StandardmodellInterquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Alexander Bublik v JJ Wolf

Spielbeginn: 2026-08-31 01:26 UTC

Endstand: Alexander Bublik 3–1 JJ Wolf

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

52 Wettanbieter (17 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Alexander Bublik (Heim)

Prognose 67.62%1.48faire Quote
EV -0.604%
Vorteil -0.411%
Kelly -1.29%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.47

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
65.95%67.66%67.44%68.94%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.361.401.401.4773.53%71.30%71.43%68.03%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

JJ Wolf (Auswärts)

Prognose 32.38%3.09faire Quote
EV +1.36%
Vorteil +0.435%
Kelly +0.639%
Wachstum +0.009%

bei einer Höchstquote von 3.13

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
31.06%32.34%32.56%34.05%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
2.752.942.953.1336.36%34.05%33.90%31.95%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Bei den letzten Quoten vor Spielbeginn schätzte Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) für Direkter Vergleich: Alexander Bublik (Heim): 67.62%; JJ Wolf (Auswärts): 32.38%. Für JJ Wolf (Auswärts) entsprach diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 3.09. 4 Wettanbieter boten Schlussquoten über diesem Wert an; die beste betrug 3.13 und entsprach einem positiven Erwartungswert von +1.36%.

Wettanbieterquoten (52 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeimAuswärts ▼MargeAktualisiert
Pinnacle🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 68.94%EV -4.66%E -3.31%K -11.37%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 31.06%EV +1.36%E +0.435%K +0.639%G +0.009%2.9%2026-08-31 00:35
BetOnline.ag🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -5.34%E -3.81%K -13.34%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV +0.390%E +0.126%K +0.186%G +0.001%3.7%2026-08-31 00:50
LowVig.ag🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -5.34%E -3.81%K -13.34%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV +0.390%E +0.126%K +0.186%G +0.001%3.7%2026-08-31 00:50
betano_uk🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -5.34%E -3.81%K -13.34%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV +0.390%E +0.126%K +0.186%G +0.001%3.7%2026-08-31 00:45
Coolbet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 68.23%EV -3.98%E -2.81%K -9.49%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.77%EV -1.23%E -0.403%K -0.600%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-31 00:30
Betway🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.34%E -3.81%K -13.34%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -2.85%E -0.950%K -1.42%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-30 08:30
Bovada🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.34%E -3.81%K -13.34%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -2.85%E -0.950%K -1.42%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-31 00:28
TAB🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -6.69%E -4.85%K -17.60%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -2.85%E -0.950%K -1.42%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-31 00:14
Tipico (DE)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -7.37%E -5.38%K -19.91%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -2.85%E -0.950%K -1.42%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-30 23:20
1xBet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 67.04%EV -0.604%E -0.411%K -1.29%G +0.000%2.99I 33.44%NM 32.96%EV -3.17%E -1.06%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.5%2026-08-31 01:20
DraftKings🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 68.12%EV -6.01%E -4.33%K -15.42%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 31.88%EV -3.82%E -1.29%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-31 01:25
Winamax (DE)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -3.31%E -2.31%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -4.47%E -1.51%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-31 00:10
BetAnything🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -3.31%E -2.31%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -4.47%E -1.51%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-30 23:20
Winamax (FR)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -3.98%E -2.81%K -9.49%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -4.47%E -1.51%K -2.29%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-31 00:10
Unibet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.34%E -3.81%K -13.34%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.47%E -1.51%K -2.29%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-28 13:35
LiveScore Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.34%E -3.81%K -13.34%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.47%E -1.51%K -2.29%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-28 13:35
TABtouch🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.34%E -3.81%K -13.34%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.47%E -1.51%K -2.29%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-28 13:34
Casumo🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.34%E -3.81%K -13.34%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.47%E -1.51%K -2.29%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-28 13:34
Grosvenor🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.34%E -3.81%K -13.34%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.47%E -1.51%K -2.29%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-28 13:35
Unibet (NL)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.34%E -3.81%K -13.34%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.47%E -1.51%K -2.29%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-28 13:34
Virgin Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.34%E -3.81%K -13.34%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.47%E -1.51%K -2.29%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-28 13:34
Svenska Spel🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.34%E -3.81%K -13.34%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.47%E -1.51%K -2.29%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-28 13:35
Bally Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.34%E -3.81%K -13.34%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.47%E -1.51%K -2.29%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-28 13:33
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.34%E -3.81%K -13.34%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.47%E -1.51%K -2.29%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-28 13:34
ATG (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.34%E -3.81%K -13.34%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.47%E -1.51%K -2.29%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-28 13:34
