StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Alexander Zverev v Alejandro Tabilo

Matchstart: 2026-09-06 02:38 UTC

Slutresultat: Alexander Zverev 3–0 Alejandro Tabilo

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

61 spelbolag (20 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Alexander Zverev (Hemma)

Prognos 81.06%1.23rättvist odds
EV -1.11%
Fördel -0.908%
Kelly -5.04%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.22

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
77.90%81.00%81.10%82.83%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.121.171.171.2289.29%85.55%85.47%81.97%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Alejandro Tabilo (Borta)

Prognos 18.94%5.28rättvist odds
EV +4.17%
Fördel +0.759%
Kelly +0.928%
Tillväxt +0.039%

med antagandet om högsta odds 5.50

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
17.17%19.00%18.90%22.10%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
4.305.075.005.5023.26%19.71%20.00%18.18%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Alexander Zverev (Hemma): 81.06%; Alejandro Tabilo (Borta): 18.94%. För Alejandro Tabilo (Borta) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 5.28. 17 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 5.50, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +4.17%.

Spelbolagsodds (61 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemmaBorta ▼MarginalUppdaterat
LiveScore Bet🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -6.78%E -5.90%K -45.21%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV +4.17%E +0.759%K +0.928%G +0.039%5.1%2026-09-05 23:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -6.78%E -5.90%K -45.21%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV +4.17%E +0.759%K +0.928%G +0.039%5.1%2026-09-05 23:35
Casumo🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -6.78%E -5.90%K -45.21%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV +4.17%E +0.759%K +0.928%G +0.039%5.1%2026-09-05 23:35
Grosvenor🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -6.78%E -5.90%K -45.21%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV +4.17%E +0.759%K +0.928%G +0.039%5.1%2026-09-05 23:35
Unibet🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -6.78%E -5.90%K -45.21%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV +4.17%E +0.759%K +0.928%G +0.039%5.1%2026-09-05 23:35
BetRivers🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -6.78%E -5.90%K -45.21%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV +4.17%E +0.759%K +0.928%G +0.039%5.1%2026-09-05 23:35
Unibet (NL)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -6.78%E -5.90%K -45.21%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV +4.17%E +0.759%K +0.928%G +0.039%5.1%2026-09-05 23:35
Virgin Bet🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -6.78%E -5.90%K -45.21%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV +4.17%E +0.759%K +0.928%G +0.039%5.1%2026-09-05 23:35
Unibet (SE)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -6.78%E -5.90%K -45.21%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV +4.17%E +0.759%K +0.928%G +0.039%5.1%2026-09-05 23:35
ATG (SE)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -6.78%E -5.90%K -45.21%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV +4.17%E +0.759%K +0.928%G +0.039%5.1%2026-09-05 23:35
Svenska Spel🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -6.78%E -5.90%K -45.21%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV +4.17%E +0.759%K +0.928%G +0.039%5.1%2026-09-05 23:35
Bally Bet🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -6.78%E -5.90%K -45.21%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV +4.17%E +0.759%K +0.928%G +0.039%5.1%2026-09-05 23:35
betPARX🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -6.78%E -5.90%K -45.21%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV +4.17%E +0.759%K +0.928%G +0.039%5.1%2026-09-05 23:35
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -6.78%E -5.90%K -45.21%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV +4.17%E +0.759%K +0.928%G +0.039%5.1%2026-09-05 23:04
BoyleSports🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -7.59%E -6.66%K -54.23%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV +4.17%E +0.759%K +0.928%G +0.039%5.9%2026-09-05 23:05
ReBet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.92%EV -5.16%E -4.41%K -30.36%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.08%EV +0.387%E +0.073%K +0.090%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-05 23:05
PMU (FR)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 82.55%EV -9.21%E -8.23%K -76.78%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.45%EV +0.387%E +0.073%K +0.090%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-05 23:35
Coolbet🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 81.52%EV -3.54%E -2.97%K -18.63%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.48%EV -0.560%E -0.107%K -0.132%G +0.000%3.1%2026-09-06 02:30
Betclic (FR)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -5.16%E -4.41%K -30.36%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -0.560%E -0.107%K -0.132%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-06 01:55
Unibet (UK)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -5.16%E -4.41%K -30.36%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -0.560%E -0.107%K -0.132%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-05 23:06
Tipico (DE)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 81.89%EV -6.78%E -5.90%K -45.21%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.11%EV -1.51%E -0.290%K -0.359%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-05 23:05
Marathon Bet🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.62%EV -5.97%E -5.15%K -37.32%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 18.38%EV -2.45%E -0.477%K -0.591%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-06 02:29
BetUS🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.43%EV -5.16%E -4.41%K -30.36%G +0.000%5.13I 19.49%NM 18.57%EV -2.83%E -0.552%K -0.686%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-06 00:35
SportsBet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -5.16%E -4.41%K -30.36%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -3.40%E -0.667%K -0.830%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-05 23:55
MyBookie.ag🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -5.16%E -4.41%K -30.36%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -3.40%E -0.667%K -0.830%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-05 23:04
Betway🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.35%E -3.69%K -24.17%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -5.30%E -1.06%K -1.32%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-06 01:30
FanDuel🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.35%E -3.69%K -24.17%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -5.30%E -1.06%K -1.32%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-05 23:55
Bovada🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.35%E -3.69%K -24.17%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -5.30%E -1.06%K -1.32%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-06 02:25
betfred_uk🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.16%E -4.41%K -30.36%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -5.30%E -1.06%K -1.32%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-05 23:05
888sport🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.16%E -4.41%K -30.36%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -5.30%E -1.06%K -1.32%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-05 23:05
