Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Alexander Bublik v JJ Wolf

2026-08-30 15:00 UTC — ATP US Open

Head to Head

29 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Alexander Bublik (Local)

Prediction 70.85%1.41fair odd
EV -2.93%
Edge -2.14%
Kelly -7.93%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.37

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
69.17%70.69%70.88%72.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.271.341.361.3778.74%74.42%73.53%72.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

JJ Wolf (Visit)

Prediction 29.15%3.43fair odd
EV +3.48%
Edge +0.980%
Kelly +1.36%
Growth +0.047%

assuming max odds 3.55

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.51%29.31%29.12%30.83%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.853.163.103.5535.09%31.62%32.26%28.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Alexander Bublik (Local): 70.85%; JJ Wolf (Visit): 29.15%. For JJ Wolf (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.43. 1 bookmaker offers odds above that level; the best available odds are 3.55, producing a positive expected value of +3.48%.

Sportsbook Odds (29 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
1xBet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 72.30%EV -3.64%E -2.68%K -10.12%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.70%EV +3.48%E +0.980%K +1.36%G +0.047%1.7%2026-08-27 23:50
SportsBet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -8.60%E -6.67%K -29.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -0.895%E -0.263%K -0.373%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-28 00:50
DraftKings🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.21%EV -5.77%E -4.34%K -17.48%G +0.000%3.29I 30.40%NM 28.79%EV -4.10%E -1.25%K -1.79%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-28 00:05
Marathon Bet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.15%EV -5.77%E -4.34%K -17.48%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 28.85%EV -4.39%E -1.34%K -1.93%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-27 23:45
Betway🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -3.64%E -2.68%K -10.12%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -5.27%E -1.62%K -2.34%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-27 22:01
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.77%E -4.34%K -17.48%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -5.27%E -1.62%K -2.34%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-27 23:50
Betr (AU)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.77%E -4.34%K -17.48%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -5.27%E -1.62%K -2.34%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-28 00:15
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.35%E -3.22%K -12.43%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -6.72%E -2.10%K -3.06%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-28 00:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.77%E -4.34%K -17.48%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -6.72%E -2.10%K -3.06%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-27 22:00
Coral🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.77%E -4.34%K -17.48%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -6.72%E -2.10%K -3.06%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-27 22:01
theScore Bet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -6.48%E -4.91%K -20.24%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -6.72%E -2.10%K -3.06%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-27 23:45
LeoVegas🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 70.79%EV -7.89%E -6.07%K -26.31%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -8.18%E -2.60%K -3.81%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-28 00:10
MyBookie.ag🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 70.56%EV -7.18%E -5.48%K -23.18%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 29.44%EV -8.47%E -2.70%K -3.96%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-28 00:15
Unibet🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -2.93%E -2.14%K -7.93%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -9.64%E -3.11%K -4.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-27 22:01
LiveScore Bet🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -2.93%E -2.14%K -7.93%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -9.64%E -3.11%K -4.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-27 22:00
Virgin Bet🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -2.93%E -2.14%K -7.93%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -9.64%E -3.11%K -4.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-27 22:01
GTbets🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.64%E -2.68%K -10.12%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -9.64%E -3.11%K -4.59%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-27 22:00
TABtouch🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.64%E -2.68%K -10.12%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -9.64%E -3.11%K -4.59%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-27 22:00
Casumo🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.64%E -2.68%K -10.12%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -9.64%E -3.11%K -4.59%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-27 22:01
PMU (FR)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.64%E -2.68%K -10.12%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -9.64%E -3.11%K -4.59%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-27 22:01
Grosvenor🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.64%E -2.68%K -10.12%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -9.64%E -3.11%K -4.59%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-27 22:01
Unibet (NL)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.64%E -2.68%K -10.12%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -9.64%E -3.11%K -4.59%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-27 22:01
Svenska Spel🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.64%E -2.68%K -10.12%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -9.64%E -3.11%K -4.59%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-27 22:00
Bally Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.64%E -2.68%K -10.12%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -9.64%E -3.11%K -4.59%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-27 22:00
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.64%E -2.68%K -10.12%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -9.64%E -3.11%K -4.59%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-27 22:00
ATG (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.64%E -2.68%K -10.12%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -9.64%E -3.11%K -4.59%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-27 22:01
betPARX🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.64%E -2.68%K -10.12%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -9.64%E -3.11%K -4.59%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-27 22:01
BetRivers🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.64%E -2.68%K -10.12%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -9.64%E -3.11%K -4.59%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-27 23:14
Unibet (FR)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 69.17%EV -10.02%E -7.89%K -37.11%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.83%EV -16.93%E -5.94%K -9.15%G +0.000%13.8%2026-08-28 00:10
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets1.28I 78.13%NM 69.67%2.94I 34.01%NM 30.33%12.1%2026-08-28 00:10