Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Alexander Bublik v JJ Wolf

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-31 01:26 UTC

Score final : Alexander Bublik 3–1 JJ Wolf

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

52 opérateurs (17 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Alexander Bublik (Local)

Prévision 67.62%1.48cote équitable
EV -0.604%
Avantage -0.411%
Kelly -1.29%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.47

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
65.95%67.66%67.44%68.94%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.361.401.401.4773.53%71.30%71.43%68.03%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

JJ Wolf (Visiteur)

Prévision 32.38%3.09cote équitable
EV +1.36%
Avantage +0.435%
Kelly +0.639%
Croissance +0.009%

avec la cote maximale 3.13

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
31.06%32.34%32.56%34.05%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.752.942.953.1336.36%34.05%33.90%31.95%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Alexander Bublik (Local) : 67.62% ; JJ Wolf (Visiteur) : 32.38%. Pour JJ Wolf (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.09. 4 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 3.13, soit une espérance positive de +1.36%.

Cotes des opérateurs (52 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
Pinnacle🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 68.94%EV -4.66%E -3.31%K -11.37%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 31.06%EV +1.36%E +0.435%K +0.639%G +0.009%2.9%2026-08-31 00:35
BetOnline.ag🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -5.34%E -3.81%K -13.34%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV +0.390%E +0.126%K +0.186%G +0.001%3.7%2026-08-31 00:50
LowVig.ag🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -5.34%E -3.81%K -13.34%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV +0.390%E +0.126%K +0.186%G +0.001%3.7%2026-08-31 00:50
betano_uk🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -5.34%E -3.81%K -13.34%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV +0.390%E +0.126%K +0.186%G +0.001%3.7%2026-08-31 00:45
Coolbet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 68.23%EV -3.98%E -2.81%K -9.49%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.77%EV -1.23%E -0.403%K -0.600%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-31 00:30
Betway🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.34%E -3.81%K -13.34%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -2.85%E -0.950%K -1.42%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-30 08:30
Bovada🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.34%E -3.81%K -13.34%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -2.85%E -0.950%K -1.42%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-31 00:28
TAB🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -6.69%E -4.85%K -17.60%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -2.85%E -0.950%K -1.42%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-31 00:14
Tipico (DE)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -7.37%E -5.38%K -19.91%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -2.85%E -0.950%K -1.42%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-30 23:20
1xBet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 67.04%EV -0.604%E -0.411%K -1.29%G +0.000%2.99I 33.44%NM 32.96%EV -3.17%E -1.06%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.5%2026-08-31 01:20
DraftKings🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 68.12%EV -6.01%E -4.33%K -15.42%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 31.88%EV -3.82%E -1.29%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-31 01:25
Winamax (DE)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -3.31%E -2.31%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -4.47%E -1.51%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-31 00:10
BetAnything🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -3.31%E -2.31%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -4.47%E -1.51%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-30 23:20
Winamax (FR)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -3.98%E -2.81%K -9.49%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -4.47%E -1.51%K -2.29%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-31 00:10
Unibet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.34%E -3.81%K -13.34%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.47%E -1.51%K -2.29%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-28 13:35
LiveScore Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.34%E -3.81%K -13.34%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.47%E -1.51%K -2.29%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-28 13:35
TABtouch🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.34%E -3.81%K -13.34%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.47%E -1.51%K -2.29%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-28 13:34
Casumo🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.34%E -3.81%K -13.34%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.47%E -1.51%K -2.29%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-28 13:34
Grosvenor🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.34%E -3.81%K -13.34%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.47%E -1.51%K -2.29%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-28 13:35
Unibet (NL)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.34%E -3.81%K -13.34%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.47%E -1.51%K -2.29%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-28 13:34
Virgin Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.34%E -3.81%K -13.34%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.47%E -1.51%K -2.29%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-28 13:34
Svenska Spel🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.34%E -3.81%K -13.34%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.47%E -1.51%K -2.29%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-28 13:35
Bally Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.34%E -3.81%K -13.34%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.47%E -1.51%K -2.29%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-28 13:33
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.34%E -3.81%K -13.34%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.47%E -1.51%K -2.29%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-28 13:34
ATG (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.34%E -3.81%K -13.34%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.47%E -1.51%K -2.29%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-28 13:34