betPARX🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.34%E -3.81%K -13.34%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.47%E -1.51%K -2.29%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-28 13:34
BetRivers🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.34%E -3.81%K -13.34%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.47%E -1.51%K -2.29%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-28 13:35
Unibet (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.34%E -3.81%K -13.34%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.47%E -1.51%K -2.29%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-28 13:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.34%E -3.81%K -13.34%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.47%E -1.51%K -2.29%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-28 13:34
Unibet (UK)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -3.98%E -2.81%K -9.49%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -6.09%E -2.10%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-31 00:10
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.34%E -3.81%K -13.34%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.09%E -2.10%K -3.20%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-30 08:30
MyBookie.ag🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.34%E -3.81%K -13.34%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.09%E -2.10%K -3.20%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-31 00:23
LeoVegas🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.34%E -3.81%K -13.34%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.09%E -2.10%K -3.20%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-31 00:15
Betr (AU)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.34%E -3.81%K -13.34%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.09%E -2.10%K -3.20%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-31 01:20
Fanatics🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.34%E -3.81%K -13.34%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.09%E -2.10%K -3.20%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-31 00:05
PlayUp🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.34%E -3.81%K -13.34%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.09%E -2.10%K -3.20%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-31 00:15
888sport🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.34%E -3.81%K -13.34%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.09%E -2.10%K -3.20%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-30 13:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.34%E -3.81%K -13.34%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.09%E -2.10%K -3.20%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-30 13:00
888sport (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.34%E -3.81%K -13.34%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.09%E -2.10%K -3.20%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-30 13:00
William Hill🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.34%E -3.81%K -13.34%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.09%E -2.10%K -3.20%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-30 17:00
Fliff🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -6.69%E -4.85%K -17.60%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -6.09%E -2.10%K -3.20%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-31 00:10
PMU (FR)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -8.04%E -5.91%K -22.34%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -6.09%E -2.10%K -3.20%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-31 00:10
Marathon Bet🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.13%EV -4.66%E -3.31%K -11.37%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.87%EV -6.73%E -2.34%K -3.58%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-31 01:20
betfred_uk🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -5.34%E -3.81%K -13.34%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -6.73%E -2.34%K -3.58%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-29 09:20
BoyleSports🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -5.34%E -3.81%K -13.34%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -6.73%E -2.34%K -3.58%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-31 00:05
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -5.34%E -3.81%K -13.34%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -7.06%E -2.46%K -3.77%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-31 00:40
Coral🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -5.34%E -3.81%K -13.34%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -7.06%E -2.46%K -3.77%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-31 00:40
theScore Bet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -3.98%E -2.81%K -9.49%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -7.71%E -2.70%K -4.17%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-30 20:10
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -3.98%E -2.81%K -9.49%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -7.71%E -2.70%K -4.17%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-31 00:40
Neds🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -3.98%E -2.81%K -9.49%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -7.71%E -2.70%K -4.17%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-31 00:40
Betclic (FR)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.31%EV -8.04%E -5.91%K -22.34%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.69%EV -9.33%E -3.33%K -5.18%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-31 00:19
Caesars🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -3.98%E -2.81%K -9.49%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -10.94%E -3.98%K -6.25%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-28 14:26
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (8)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Matchbook◎1.41I 70.92%NM 70.38%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62%0.8%2026-08-31 01:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.40I 71.43%NM 70.53%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.47%1.3%2026-08-31 01:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.40I 71.43%NM 70.53%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.47%1.3%2026-08-31 01:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.40I 71.43%NM 70.53%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.47%1.3%2026-08-31 01:15
ProphetX◎1.40I 71.43%NM 70.21%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.79%1.7%2026-08-31 01:25
Kalshi◎1.41I 70.92%NM 69.61%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.39%1.9%2026-08-31 01:25
Novig◎1.41I 70.92%NM 69.21%3.17I 31.55%NM 30.79%2.5%2026-08-31 01:25
Smarkets◎1.38I 72.46%NM 70.19%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.81%3.2%2026-08-31 01:25