bookmaker (21 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Alexander Zverev (Casa)

Previsione 82.98%1.21quota equa
EV -2.09%
Vantaggio -1.77%
Kelly -11.58%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.18

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
81.04%83.13%82.83%84.88%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.121.151.141.1889.29%87.24%87.72%84.75%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Quentin Halys (Trasferta)

Previsione 17.02%5.88quota equa
EV +9.62%
Vantaggio +1.49%
Kelly +1.77%
Crescita +0.170%

ipotizzando la quota massima 6.44

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
15.12%16.87%17.17%18.96%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
5.005.505.506.4420.00%18.18%18.18%15.53%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Alexander Zverev (Casa): 82.98%; Quentin Halys (Trasferta): 17.02%. Per Quentin Halys (Trasferta), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 5.88. 7 bookmaker offrivano quote di chiusura superiori a tale livello; la migliore era 6.44, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +9.62%.

Quote dei bookmaker (64 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼MargineAggiornamento
Pinnacle🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 84.85%EV -4.57%E -3.98%K -30.50%G +0.000%6.44I 15.53%NM 15.15%EV +9.62%E +1.49%K +1.77%G +0.170%2.5%2026-09-04 01:35
BetOnline.ag🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 84.88%EV -5.40%E -4.74%K -38.60%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.12%EV +8.94%E +1.40%K +1.65%G +0.148%3.3%2026-09-04 01:00
LowVig.ag🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 84.88%EV -5.40%E -4.74%K -38.60%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.12%EV +8.94%E +1.40%K +1.65%G +0.148%3.3%2026-09-04 00:59
SportsBet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -6.23%E -5.52%K -47.95%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV +2.13%E +0.355%K +0.425%G +0.009%5.2%2026-09-03 10:23
Bovada🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -6.23%E -5.52%K -47.95%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV +2.13%E +0.355%K +0.425%G +0.009%5.2%2026-09-04 01:25
NetBet (FR)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -7.06%E -6.31%K -58.86%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV +2.13%E +0.355%K +0.425%G +0.009%6.0%2026-09-04 01:34
Winamax (DE)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 83.57%EV -3.74%E -3.23%K -23.40%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.43%EV +0.425%E +0.072%K +0.087%G +0.000%3.2%2026-09-04 01:35
GTbets🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 83.24%EV -2.09%E -1.77%K -11.58%G +0.000%5.86I 17.06%NM 16.76%EV -0.256%E -0.044%K -0.053%G +0.000%1.8%2026-09-04 01:35
DraftKings🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 83.76%EV -6.23%E -5.52%K -47.95%G +0.000%5.83I 17.15%NM 16.24%EV -0.766%E -0.131%K -0.159%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-03 20:45
Unibet (FR)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 83.45%EV -4.57%E -3.98%K -30.50%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.55%EV -1.28%E -0.220%K -0.266%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-03 20:50
ReBet🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 83.45%EV -4.57%E -3.98%K -30.50%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.55%EV -1.28%E -0.220%K -0.266%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-03 22:10
FanDuel🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -5.40%E -4.74%K -38.60%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -1.28%E -0.220%K -0.266%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-03 10:24
Betclic (FR)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 83.69%EV -6.23%E -5.52%K -47.95%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.31%EV -1.28%E -0.220%K -0.266%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-04 00:50
Winamax (FR)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 83.21%EV -4.57%E -3.98%K -30.50%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.79%EV -2.98%E -0.523%K -0.634%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-04 01:35
Tipico (DE)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 83.46%EV -6.23%E -5.52%K -47.95%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.54%EV -2.98%E -0.523%K -0.634%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-03 17:55
Betway🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.57%E -3.98%K -30.50%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -6.38%E -1.16%K -1.42%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-03 03:35
Coolbet🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.57%E -3.98%K -30.50%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -6.38%E -1.16%K -1.42%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-04 01:25
Unibet (UK)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.57%E -3.98%K -30.50%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -6.38%E -1.16%K -1.42%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-04 01:35
MyBookie.ag🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.57%E -3.98%K -30.50%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -6.38%E -1.16%K -1.42%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-04 01:36
888sport🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.40%E -4.74%K -38.60%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -6.38%E -1.16%K -1.42%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-03 21:50
betfred_uk🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.40%E -4.74%K -38.60%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -6.38%E -1.16%K -1.42%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-03 06:40
Betr (AU)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.40%E -4.74%K -38.60%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -6.38%E -1.16%K -1.42%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-03 19:05
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.40%E -4.74%K -38.60%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -6.38%E -1.16%K -1.42%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-03 19:05
theScore Bet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.40%E -4.74%K -38.60%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -6.38%E -1.16%K -1.42%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-03 17:45
Marathon Bet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.40%E -4.74%K -38.60%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -6.38%E -1.16%K -1.42%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-03 20:45
BoyleSports🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.40%E -4.74%K -38.60%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -6.38%E -1.16%K -1.42%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-03 21:30
BetMGM🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.40%E -4.74%K -38.60%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -6.38%E -1.16%K -1.42%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-03 17:50
Fanatics🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.40%E -4.74%K -38.60%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -6.38%E -1.16%K -1.42%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-04 01:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.40%E -4.74%K -38.60%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -6.38%E -1.16%K -1.42%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-03 21:50
888sport (SE)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.40%E -4.74%K -38.60%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -6.38%E -1.16%K -1.42%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-03 21:50
Paddy Power🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.40%E -4.74%K -38.60%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -6.38%E -1.16%K -1.42%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-03 08:05
Sky Bet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.40%E -4.74%K -38.60%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -6.38%E -1.16%K -1.42%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-03 08:00