William Hill🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.16%E -4.41%K -30.36%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -5.30%E -1.06%K -1.32%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-05 23:05
betano_uk🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.16%E -4.41%K -30.36%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -5.30%E -1.06%K -1.32%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-05 23:01
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.16%E -4.41%K -30.36%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -5.30%E -1.06%K -1.32%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-05 23:05
Neds🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.16%E -4.41%K -30.36%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -5.30%E -1.06%K -1.32%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-05 23:05
Paddy Power🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.16%E -4.41%K -30.36%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -5.30%E -1.06%K -1.32%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-05 23:55
Sky Bet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.16%E -4.41%K -30.36%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -5.30%E -1.06%K -1.32%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-05 23:55
888sport (SE)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.16%E -4.41%K -30.36%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -5.30%E -1.06%K -1.32%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-05 23:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.16%E -4.41%K -30.36%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -5.30%E -1.06%K -1.32%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-05 23:05
LeoVegas🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -5.97%E -5.15%K -37.32%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -5.30%E -1.06%K -1.32%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-06 02:25
BetMGM🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -5.97%E -5.15%K -37.32%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -5.30%E -1.06%K -1.32%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-05 23:05
NetBet (FR)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -5.97%E -5.15%K -37.32%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -5.30%E -1.06%K -1.32%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-06 02:30
Fliff🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -5.97%E -5.15%K -37.32%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -5.30%E -1.06%K -1.32%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-06 02:25
Coral🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -6.78%E -5.90%K -45.21%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -5.30%E -1.06%K -1.32%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-05 23:05
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -6.78%E -5.90%K -45.21%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -5.30%E -1.06%K -1.32%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-05 23:06
Caesars🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -7.59%E -6.66%K -54.23%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -5.30%E -1.06%K -1.32%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-05 23:00
GTbets🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 81.25%EV -7.59%E -6.66%K -54.23%G +0.000%4.94I 20.24%NM 18.75%EV -6.43%E -1.30%K -1.63%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-06 02:25
Pinnacle🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 80.16%EV -1.11%E -0.908%K -5.04%G +0.000%4.93I 20.28%NM 19.84%EV -6.62%E -1.34%K -1.68%G +0.000%2.3%2026-09-06 02:30
theScore Bet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 80.56%EV -5.16%E -4.41%K -30.36%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.44%EV -8.14%E -1.68%K -2.11%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-05 23:05
1xBet🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 80.17%EV -3.54%E -2.97%K -18.63%G +0.000%4.81I 20.79%NM 19.83%EV -8.89%E -1.85%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-06 02:25
Fanatics🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -4.35%E -3.69%K -24.17%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -9.08%E -1.89%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-06 02:25
BetAnything🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -4.35%E -3.69%K -24.17%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -9.08%E -1.89%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-06 02:15
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -4.35%E -3.69%K -24.17%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -10.03%E -2.11%K -2.67%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-06 02:30
Winamax (DE)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 79.39%EV -1.11%E -0.908%K -5.04%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.61%EV -10.98%E -2.34%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.2%2026-09-06 02:29
LowVig.ag🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 79.42%EV -1.92%E -1.59%K -9.14%G +0.000%4.67I 21.41%NM 20.58%EV -11.55%E -2.47%K -3.15%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-06 02:30
BetOnline.ag🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 79.42%EV -1.92%E -1.59%K -9.14%G +0.000%4.67I 21.41%NM 20.58%EV -11.55%E -2.47%K -3.15%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-06 02:30
DraftKings🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 79.66%EV -3.54%E -2.97%K -18.63%G +0.000%4.66I 21.46%NM 20.34%EV -11.74%E -2.52%K -3.21%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-06 02:23
Winamax (FR)🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -1.92%E -1.59%K -9.14%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV -12.87%E -2.80%K -3.58%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-06 02:30
Betr (AU)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -4.35%E -3.69%K -24.17%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -12.87%E -2.80%K -3.58%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-06 02:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -2.73%E -2.27%K -13.65%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -14.77%E -3.28%K -4.22%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-05 23:55
TAB🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -2.73%E -2.27%K -13.65%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -16.66%E -3.79%K -4.90%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-06 02:29
PlayUp🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -1.11%E -0.908%K -5.04%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -18.55%E -4.31%K -5.62%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-06 02:30
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (7)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.24I 80.65%NM 80.44%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.56%0.3%2026-09-06 02:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.24I 80.65%NM 80.44%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.56%0.3%2026-09-06 02:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.25I 80.00%NM 79.67%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.33%0.4%2026-09-06 02:30
Matchbook◎1.25I 80.00%NM 79.67%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.33%0.4%2026-09-06 02:30
ProphetX◎1.25I 80.00%NM 79.51%4.85I 20.62%NM 20.49%0.6%2026-09-06 02:30
Novig◎1.24I 80.65%NM 79.74%4.88I 20.49%NM 20.26%1.1%2026-09-06 02:30
Smarkets◎1.22I 81.97%NM 79.73%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.27%2.8%2026-09-06 02:30