betPARX🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.34%E -3.81%K -13.34%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.47%E -1.51%K -2.29%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-28 13:34
BetRivers🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.34%E -3.81%K -13.34%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.47%E -1.51%K -2.29%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-28 13:35
Unibet (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.34%E -3.81%K -13.34%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.47%E -1.51%K -2.29%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-28 13:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.34%E -3.81%K -13.34%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.47%E -1.51%K -2.29%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-28 13:34
Unibet (UK)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -3.98%E -2.81%K -9.49%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -6.09%E -2.10%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-31 00:10
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.34%E -3.81%K -13.34%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.09%E -2.10%K -3.20%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-30 08:30
MyBookie.ag🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.34%E -3.81%K -13.34%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.09%E -2.10%K -3.20%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-31 00:23
LeoVegas🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.34%E -3.81%K -13.34%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.09%E -2.10%K -3.20%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-31 00:15
Betr (AU)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.34%E -3.81%K -13.34%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.09%E -2.10%K -3.20%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-31 01:20
Fanatics🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.34%E -3.81%K -13.34%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.09%E -2.10%K -3.20%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-31 00:05
PlayUp🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.34%E -3.81%K -13.34%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.09%E -2.10%K -3.20%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-31 00:15
888sport🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.34%E -3.81%K -13.34%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.09%E -2.10%K -3.20%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-30 13:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.34%E -3.81%K -13.34%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.09%E -2.10%K -3.20%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-30 13:00
888sport (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.34%E -3.81%K -13.34%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.09%E -2.10%K -3.20%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-30 13:00
William Hill🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.34%E -3.81%K -13.34%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.09%E -2.10%K -3.20%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-30 17:00
Fliff🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -6.69%E -4.85%K -17.60%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -6.09%E -2.10%K -3.20%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-31 00:10
PMU (FR)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -8.04%E -5.91%K -22.34%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -6.09%E -2.10%K -3.20%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-31 00:10
Marathon Bet🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.13%EV -4.66%E -3.31%K -11.37%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.87%EV -6.73%E -2.34%K -3.58%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-31 01:20
betfred_uk🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -5.34%E -3.81%K -13.34%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -6.73%E -2.34%K -3.58%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-29 09:20
BoyleSports🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -5.34%E -3.81%K -13.34%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -6.73%E -2.34%K -3.58%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-31 00:05
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -5.34%E -3.81%K -13.34%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -7.06%E -2.46%K -3.77%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-31 00:40
Coral🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -5.34%E -3.81%K -13.34%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -7.06%E -2.46%K -3.77%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-31 00:40
theScore Bet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -3.98%E -2.81%K -9.49%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -7.71%E -2.70%K -4.17%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-30 20:10
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -3.98%E -2.81%K -9.49%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -7.71%E -2.70%K -4.17%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-31 00:40
Neds🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -3.98%E -2.81%K -9.49%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -7.71%E -2.70%K -4.17%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-31 00:40
Betclic (FR)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.31%EV -8.04%E -5.91%K -22.34%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.69%EV -9.33%E -3.33%K -5.18%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-31 00:19
Caesars🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -3.98%E -2.81%K -9.49%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -10.94%E -3.98%K -6.25%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-28 14:26
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (8)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook◎1.41I 70.92%NM 70.38%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62%0.8%2026-08-31 01:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.40I 71.43%NM 70.53%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.47%1.3%2026-08-31 01:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.40I 71.43%NM 70.53%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.47%1.3%2026-08-31 01:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.40I 71.43%NM 70.53%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.47%1.3%2026-08-31 01:15
ProphetX◎1.40I 71.43%NM 70.21%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.79%1.7%2026-08-31 01:25
Kalshi◎1.41I 70.92%NM 69.61%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.39%1.9%2026-08-31 01:25
Novig◎1.41I 70.92%NM 69.21%3.17I 31.55%NM 30.79%2.5%2026-08-31 01:25
Smarkets◎1.38I 72.46%NM 70.19%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.81%3.2%2026-08-31 01:25