Idioma:Español
Alexander Bublik v JJ Wolf
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Alexander Bublik (Local)
Predicción 67.62%1.48momio equitativo
EV -0.604%
Ventaja -0.411%
Kelly -1.29%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.47
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
65.95%67.66%67.44%68.94%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.361.401.401.4773.53%71.30%71.43%68.03%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
JJ Wolf (Visitante)
Predicción 32.38%3.09momio equitativo
EV +1.36%
Ventaja +0.435%
Kelly +0.639%
Crecimiento +0.009%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.13
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
31.06%32.34%32.56%34.05%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.752.942.953.1336.36%34.05%33.90%31.95%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Alexander Bublik (Local): 67.62%; JJ Wolf (Visitante): 32.38%. Para JJ Wolf (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 3.09. 4 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 3.13, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +1.36%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (52 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.94%EV -4.66%E -3.31%K -11.37%G +0.000% | 3.13I 31.95%NM 31.06%EV +1.36%E +0.435%K +0.639%G +0.009% | 2.9% | 2026-08-31 00:35 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -5.34%E -3.81%K -13.34%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV +0.390%E +0.126%K +0.186%G +0.001% | 3.7% | 2026-08-31 00:50 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -5.34%E -3.81%K -13.34%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV +0.390%E +0.126%K +0.186%G +0.001% | 3.7% | 2026-08-31 00:50 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -5.34%E -3.81%K -13.34%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV +0.390%E +0.126%K +0.186%G +0.001% | 3.7% | 2026-08-31 00:45 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 68.23%EV -3.98%E -2.81%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.77%EV -1.23%E -0.403%K -0.600%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-31 00:30 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.34%E -3.81%K -13.34%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -2.85%E -0.950%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-30 08:30 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.34%E -3.81%K -13.34%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -2.85%E -0.950%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-31 00:28 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -6.69%E -4.85%K -17.60%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -2.85%E -0.950%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-31 00:14 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -7.37%E -5.38%K -19.91%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -2.85%E -0.950%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-30 23:20 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.04%EV -0.604%E -0.411%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 2.99I 33.44%NM 32.96%EV -3.17%E -1.06%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 1.5% | 2026-08-31 01:20 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.12%EV -6.01%E -4.33%K -15.42%G +0.000% | 2.97I 33.67%NM 31.88%EV -3.82%E -1.29%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-31 01:25 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -3.31%E -2.31%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -4.47%E -1.51%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-31 00:10 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -3.31%E -2.31%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -4.47%E -1.51%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-30 23:20 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -3.98%E -2.81%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -4.47%E -1.51%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-31 00:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.34%E -3.81%K -13.34%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.47%E -1.51%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-28 13:35 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.34%E -3.81%K -13.34%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.47%E -1.51%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-28 13:35 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.34%E -3.81%K -13.34%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.47%E -1.51%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-28 13:34 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.34%E -3.81%K -13.34%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.47%E -1.51%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-28 13:34 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.34%E -3.81%K -13.34%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.47%E -1.51%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-28 13:35 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.34%E -3.81%K -13.34%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.47%E -1.51%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-28 13:34 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.34%E -3.81%K -13.34%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.47%E -1.51%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-28 13:34 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.34%E -3.81%K -13.34%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.47%E -1.51%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-28 13:35 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.34%E -3.81%K -13.34%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.47%E -1.51%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-28 13:33 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.34%E -3.81%K -13.34%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.47%E -1.51%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-28 13:34 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.34%E -3.81%K -13.34%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.47%E -1.51%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-28 13:34 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.34%E -3.81%K -13.34%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.47%E -1.51%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-28 13:34 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.34%E -3.81%K -13.34%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.47%E -1.51%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-28 13:35 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.34%E -3.81%K -13.34%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.47%E -1.51%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-28 13:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.34%E -3.81%K -13.34%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.47%E -1.51%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-28 13:34 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -3.98%E -2.81%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -6.09%E -2.10%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-31 00:10 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.34%E -3.81%K -13.34%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.09%E -2.10%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-30 08:30 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.34%E -3.81%K -13.34%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.09%E -2.10%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-31 00:23 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.34%E -3.81%K -13.34%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.09%E -2.10%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-31 00:15 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.34%E -3.81%K -13.34%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.09%E -2.10%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-31 01:20 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.34%E -3.81%K -13.34%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.09%E -2.10%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-31 00:05 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.34%E -3.81%K -13.34%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.09%E -2.10%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-31 00:15 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.34%E -3.81%K -13.34%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.09%E -2.10%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-30 13:00 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.34%E -3.81%K -13.34%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.09%E -2.10%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-30 13:00 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.34%E -3.81%K -13.34%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.09%E -2.10%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-30 13:00 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.34%E -3.81%K -13.34%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.09%E -2.10%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-30 17:00 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -6.69%E -4.85%K -17.60%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -6.09%E -2.10%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-31 00:10 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -8.04%E -5.91%K -22.34%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -6.09%E -2.10%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-31 00:10 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.13%EV -4.66%E -3.31%K -11.37%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.87%EV -6.73%E -2.34%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-31 01:20 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -5.34%E -3.81%K -13.34%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -6.73%E -2.34%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-29 09:20 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -5.34%E -3.81%K -13.34%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -6.73%E -2.34%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-31 00:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -5.34%E -3.81%K -13.34%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -7.06%E -2.46%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-31 00:40 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -5.34%E -3.81%K -13.34%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -7.06%E -2.46%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-31 00:40 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -3.98%E -2.81%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -7.71%E -2.70%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-30 20:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -3.98%E -2.81%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -7.71%E -2.70%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-31 00:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -3.98%E -2.81%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -7.71%E -2.70%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-31 00:40 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.31%EV -8.04%E -5.91%K -22.34%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.69%EV -9.33%E -3.33%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-31 00:19 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -3.98%E -2.81%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -10.94%E -3.98%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-28 14:26 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (8)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.41I 70.92%NM 70.38% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62% | 0.8% | 2026-08-31 01:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.40I 71.43%NM 70.53% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.47% | 1.3% | 2026-08-31 01:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.40I 71.43%NM 70.53% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.47% | 1.3% | 2026-08-31 01:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.40I 71.43%NM 70.53% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.47% | 1.3% | 2026-08-31 01:15 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.40I 71.43%NM 70.21% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.79% | 1.7% | 2026-08-31 01:25 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.41I 70.92%NM 69.61% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 30.39% | 1.9% | 2026-08-31 01:25 |
| Novig◎ | 1.41I 70.92%NM 69.21% | 3.17I 31.55%NM 30.79% | 2.5% | 2026-08-31 01:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.38I 72.46%NM 70.19% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.81% | 3.2% | 2026-08-31 01:25 |