Language:English
Alexander Zverev v Alejandro Tabilo
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Alexander Zverev (Local)
Prediction 81.06%1.23fair odd
EV -1.11%
Edge -0.908%
Kelly -5.04%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.22
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
77.90%81.00%81.10%82.83%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.121.171.171.2289.29%85.55%85.47%81.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Alejandro Tabilo (Visit)
Prediction 18.94%5.28fair odd
EV +4.17%
Edge +0.759%
Kelly +0.928%
Growth +0.039%
assuming max odds 5.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
17.17%19.00%18.90%22.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.305.075.005.5023.26%19.71%20.00%18.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Alexander Zverev (Local): 81.06%; Alejandro Tabilo (Visit): 18.94%. For Alejandro Tabilo (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.28. 17 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.17%.
Sportsbook Odds (61 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -6.78%E -5.90%K -45.21%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV +4.17%E +0.759%K +0.928%G +0.039% | 5.1% | 2026-09-05 23:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -6.78%E -5.90%K -45.21%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV +4.17%E +0.759%K +0.928%G +0.039% | 5.1% | 2026-09-05 23:35 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -6.78%E -5.90%K -45.21%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV +4.17%E +0.759%K +0.928%G +0.039% | 5.1% | 2026-09-05 23:35 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -6.78%E -5.90%K -45.21%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV +4.17%E +0.759%K +0.928%G +0.039% | 5.1% | 2026-09-05 23:35 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -6.78%E -5.90%K -45.21%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV +4.17%E +0.759%K +0.928%G +0.039% | 5.1% | 2026-09-05 23:35 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -6.78%E -5.90%K -45.21%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV +4.17%E +0.759%K +0.928%G +0.039% | 5.1% | 2026-09-05 23:35 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -6.78%E -5.90%K -45.21%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV +4.17%E +0.759%K +0.928%G +0.039% | 5.1% | 2026-09-05 23:35 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -6.78%E -5.90%K -45.21%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV +4.17%E +0.759%K +0.928%G +0.039% | 5.1% | 2026-09-05 23:35 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -6.78%E -5.90%K -45.21%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV +4.17%E +0.759%K +0.928%G +0.039% | 5.1% | 2026-09-05 23:35 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -6.78%E -5.90%K -45.21%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV +4.17%E +0.759%K +0.928%G +0.039% | 5.1% | 2026-09-05 23:35 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -6.78%E -5.90%K -45.21%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV +4.17%E +0.759%K +0.928%G +0.039% | 5.1% | 2026-09-05 23:35 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -6.78%E -5.90%K -45.21%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV +4.17%E +0.759%K +0.928%G +0.039% | 5.1% | 2026-09-05 23:35 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -6.78%E -5.90%K -45.21%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV +4.17%E +0.759%K +0.928%G +0.039% | 5.1% | 2026-09-05 23:35 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -6.78%E -5.90%K -45.21%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV +4.17%E +0.759%K +0.928%G +0.039% | 5.1% | 2026-09-05 23:04 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -7.59%E -6.66%K -54.23%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV +4.17%E +0.759%K +0.928%G +0.039% | 5.9% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.92%EV -5.16%E -4.41%K -30.36%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.08%EV +0.387%E +0.073%K +0.090%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 82.55%EV -9.21%E -8.23%K -76.78%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.45%EV +0.387%E +0.073%K +0.090%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-05 23:35 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 81.52%EV -3.54%E -2.97%K -18.63%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.48%EV -0.560%E -0.107%K -0.132%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-09-06 02:30 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -5.16%E -4.41%K -30.36%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -0.560%E -0.107%K -0.132%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-06 01:55 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -5.16%E -4.41%K -30.36%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -0.560%E -0.107%K -0.132%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-05 23:06 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.89%EV -6.78%E -5.90%K -45.21%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.11%EV -1.51%E -0.290%K -0.359%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.62%EV -5.97%E -5.15%K -37.32%G +0.000% | 5.15I 19.42%NM 18.38%EV -2.45%E -0.477%K -0.591%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-06 02:29 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.43%EV -5.16%E -4.41%K -30.36%G +0.000% | 5.13I 19.49%NM 18.57%EV -2.83%E -0.552%K -0.686%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-06 00:35 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -5.16%E -4.41%K -30.36%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -3.40%E -0.667%K -0.830%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-05 23:55 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -5.16%E -4.41%K -30.36%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -3.40%E -0.667%K -0.830%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-05 23:04 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.35%E -3.69%K -24.17%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -5.30%E -1.06%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-06 01:30 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.35%E -3.69%K -24.17%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -5.30%E -1.06%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-05 23:55 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.35%E -3.69%K -24.17%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -5.30%E -1.06%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-06 02:25 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.16%E -4.41%K -30.36%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -5.30%E -1.06%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.16%E -4.41%K -30.36%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -5.30%E -1.06%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.16%E -4.41%K -30.36%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -5.30%E -1.06%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.16%E -4.41%K -30.36%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -5.30%E -1.06%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-05 23:01 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.16%E -4.41%K -30.36%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -5.30%E -1.06%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.16%E -4.41%K -30.36%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -5.30%E -1.06%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.16%E -4.41%K -30.36%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -5.30%E -1.06%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-05 23:55 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.16%E -4.41%K -30.36%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -5.30%E -1.06%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-05 23:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.16%E -4.41%K -30.36%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -5.30%E -1.06%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.16%E -4.41%K -30.36%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -5.30%E -1.06%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -5.97%E -5.15%K -37.32%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -5.30%E -1.06%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-06 02:25 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -5.97%E -5.15%K -37.32%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -5.30%E -1.06%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -5.97%E -5.15%K -37.32%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -5.30%E -1.06%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-06 02:30 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -5.97%E -5.15%K -37.32%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -5.30%E -1.06%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-06 02:25 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -6.78%E -5.90%K -45.21%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -5.30%E -1.06%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -6.78%E -5.90%K -45.21%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -5.30%E -1.06%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-05 23:06 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -7.59%E -6.66%K -54.23%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -5.30%E -1.06%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-05 23:00 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.25%EV -7.59%E -6.66%K -54.23%G +0.000% | 4.94I 20.24%NM 18.75%EV -6.43%E -1.30%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-06 02:25 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 80.16%EV -1.11%E -0.908%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 4.93I 20.28%NM 19.84%EV -6.62%E -1.34%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-09-06 02:30 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.56%EV -5.16%E -4.41%K -30.36%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.44%EV -8.14%E -1.68%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.17%EV -3.54%E -2.97%K -18.63%G +0.000% | 4.81I 20.79%NM 19.83%EV -8.89%E -1.85%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-06 02:25 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -4.35%E -3.69%K -24.17%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -9.08%E -1.89%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-06 02:25 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -4.35%E -3.69%K -24.17%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -9.08%E -1.89%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-06 02:15 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -4.35%E -3.69%K -24.17%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -10.03%E -2.11%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-06 02:30 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 79.39%EV -1.11%E -0.908%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.61%EV -10.98%E -2.34%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-09-06 02:29 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.42%EV -1.92%E -1.59%K -9.14%G +0.000% | 4.67I 21.41%NM 20.58%EV -11.55%E -2.47%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-06 02:30 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.42%EV -1.92%E -1.59%K -9.14%G +0.000% | 4.67I 21.41%NM 20.58%EV -11.55%E -2.47%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-06 02:30 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.66%EV -3.54%E -2.97%K -18.63%G +0.000% | 4.66I 21.46%NM 20.34%EV -11.74%E -2.52%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-06 02:23 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -1.92%E -1.59%K -9.14%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV -12.87%E -2.80%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-06 02:30 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -4.35%E -3.69%K -24.17%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -12.87%E -2.80%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-06 02:30 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -2.73%E -2.27%K -13.65%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -14.77%E -3.28%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-05 23:55 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -2.73%E -2.27%K -13.65%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -16.66%E -3.79%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-06 02:29 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -1.11%E -0.908%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -18.55%E -4.31%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-06 02:30 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.24I 80.65%NM 80.44% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.56% | 0.3% | 2026-09-06 02:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.24I 80.65%NM 80.44% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.56% | 0.3% | 2026-09-06 02:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.25I 80.00%NM 79.67% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.33% | 0.4% | 2026-09-06 02:30 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.25I 80.00%NM 79.67% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.33% | 0.4% | 2026-09-06 02:30 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.25I 80.00%NM 79.51% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 20.49% | 0.6% | 2026-09-06 02:30 |
| Novig◎ | 1.24I 80.65%NM 79.74% | 4.88I 20.49%NM 20.26% | 1.1% | 2026-09-06 02:30 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.22I 81.97%NM 79.73% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.27% | 2.8% | 2026-09-06 02:30 |