StandardmodellInterquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Alexander Zverev v Alejandro Tabilo

Spielbeginn: 2026-09-06 02:38 UTC

Endstand: Alexander Zverev 3–0 Alejandro Tabilo

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

61 Wettanbieter (20 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Alexander Zverev (Heim)

Prognose 81.06%1.23faire Quote
EV -1.11%
Vorteil -0.908%
Kelly -5.04%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.22

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
77.90%81.00%81.10%82.83%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.121.171.171.2289.29%85.55%85.47%81.97%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Alejandro Tabilo (Auswärts)

Prognose 18.94%5.28faire Quote
EV +4.17%
Vorteil +0.759%
Kelly +0.928%
Wachstum +0.039%

bei einer Höchstquote von 5.50

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
17.17%19.00%18.90%22.10%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
4.305.075.005.5023.26%19.71%20.00%18.18%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Bei den letzten Quoten vor Spielbeginn schätzte Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) für Direkter Vergleich: Alexander Zverev (Heim): 81.06%; Alejandro Tabilo (Auswärts): 18.94%. Für Alejandro Tabilo (Auswärts) entsprach diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 5.28. 17 Wettanbieter boten Schlussquoten über diesem Wert an; die beste betrug 5.50 und entsprach einem positiven Erwartungswert von +4.17%.