William Hill🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.40%E -4.74%K -38.60%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -6.38%E -1.16%K -1.42%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-03 21:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.40%E -4.74%K -38.60%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -6.38%E -1.16%K -1.42%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-03 21:55
Coral🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -6.23%E -5.52%K -47.95%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -6.38%E -1.16%K -1.42%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-03 17:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -6.23%E -5.52%K -47.95%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -6.38%E -1.16%K -1.42%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-03 17:49
BetAnything🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -6.23%E -5.52%K -47.95%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -6.38%E -1.16%K -1.42%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-04 01:00
Neds🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -4.57%E -3.98%K -30.50%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -8.09%E -1.50%K -1.84%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-03 17:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -4.57%E -3.98%K -30.50%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -8.09%E -1.50%K -1.84%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-03 17:50
Betsson🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.57%EV -5.40%E -4.74%K -38.60%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.43%EV -8.09%E -1.50%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-04 01:35
NordicBet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.57%EV -5.40%E -4.74%K -38.60%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.43%EV -8.09%E -1.50%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-04 01:35
Virgin Bet🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -3.74%E -3.23%K -23.40%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -9.79%E -1.85%K -2.28%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-03 20:35
Unibet (NL)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -3.74%E -3.23%K -23.40%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -9.79%E -1.85%K -2.28%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-03 20:35
LiveScore Bet🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -3.74%E -3.23%K -23.40%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -9.79%E -1.85%K -2.28%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-03 20:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -3.74%E -3.23%K -23.40%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -9.79%E -1.85%K -2.28%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-03 20:35
TABtouch🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -3.74%E -3.23%K -23.40%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -9.79%E -1.85%K -2.28%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-03 20:35
Casumo🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -3.74%E -3.23%K -23.40%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -9.79%E -1.85%K -2.28%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-03 20:35
Grosvenor🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -3.74%E -3.23%K -23.40%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -9.79%E -1.85%K -2.28%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-03 20:35
BetRivers🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -3.74%E -3.23%K -23.40%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -9.79%E -1.85%K -2.28%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-03 20:35
Unibet (SE)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -3.74%E -3.23%K -23.40%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -9.79%E -1.85%K -2.28%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-03 20:35
Unibet🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -3.74%E -3.23%K -23.40%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -9.79%E -1.85%K -2.28%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-03 20:35
Bally Bet🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -3.74%E -3.23%K -23.40%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -9.79%E -1.85%K -2.28%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-03 20:35
Svenska Spel🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -3.74%E -3.23%K -23.40%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -9.79%E -1.85%K -2.28%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-03 20:35
ATG (SE)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -3.74%E -3.23%K -23.40%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -9.79%E -1.85%K -2.28%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-03 20:35
betPARX🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -3.74%E -3.23%K -23.40%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -9.79%E -1.85%K -2.28%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-03 20:35
PlayUp🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -4.57%E -3.98%K -30.50%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -10.64%E -2.03%K -2.50%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-04 01:35
1xBet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.60%EV -2.91%E -2.49%K -17.15%G +0.000%5.19I 19.27%NM 18.40%EV -11.66%E -2.25%K -2.78%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-04 01:35
Fliff🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 82.14%EV -7.06%E -6.31%K -58.86%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 17.86%EV -12.34%E -2.40%K -2.97%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-04 01:35
LeoVegas🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 81.73%EV -5.40%E -4.74%K -38.60%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.27%EV -13.19%E -2.59%K -3.22%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-04 01:35
PMU (FR)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 81.86%EV -6.23%E -5.52%K -47.95%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.14%EV -13.19%E -2.59%K -3.22%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-03 20:35
BetUS🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -2.91%E -2.49%K -17.15%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -14.89%E -2.98%K -3.72%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-03 16:35
betano_uk🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -4.57%E -3.98%K -30.50%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -14.89%E -2.98%K -3.72%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-04 01:23
TAB🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -4.57%E -3.98%K -30.50%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -14.89%E -2.98%K -3.72%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-04 01:35
Caesars🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -5.40%E -4.74%K -38.60%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -14.89%E -2.98%K -3.72%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-03 23:14
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (8)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
ProphetX◎1.16I 86.21%NM 85.96%7.10I 14.08%NM 14.04%0.3%2026-09-04 01:35
Novig◎1.16I 86.21%NM 85.61%6.90I 14.49%NM 14.39%0.7%2026-09-04 01:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.15I 86.96%NM 86.23%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.77%0.8%2026-09-04 01:35
Matchbook◎1.15I 86.96%NM 86.23%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.77%0.8%2026-09-04 01:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.14I 87.72%NM 86.96%7.60I 13.16%NM 13.04%0.9%2026-09-04 01:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.14I 87.72%NM 86.96%7.60I 13.16%NM 13.04%0.9%2026-09-04 01:20
Kalshi◎1.15I 86.96%NM 86.13%7.14I 14.01%NM 13.87%1.0%2026-09-04 01:10
Smarkets◎1.13I 88.50%NM 86.75%7.40I 13.51%NM 13.25%2.0%2026-09-04 01:35