Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Alexander Zverev v Alejandro Tabilo

Início: 2026-09-06 02:38 UTC

Final: Alexander Zverev 3–0 Alejandro Tabilo

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

61 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Alexander Zverev (Local)

Previsão 81.06%1.23odd justa
EV -1.11%
Vantagem -0.908%
Kelly -5.04%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.22

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
77.90%81.00%81.10%82.83%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.121.171.171.2289.29%85.55%85.47%81.97%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Alejandro Tabilo (Visitante)

Previsão 18.94%5.28odd justa
EV +4.17%
Vantagem +0.759%
Kelly +0.928%
Crescimento +0.039%

pressupondo odds máximas de 5.50

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
17.17%19.00%18.90%22.10%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
4.305.075.005.5023.26%19.71%20.00%18.18%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Alexander Zverev (Local): 81.06%; Alejandro Tabilo (Visitante): 18.94%. Para Alejandro Tabilo (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 5.28. 17 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 5.50, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +4.17%.

Odds das casas de apostas (61 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
LiveScore Bet🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -6.78%E -5.90%K -45.21%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV +4.17%E +0.759%K +0.928%G +0.039%5.1%2026-09-05 23:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -6.78%E -5.90%K -45.21%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV +4.17%E +0.759%K +0.928%G +0.039%5.1%2026-09-05 23:35
Casumo🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -6.78%E -5.90%K -45.21%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV +4.17%E +0.759%K +0.928%G +0.039%5.1%2026-09-05 23:35
Grosvenor🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -6.78%E -5.90%K -45.21%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV +4.17%E +0.759%K +0.928%G +0.039%5.1%2026-09-05 23:35
Unibet🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -6.78%E -5.90%K -45.21%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV +4.17%E +0.759%K +0.928%G +0.039%5.1%2026-09-05 23:35
BetRivers🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -6.78%E -5.90%K -45.21%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV +4.17%E +0.759%K +0.928%G +0.039%5.1%2026-09-05 23:35
Unibet (NL)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -6.78%E -5.90%K -45.21%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV +4.17%E +0.759%K +0.928%G +0.039%5.1%2026-09-05 23:35
Virgin Bet🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -6.78%E -5.90%K -45.21%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV +4.17%E +0.759%K +0.928%G +0.039%5.1%2026-09-05 23:35
Unibet (SE)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -6.78%E -5.90%K -45.21%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV +4.17%E +0.759%K +0.928%G +0.039%5.1%2026-09-05 23:35
ATG (SE)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -6.78%E -5.90%K -45.21%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV +4.17%E +0.759%K +0.928%G +0.039%5.1%2026-09-05 23:35
Svenska Spel🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -6.78%E -5.90%K -45.21%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV +4.17%E +0.759%K +0.928%G +0.039%5.1%2026-09-05 23:35
Bally Bet🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -6.78%E -5.90%K -45.21%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV +4.17%E +0.759%K +0.928%G +0.039%5.1%2026-09-05 23:35
betPARX🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -6.78%E -5.90%K -45.21%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV +4.17%E +0.759%K +0.928%G +0.039%5.1%2026-09-05 23:35
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -6.78%E -5.90%K -45.21%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV +4.17%E +0.759%K +0.928%G +0.039%5.1%2026-09-05 23:04
BoyleSports🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -7.59%E -6.66%K -54.23%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV +4.17%E +0.759%K +0.928%G +0.039%5.9%2026-09-05 23:05
ReBet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.92%EV -5.16%E -4.41%K -30.36%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.08%EV +0.387%E +0.073%K +0.090%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-05 23:05
PMU (FR)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 82.55%EV -9.21%E -8.23%K -76.78%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.45%EV +0.387%E +0.073%K +0.090%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-05 23:35
Coolbet🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 81.52%EV -3.54%E -2.97%K -18.63%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.48%EV -0.560%E -0.107%K -0.132%G +0.000%3.1%2026-09-06 02:30
Betclic (FR)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -5.16%E -4.41%K -30.36%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -0.560%E -0.107%K -0.132%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-06 01:55
Unibet (UK)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -5.16%E -4.41%K -30.36%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -0.560%E -0.107%K -0.132%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-05 23:06
Tipico (DE)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 81.89%EV -6.78%E -5.90%K -45.21%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.11%EV -1.51%E -0.290%K -0.359%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-05 23:05
Marathon Bet🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.62%EV -5.97%E -5.15%K -37.32%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 18.38%EV -2.45%E -0.477%K -0.591%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-06 02:29
BetUS🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.43%EV -5.16%E -4.41%K -30.36%G +0.000%5.13I 19.49%NM 18.57%EV -2.83%E -0.552%K -0.686%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-06 00:35
SportsBet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -5.16%E -4.41%K -30.36%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -3.40%E -0.667%K -0.830%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-05 23:55
MyBookie.ag🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -5.16%E -4.41%K -30.36%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -3.40%E -0.667%K -0.830%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-05 23:04
Betway🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.35%E -3.69%K -24.17%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -5.30%E -1.06%K -1.32%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-06 01:30
FanDuel🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.35%E -3.69%K -24.17%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -5.30%E -1.06%K -1.32%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-05 23:55
Bovada🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.35%E -3.69%K -24.17%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -5.30%E -1.06%K -1.32%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-06 02:25
betfred_uk🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.16%E -4.41%K -30.36%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -5.30%E -1.06%K -1.32%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-05 23:05
888sport🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.16%E -4.41%K -30.36%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -5.30%E -1.06%K -1.32%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-05 23:05