Wettanbieterquoten (61 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeimAuswärts ▼MargeAktualisiert
LiveScore Bet🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -6.78%E -5.90%K -45.21%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV +4.17%E +0.759%K +0.928%G +0.039%5.1%2026-09-05 23:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -6.78%E -5.90%K -45.21%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV +4.17%E +0.759%K +0.928%G +0.039%5.1%2026-09-05 23:35
Casumo🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -6.78%E -5.90%K -45.21%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV +4.17%E +0.759%K +0.928%G +0.039%5.1%2026-09-05 23:35
Grosvenor🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -6.78%E -5.90%K -45.21%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV +4.17%E +0.759%K +0.928%G +0.039%5.1%2026-09-05 23:35
Unibet🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -6.78%E -5.90%K -45.21%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV +4.17%E +0.759%K +0.928%G +0.039%5.1%2026-09-05 23:35
BetRivers🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -6.78%E -5.90%K -45.21%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV +4.17%E +0.759%K +0.928%G +0.039%5.1%2026-09-05 23:35
Unibet (NL)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -6.78%E -5.90%K -45.21%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV +4.17%E +0.759%K +0.928%G +0.039%5.1%2026-09-05 23:35
Virgin Bet🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -6.78%E -5.90%K -45.21%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV +4.17%E +0.759%K +0.928%G +0.039%5.1%2026-09-05 23:35
Unibet (SE)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -6.78%E -5.90%K -45.21%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV +4.17%E +0.759%K +0.928%G +0.039%5.1%2026-09-05 23:35
ATG (SE)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -6.78%E -5.90%K -45.21%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV +4.17%E +0.759%K +0.928%G +0.039%5.1%2026-09-05 23:35
Svenska Spel🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -6.78%E -5.90%K -45.21%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV +4.17%E +0.759%K +0.928%G +0.039%5.1%2026-09-05 23:35
Bally Bet🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -6.78%E -5.90%K -45.21%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV +4.17%E +0.759%K +0.928%G +0.039%5.1%2026-09-05 23:35
betPARX🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -6.78%E -5.90%K -45.21%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV +4.17%E +0.759%K +0.928%G +0.039%5.1%2026-09-05 23:35
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -6.78%E -5.90%K -45.21%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV +4.17%E +0.759%K +0.928%G +0.039%5.1%2026-09-05 23:04
BoyleSports🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -7.59%E -6.66%K -54.23%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV +4.17%E +0.759%K +0.928%G +0.039%5.9%2026-09-05 23:05
ReBet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.92%EV -5.16%E -4.41%K -30.36%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.08%EV +0.387%E +0.073%K +0.090%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-05 23:05
PMU (FR)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 82.55%EV -9.21%E -8.23%K -76.78%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.45%EV +0.387%E +0.073%K +0.090%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-05 23:35
Coolbet🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 81.52%EV -3.54%E -2.97%K -18.63%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.48%EV -0.560%E -0.107%K -0.132%G +0.000%3.1%2026-09-06 02:30
Betclic (FR)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -5.16%E -4.41%K -30.36%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -0.560%E -0.107%K -0.132%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-06 01:55
Unibet (UK)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -5.16%E -4.41%K -30.36%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -0.560%E -0.107%K -0.132%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-05 23:06
Tipico (DE)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 81.89%EV -6.78%E -5.90%K -45.21%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.11%EV -1.51%E -0.290%K -0.359%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-05 23:05
Marathon Bet🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.62%EV -5.97%E -5.15%K -37.32%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 18.38%EV -2.45%E -0.477%K -0.591%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-06 02:29
BetUS🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.43%EV -5.16%E -4.41%K -30.36%G +0.000%5.13I 19.49%NM 18.57%EV -2.83%E -0.552%K -0.686%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-06 00:35
SportsBet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -5.16%E -4.41%K -30.36%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -3.40%E -0.667%K -0.830%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-05 23:55
MyBookie.ag🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -5.16%E -4.41%K -30.36%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -3.40%E -0.667%K -0.830%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-05 23:04
Betway🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.35%E -3.69%K -24.17%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -5.30%E -1.06%K -1.32%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-06 01:30
FanDuel🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.35%E -3.69%K -24.17%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -5.30%E -1.06%K -1.32%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-05 23:55
Bovada🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.35%E -3.69%K -24.17%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -5.30%E -1.06%K -1.32%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-06 02:25
betfred_uk🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.16%E -4.41%K -30.36%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -5.30%E -1.06%K -1.32%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-05 23:05
888sport🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.16%E -4.41%K -30.36%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -5.30%E -1.06%K -1.32%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-05 23:05
William Hill🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.16%E -4.41%K -30.36%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -5.30%E -1.06%K -1.32%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-05 23:05
betano_uk🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.16%E -4.41%K -30.36%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -5.30%E -1.06%K -1.32%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-05 23:01
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.16%E -4.41%K -30.36%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -5.30%E -1.06%K -1.32%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-05 23:05
Neds🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.16%E -4.41%K -30.36%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -5.30%E -1.06%K -1.32%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-05 23:05
Paddy Power🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.16%E -4.41%K -30.36%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -5.30%E -1.06%K -1.32%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-05 23:55
Sky Bet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.16%E -4.41%K -30.36%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -5.30%E -1.06%K -1.32%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-05 23:55
888sport (SE)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.16%E -4.41%K -30.36%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -5.30%E -1.06%K -1.32%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-05 23:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.16%E -4.41%K -30.36%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -5.30%E -1.06%K -1.32%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-05 23:05
LeoVegas🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -5.97%E -5.15%K -37.32%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -5.30%E -1.06%K -1.32%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-06 02:25
BetMGM🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -5.97%E -5.15%K -37.32%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -5.30%E -1.06%K -1.32%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-05 23:05
NetBet (FR)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -5.97%E -5.15%K -37.32%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -5.30%E -1.06%K -1.32%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-06 02:30
Fliff🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -5.97%E -5.15%K -37.32%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -5.30%E -1.06%K -1.32%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-06 02:25
Coral🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -6.78%E -5.90%K -45.21%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -5.30%E -1.06%K -1.32%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-05 23:05
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -6.78%E -5.90%K -45.21%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -5.30%E -1.06%K -1.32%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-05 23:06
Caesars🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -7.59%E -6.66%K -54.23%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -5.30%E -1.06%K -1.32%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-05 23:00
GTbets🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 81.25%EV -7.59%E -6.66%K -54.23%G +0.000%4.94I 20.24%NM 18.75%EV -6.43%E -1.30%K -1.63%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-06 02:25
Pinnacle🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 80.16%EV -1.11%E -0.908%K -5.04%G +0.000%4.93I 20.28%NM 19.84%EV -6.62%E -1.34%K -1.68%G +0.000%2.3%2026-09-06 02:30
theScore Bet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 80.56%EV -5.16%E -4.41%K -30.36%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.44%EV -8.14%E -1.68%K -2.11%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-05 23:05
1xBet🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 80.17%EV -3.54%E -2.97%K -18.63%G +0.000%4.81I 20.79%NM 19.83%EV -8.89%E -1.85%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-06 02:25
Fanatics🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -4.35%E -3.69%K -24.17%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -9.08%E -1.89%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-06 02:25
BetAnything🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -4.35%E -3.69%K -24.17%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -9.08%E -1.89%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-06 02:15
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -4.35%E -3.69%K -24.17%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -10.03%E -2.11%K -2.67%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-06 02:30
Winamax (DE)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 79.39%EV -1.11%E -0.908%K -5.04%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.61%EV -10.98%E -2.34%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.2%2026-09-06 02:29
LowVig.ag🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 79.42%EV -1.92%E -1.59%K -9.14%G +0.000%4.67I 21.41%NM 20.58%EV -11.55%E -2.47%K -3.15%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-06 02:30
BetOnline.ag🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 79.42%EV -1.92%E -1.59%K -9.14%G +0.000%4.67I 21.41%NM 20.58%EV -11.55%E -2.47%K -3.15%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-06 02:30
DraftKings🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 79.66%EV -3.54%E -2.97%K -18.63%G +0.000%4.66I 21.46%NM 20.34%EV -11.74%E -2.52%K -3.21%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-06 02:23
Winamax (FR)🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -1.92%E -1.59%K -9.14%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV -12.87%E -2.80%K -3.58%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-06 02:30
Betr (AU)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -4.35%E -3.69%K -24.17%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -12.87%E -2.80%K -3.58%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-06 02:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -2.73%E -2.27%K -13.65%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -14.77%E -3.28%K -4.22%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-05 23:55
TAB🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -2.73%E -2.27%K -13.65%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -16.66%E -3.79%K -4.90%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-06 02:29
PlayUp🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -1.11%E -0.908%K -5.04%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -18.55%E -4.31%K -5.62%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-06 02:30
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (7)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.24I 80.65%NM 80.44%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.56%0.3%2026-09-06 02:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.24I 80.65%NM 80.44%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.56%0.3%2026-09-06 02:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.25I 80.00%NM 79.67%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.33%0.4%2026-09-06 02:30
Matchbook◎1.25I 80.00%NM 79.67%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.33%0.4%2026-09-06 02:30
ProphetX◎1.25I 80.00%NM 79.51%4.85I 20.62%NM 20.49%0.6%2026-09-06 02:30
Novig◎1.24I 80.65%NM 79.74%4.88I 20.49%NM 20.26%1.1%2026-09-06 02:30
Smarkets◎1.22I 81.97%NM 79.73%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.27%2.8%2026-09-06 02:30