William Hill🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.16%E -4.41%K -30.36%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -5.30%E -1.06%K -1.32%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-05 23:05
betano_uk🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.16%E -4.41%K -30.36%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -5.30%E -1.06%K -1.32%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-05 23:01
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.16%E -4.41%K -30.36%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -5.30%E -1.06%K -1.32%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-05 23:05
Neds🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.16%E -4.41%K -30.36%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -5.30%E -1.06%K -1.32%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-05 23:05
Paddy Power🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.16%E -4.41%K -30.36%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -5.30%E -1.06%K -1.32%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-05 23:55
Sky Bet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.16%E -4.41%K -30.36%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -5.30%E -1.06%K -1.32%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-05 23:55
888sport (SE)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.16%E -4.41%K -30.36%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -5.30%E -1.06%K -1.32%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-05 23:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.16%E -4.41%K -30.36%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -5.30%E -1.06%K -1.32%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-05 23:05
LeoVegas🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -5.97%E -5.15%K -37.32%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -5.30%E -1.06%K -1.32%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-06 02:25
BetMGM🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -5.97%E -5.15%K -37.32%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -5.30%E -1.06%K -1.32%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-05 23:05
NetBet (FR)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -5.97%E -5.15%K -37.32%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -5.30%E -1.06%K -1.32%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-06 02:30
Fliff🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -5.97%E -5.15%K -37.32%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -5.30%E -1.06%K -1.32%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-06 02:25
Coral🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -6.78%E -5.90%K -45.21%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -5.30%E -1.06%K -1.32%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-05 23:05
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -6.78%E -5.90%K -45.21%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -5.30%E -1.06%K -1.32%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-05 23:06
Caesars🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -7.59%E -6.66%K -54.23%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -5.30%E -1.06%K -1.32%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-05 23:00
GTbets🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 81.25%EV -7.59%E -6.66%K -54.23%G +0.000%4.94I 20.24%NM 18.75%EV -6.43%E -1.30%K -1.63%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-06 02:25
Pinnacle🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 80.16%EV -1.11%E -0.908%K -5.04%G +0.000%4.93I 20.28%NM 19.84%EV -6.62%E -1.34%K -1.68%G +0.000%2.3%2026-09-06 02:30
theScore Bet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 80.56%EV -5.16%E -4.41%K -30.36%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.44%EV -8.14%E -1.68%K -2.11%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-05 23:05
1xBet🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 80.17%EV -3.54%E -2.97%K -18.63%G +0.000%4.81I 20.79%NM 19.83%EV -8.89%E -1.85%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-06 02:25
Fanatics🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -4.35%E -3.69%K -24.17%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -9.08%E -1.89%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-06 02:25
BetAnything🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -4.35%E -3.69%K -24.17%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -9.08%E -1.89%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-06 02:15
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -4.35%E -3.69%K -24.17%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -10.03%E -2.11%K -2.67%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-06 02:30
Winamax (DE)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 79.39%EV -1.11%E -0.908%K -5.04%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.61%EV -10.98%E -2.34%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.2%2026-09-06 02:29
LowVig.ag🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 79.42%EV -1.92%E -1.59%K -9.14%G +0.000%4.67I 21.41%NM 20.58%EV -11.55%E -2.47%K -3.15%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-06 02:30
BetOnline.ag🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 79.42%EV -1.92%E -1.59%K -9.14%G +0.000%4.67I 21.41%NM 20.58%EV -11.55%E -2.47%K -3.15%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-06 02:30
DraftKings🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 79.66%EV -3.54%E -2.97%K -18.63%G +0.000%4.66I 21.46%NM 20.34%EV -11.74%E -2.52%K -3.21%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-06 02:23
Winamax (FR)🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -1.92%E -1.59%K -9.14%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV -12.87%E -2.80%K -3.58%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-06 02:30
Betr (AU)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -4.35%E -3.69%K -24.17%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -12.87%E -2.80%K -3.58%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-06 02:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -2.73%E -2.27%K -13.65%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -14.77%E -3.28%K -4.22%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-05 23:55
TAB🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -2.73%E -2.27%K -13.65%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -16.66%E -3.79%K -4.90%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-06 02:29
PlayUp🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -1.11%E -0.908%K -5.04%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -18.55%E -4.31%K -5.62%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-06 02:30
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (7)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.24I 80.65%NM 80.44%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.56%0.3%2026-09-06 02:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.24I 80.65%NM 80.44%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.56%0.3%2026-09-06 02:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.25I 80.00%NM 79.67%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.33%0.4%2026-09-06 02:30
Matchbook◎1.25I 80.00%NM 79.67%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.33%0.4%2026-09-06 02:30
ProphetX◎1.25I 80.00%NM 79.51%4.85I 20.62%NM 20.49%0.6%2026-09-06 02:30
Novig◎1.24I 80.65%NM 79.74%4.88I 20.49%NM 20.26%1.1%2026-09-06 02:30
Smarkets◎1.22I 81.97%NM 79.73%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.27%2.8%2026-09-06 02:30